MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.304 -0.140 ******* -0.025 0.922 0.862 ******* 0.857 1.662 1.590 ******* 1.522 1.634 1.584 -9999.00 1.522 13,967. 13,967. 0. 13,853.
3 1.253 1.237 ******* 0.914 1.537 1.540 ******* 1.476 2.080 2.081 ******* 2.051 1.660 1.673 -9999.00 1.836 13,641. 13,641. 0. 13,524.
6 0.920 0.835 ******* 1.247 1.378 1.328 ******* 1.630 1.773 1.705 ******* 2.050 1.516 1.487 -9999.00 1.627 12,872. 12,872. 0. 12,761.
9 1.108 0.929 ******* 0.977 1.522 1.373 ******* 1.363 1.954 1.786 ******* 1.787 1.610 1.525 -9999.00 1.496 12,397. 12,397. 0. 12,291.
12 1.167 0.920 0.900 1.037 1.577 1.376 1.342 1.454 2.008 1.783 1.743 1.863 1.635 1.527 1.493 1.548 12,586. 12,586. 12,586. 12,478.
15 1.207 1.030 1.042 0.759 1.762 1.602 1.614 1.426 2.315 2.142 2.154 1.948 1.975 1.878 1.885 1.794 14,140. 14,140. 14,140. 14,021.
18 -0.185 -0.244 -0.151 0.264 1.542 1.466 1.451 1.391 2.182 2.105 2.083 2.001 2.174 2.091 2.078 1.984 14,012. 14,012. 14,012. 13,898.
21 -0.567 -0.635 -0.566 0.515 1.706 1.672 1.651 1.581 2.383 2.357 2.337 2.247 2.315 2.270 2.268 2.187 13,946. 13,946. 13,946. 13,831.
24 -0.180 -0.322 -0.282 0.681 1.706 1.700 1.698 1.682 2.398 2.398 2.395 2.360 2.391 2.376 2.378 2.259 13,738. 13,738. 13,738. 13,738.
27 0.428 0.256 0.258 0.666 1.624 1.561 1.558 1.627 2.225 2.162 2.159 2.235 2.184 2.146 2.144 2.134 13,405. 13,405. 13,405. 13,405.
30 -0.002 -0.205 -0.262 0.686 1.617 1.559 1.545 1.654 2.089 2.018 1.998 2.126 2.089 2.008 1.980 2.012 12,643. 12,643. 12,643. 12,643.
33 0.296 0.076 -0.025 0.909 1.743 1.644 1.613 1.785 2.248 2.134 2.093 2.300 2.228 2.133 2.093 2.113 12,178. 12,178. 12,178. 12,178.
36 1.017 0.786 0.662 0.687 2.004 1.853 1.787 1.820 2.522 2.340 2.261 2.322 2.308 2.204 2.162 2.218 12,484. 12,484. 12,484. 12,484.
39 0.678 0.495 ******* 0.275 1.917 1.817 ******* 1.858 2.540 2.416 ******* 2.440 2.448 2.364 -9999.00 2.425 14,259. 14,259. 0. 14,137.
42 -0.149 -0.269 ******* 0.348 1.868 1.824 ******* 1.903 2.549 2.498 ******* 2.554 2.545 2.483 -9999.00 2.530 14,145. 14,145. 0. 14,028.
45 -0.435 -0.565 ******* 0.600 1.943 1.938 ******* 1.975 2.656 2.655 ******* 2.681 2.620 2.594 -9999.00 2.613 14,077. 14,077. 0. 13,960.
48 -0.025 -0.206 ******* 0.316 1.973 1.980 ******* 1.955 2.659 2.666 ******* 2.627 2.659 2.658 -9999.00 2.608 13,907. 13,907. 0. 13,790.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.419 0.389 ******* 0.623 0.800 0.755 ******* 0.835 1.164 1.112 ******* 1.143 1.086 1.042 -9999.00 0.958 12,608. 12,608. 0. 12,608.
3 1.366 1.442 ******* 1.150 1.604 1.672 ******* 1.562 2.094 2.159 ******* 2.097 1.587 1.606 -9999.00 1.754 14,136. 14,136. 0. 14,136.
6 -0.507 -0.398 ******* 0.566 1.274 1.209 ******* 1.299 1.918 1.856 ******* 1.905 1.850 1.813 -9999.00 1.819 14,023. 14,023. 0. 14,023.
9 -0.747 -0.719 ******* 0.165 1.523 1.443 ******* 1.314 2.198 2.124 ******* 1.931 2.067 1.999 -9999.00 1.924 13,964. 13,964. 0. 13,964.
12 -0.714 -0.787 -0.634 0.312 1.563 1.539 1.485 1.448 2.242 2.229 2.159 2.090 2.126 2.086 2.064 2.067 13,750. 13,750. 13,750. 13,750.
15 0.012 -0.100 -0.170 0.528 1.388 1.330 1.333 1.383 1.877 1.823 1.832 1.865 1.877 1.820 1.825 1.789 13,418. 13,418. 13,418. 13,418.
18 -0.506 -0.643 -0.815 0.256 1.495 1.452 1.497 1.374 1.952 1.908 1.967 1.781 1.886 1.796 1.790 1.763 12,660. 12,660. 12,660. 12,660.
21 -0.208 -0.381 -0.624 0.573 1.514 1.445 1.469 1.442 2.002 1.924 1.962 1.908 1.991 1.885 1.860 1.820 12,189. 12,189. 12,189. 12,189.
24 0.452 0.268 -0.012 0.411 1.630 1.497 1.442 1.489 2.097 1.939 1.880 1.928 2.048 1.920 1.880 1.883 12,492. 12,492. 12,492. 12,492.
27 0.238 0.077 -0.159 0.021 1.672 1.562 1.527 1.556 2.235 2.115 2.083 2.076 2.223 2.114 2.077 2.076 14,026. 14,026. 14,026. 14,026.
30 -0.851 -0.939 -1.098 -0.016 1.850 1.801 1.840 1.587 2.541 2.502 2.550 2.199 2.395 2.320 2.301 2.199 13,917. 13,917. 13,917. 13,917.
33 -0.870 -0.980 -1.121 0.411 1.927 1.909 1.956 1.741 2.593 2.595 2.650 2.347 2.442 2.403 2.401 2.310 13,857. 13,857. 13,857. 13,857.
36 -0.210 -0.392 -0.518 0.493 1.912 1.895 1.921 1.905 2.627 2.634 2.670 2.571 2.619 2.605 2.619 2.524 13,640. 13,640. 13,640. 13,640.
39 0.372 0.167 ******* 0.440 1.885 1.814 ******* 1.856 2.544 2.486 ******* 2.464 2.517 2.481 -9999.00 2.425 13,531. 13,531. 0. 13,531.
42 0.136 -0.091 ******* 0.808 1.917 1.857 ******* 1.930 2.455 2.382 ******* 2.464 2.451 2.381 -9999.00 2.327 12,772. 12,772. 0. 12,772.
45 0.378 0.140 ******* 0.858 2.074 1.982 ******* 2.028 2.658 2.551 ******* 2.605 2.631 2.547 -9999.00 2.459 12,302. 12,302. 0. 12,302.
48 1.239 0.997 ******* 0.646 2.363 2.203 ******* 2.067 2.968 2.788 ******* 2.620 2.697 2.603 -9999.00 2.539 12,609. 12,609. 0. 12,609.