MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.225 7.176 ******* 7.722 7.225 7.176 ******* 7.722 8.556 8.508 ******* 9.059 4.584 4.571 -9999.00 4.736 22,108. 22,108. 0. 21,983.
3 7.788 7.489 ******* 7.377 7.788 7.489 ******* 7.377 9.223 8.946 ******* 8.636 4.942 4.894 -9999.00 4.490 17,942. 17,942. 0. 17,852.
6 8.623 8.192 ******* 7.461 8.623 8.192 ******* 7.461 10.052 9.670 ******* 8.723 5.166 5.138 -9999.00 4.520 14,295. 14,295. 0. 14,220.
9 8.563 8.121 ******* 7.259 8.563 8.121 ******* 7.259 9.922 9.537 ******* 8.455 5.012 5.002 -9999.00 4.335 12,117. 12,117. 0. 12,064.
12 8.675 8.215 8.911 7.307 8.675 8.215 8.911 7.307 10.097 9.596 10.590 8.483 5.167 4.960 5.721 4.309 11,430. 11,430. 11,430. 11,350.
15 8.762 8.230 7.951 7.397 8.762 8.230 7.951 7.397 10.244 9.728 9.503 8.555 5.307 5.187 5.205 4.298 12,881. 12,881. 12,881. 12,778.
18 8.658 8.090 7.830 7.500 8.658 8.090 7.830 7.500 10.195 9.649 9.447 8.707 5.384 5.258 5.286 4.424 16,693. 16,693. 16,693. 16,580.
21 8.807 8.366 8.281 7.847 8.807 8.366 8.281 7.847 10.411 10.016 10.004 9.165 5.551 5.508 5.615 4.736 20,988. 20,988. 20,988. 20,837.
24 8.961 8.699 8.649 8.061 8.961 8.699 8.649 8.061 10.533 10.337 10.341 9.404 5.535 5.584 5.668 4.843 21,919. 21,919. 21,919. 21,919.
27 8.518 8.471 8.546 7.772 8.518 8.471 8.546 7.772 10.078 10.121 10.251 9.054 5.386 5.539 5.662 4.644 17,846. 17,846. 17,846. 17,846.
30 8.929 8.710 8.580 7.824 8.929 8.710 8.580 7.824 10.394 10.261 10.230 9.093 5.320 5.426 5.571 4.632 14,233. 14,233. 14,233. 14,233.
33 8.936 8.558 8.429 7.588 8.936 8.558 8.429 7.588 10.378 10.069 10.044 8.806 5.277 5.304 5.462 4.470 11,967. 11,967. 11,967. 11,967.
36 9.092 8.744 8.534 7.632 9.092 8.744 8.534 7.632 10.553 10.249 10.125 8.793 5.358 5.347 5.448 4.367 11,247. 11,247. 11,247. 11,247.
39 9.089 8.625 ******* 7.723 9.089 8.625 ******* 7.723 10.640 10.218 ******* 8.881 5.532 5.478 -9999.00 4.385 12,774. 12,774. 0. 12,654.
42 8.874 8.389 ******* 7.820 8.874 8.389 ******* 7.820 10.391 9.969 ******* 9.045 5.407 5.386 -9999.00 4.546 16,535. 16,535. 0. 16,396.
45 8.805 8.526 ******* 8.073 8.805 8.526 ******* 8.073 10.315 10.111 ******* 9.365 5.373 5.435 -9999.00 4.746 20,797. 20,797. 0. 20,629.
48 9.106 8.901 ******* 8.329 9.106 8.901 ******* 8.329 10.654 10.563 ******* 9.652 5.530 5.687 -9999.00 4.877 21,848. 21,848. 0. 21,673.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.837 6.748 ******* 7.301 6.837 6.748 ******* 7.301 8.049 7.978 ******* 8.478 4.249 4.256 -9999.00 4.310 11,425. 11,425. 0. 11,425.
3 8.292 7.669 ******* 7.310 8.292 7.669 ******* 7.310 9.667 9.017 ******* 8.463 4.969 4.742 -9999.00 4.265 12,871. 12,871. 0. 12,871.
6 8.470 7.771 ******* 7.372 8.470 7.771 ******* 7.372 9.940 9.241 ******* 8.562 5.203 5.002 -9999.00 4.353 16,663. 16,663. 0. 16,663.
9 8.389 7.909 ******* 7.623 8.389 7.909 ******* 7.623 9.935 9.487 ******* 8.921 5.323 5.240 -9999.00 4.636 20,943. 20,943. 0. 20,943.
12 8.530 8.168 8.526 7.869 8.530 8.168 8.526 7.869 10.057 9.744 10.280 9.203 5.328 5.313 5.744 4.772 22,022. 22,022. 22,022. 22,022.
15 8.160 7.982 8.137 7.606 8.160 7.982 8.137 7.606 9.707 9.544 9.782 8.871 5.258 5.232 5.430 4.566 17,893. 17,893. 17,893. 17,893.
18 8.807 8.543 8.464 7.678 8.807 8.543 8.464 7.678 10.310 10.104 10.091 8.953 5.361 5.396 5.496 4.606 14,341. 14,341. 14,341. 14,341.
21 8.829 8.485 8.436 7.455 8.829 8.485 8.436 7.455 10.314 10.024 10.078 8.668 5.333 5.337 5.513 4.422 12,073. 12,073. 12,073. 12,073.
24 8.990 8.606 8.578 7.524 8.990 8.606 8.578 7.524 10.491 10.122 10.195 8.690 5.409 5.329 5.510 4.348 11,369. 11,369. 11,369. 11,369.
27 9.093 8.631 8.504 7.592 9.093 8.631 8.504 7.592 10.666 10.237 10.177 8.759 5.576 5.505 5.591 4.367 12,784. 12,784. 12,784. 12,784.
30 8.872 8.391 8.288 7.671 8.872 8.391 8.288 7.671 10.419 9.995 9.995 8.886 5.463 5.430 5.586 4.485 16,583. 16,583. 16,583. 16,582.
33 8.873 8.547 8.589 7.956 8.873 8.547 8.589 7.956 10.432 10.166 10.317 9.248 5.486 5.504 5.716 4.713 20,818. 20,818. 20,818. 20,818.
36 9.124 8.871 8.964 8.184 9.124 8.871 8.964 8.184 10.689 10.529 10.719 9.504 5.569 5.672 5.877 4.832 21,698. 21,698. 21,698. 21,698.
39 8.766 8.737 ******* 7.895 8.766 8.737 ******* 7.895 10.342 10.427 ******* 9.186 5.489 5.691 -9999.00 4.695 17,706. 17,706. 0. 17,706.
42 9.139 8.945 ******* 7.950 9.139 8.945 ******* 7.950 10.648 10.524 ******* 9.226 5.465 5.544 -9999.00 4.682 14,144. 14,144. 0. 14,144.
45 8.969 8.681 ******* 7.691 8.969 8.681 ******* 7.691 10.394 10.166 ******* 8.924 5.253 5.290 -9999.00 4.528 11,905. 11,905. 0. 11,905.
48 9.214 8.865 ******* 7.734 9.214 8.865 ******* 7.734 10.668 10.348 ******* 8.915 5.376 5.338 -9999.00 4.435 11,219. 11,219. 0. 11,219.