MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.703 -0.807 ******* 1.635 2.283 2.274 ******* 2.972 2.977 2.963 ******* 3.864 2.892 2.851 -9999.00 3.501 19,253. 19,253. 0. 19,253.
3 -0.625 -0.619 ******* -1.152 2.270 2.011 ******* 3.026 2.942 2.655 ******* 3.722 2.875 2.582 -9999.00 3.539 18,839. 18,839. 0. 18,839.
6 0.361 0.361 ******* -1.167 2.096 1.953 ******* 2.716 2.748 2.579 ******* 3.385 2.724 2.554 -9999.00 3.178 18,990. 18,990. 0. 18,990.
9 0.764 0.877 ******* -1.134 2.163 2.103 ******* 2.608 2.857 2.800 ******* 3.273 2.753 2.660 -9999.00 3.070 19,266. 19,266. 0. 19,266.
12 1.197 1.328 1.399 -1.183 2.412 2.384 2.417 2.659 3.171 3.174 3.229 3.343 2.937 2.883 2.911 3.127 17,987. 17,987. 17,987. 17,987.
15 0.294 0.451 0.522 1.130 2.109 1.963 1.946 2.462 2.738 2.573 2.562 3.143 2.722 2.533 2.508 2.933 18,391. 18,391. 18,391. 18,391.
18 -0.551 -0.441 -0.380 3.363 2.490 2.187 2.114 3.900 3.233 2.857 2.756 4.707 3.186 2.822 2.729 3.293 20,104. 20,104. 20,104. 20,104.
21 -1.379 -1.233 -1.096 3.243 2.890 2.529 2.401 3.967 3.691 3.275 3.124 4.865 3.424 3.034 2.926 3.626 18,917. 18,917. 18,917. 18,917.
24 -2.449 -2.249 -2.044 1.425 3.489 3.078 2.872 3.062 4.293 3.866 3.604 3.994 3.526 3.144 2.968 3.731 19,210. 19,210. 19,210. 19,210.
27 -1.823 -1.947 -1.851 -1.316 2.905 2.688 2.559 3.192 3.641 3.400 3.226 3.928 3.152 2.788 2.642 3.701 18,650. 18,650. 18,650. 18,650.
30 -0.526 -0.599 -0.453 -1.228 2.246 2.102 2.001 2.801 2.891 2.715 2.570 3.502 2.843 2.649 2.529 3.280 18,811. 18,811. 18,811. 18,811.
33 0.013 0.042 0.241 -1.232 2.211 2.114 2.045 2.709 2.847 2.731 2.658 3.404 2.847 2.731 2.647 3.173 19,007. 19,007. 19,007. 19,007.
36 0.581 0.663 0.863 -1.261 2.356 2.285 2.264 2.742 3.048 2.979 2.990 3.476 2.993 2.905 2.862 3.239 17,775. 17,775. 17,775. 17,775.
39 -0.584 -0.390 ******* 1.043 2.278 2.093 ******* 2.490 2.960 2.741 ******* 3.165 2.901 2.713 -9999.00 2.988 18,297. 18,297. 0. 18,297.
42 -1.567 -1.337 ******* 3.411 3.021 2.676 ******* 3.997 3.841 3.441 ******* 4.838 3.507 3.171 -9999.00 3.432 19,821. 19,821. 0. 19,821.
45 -2.310 -2.062 ******* 3.322 3.569 3.148 ******* 4.134 4.450 3.996 ******* 5.074 3.804 3.423 -9999.00 3.835 18,704. 18,704. 0. 18,704.
48 -3.178 -2.901 ******* 1.499 4.088 3.663 ******* 3.228 4.977 4.526 ******* 4.200 3.830 3.474 -9999.00 3.923 18,994. 18,994. 0. 18,994.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.431 -0.512 ******* -2.405 2.591 2.629 ******* 3.155 3.390 3.436 ******* 3.952 3.362 3.398 -9999.00 3.136 18,446. 18,446. 0. 18,446.
3 -0.899 -0.792 ******* 0.382 2.119 2.016 ******* 2.227 2.770 2.629 ******* 2.838 2.620 2.507 -9999.00 2.813 18,851. 18,851. 0. 18,851.
6 -0.696 -0.823 ******* 2.923 2.295 2.107 ******* 3.491 2.963 2.713 ******* 4.264 2.880 2.585 -9999.00 3.104 20,561. 20,561. 0. 20,561.
9 -1.102 -1.255 ******* 3.039 2.646 2.416 ******* 3.750 3.355 3.091 ******* 4.625 3.169 2.825 -9999.00 3.486 19,366. 19,366. 0. 19,366.
12 -2.100 -2.181 -2.160 1.297 3.228 3.003 2.937 2.934 3.970 3.735 3.660 3.838 3.370 3.032 2.955 3.612 19,622. 19,622. 19,622. 19,622.
15 -1.901 -2.056 -1.936 -1.468 2.877 2.703 2.575 3.207 3.602 3.400 3.217 3.933 3.059 2.708 2.570 3.649 18,965. 18,965. 18,965. 18,965.
18 -0.838 -0.939 -0.664 -1.459 2.247 2.140 2.025 2.839 2.896 2.752 2.588 3.538 2.773 2.587 2.502 3.223 19,130. 19,130. 19,130. 19,130.
21 -0.373 -0.345 -0.002 -1.440 2.179 2.080 2.027 2.736 2.810 2.681 2.630 3.428 2.785 2.659 2.630 3.111 19,405. 19,405. 19,405. 19,405.
24 0.192 0.247 0.621 -1.459 2.253 2.171 2.193 2.766 2.918 2.825 2.902 3.486 2.912 2.815 2.835 3.166 18,182. 18,182. 18,182. 18,182.
27 -0.881 -0.643 -0.226 0.888 2.289 2.074 1.946 2.404 2.969 2.707 2.552 3.060 2.835 2.630 2.542 2.928 18,570. 18,570. 18,570. 18,570.
30 -1.557 -1.336 -1.035 3.188 2.956 2.583 2.398 3.829 3.747 3.296 3.085 4.643 3.408 3.013 2.907 3.376 20,188. 20,188. 20,188. 20,188.
33 -2.174 -2.019 -1.700 3.122 3.420 3.052 2.802 3.988 4.266 3.861 3.572 4.917 3.671 3.291 3.141 3.798 19,088. 19,088. 19,088. 19,088.
36 -2.943 -2.804 -2.486 1.390 3.911 3.551 3.269 3.171 4.753 4.379 4.057 4.155 3.732 3.364 3.206 3.915 19,398. 19,398. 19,398. 19,398.
39 -2.340 -2.370 ******* -1.392 3.249 3.005 ******* 3.293 4.044 3.759 ******* 4.049 3.298 2.918 -9999.00 3.803 18,800. 18,800. 0. 18,800.
42 -0.917 -0.985 ******* -1.282 2.369 2.226 ******* 2.852 3.047 2.868 ******* 3.565 2.906 2.694 -9999.00 3.327 18,964. 18,964. 0. 18,964.
45 -0.365 -0.336 ******* -1.255 2.253 2.149 ******* 2.727 2.902 2.764 ******* 3.428 2.879 2.744 -9999.00 3.191 19,246. 19,246. 0. 19,246.
48 0.252 0.302 ******* -1.289 2.302 2.222 ******* 2.733 2.978 2.880 ******* 3.457 2.967 2.864 -9999.00 3.208 18,014. 18,014. 0. 18,014.