MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.435 -0.616 ******* 0.011 2.208 2.171 ******* 2.518 2.885 2.834 ******* 3.265 2.852 2.766 -9999.00 3.265 19,253. 19,253. 0. 19,253.
3 -0.158 -0.267 ******* 0.198 2.133 1.919 ******* 2.571 2.861 2.610 ******* 3.224 2.856 2.597 -9999.00 3.218 18,839. 18,839. 0. 18,839.
6 0.842 0.777 ******* 0.624 2.244 2.094 ******* 2.448 3.016 2.852 ******* 3.119 2.896 2.744 -9999.00 3.057 18,990. 18,990. 0. 18,990.
9 1.197 1.300 ******* 0.710 2.472 2.393 ******* 2.535 3.307 3.258 ******* 3.297 3.083 2.988 -9999.00 3.220 19,266. 19,266. 0. 19,266.
12 1.664 1.817 1.801 0.712 2.816 2.774 2.762 2.694 3.728 3.750 3.734 3.500 3.337 3.280 3.271 3.427 17,987. 17,987. 17,987. 17,987.
15 -0.098 0.037 0.042 0.622 2.346 2.102 2.048 2.480 3.079 2.799 2.724 3.192 3.077 2.799 2.724 3.131 18,391. 18,391. 18,391. 18,391.
18 -1.848 -1.854 -1.893 0.249 3.195 2.833 2.790 2.478 3.922 3.496 3.437 3.197 3.459 2.964 2.869 3.187 20,104. 20,104. 20,104. 20,104.
21 -2.665 -2.765 -2.739 -0.080 3.725 3.436 3.358 2.571 4.457 4.144 4.066 3.338 3.573 3.086 3.005 3.337 18,917. 18,917. 18,917. 18,917.
24 -2.981 -3.081 -2.978 -0.262 3.876 3.646 3.520 2.758 4.657 4.418 4.244 3.527 3.578 3.166 3.023 3.517 19,210. 19,210. 19,210. 19,210.
27 -1.402 -1.657 -1.654 0.029 2.675 2.515 2.471 2.714 3.413 3.227 3.134 3.393 3.111 2.769 2.662 3.393 18,650. 18,650. 18,650. 18,650.
30 -0.089 -0.221 -0.084 0.524 2.297 2.161 2.091 2.507 2.967 2.807 2.713 3.168 2.965 2.799 2.712 3.124 18,811. 18,811. 18,811. 18,811.
33 0.415 0.433 0.671 0.593 2.422 2.313 2.261 2.595 3.152 3.041 2.999 3.332 3.125 3.010 2.923 3.279 19,007. 19,007. 19,007. 19,007.
36 1.012 1.113 1.380 0.638 2.694 2.595 2.588 2.759 3.498 3.431 3.468 3.550 3.349 3.246 3.181 3.492 17,775. 17,775. 17,775. 17,775.
39 -0.966 -0.793 ******* 0.503 2.596 2.341 ******* 2.552 3.416 3.105 ******* 3.259 3.277 3.002 -9999.00 3.220 18,297. 18,297. 0. 18,297.
42 -2.835 -2.732 ******* 0.255 3.892 3.528 ******* 2.615 4.727 4.309 ******* 3.361 3.783 3.332 -9999.00 3.352 19,821. 19,821. 0. 19,821.
45 -3.600 -3.597 ******* -0.033 4.500 4.188 ******* 2.752 5.346 5.007 ******* 3.559 3.953 3.483 -9999.00 3.559 18,704. 18,704. 0. 18,704.
48 -3.743 -3.769 ******* -0.203 4.518 4.286 ******* 2.923 5.382 5.134 ******* 3.716 3.868 3.486 -9999.00 3.710 18,994. 18,994. 0. 18,994.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.344 -0.545 ******* -0.672 2.764 2.770 ******* 2.613 3.642 3.625 ******* 3.341 3.626 3.584 -9999.00 3.273 18,446. 18,446. 0. 18,446.
3 -1.135 -1.103 ******* -0.297 2.354 2.234 ******* 2.378 3.140 2.952 ******* 3.055 2.927 2.738 -9999.00 3.041 18,851. 18,851. 0. 18,851.
6 -1.998 -2.268 ******* -0.380 3.054 2.912 ******* 2.426 3.751 3.558 ******* 3.115 3.175 2.741 -9999.00 3.091 20,561. 20,561. 0. 20,561.
9 -2.459 -2.823 ******* -0.442 3.443 3.354 ******* 2.520 4.122 4.019 ******* 3.258 3.308 2.861 -9999.00 3.228 19,366. 19,366. 0. 19,366.
12 -2.715 -3.018 -3.029 -0.471 3.615 3.545 3.554 2.725 4.346 4.269 4.282 3.448 3.394 3.019 3.027 3.416 19,622. 19,622. 19,622. 19,622.
15 -1.301 -1.654 -1.667 -0.117 2.542 2.439 2.416 2.654 3.252 3.121 3.041 3.305 2.981 2.646 2.544 3.303 18,965. 18,965. 18,965. 18,965.
18 -0.265 -0.442 -0.190 0.319 2.258 2.138 2.067 2.438 2.908 2.760 2.666 3.070 2.896 2.725 2.660 3.054 19,130. 19,130. 19,130. 19,130.
21 0.144 0.166 0.525 0.382 2.366 2.243 2.217 2.520 3.074 2.946 2.945 3.239 3.070 2.942 2.898 3.217 19,405. 19,405. 19,405. 19,405.
24 0.718 0.813 1.227 0.432 2.575 2.471 2.519 2.676 3.353 3.280 3.394 3.453 3.276 3.178 3.165 3.426 18,182. 18,182. 18,182. 18,182.
27 -1.161 -1.013 -0.708 0.328 2.594 2.336 2.154 2.477 3.411 3.093 2.850 3.168 3.207 2.922 2.760 3.151 18,570. 18,570. 18,570. 18,570.
30 -2.791 -2.733 -2.573 0.003 3.833 3.467 3.275 2.554 4.634 4.205 3.999 3.275 3.700 3.196 3.062 3.275 20,188. 20,188. 20,188. 20,188.
33 -3.489 -3.562 -3.381 -0.268 4.375 4.106 3.902 2.715 5.187 4.905 4.684 3.509 3.839 3.372 3.241 3.499 19,088. 19,088. 19,088. 19,088.
36 -3.580 -3.664 -3.465 -0.344 4.384 4.173 3.973 2.915 5.200 4.987 4.757 3.716 3.772 3.384 3.260 3.700 19,398. 19,398. 19,398. 19,398.
39 -1.854 -2.076 ******* -0.047 2.979 2.815 ******* 2.804 3.740 3.552 ******* 3.502 3.248 2.882 -9999.00 3.502 18,800. 18,800. 0. 18,800.
42 -0.449 -0.585 ******* 0.494 2.361 2.225 ******* 2.550 3.032 2.870 ******* 3.203 2.999 2.809 -9999.00 3.165 18,964. 18,964. 0. 18,964.
45 0.051 0.069 ******* 0.569 2.406 2.287 ******* 2.597 3.126 2.990 ******* 3.327 3.126 2.989 -9999.00 3.278 19,246. 19,246. 0. 19,246.
48 0.690 0.772 ******* 0.591 2.583 2.474 ******* 2.715 3.358 3.266 ******* 3.496 3.286 3.174 -9999.00 3.445 18,014. 18,014. 0. 18,014.