MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.931 0.752 ******* 3.790 37.473 37.187 ******* 41.961 52.523 52.295 ******* 56.686 52.516 52.291 -9999.00 56.560 22,108. 22,108. 0. 21,983.
3 9.896 6.825 ******* 2.539 38.686 35.113 ******* 40.295 53.508 50.159 ******* 54.331 52.587 49.694 -9999.00 54.274 17,942. 17,942. 0. 17,852.
6 18.112 13.045 ******* 1.284 42.778 37.575 ******* 43.338 58.039 52.681 ******* 58.281 55.142 51.043 -9999.00 58.269 14,295. 14,295. 0. 14,220.
9 20.487 12.956 ******* 4.177 45.391 39.545 ******* 43.995 60.612 54.933 ******* 59.235 57.047 53.385 -9999.00 59.090 12,117. 12,117. 0. 12,064.
12 19.935 14.400 16.013 6.694 46.051 40.748 40.719 44.038 61.530 56.398 56.431 59.154 58.214 54.531 54.114 58.777 11,430. 11,430. 11,430. 11,350.
15 21.361 15.703 9.938 6.706 45.926 41.224 38.440 42.705 60.941 57.160 55.058 56.883 57.077 54.963 54.156 56.489 12,881. 12,881. 12,881. 12,778.
18 17.137 11.823 8.442 5.830 46.123 40.543 38.505 43.329 61.205 56.045 54.722 57.462 58.758 54.786 54.068 57.167 16,693. 16,693. 16,693. 16,580.
21 12.903 8.856 7.285 5.630 45.952 40.922 40.236 45.613 61.624 56.808 57.061 60.889 60.259 56.114 56.595 60.629 20,988. 20,988. 20,988. 20,837.
24 9.136 6.598 5.122 1.026 43.967 40.109 39.682 44.507 59.441 55.927 56.531 59.168 58.736 55.537 56.300 59.161 21,919. 21,919. 21,919. 21,919.
27 8.142 6.047 4.588 -0.353 42.916 40.322 39.704 44.182 58.405 57.077 56.988 58.965 57.836 56.758 56.805 58.966 17,846. 17,846. 17,846. 17,846.
30 13.729 10.251 7.319 1.613 45.016 41.462 40.137 47.029 60.726 58.110 57.229 62.815 59.156 57.201 56.761 62.797 14,233. 14,233. 14,233. 14,233.
33 17.788 11.668 7.625 4.846 47.548 42.723 41.069 47.288 62.745 58.545 57.668 62.788 60.174 57.373 57.164 62.603 11,967. 11,967. 11,967. 11,967.
36 20.502 14.489 9.859 8.786 49.890 45.092 42.672 47.900 65.596 61.630 59.502 63.377 62.313 59.905 58.682 62.768 11,247. 11,247. 11,247. 11,247.
39 23.081 15.341 ******* 8.239 50.092 45.386 ******* 46.858 65.686 62.004 ******* 61.924 61.499 60.079 -9999.00 61.376 12,774. 12,774. 0. 12,654.
42 17.306 11.779 ******* 7.024 50.038 45.362 ******* 47.722 65.559 62.146 ******* 62.860 63.236 61.021 -9999.00 62.468 16,535. 16,535. 0. 16,396.
45 12.606 8.460 ******* 4.957 48.064 44.475 ******* 48.700 63.700 60.884 ******* 64.062 62.442 60.295 -9999.00 63.871 20,797. 20,797. 0. 20,629.
48 9.057 5.726 ******* 1.652 46.287 43.207 ******* 47.367 61.713 59.587 ******* 62.314 61.046 59.312 -9999.00 62.293 21,848. 21,848. 0. 21,673.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.054 1.011 ******* 1.666 37.790 37.407 ******* 44.472 52.589 52.371 ******* 59.803 52.552 52.363 -9999.00 59.783 11,425. 11,425. 0. 11,425.
3 18.769 12.975 ******* 3.159 42.138 37.175 ******* 42.162 56.629 52.049 ******* 56.386 53.430 50.408 -9999.00 56.299 12,871. 12,871. 0. 12,871.
6 21.136 14.197 ******* 4.750 45.685 39.660 ******* 42.127 60.768 54.975 ******* 56.168 56.976 53.112 -9999.00 55.969 16,663. 16,663. 0. 16,663.
9 13.394 9.321 ******* 4.327 43.919 38.931 ******* 43.546 59.153 54.326 ******* 58.519 57.618 53.522 -9999.00 58.360 20,943. 20,943. 0. 20,943.
12 10.303 6.970 7.046 1.829 41.684 37.268 37.259 42.695 56.794 52.373 52.410 57.208 55.853 51.908 51.935 57.180 22,022. 22,022. 22,022. 22,022.
15 10.026 7.399 6.484 0.848 40.472 37.102 36.969 42.217 55.523 53.021 53.664 56.336 54.612 52.504 53.273 56.331 17,893. 17,893. 17,893. 17,893.
18 15.018 11.735 8.889 1.643 43.311 39.388 38.267 45.085 58.748 55.261 54.813 60.348 56.798 54.003 54.090 60.328 14,341. 14,341. 14,341. 14,341.
21 18.355 12.190 8.888 5.507 45.508 41.011 39.497 45.216 60.708 56.633 55.732 60.489 57.869 55.307 55.021 60.240 12,073. 12,073. 12,073. 12,073.
24 19.176 12.611 10.118 6.897 47.221 42.334 41.125 45.805 62.857 58.528 58.240 60.908 59.863 57.156 57.357 60.519 11,369. 11,369. 11,369. 11,369.
27 22.273 16.347 11.723 6.897 48.253 43.789 41.986 44.683 63.735 60.217 59.100 59.235 59.718 57.958 57.928 58.834 12,784. 12,784. 12,784. 12,784.
30 17.108 11.337 10.399 5.663 48.595 43.787 42.324 45.430 64.075 60.239 59.646 60.046 61.751 59.165 58.735 59.780 16,583. 16,583. 16,583. 16,582.
33 11.760 7.238 7.507 4.782 47.178 42.918 42.548 47.154 62.768 59.033 59.503 62.395 61.658 58.589 59.029 62.213 20,818. 20,818. 20,818. 20,818.
36 8.023 5.544 5.242 1.623 45.705 41.851 41.699 46.276 61.361 58.119 59.104 61.439 60.836 57.856 58.872 61.419 21,698. 21,698. 21,698. 21,698.
39 6.454 6.013 ******* 0.829 45.331 42.446 ******* 45.647 61.423 59.816 ******* 60.870 61.085 59.514 -9999.00 60.866 17,706. 17,706. 0. 17,706.
42 12.524 10.706 ******* 0.187 47.047 43.429 ******* 49.031 63.094 60.334 ******* 65.098 61.841 59.378 -9999.00 65.100 14,144. 14,144. 0. 14,144.
45 16.262 11.088 ******* 3.287 48.698 44.080 ******* 48.553 64.281 60.422 ******* 64.403 62.193 59.398 -9999.00 64.321 11,905. 11,905. 0. 11,905.
48 19.180 13.974 ******* 7.129 51.019 46.477 ******* 49.343 67.354 63.601 ******* 65.625 64.568 62.050 -9999.00 65.239 11,219. 11,219. 0. 11,219.