MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.025 6.968 ******* 7.722 7.025 6.968 ******* 7.722 8.256 8.194 ******* 9.059 4.337 4.310 -9999.00 4.736 22,108. 22,108. 0. 21,983.
3 6.973 6.537 ******* 7.377 6.973 6.537 ******* 7.377 8.326 7.884 ******* 8.636 4.551 4.408 -9999.00 4.490 17,942. 17,942. 0. 17,852.
6 7.457 6.925 ******* 7.461 7.457 6.925 ******* 7.461 8.824 8.325 ******* 8.723 4.718 4.620 -9999.00 4.520 14,295. 14,295. 0. 14,220.
9 7.465 6.906 ******* 7.259 7.465 6.906 ******* 7.259 8.750 8.232 ******* 8.455 4.564 4.480 -9999.00 4.335 12,117. 12,117. 0. 12,064.
12 7.602 7.036 7.337 7.307 7.602 7.036 7.337 7.307 8.951 8.359 8.787 8.483 4.727 4.514 4.835 4.309 11,430. 11,430. 11,430. 11,350.
15 7.770 7.187 6.890 7.397 7.770 7.187 6.890 7.397 9.097 8.535 8.291 8.555 4.732 4.605 4.611 4.298 12,881. 12,881. 12,881. 12,778.
18 7.835 7.270 6.980 7.500 7.835 7.270 6.980 7.500 9.157 8.592 8.345 8.707 4.739 4.579 4.574 4.424 16,693. 16,693. 16,693. 16,580.
21 7.889 7.400 7.266 7.847 7.889 7.400 7.266 7.847 9.274 8.793 8.717 9.165 4.875 4.750 4.816 4.736 20,988. 20,988. 20,988. 20,837.
24 7.869 7.480 7.387 8.061 7.869 7.480 7.387 8.061 9.290 8.927 8.880 9.404 4.939 4.871 4.928 4.843 21,919. 21,919. 21,919. 21,919.
27 7.564 7.283 7.254 7.772 7.564 7.283 7.254 7.772 9.040 8.835 8.857 9.054 4.951 5.002 5.081 4.644 17,846. 17,846. 17,846. 17,846.
30 7.778 7.421 7.285 7.824 7.778 7.421 7.285 7.824 9.180 8.890 8.838 9.093 4.876 4.895 5.004 4.632 14,233. 14,233. 14,233. 14,233.
33 7.826 7.349 7.197 7.588 7.826 7.349 7.197 7.588 9.179 8.766 8.700 8.806 4.796 4.779 4.888 4.470 11,967. 11,967. 11,967. 11,967.
36 8.006 7.575 7.351 7.632 8.006 7.575 7.351 7.632 9.383 9.003 8.845 8.793 4.894 4.867 4.919 4.367 11,247. 11,247. 11,247. 11,247.
39 8.144 7.649 ******* 7.723 8.144 7.649 ******* 7.723 9.541 9.092 ******* 8.881 4.970 4.915 -9999.00 4.385 12,774. 12,774. 0. 12,654.
42 8.133 7.657 ******* 7.820 8.133 7.657 ******* 7.820 9.464 9.032 ******* 9.045 4.839 4.790 -9999.00 4.546 16,535. 16,535. 0. 16,396.
45 8.028 7.680 ******* 8.073 8.028 7.680 ******* 8.073 9.353 9.044 ******* 9.365 4.799 4.776 -9999.00 4.746 20,797. 20,797. 0. 20,629.
48 8.105 7.788 ******* 8.329 8.105 7.788 ******* 8.329 9.505 9.259 ******* 9.652 4.965 5.009 -9999.00 4.877 21,848. 21,848. 0. 21,673.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.779 6.719 ******* 7.301 6.779 6.719 ******* 7.301 7.950 7.892 ******* 8.478 4.152 4.139 -9999.00 4.310 11,425. 11,425. 0. 11,425.
3 7.309 6.693 ******* 7.310 7.309 6.693 ******* 7.310 8.563 7.905 ******* 8.463 4.461 4.207 -9999.00 4.265 12,871. 12,871. 0. 12,871.
6 7.723 7.043 ******* 7.372 7.723 7.043 ******* 7.372 8.969 8.267 ******* 8.562 4.561 4.330 -9999.00 4.353 16,663. 16,663. 0. 16,663.
9 7.615 7.082 ******* 7.623 7.615 7.082 ******* 7.623 8.946 8.402 ******* 8.921 4.694 4.521 -9999.00 4.636 20,943. 20,943. 0. 20,943.
12 7.555 7.076 7.235 7.869 7.555 7.076 7.235 7.869 8.935 8.456 8.688 9.203 4.769 4.629 4.810 4.772 22,022. 22,022. 22,022. 22,022.
15 7.269 6.852 6.862 7.606 7.269 6.852 6.862 7.606 8.711 8.314 8.395 8.871 4.800 4.709 4.837 4.566 17,893. 17,893. 17,893. 17,893.
18 7.617 7.220 7.105 7.678 7.617 7.220 7.105 7.678 9.041 8.688 8.626 8.953 4.870 4.833 4.893 4.606 14,341. 14,341. 14,341. 14,341.
21 7.634 7.191 7.098 7.455 7.634 7.191 7.098 7.455 9.008 8.615 8.583 8.668 4.783 4.744 4.827 4.422 12,073. 12,073. 12,073. 12,073.
24 7.819 7.344 7.255 7.524 7.819 7.344 7.255 7.524 9.226 8.783 8.761 8.690 4.896 4.818 4.911 4.348 11,369. 11,369. 11,369. 11,369.
27 8.058 7.561 7.381 7.592 8.058 7.561 7.381 7.592 9.471 9.011 8.896 8.759 4.977 4.902 4.966 4.367 12,784. 12,784. 12,784. 12,784.
30 8.068 7.586 7.403 7.671 8.068 7.586 7.403 7.671 9.405 8.950 8.864 8.886 4.833 4.750 4.876 4.485 16,583. 16,583. 16,583. 16,582.
33 8.001 7.613 7.546 7.956 8.001 7.613 7.546 7.956 9.349 8.987 9.015 9.248 4.837 4.775 4.934 4.713 20,818. 20,818. 20,818. 20,818.
36 8.062 7.702 7.666 8.184 8.062 7.702 7.666 8.184 9.467 9.147 9.203 9.504 4.962 4.935 5.091 4.832 21,698. 21,698. 21,698. 21,698.
39 7.794 7.552 ******* 7.895 7.794 7.552 ******* 7.895 9.283 9.135 ******* 9.186 5.042 5.139 -9999.00 4.695 17,706. 17,706. 0. 17,706.
42 7.987 7.669 ******* 7.950 7.987 7.669 ******* 7.950 9.432 9.171 ******* 9.226 5.017 5.030 -9999.00 4.682 14,144. 14,144. 0. 14,144.
45 7.883 7.489 ******* 7.691 7.883 7.489 ******* 7.691 9.232 8.909 ******* 8.924 4.805 4.826 -9999.00 4.528 11,905. 11,905. 0. 11,905.
48 8.102 7.692 ******* 7.734 8.102 7.692 ******* 7.734 9.493 9.126 ******* 8.915 4.947 4.910 -9999.00 4.435 11,219. 11,219. 0. 11,219.