MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.815 4.943 ******* 6.699 40.587 40.350 ******* 45.136 55.916 55.764 ******* 60.282 55.711 55.547 -9999.00 59.912 9,944. 9,944. 0. 9,944.
3 11.769 7.229 ******* 4.982 39.932 36.213 ******* 41.356 55.765 52.600 ******* 56.091 54.512 52.104 -9999.00 55.873 8,427. 8,427. 0. 8,427.
6 17.893 13.043 ******* 3.481 43.361 38.182 ******* 43.781 59.481 54.154 ******* 58.708 56.731 52.564 -9999.00 58.610 6,481. 6,481. 0. 6,481.
9 18.633 11.104 ******* 8.562 45.944 41.279 ******* 44.443 61.526 57.303 ******* 59.511 58.643 56.222 -9999.00 58.897 5,079. 5,079. 0. 5,079.
12 19.790 11.673 11.863 11.079 48.873 43.683 43.958 47.528 65.225 61.022 61.518 63.537 62.157 59.901 60.370 62.570 4,518. 4,518. 4,518. 4,518.
15 20.156 12.569 8.356 8.562 47.970 43.877 41.752 45.479 64.273 61.616 60.516 60.968 61.037 60.327 59.943 60.370 4,633. 4,633. 4,633. 4,633.
18 15.816 9.556 8.522 9.003 49.769 43.453 41.104 47.851 65.851 60.003 58.358 63.519 63.928 59.241 57.737 62.882 6,359. 6,359. 6,359. 6,359.
21 13.816 9.527 8.704 10.613 49.116 43.593 41.122 48.966 64.760 59.365 57.534 64.489 63.273 58.599 56.875 63.614 8,599. 8,599. 8,599. 8,599.
24 13.080 8.168 7.841 6.202 46.515 41.158 39.669 46.360 62.240 57.134 56.452 61.737 60.853 56.550 55.907 61.428 9,848. 9,848. 9,848. 9,848.
27 10.059 6.702 6.713 4.379 42.980 39.477 38.352 44.037 59.095 56.766 56.245 59.553 58.236 56.373 55.846 59.395 8,302. 8,302. 8,302. 8,302.
30 13.089 10.698 8.072 5.659 46.392 42.280 40.427 46.701 62.802 59.698 58.227 62.596 61.428 58.736 57.669 62.345 6,353. 6,353. 6,353. 6,353.
33 16.892 11.332 6.462 9.152 48.886 44.752 42.316 47.570 64.511 61.450 60.201 62.919 62.267 60.402 59.860 62.256 4,977. 4,977. 4,977. 4,977.
36 15.583 10.758 5.129 11.212 51.680 46.930 45.182 49.511 67.959 64.941 64.384 65.633 66.156 64.051 64.186 64.675 4,427. 4,427. 4,427. 4,427.
39 17.674 12.704 ******* 7.520 52.040 47.387 ******* 47.838 68.602 65.509 ******* 63.761 66.294 64.272 -9999.00 63.323 4,559. 4,559. 0. 4,559.
42 9.976 6.709 ******* 8.865 52.705 46.693 ******* 50.217 69.482 63.955 ******* 66.354 68.767 63.607 -9999.00 65.764 6,260. 6,260. 0. 6,260.
45 10.915 6.675 ******* 8.152 51.357 45.884 ******* 50.862 66.971 62.124 ******* 66.312 66.079 61.768 -9999.00 65.813 8,511. 8,511. 0. 8,511.
48 11.214 7.420 ******* 5.576 49.177 43.002 ******* 48.802 65.392 59.316 ******* 64.180 64.427 58.853 -9999.00 63.941 9,746. 9,746. 0. 9,746.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2001070100 to 2001091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.036 1.131 ******* 7.074 42.233 42.253 ******* 46.700 58.368 58.480 ******* 62.553 58.339 58.475 -9999.00 62.158 4,631. 4,631. 0. 4,631.
3 20.546 14.184 ******* 5.862 45.053 39.648 ******* 46.242 60.368 55.784 ******* 61.830 56.770 53.957 -9999.00 61.558 4,749. 4,749. 0. 4,749.
6 19.265 9.106 ******* 9.349 50.691 41.855 ******* 48.519 66.908 57.986 ******* 64.238 64.079 57.271 -9999.00 63.559 6,504. 6,504. 0. 6,504.
9 14.574 8.544 ******* 11.418 47.604 42.139 ******* 48.312 63.020 57.784 ******* 63.583 61.315 57.152 -9999.00 62.553 8,821. 8,821. 0. 8,821.
12 15.249 8.397 8.130 8.287 45.063 38.876 38.992 46.039 60.507 54.258 54.490 61.236 58.556 53.607 53.883 60.676 10,086. 10,086. 10,086. 10,086.
15 10.385 6.580 6.342 6.106 41.546 38.056 37.613 42.822 57.448 55.246 55.508 57.725 56.504 54.856 55.148 57.404 8,479. 8,479. 8,479. 8,479.
18 14.901 10.324 8.794 6.464 45.059 41.408 39.116 46.102 61.650 58.601 56.670 61.919 59.827 57.689 55.988 61.585 6,494. 6,494. 6,494. 6,494.
21 17.344 11.489 6.170 10.092 47.061 42.701 40.309 45.839 62.688 59.313 57.809 61.121 60.247 58.196 57.485 60.288 5,096. 5,096. 5,096. 5,096.
24 16.734 9.631 4.477 12.250 50.023 45.723 43.600 48.894 66.429 63.783 62.505 65.040 64.294 63.059 62.351 63.883 4,544. 4,544. 4,544. 4,544.
27 19.558 13.485 8.908 7.788 50.417 46.293 42.864 47.416 66.872 64.021 61.795 63.255 63.954 62.591 61.156 62.780 4,648. 4,648. 4,648. 4,648.
30 13.617 7.343 6.600 9.900 51.839 45.986 43.267 49.489 68.660 63.222 61.626 65.706 67.301 62.799 61.276 64.961 6,382. 6,382. 6,382. 6,382.
33 12.312 7.095 7.218 7.588 50.298 44.432 42.268 50.866 65.920 60.733 59.046 66.583 64.764 60.320 58.606 66.153 8,686. 8,686. 8,686. 8,686.
36 10.910 6.762 5.768 5.160 47.458 41.680 40.508 48.563 63.287 57.842 57.580 64.115 62.342 57.448 57.293 63.910 9,963. 9,963. 9,963. 9,963.
39 7.869 4.537 ******* 3.499 43.761 40.188 ******* 45.610 59.379 57.489 ******* 61.320 58.859 57.313 -9999.00 61.224 8,421. 8,421. 0. 8,421.
42 12.768 8.337 ******* 5.238 46.451 42.606 ******* 47.983 62.830 59.744 ******* 63.981 61.524 59.165 -9999.00 63.771 6,448. 6,448. 0. 6,448.
45 16.047 10.534 ******* 8.752 49.917 45.194 ******* 47.728 65.830 62.363 ******* 63.257 63.851 61.472 -9999.00 62.655 5,064. 5,064. 0. 5,064.
48 15.715 8.967 ******* 10.466 52.732 47.603 ******* 49.374 69.250 65.150 ******* 65.186 67.451 64.537 -9999.00 64.347 4,538. 4,538. 0. 4,538.