MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -3.773 -3.672 ******* -1.719 4.497 4.443 ******* 3.990 5.877 5.797 ******* 5.297 4.506 4.486 -9999.00 5.011 22,375. 22,375. 0. 22,250.
3 -2.123 -1.445 ******* -2.994 3.592 3.409 ******* 4.317 4.928 4.605 ******* 5.702 4.447 4.372 -9999.00 4.853 18,112. 18,112. 0. 18,021.
6 -1.446 -0.769 ******* -3.203 3.511 3.455 ******* 4.390 4.905 4.721 ******* 5.906 4.687 4.659 -9999.00 4.962 14,446. 14,446. 0. 14,370.
9 -1.617 -0.920 ******* -3.163 3.472 3.407 ******* 4.255 4.841 4.654 ******* 5.696 4.563 4.562 -9999.00 4.738 12,263. 12,263. 0. 12,207.
12 -1.742 -1.065 -0.175 -3.234 3.581 3.494 3.611 4.328 4.920 4.699 4.784 5.716 4.601 4.577 4.781 4.713 11,565. 11,565. 11,565. 11,482.
15 -2.064 -1.471 -1.323 -3.110 3.900 3.740 3.740 4.410 5.173 4.943 4.915 5.761 4.743 4.720 4.734 4.850 13,016. 13,016. 13,016. 12,909.
18 -2.754 -2.264 -2.041 -2.276 4.311 4.217 4.124 4.028 5.540 5.403 5.282 5.320 4.808 4.906 4.871 4.809 16,948. 16,948. 16,948. 16,834.
21 -2.561 -1.983 -1.784 -1.810 4.221 4.118 4.070 3.916 5.499 5.328 5.247 5.205 4.867 4.945 4.935 4.880 21,328. 21,328. 21,328. 21,174.
24 -2.159 -1.438 -1.274 -1.636 4.094 3.998 3.959 4.056 5.439 5.236 5.177 5.375 4.992 5.035 5.018 5.120 22,182. 22,182. 22,182. 22,182.
27 -2.083 -1.121 -0.894 -2.996 3.745 3.552 3.578 4.445 5.140 4.779 4.785 5.886 4.699 4.645 4.701 5.067 18,010. 18,010. 18,010. 18,010.
30 -1.612 -0.834 -0.804 -3.406 3.692 3.644 3.736 4.580 5.125 4.966 5.063 6.137 4.865 4.896 4.999 5.105 14,379. 14,379. 14,379. 14,379.
33 -1.695 -1.025 -0.962 -3.476 3.614 3.586 3.713 4.488 5.057 4.905 5.016 6.028 4.764 4.797 4.924 4.925 12,111. 12,111. 12,111. 12,111.
36 -1.874 -1.233 -1.147 -3.582 3.726 3.728 3.829 4.546 5.092 4.992 5.073 5.992 4.735 4.838 4.942 4.804 11,379. 11,379. 11,379. 11,379.
39 -2.352 -1.790 ******* -3.548 4.036 3.952 ******* 4.628 5.351 5.238 ******* 6.007 4.806 4.923 -9999.00 4.847 12,908. 12,908. 0. 12,788.
42 -3.150 -2.700 ******* -2.695 4.495 4.420 ******* 4.181 5.765 5.644 ******* 5.523 4.829 4.957 -9999.00 4.821 16,785. 16,785. 0. 16,643.
45 -3.005 -2.433 ******* -2.219 4.409 4.318 ******* 4.040 5.741 5.597 ******* 5.400 4.892 5.041 -9999.00 4.923 21,141. 21,141. 0. 20,973.
48 -2.483 -1.777 ******* -1.998 4.258 4.151 ******* 4.255 5.670 5.461 ******* 5.624 5.098 5.164 -9999.00 5.257 22,112. 22,112. 0. 21,936.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001030100 to 2001063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -4.189 -4.176 ******* -3.795 4.733 4.713 ******* 4.623 6.124 6.083 ******* 6.034 4.467 4.423 -9999.00 4.691 11,563. 11,563. 0. 11,563.
3 -1.920 -1.537 ******* -3.272 3.753 3.657 ******* 4.468 4.980 4.784 ******* 5.807 4.595 4.530 -9999.00 4.798 13,008. 13,008. 0. 13,008.
6 -2.850 -2.352 ******* -2.378 4.270 4.070 ******* 4.045 5.470 5.189 ******* 5.316 4.670 4.625 -9999.00 4.755 16,918. 16,918. 0. 16,918.
9 -2.776 -2.170 ******* -1.930 4.196 3.983 ******* 3.905 5.460 5.157 ******* 5.168 4.702 4.679 -9999.00 4.794 21,282. 21,282. 0. 21,282.
12 -2.237 -1.516 -1.086 -1.734 3.963 3.797 3.879 4.048 5.281 4.987 5.080 5.348 4.784 4.752 4.963 5.059 22,288. 22,288. 22,288. 22,288.
15 -2.024 -1.126 -0.827 -2.966 3.603 3.441 3.468 4.390 4.955 4.651 4.636 5.795 4.523 4.512 4.562 4.978 18,062. 18,062. 18,062. 18,062.
18 -1.389 -0.685 -0.573 -3.260 3.557 3.587 3.672 4.492 4.963 4.894 4.955 6.044 4.765 4.846 4.922 5.090 14,493. 14,493. 14,493. 14,493.
21 -1.388 -0.769 -0.610 -3.265 3.505 3.555 3.694 4.381 4.897 4.842 4.978 5.870 4.696 4.781 4.941 4.879 12,220. 12,220. 12,220. 12,220.
24 -1.564 -0.917 -0.701 -3.390 3.652 3.633 3.744 4.479 4.989 4.873 4.958 5.898 4.738 4.786 4.909 4.827 11,505. 11,505. 11,505. 11,505.
27 -2.077 -1.522 -1.318 -3.391 3.968 3.894 3.922 4.594 5.274 5.177 5.191 5.983 4.848 4.948 5.021 4.929 12,922. 12,922. 12,922. 12,922.
30 -2.946 -2.442 -2.090 -2.491 4.445 4.379 4.227 4.115 5.722 5.588 5.409 5.442 4.906 5.026 4.989 4.838 16,835. 16,835. 16,835. 16,834.
33 -2.736 -2.173 -1.805 -2.038 4.315 4.251 4.120 3.987 5.642 5.503 5.358 5.305 4.934 5.055 5.045 4.898 21,160. 21,160. 21,160. 21,160.
36 -2.262 -1.534 -1.172 -1.858 4.156 4.067 3.997 4.155 5.527 5.335 5.239 5.502 5.043 5.110 5.106 5.179 21,960. 21,960. 21,960. 21,960.
39 -2.132 -1.198 ******* -3.026 3.793 3.671 ******* 4.504 5.214 4.952 ******* 5.936 4.758 4.805 -9999.00 5.107 17,871. 17,871. 0. 17,871.
42 -1.713 -0.958 ******* -3.468 3.757 3.761 ******* 4.623 5.209 5.093 ******* 6.167 4.920 5.002 -9999.00 5.100 14,293. 14,293. 0. 14,293.
45 -1.802 -1.146 ******* -3.477 3.679 3.688 ******* 4.492 5.167 5.075 ******* 6.037 4.843 4.944 -9999.00 4.935 12,050. 12,050. 0. 12,050.
48 -1.873 -1.260 ******* -3.545 3.778 3.776 ******* 4.539 5.199 5.072 ******* 5.980 4.850 4.913 -9999.00 4.816 11,352. 11,352. 0. 11,352.