MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.885 -1.818 ******* -0.105 2.582 2.463 ******* 2.760 3.235 3.137 ******* 3.510 2.628 2.556 -9999.00 3.508 42,200. 42,200. 0. 41,860.
3 -0.422 -0.350 ******* -1.217 1.888 1.666 ******* 2.939 2.461 2.211 ******* 3.623 2.425 2.183 -9999.00 3.413 40,871. 40,871. 0. 40,469.
6 0.249 0.308 ******* -0.808 1.834 1.699 ******* 2.591 2.413 2.272 ******* 3.217 2.400 2.251 -9999.00 3.114 41,014. 41,014. 0. 40,680.
9 0.486 0.612 ******* -0.792 1.928 1.839 ******* 2.491 2.559 2.490 ******* 3.133 2.512 2.414 -9999.00 3.031 40,942. 40,942. 0. 40,618.
12 0.716 0.848 0.924 -0.741 2.063 1.999 2.007 2.465 2.759 2.722 2.753 3.121 2.664 2.586 2.593 3.032 39,799. 39,799. 39,799. 39,396.
15 -0.091 0.187 -0.208 -0.249 1.871 1.719 1.701 2.320 2.450 2.285 2.262 2.945 2.448 2.278 2.253 2.935 42,100. 42,100. 42,100. 41,704.
18 -0.301 -0.048 -0.305 0.612 2.108 1.962 1.963 2.642 2.753 2.595 2.593 3.363 2.736 2.594 2.575 3.306 43,397. 43,397. 43,397. 43,130.
21 -0.467 -0.223 -0.251 0.518 2.373 2.252 2.239 2.932 3.123 3.010 2.990 3.763 3.088 3.002 2.980 3.727 41,697. 41,697. 41,697. 41,384.
24 -1.104 -0.793 -0.806 -0.293 2.581 2.348 2.324 3.015 3.353 3.125 3.087 3.808 3.166 3.023 2.979 3.797 41,622. 41,622. 41,622. 41,622.
27 -0.576 -0.546 -0.657 -1.290 2.115 1.910 1.860 3.084 2.744 2.502 2.440 3.822 2.683 2.442 2.349 3.598 40,323. 40,323. 40,323. 40,323.
30 0.153 0.157 0.118 -0.803 1.950 1.798 1.722 2.669 2.526 2.342 2.245 3.314 2.522 2.337 2.241 3.216 40,521. 40,521. 40,521. 40,521.
33 0.353 0.425 0.445 -0.725 2.007 1.887 1.825 2.544 2.616 2.484 2.416 3.197 2.592 2.447 2.374 3.113 40,234. 40,234. 40,234. 40,234.
36 0.566 0.655 0.698 -0.737 2.090 2.008 1.951 2.516 2.745 2.661 2.608 3.178 2.686 2.579 2.513 3.091 39,198. 39,198. 39,198. 39,198.
39 -0.343 -0.176 ******* -0.171 1.922 1.788 ******* 2.354 2.514 2.361 ******* 2.977 2.490 2.354 -9999.00 2.972 42,019. 42,019. 0. 41,611.
42 -0.728 -0.447 ******* 0.644 2.316 2.159 ******* 2.772 3.014 2.854 ******* 3.531 2.925 2.819 -9999.00 3.472 43,384. 43,384. 0. 42,972.
45 -0.817 -0.489 ******* 0.509 2.655 2.508 ******* 3.067 3.481 3.336 ******* 3.929 3.383 3.300 -9999.00 3.896 41,633. 41,633. 0. 41,372.
48 -1.396 -1.036 ******* -0.342 2.939 2.690 ******* 3.153 3.815 3.565 ******* 3.984 3.550 3.411 -9999.00 3.969 41,754. 41,754. 0. 41,336.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.849 1.792 ******* -1.464 2.463 2.387 ******* 2.670 3.373 3.311 ******* 3.409 2.821 2.784 -9999.00 3.078 39,702. 39,702. 0. 39,702.
3 0.236 0.187 ******* -0.706 1.745 1.640 ******* 2.342 2.323 2.208 ******* 2.969 2.311 2.200 -9999.00 2.884 42,020. 42,020. 0. 42,020.
6 0.000 0.098 ******* 0.244 1.947 1.836 ******* 2.571 2.566 2.446 ******* 3.284 2.566 2.444 -9999.00 3.275 43,335. 43,335. 0. 43,335.
9 -0.153 -0.121 ******* 0.274 2.211 2.100 ******* 2.835 2.918 2.808 ******* 3.634 2.914 2.806 -9999.00 3.624 41,639. 41,639. 0. 41,639.
12 -0.834 -0.828 -0.736 -0.408 2.379 2.206 2.126 2.976 3.114 2.949 2.856 3.756 3.001 2.830 2.759 3.734 41,772. 41,772. 41,772. 41,772.
15 -0.512 -0.576 -0.206 -1.379 2.021 1.845 1.690 3.070 2.622 2.419 2.228 3.795 2.572 2.350 2.219 3.536 40,557. 40,557. 40,557. 40,557.
18 0.157 0.102 0.683 -0.926 1.866 1.717 1.757 2.650 2.429 2.248 2.334 3.296 2.424 2.246 2.232 3.163 40,843. 40,843. 40,843. 40,843.
21 0.349 0.365 1.035 -0.809 1.936 1.817 1.948 2.510 2.534 2.400 2.632 3.161 2.510 2.372 2.419 3.056 40,476. 40,476. 40,476. 40,476.
24 0.541 0.590 1.277 -0.766 2.040 1.941 2.134 2.475 2.685 2.586 2.896 3.132 2.630 2.517 2.599 3.037 39,436. 39,436. 39,436. 39,436.
27 -0.428 -0.210 0.413 -0.275 1.921 1.750 1.726 2.323 2.519 2.328 2.297 2.943 2.483 2.318 2.260 2.930 41,730. 41,730. 41,730. 41,730.
30 -0.715 -0.431 0.002 0.447 2.258 2.098 2.053 2.711 2.960 2.793 2.730 3.455 2.873 2.760 2.730 3.426 43,186. 43,186. 43,186. 43,184.
33 -0.764 -0.483 -0.122 0.281 2.572 2.428 2.370 3.047 3.388 3.251 3.175 3.879 3.301 3.215 3.172 3.869 41,529. 41,529. 41,529. 41,529.
36 -1.347 -1.040 -0.775 -0.524 2.816 2.586 2.460 3.153 3.675 3.454 3.319 3.964 3.419 3.294 3.228 3.929 41,263. 41,263. 41,263. 41,263.
39 -0.927 -0.831 ******* -1.431 2.289 2.085 ******* 3.138 2.980 2.748 ******* 3.891 2.832 2.619 -9999.00 3.618 40,492. 40,492. 0. 40,492.
42 -0.129 -0.109 ******* -0.922 2.023 1.892 ******* 2.692 2.623 2.468 ******* 3.353 2.620 2.466 -9999.00 3.224 40,689. 40,689. 0. 40,689.
45 0.094 0.148 ******* -0.834 2.064 1.962 ******* 2.576 2.686 2.572 ******* 3.250 2.685 2.568 -9999.00 3.141 40,455. 40,455. 0. 40,455.
48 0.278 0.333 ******* -0.859 2.145 2.052 ******* 2.562 2.801 2.710 ******* 3.243 2.787 2.689 -9999.00 3.128 39,465. 39,465. 0. 39,465.