MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.688 -1.678 ******* -0.633 2.317 2.321 ******* 2.482 2.957 2.969 ******* 3.129 2.428 2.449 -9999.00 3.064 42,200. 42,200. 0. 41,860.
3 0.141 0.129 ******* -0.173 1.653 1.557 ******* 2.317 2.260 2.145 ******* 2.933 2.256 2.142 -9999.00 2.928 40,871. 40,871. 0. 40,469.
6 0.908 0.941 ******* 0.405 1.927 1.875 ******* 2.258 2.701 2.654 ******* 2.869 2.544 2.482 -9999.00 2.841 41,014. 41,014. 0. 40,680.
9 1.115 1.254 ******* 0.445 2.150 2.129 ******* 2.330 3.010 3.018 ******* 2.989 2.796 2.744 -9999.00 2.956 40,942. 40,942. 0. 40,618.
12 1.329 1.518 1.508 0.459 2.336 2.343 2.336 2.408 3.275 3.320 3.309 3.104 2.994 2.952 2.945 3.070 39,799. 39,799. 39,799. 39,396.
15 -0.280 -0.058 -0.259 -0.159 2.039 1.878 1.898 2.228 2.744 2.569 2.578 2.866 2.729 2.569 2.565 2.862 42,100. 42,100. 42,100. 41,704.
18 -1.582 -1.470 -1.680 -0.846 2.524 2.343 2.445 2.402 3.217 3.014 3.126 3.066 2.801 2.632 2.636 2.947 43,397. 43,397. 43,397. 43,130.
21 -1.791 -1.761 -1.854 -1.062 2.728 2.628 2.689 2.703 3.455 3.359 3.428 3.420 2.955 2.861 2.883 3.251 41,697. 41,697. 41,697. 41,384.
24 -1.600 -1.568 -1.629 -0.935 2.607 2.514 2.557 2.797 3.354 3.273 3.316 3.509 2.948 2.873 2.888 3.383 41,622. 41,622. 41,622. 41,622.
27 -0.099 -0.164 -0.280 -0.352 1.877 1.775 1.767 2.495 2.474 2.355 2.352 3.152 2.473 2.350 2.335 3.132 40,323. 40,323. 40,323. 40,323.
30 0.701 0.688 0.724 0.320 1.991 1.913 1.891 2.322 2.651 2.565 2.540 2.941 2.556 2.471 2.434 2.924 40,521. 40,521. 40,521. 40,521.
33 0.907 1.000 1.122 0.462 2.166 2.119 2.116 2.382 2.922 2.884 2.892 3.046 2.777 2.705 2.665 3.011 40,234. 40,234. 40,234. 40,234.
36 1.127 1.275 1.435 0.432 2.320 2.304 2.314 2.442 3.152 3.160 3.187 3.134 2.944 2.892 2.846 3.104 39,198. 39,198. 39,198. 39,198.
39 -0.570 -0.356 ******* -0.166 2.087 1.941 ******* 2.287 2.796 2.624 ******* 2.926 2.737 2.600 -9999.00 2.921 42,019. 42,019. 0. 41,611.
42 -2.031 -1.826 ******* -0.882 2.810 2.600 ******* 2.513 3.577 3.355 ******* 3.197 2.944 2.814 -9999.00 3.073 43,384. 43,384. 0. 42,972.
45 -2.182 -2.064 ******* -1.133 3.068 2.929 ******* 2.869 3.891 3.755 ******* 3.601 3.222 3.137 -9999.00 3.418 41,633. 41,633. 0. 41,372.
48 -1.937 -1.845 ******* -1.036 2.982 2.864 ******* 2.974 3.848 3.739 ******* 3.715 3.325 3.253 -9999.00 3.568 41,754. 41,754. 0. 41,336.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.916 1.755 ******* -0.426 2.502 2.427 ******* 2.337 3.553 3.458 ******* 3.018 2.992 2.980 -9999.00 2.988 39,702. 39,702. 0. 39,702.
3 0.136 0.012 ******* -0.681 1.872 1.781 ******* 2.264 2.594 2.473 ******* 2.909 2.590 2.473 -9999.00 2.828 42,020. 42,020. 0. 42,020.
6 -1.258 -1.352 ******* -1.233 2.277 2.203 ******* 2.494 2.913 2.821 ******* 3.172 2.628 2.475 -9999.00 2.922 43,335. 43,335. 0. 43,335.
9 -1.513 -1.634 ******* -1.306 2.466 2.442 ******* 2.706 3.140 3.113 ******* 3.398 2.751 2.650 -9999.00 3.138 41,639. 41,639. 0. 41,639.
12 -1.379 -1.474 -1.479 -1.064 2.369 2.317 2.324 2.757 3.072 3.036 3.045 3.452 2.745 2.655 2.662 3.284 41,772. 41,772. 41,772. 41,772.
15 0.043 -0.128 0.000 -0.452 1.760 1.672 1.650 2.447 2.348 2.243 2.212 3.087 2.348 2.239 2.212 3.054 40,557. 40,557. 40,557. 40,557.
18 0.751 0.679 1.100 0.170 1.918 1.827 1.949 2.255 2.595 2.493 2.672 2.866 2.484 2.399 2.435 2.861 40,843. 40,843. 40,843. 40,843.
21 0.938 0.982 1.525 0.330 2.106 2.049 2.245 2.313 2.881 2.832 3.114 2.965 2.724 2.656 2.715 2.946 40,476. 40,476. 40,476. 40,476.
24 1.124 1.233 1.831 0.340 2.277 2.240 2.494 2.376 3.123 3.108 3.452 3.062 2.914 2.853 2.926 3.043 39,436. 39,436. 39,436. 39,436.
27 -0.538 -0.349 0.186 -0.244 2.072 1.916 1.834 2.242 2.786 2.603 2.514 2.882 2.734 2.580 2.508 2.872 41,730. 41,730. 41,730. 41,730.
30 -1.943 -1.783 -1.477 -1.014 2.731 2.543 2.367 2.522 3.496 3.283 3.096 3.208 2.906 2.757 2.721 3.044 43,186. 43,186. 43,186. 43,184.
33 -2.123 -2.036 -1.801 -1.290 2.976 2.847 2.719 2.887 3.794 3.666 3.535 3.624 3.144 3.048 3.042 3.386 41,529. 41,529. 41,529. 41,529.
36 -1.927 -1.824 -1.644 -1.180 2.880 2.762 2.677 2.970 3.732 3.625 3.540 3.707 3.195 3.133 3.135 3.515 41,263. 41,263. 41,263. 41,263.
39 -0.443 -0.465 ******* -0.544 2.011 1.933 ******* 2.558 2.663 2.579 ******* 3.224 2.626 2.537 -9999.00 3.177 40,492. 40,492. 0. 40,492.
42 0.383 0.392 ******* 0.157 2.008 1.962 ******* 2.330 2.663 2.611 ******* 2.956 2.635 2.581 -9999.00 2.951 40,689. 40,689. 0. 40,689.
45 0.591 0.682 ******* 0.299 2.166 2.128 ******* 2.393 2.907 2.879 ******* 3.058 2.846 2.797 -9999.00 3.044 40,455. 40,455. 0. 40,455.
48 0.790 0.915 ******* 0.254 2.297 2.268 ******* 2.453 3.111 3.097 ******* 3.142 3.009 2.959 -9999.00 3.132 39,465. 39,465. 0. 39,465.