MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.845 0.794 ******* 0.820 3.998 4.005 ******* 4.100 5.225 5.251 ******* 5.317 5.156 5.191 -9999.00 5.253 41,490. 41,490. 0. 41,166.
3 3.612 3.883 ******* 0.364 5.098 5.188 ******* 3.871 6.268 6.424 ******* 5.049 5.123 5.117 -9999.00 5.036 40,848. 40,848. 0. 40,451.
6 4.941 5.120 ******* 0.800 5.984 6.061 ******* 3.821 7.155 7.328 ******* 4.973 5.174 5.243 -9999.00 4.909 39,585. 39,585. 0. 39,263.
9 4.892 5.046 ******* 1.023 5.872 5.928 ******* 3.614 7.017 7.179 ******* 4.681 5.032 5.106 -9999.00 4.567 38,986. 38,986. 0. 38,679.
12 4.792 4.860 5.728 1.001 5.818 5.796 6.504 3.553 6.945 7.032 8.086 4.624 5.026 5.082 5.708 4.514 38,502. 38,502. 38,502. 38,114.
15 4.150 4.114 3.790 0.968 5.439 5.325 5.029 3.626 6.734 6.709 6.448 4.746 5.303 5.300 5.216 4.646 41,778. 41,778. 41,778. 41,384.
18 2.241 2.245 2.129 0.702 4.635 4.596 4.422 3.595 6.068 6.102 5.947 4.772 5.639 5.674 5.553 4.720 42,212. 42,212. 42,212. 41,951.
21 2.338 2.536 2.506 0.711 4.917 4.975 4.884 3.905 6.357 6.506 6.448 5.104 5.911 5.991 5.942 5.055 41,658. 41,658. 41,658. 41,349.
24 3.095 3.455 3.405 0.951 5.357 5.501 5.395 4.228 6.758 6.999 6.940 5.455 6.008 6.087 6.047 5.372 41,024. 41,024. 41,024. 41,024.
27 3.971 4.493 4.429 0.432 5.527 5.750 5.676 4.003 6.728 7.034 7.021 5.226 5.431 5.413 5.447 5.208 40,406. 40,406. 40,406. 40,406.
30 4.885 5.157 4.769 0.697 6.059 6.189 5.900 3.892 7.237 7.482 7.284 5.098 5.340 5.420 5.506 5.050 39,219. 39,219. 39,219. 39,219.
33 4.809 4.960 4.513 0.816 5.862 5.939 5.581 3.614 7.024 7.216 6.943 4.759 5.119 5.242 5.277 4.689 38,407. 38,407. 38,407. 38,407.
36 4.685 4.760 4.299 0.801 5.780 5.830 5.473 3.551 6.962 7.120 6.868 4.674 5.150 5.295 5.357 4.605 37,905. 37,905. 37,905. 37,905.
39 3.944 3.939 ******* 0.723 5.374 5.323 ******* 3.622 6.693 6.744 ******* 4.751 5.408 5.474 -9999.00 4.696 41,581. 41,581. 0. 41,181.
42 1.891 1.960 ******* 0.469 4.552 4.577 ******* 3.596 5.930 6.051 ******* 4.751 5.620 5.724 -9999.00 4.728 42,097. 42,097. 0. 41,700.
45 1.887 2.155 ******* 0.436 4.788 4.926 ******* 3.896 6.159 6.402 ******* 5.093 5.863 6.028 -9999.00 5.074 41,484. 41,484. 0. 41,230.
48 2.808 3.211 ******* 0.705 5.302 5.463 ******* 4.284 6.700 6.960 ******* 5.526 6.083 6.175 -9999.00 5.481 41,056. 41,056. 0. 40,654.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.545 1.413 ******* 0.499 3.768 3.720 ******* 3.406 4.858 4.835 ******* 4.523 4.605 4.624 -9999.00 4.496 38,295. 38,295. 0. 38,295.
3 4.008 3.739 ******* 0.780 5.220 4.994 ******* 3.551 6.471 6.304 ******* 4.663 5.081 5.076 -9999.00 4.598 41,588. 41,588. 0. 41,588.
6 2.008 2.001 ******* 0.600 4.455 4.318 ******* 3.551 5.844 5.750 ******* 4.698 5.488 5.391 -9999.00 4.659 42,040. 42,040. 0. 42,040.
9 1.996 2.218 ******* 0.569 4.647 4.660 ******* 3.821 6.053 6.118 ******* 5.004 5.715 5.702 -9999.00 4.972 41,476. 41,476. 0. 41,476.
12 2.934 3.272 3.819 0.838 5.106 5.182 5.614 4.179 6.456 6.626 7.310 5.400 5.751 5.761 6.234 5.335 41,164. 41,164. 41,164. 41,164.
15 3.962 4.365 4.352 0.460 5.397 5.572 5.520 3.984 6.578 6.846 6.862 5.181 5.251 5.273 5.305 5.161 40,636. 40,636. 40,636. 40,636.
18 5.065 5.219 4.880 0.820 6.094 6.204 5.915 3.912 7.272 7.515 7.309 5.097 5.218 5.407 5.441 5.030 39,530. 39,530. 39,530. 39,530.
21 5.143 5.209 4.822 1.004 6.056 6.098 5.787 3.660 7.224 7.405 7.178 4.766 5.073 5.263 5.317 4.659 38,640. 38,640. 38,640. 38,640.
24 5.027 5.073 4.680 0.959 6.015 6.020 5.699 3.593 7.186 7.320 7.090 4.697 5.134 5.278 5.327 4.598 38,138. 38,138. 38,138. 38,138.
27 4.228 4.201 3.878 0.859 5.537 5.474 5.197 3.661 6.862 6.913 6.688 4.804 5.405 5.490 5.449 4.727 41,409. 41,409. 41,409. 41,409.
30 2.182 2.240 2.322 0.635 4.687 4.713 4.620 3.625 6.127 6.233 6.174 4.795 5.726 5.817 5.720 4.753 42,012. 42,012. 42,012. 42,010.
33 2.237 2.443 2.625 0.592 4.919 5.011 4.990 3.921 6.339 6.522 6.550 5.116 5.932 6.047 6.001 5.081 41,481. 41,481. 41,481. 41,481.
36 3.067 3.460 3.643 0.830 5.381 5.532 5.560 4.268 6.762 7.040 7.109 5.501 6.027 6.131 6.104 5.438 40,662. 40,662. 40,662. 40,662.
39 3.984 4.507 ******* 0.456 5.575 5.850 ******* 4.038 6.752 7.142 ******* 5.263 5.452 5.541 -9999.00 5.243 40,453. 40,453. 0. 40,453.
42 4.853 5.138 ******* 0.716 6.078 6.251 ******* 3.922 7.251 7.539 ******* 5.116 5.387 5.517 -9999.00 5.066 39,272. 39,272. 0. 39,272.
45 4.763 4.955 ******* 0.911 5.860 5.999 ******* 3.663 7.022 7.270 ******* 4.796 5.159 5.319 -9999.00 4.709 38,508. 38,508. 0. 38,508.
48 4.762 4.876 ******* 0.939 5.890 5.960 ******* 3.630 7.047 7.225 ******* 4.736 5.194 5.332 -9999.00 4.642 38,050. 38,050. 0. 38,050.