MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.794 0.836 ******* 0.788 3.883 3.919 ******* 3.784 5.078 5.128 ******* 4.934 5.016 5.060 -9999.00 4.870 19,522. 19,522. 0. 19,522.
3 2.128 2.550 ******* 0.014 4.236 4.296 ******* 3.653 5.355 5.416 ******* 4.953 4.914 4.778 -9999.00 4.953 19,121. 19,121. 0. 19,121.
6 3.466 3.814 ******* 0.525 4.965 5.110 ******* 3.744 6.128 6.351 ******* 5.092 5.054 5.078 -9999.00 5.065 18,885. 18,885. 0. 18,885.
9 3.371 3.628 ******* 0.713 4.633 4.754 ******* 3.332 5.621 5.853 ******* 4.377 4.498 4.592 -9999.00 4.319 18,785. 18,785. 0. 18,785.
12 3.189 3.361 3.535 0.578 4.503 4.590 4.726 3.220 5.522 5.707 5.912 4.332 4.508 4.613 4.739 4.294 17,853. 17,853. 17,853. 17,853.
15 2.470 2.560 2.327 0.388 4.025 4.019 3.804 3.129 5.094 5.154 4.993 4.291 4.455 4.474 4.418 4.274 18,635. 18,635. 18,635. 18,635.
18 0.806 1.008 1.192 0.274 3.520 3.539 3.485 3.107 4.645 4.714 4.708 4.256 4.575 4.605 4.555 4.247 20,067. 20,067. 20,067. 20,067.
21 0.811 1.102 1.323 0.674 3.907 3.941 3.901 3.533 5.009 5.089 5.101 4.633 4.943 4.969 4.927 4.584 19,337. 19,337. 19,337. 19,337.
24 1.488 1.924 2.127 0.979 4.298 4.359 4.309 3.947 5.424 5.504 5.522 5.084 5.216 5.157 5.096 4.989 19,526. 19,526. 19,526. 19,526.
27 2.157 2.765 2.995 0.230 4.429 4.602 4.612 3.805 5.594 5.816 5.929 5.116 5.162 5.117 5.117 5.111 18,944. 18,944. 18,944. 18,944.
30 3.263 3.557 3.422 0.593 4.909 5.068 4.889 3.821 6.076 6.322 6.217 5.163 5.126 5.226 5.191 5.129 18,723. 18,723. 18,723. 18,723.
33 3.245 3.449 3.092 0.686 4.584 4.706 4.392 3.376 5.546 5.767 5.521 4.423 4.498 4.622 4.574 4.370 18,548. 18,548. 18,548. 18,548.
36 3.226 3.284 2.802 0.392 4.567 4.629 4.219 3.210 5.565 5.709 5.380 4.348 4.534 4.670 4.593 4.330 17,648. 17,648. 17,648. 17,648.
39 2.523 2.421 ******* 0.158 4.186 4.078 ******* 3.160 5.280 5.229 ******* 4.377 4.638 4.635 -9999.00 4.374 18,531. 18,531. 0. 18,531.
42 0.432 0.544 ******* -0.208 3.521 3.537 ******* 3.096 4.722 4.732 ******* 4.317 4.702 4.701 -9999.00 4.312 19,769. 19,769. 0. 19,769.
45 0.402 0.676 ******* 0.287 3.895 3.912 ******* 3.526 5.016 5.022 ******* 4.653 5.000 4.977 -9999.00 4.644 19,107. 19,107. 0. 19,107.
48 1.143 1.508 ******* 0.805 4.235 4.281 ******* 3.971 5.361 5.394 ******* 5.117 5.238 5.179 -9999.00 5.053 19,309. 19,309. 0. 19,309.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.448 0.524 ******* -0.004 3.195 3.241 ******* 3.069 4.290 4.336 ******* 4.249 4.267 4.304 -9999.00 4.249 18,290. 18,290. 0. 18,290.
3 2.152 2.010 ******* 0.021 3.777 3.632 ******* 3.075 4.818 4.703 ******* 4.284 4.311 4.252 -9999.00 4.284 19,086. 19,086. 0. 19,086.
6 -0.209 0.120 ******* -0.080 3.359 3.308 ******* 3.066 4.456 4.406 ******* 4.239 4.452 4.404 -9999.00 4.239 20,500. 20,500. 0. 20,500.
9 0.012 0.366 ******* 0.182 3.760 3.718 ******* 3.501 4.870 4.819 ******* 4.616 4.870 4.805 -9999.00 4.613 19,773. 19,773. 0. 19,773.
12 1.020 1.287 1.405 0.711 4.171 4.116 4.182 3.944 5.308 5.264 5.363 5.121 5.209 5.105 5.176 5.072 19,944. 19,944. 19,944. 19,944.
15 1.939 2.428 2.585 0.107 4.288 4.384 4.329 3.793 5.438 5.555 5.569 5.123 5.081 4.996 4.933 5.122 19,261. 19,261. 19,261. 19,261.
18 3.173 3.449 3.237 0.530 4.802 4.931 4.735 3.783 5.957 6.181 6.053 5.130 5.041 5.129 5.115 5.103 19,035. 19,035. 19,035. 19,035.
21 3.213 3.444 3.046 0.792 4.542 4.695 4.356 3.380 5.516 5.758 5.488 4.409 4.484 4.615 4.565 4.337 18,934. 18,934. 18,934. 18,934.
24 3.158 3.270 2.821 0.513 4.528 4.593 4.229 3.234 5.547 5.687 5.397 4.363 4.561 4.653 4.602 4.333 18,048. 18,048. 18,048. 18,048.
27 2.364 2.341 2.086 0.251 4.038 4.006 3.750 3.164 5.117 5.157 4.950 4.361 4.539 4.595 4.490 4.354 18,815. 18,815. 18,815. 18,815.
30 0.335 0.520 0.737 -0.035 3.494 3.498 3.406 3.139 4.675 4.701 4.605 4.328 4.663 4.672 4.546 4.328 20,143. 20,143. 20,143. 20,143.
33 0.269 0.602 0.781 0.368 3.861 3.891 3.788 3.530 5.005 5.032 4.972 4.662 4.998 4.996 4.910 4.648 19,505. 19,505. 19,505. 19,505.
36 0.957 1.425 1.698 0.830 4.221 4.237 4.199 3.959 5.360 5.372 5.379 5.128 5.274 5.179 5.105 5.061 19,720. 19,720. 19,720. 19,720.
39 1.805 2.442 ******* 0.121 4.375 4.461 ******* 3.855 5.550 5.609 ******* 5.193 5.248 5.049 -9999.00 5.191 19,082. 19,082. 0. 19,082.
42 3.067 3.364 ******* 0.440 4.834 4.980 ******* 3.826 5.994 6.204 ******* 5.192 5.150 5.213 -9999.00 5.173 18,861. 18,861. 0. 18,861.
45 3.135 3.306 ******* 0.619 4.525 4.633 ******* 3.382 5.487 5.693 ******* 4.471 4.504 4.635 -9999.00 4.428 18,775. 18,775. 0. 18,775.
48 3.088 3.104 ******* 0.387 4.519 4.553 ******* 3.234 5.516 5.646 ******* 4.397 4.571 4.716 -9999.00 4.380 17,874. 17,874. 0. 17,874.