MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 13.340 -0.228 13.320 -0.257 9.993 12.307 -0.149 16.959 11.173 16.961 11.198 14.366 16.429 11.730 22.568 14.915 22.589 14.985 19.671 21.957 15.315 18.203 14.914 18.243 14.983 16.943 18.183 15.314 96,691. 96,691. 96,691. 96,691. 62,801. 96,691. 96,691.
3 5.027 1.890 4.093 1.038 1.713 10.103 -2.179 13.168 11.888 12.702 11.383 12.178 15.123 11.515 17.578 15.731 17.010 15.196 16.294 20.473 15.159 16.844 15.617 16.510 15.161 16.204 17.806 15.001 97,327. 97,327. 97,327. 97,327. 63,070. 97,327. 97,327.
6 4.575 2.816 2.261 0.642 0.476 7.630 -3.729 13.100 12.352 12.493 11.884 12.249 13.771 11.967 17.707 16.605 16.871 15.996 16.517 19.074 15.779 17.106 16.364 16.719 15.983 16.510 17.481 15.332 93,465. 93,465. 93,465. 93,465. 93,465. 93,465. 93,465.
9 4.028 2.923 0.870 -0.010 -1.761 6.582 -4.373 12.973 12.573 12.477 12.202 12.367 13.421 12.346 17.733 17.095 16.991 16.556 16.789 18.902 16.341 17.269 16.843 16.969 16.556 16.697 17.719 15.746 92,160. 92,160. 92,160. 92,160. 92,160. 92,160. 92,160.
12 3.548 2.798 0.049 -0.491 -2.798 5.646 -4.365 12.878 12.646 12.501 12.382 12.542 13.176 12.587 17.790 17.421 17.173 16.974 17.196 18.797 16.805 17.433 17.195 17.173 16.967 16.967 17.929 16.228 92,849. 92,849. 92,849. 92,849. 92,849. 92,849. 92,849.
15 3.583 2.982 0.129 -0.303 -2.675 5.183 -4.320 12.750 12.669 12.382 12.405 12.421 12.931 12.598 17.679 17.545 17.050 17.063 17.083 18.411 16.781 17.313 17.290 17.050 17.060 16.872 17.667 16.216 94,359. 94,359. 94,359. 94,359. 94,359. 94,359. 94,359.
18 3.666 3.143 0.797 0.230 -1.132 6.459 -3.735 13.520 13.518 12.785 12.825 12.589 14.594 12.594 17.827 17.799 16.940 16.950 16.681 19.601 16.270 17.446 17.520 16.922 16.948 16.643 18.506 15.836 95,698. 95,698. 95,698. 95,698. 95,698. 95,698. 95,698.
21 4.325 3.805 1.787 1.033 0.109 8.742 -1.766 13.830 13.999 13.068 13.203 12.851 15.995 12.424 18.009 18.219 17.115 17.314 16.859 21.233 16.132 17.482 17.818 17.022 17.283 16.859 19.350 16.035 97,034. 97,034. 97,034. 97,034. 97,034. 97,034. 97,034.
24 6.199 6.022 3.986 3.571 2.250 11.113 -0.824 14.022 14.158 13.151 13.182 12.879 16.287 12.363 18.328 18.481 17.257 17.301 16.880 21.678 16.034 17.248 17.472 16.790 16.928 16.730 18.612 16.013 95,786. 95,786. 95,786. 95,786. 95,786. 95,786. 95,786.
27 5.264 5.324 3.363 3.089 0.809 9.783 -3.395 13.609 13.771 12.912 13.035 12.667 15.484 12.640 18.141 18.329 17.253 17.390 16.858 20.908 16.484 17.361 17.539 16.923 17.114 16.839 18.478 16.131 95,975. 95,975. 95,975. 95,975. 95,975. 95,975. 95,975.
30 4.992 5.118 2.188 2.071 -0.956 7.212 -5.065 13.401 13.556 12.852 12.978 12.743 14.125 13.086 18.184 18.401 17.393 17.568 17.133 19.461 17.098 17.485 17.676 17.255 17.445 17.107 18.075 16.331 93,652. 93,652. 93,652. 93,652. 93,652. 93,652. 93,652.
33 4.506 4.518 1.153 1.035 -2.056 5.979 -5.642 13.222 13.375 12.831 12.973 12.870 13.758 13.427 18.155 18.370 17.518 17.712 17.459 19.252 17.640 17.587 17.806 17.480 17.682 17.337 18.300 16.713 91,579. 91,579. 91,579. 91,579. 91,579. 91,579. 91,579.
36 3.989 3.822 0.394 0.195 -2.768 5.021 -5.607 13.066 13.218 12.807 12.992 12.953 13.476 13.557 18.170 18.345 17.658 17.900 17.749 19.095 18.014 17.727 17.943 17.654 17.899 17.532 18.423 17.119 92,226. 92,226. 92,226. 92,226. 92,226. 92,226. 92,226.
39 3.753 3.645 0.222 0.063 -2.790 4.478 -5.435 13.014 13.162 12.806 12.995 12.934 13.231 13.375 18.103 18.295 17.668 17.927 17.735 18.671 17.737 17.710 17.928 17.667 17.927 17.515 18.127 16.884 93,398. 93,398. 93,398. 93,398. 93,398. 93,398. 93,398.
42 3.768 3.793 0.783 0.437 -1.320 5.545 -4.990 14.413 14.570 13.758 13.993 13.632 15.047 13.581 18.862 19.056 18.062 18.334 17.891 20.062 17.485 18.482 18.674 18.045 18.329 17.842 19.281 16.758 94,598. 94,598. 94,598. 94,598. 94,598. 94,598. 94,598.
45 4.451 4.195 1.689 1.043 -0.149 8.186 -2.834 14.964 15.242 14.298 14.519 14.118 16.435 13.313 19.377 19.628 18.602 18.814 18.320 21.698 17.266 18.859 19.174 18.526 18.785 18.320 20.095 17.032 96,252. 96,252. 96,252. 96,252. 96,252. 96,252. 96,252.
48 6.296 6.079 4.012 3.457 2.074 10.962 -1.860 14.994 15.256 14.172 14.312 13.904 16.669 13.141 19.598 19.816 18.591 18.674 18.161 22.129 17.052 18.559 18.860 18.153 18.351 18.042 19.223 16.950 94,319. 94,319. 94,319. 94,319. 94,319. 94,319. 94,319.
51 5.150 5.124 3.195 2.789 ******* 9.257 -4.443 14.210 14.527 13.660 13.926 ******* 15.770 13.451 18.902 19.266 18.168 18.498 ******* 21.144 17.458 18.187 18.572 17.885 18.286 -9999.00 19.010 16.883 95,471. 95,471. 95,471. 95,471. 0. 95,471. 95,471.
54 4.737 4.610 1.963 1.546 ******* 6.758 -6.164 13.812 14.030 13.357 13.651 ******* 14.461 13.886 18.735 19.024 18.038 18.449 ******* 19.840 18.032 18.126 18.457 17.931 18.385 -9999.00 18.653 16.946 93,011. 93,011. 93,011. 93,011. 0. 93,011. 93,011.
57 4.310 4.009 1.001 0.607 ******* 5.625 -6.691 13.600 13.758 13.262 13.569 ******* 14.058 14.246 18.705 18.926 18.087 18.510 ******* 19.634 18.580 18.202 18.496 18.060 18.501 -9999.00 18.811 17.334 91,028. 91,028. 91,028. 91,028. 0. 91,028. 91,028.
60 3.750 3.289 0.226 -0.281 ******* 4.740 -6.524 13.399 13.635 13.230 13.599 ******* 13.769 14.342 18.637 18.927 18.220 18.654 ******* 19.446 18.918 18.256 18.640 18.218 18.652 -9999.00 18.860 17.758 91,384. 91,384. 91,384. 91,384. 0. 91,384. 91,384.
63 3.404 3.075 0.007 -0.393 ******* 4.108 -6.459 13.311 13.657 13.193 13.603 ******* 13.548 14.219 18.491 18.912 18.172 18.652 ******* 19.050 18.795 18.175 18.660 18.172 18.648 -9999.00 18.602 17.650 93,440. 93,440. 93,440. 93,440. 0. 93,440. 93,440.
66 3.441 3.343 0.591 0.046 ******* 5.395 -5.778 15.041 15.132 14.452 14.641 ******* 15.500 14.408 19.676 19.812 18.930 19.196 ******* 20.567 18.574 19.373 19.528 18.921 19.196 -9999.00 19.847 17.652 94,348. 94,348. 94,348. 94,348. 0. 94,348. 94,348.
69 4.295 4.137 1.661 1.056 ******* 8.193 -3.162 15.842 15.834 15.097 15.143 ******* 17.030 14.078 20.477 20.414 19.633 19.619 ******* 22.265 18.221 20.022 19.990 19.563 19.591 -9999.00 20.703 17.944 94,887. 94,887. 94,887. 94,887. 0. 94,887. 94,887.
72 6.324 6.054 3.926 3.375 ******* 11.030 -2.226 15.891 15.801 14.901 14.872 ******* 17.286 13.895 20.685 20.523 19.514 19.422 ******* 22.709 17.984 19.695 19.610 19.115 19.126 -9999.00 19.850 17.846 93,077. 93,077. 93,077. 93,077. 0. 93,077. 93,077.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 6.351 0.228 6.349 0.356 5.400 5.598 -1.302 12.599 10.598 12.613 10.571 13.004 12.460 11.423 18.104 14.916 18.133 14.962 18.732 17.865 15.522 16.954 14.915 16.985 14.958 17.937 16.965 15.467 92,230. 92,230. 92,230. 92,230. 59,919. 92,230. 92,230.
3 4.155 1.244 2.008 -0.169 -0.327 4.627 -2.259 12.442 11.658 12.196 11.475 12.308 12.388 11.456 17.261 15.986 16.756 15.814 16.925 17.639 15.359 16.753 15.938 16.635 15.813 16.922 17.021 15.192 93,965. 93,965. 93,965. 93,965. 60,970. 93,965. 93,965.
6 3.859 2.120 2.151 0.722 1.476 5.712 -2.438 13.155 12.618 12.567 12.110 12.339 13.966 12.044 17.215 16.585 16.518 15.963 16.225 18.746 15.549 16.777 16.449 16.377 15.947 16.158 17.854 15.357 93,332. 93,332. 93,332. 93,332. 93,332. 93,332. 93,332.
9 4.371 3.734 2.680 1.944 1.639 7.932 -0.792 13.441 13.339 12.861 12.719 12.757 15.224 12.118 17.364 17.302 16.695 16.569 16.535 20.252 15.719 16.805 16.894 16.478 16.455 16.454 18.634 15.700 96,367. 96,367. 96,367. 96,367. 96,367. 96,367. 96,367.
12 6.627 6.340 4.975 4.432 3.633 10.517 0.085 13.827 13.785 13.040 12.869 12.795 15.768 12.145 17.987 17.898 17.055 16.806 16.688 21.045 15.722 16.722 16.737 16.313 16.211 16.287 18.229 15.722 95,236. 95,236. 95,236. 95,236. 95,236. 95,236. 95,236.
15 5.843 5.852 4.257 3.987 1.941 9.546 -2.283 13.610 13.486 12.831 12.625 12.464 15.060 12.025 18.117 17.992 17.144 16.927 16.554 20.363 15.705 17.149 17.014 16.607 16.451 16.439 17.987 15.538 95,421. 95,421. 95,421. 95,421. 95,421. 95,421. 95,421.
18 5.675 5.744 2.940 2.948 -0.042 7.060 -3.767 13.456 13.297 12.728 12.536 12.394 13.849 12.349 18.220 18.063 17.188 17.002 16.626 19.062 16.138 17.314 17.126 16.935 16.744 16.626 17.706 15.692 93,027. 93,027. 93,027. 93,027. 93,027. 93,027. 93,027.
21 5.109 5.138 1.832 1.889 -1.209 5.847 -4.327 13.242 13.099 12.634 12.516 12.459 13.541 12.663 18.164 18.029 17.238 17.120 16.899 18.939 16.621 17.431 17.281 17.140 17.016 16.856 18.014 16.048 90,409. 90,409. 90,409. 90,409. 90,409. 90,409. 90,409.
24 4.439 4.422 1.001 1.021 -2.002 5.007 -4.381 13.116 12.996 12.650 12.584 12.589 13.335 12.860 18.189 18.075 17.430 17.362 17.255 18.896 17.062 17.639 17.526 17.402 17.332 17.138 18.220 16.489 90,619. 90,619. 90,619. 90,619. 90,619. 90,619. 90,619.
27 4.361 4.219 0.978 0.863 -1.853 4.497 -4.272 13.088 13.002 12.631 12.632 12.594 13.130 12.759 18.182 18.084 17.449 17.425 17.332 18.536 16.938 17.652 17.585 17.421 17.404 17.233 17.982 16.391 92,148. 92,148. 92,148. 92,148. 92,148. 92,148. 92,148.
30 4.456 4.511 1.711 1.493 -0.238 5.581 -4.044 14.274 14.295 13.479 13.643 13.202 14.648 13.015 18.728 18.742 17.771 17.924 17.422 19.557 16.791 18.190 18.191 17.689 17.862 17.420 18.743 16.296 93,397. 93,397. 93,397. 93,397. 93,397. 93,397. 93,397.
33 5.046 5.072 2.506 2.071 0.833 7.939 -1.996 14.686 14.931 13.850 14.155 13.599 15.847 12.893 18.956 19.238 17.983 18.358 17.647 21.004 16.731 18.272 18.557 17.807 18.241 17.628 19.446 16.611 94,991. 94,991. 94,991. 94,991. 94,991. 94,991. 94,991.
36 6.724 6.879 4.530 4.225 2.768 10.614 -1.159 14.702 14.927 13.785 13.987 13.486 16.201 12.838 19.099 19.410 18.019 18.256 17.601 21.561 16.631 17.876 18.150 17.440 17.760 17.382 18.767 16.590 93,338. 93,338. 93,338. 93,338. 93,338. 93,338. 93,338.
39 5.277 5.708 3.459 3.453 0.905 8.948 -3.796 13.999 14.178 13.416 13.542 13.237 15.495 13.027 18.609 18.845 17.864 18.017 17.513 20.889 16.899 17.845 17.960 17.526 17.683 17.490 18.876 16.467 94,250. 94,250. 94,250. 94,250. 94,250. 94,250. 94,250.
42 4.997 5.254 2.254 2.245 -0.937 6.257 -5.542 13.767 13.837 13.288 13.366 13.249 14.248 13.509 18.674 18.807 17.943 18.074 17.765 19.618 17.548 17.993 18.059 17.801 17.935 17.740 18.594 16.649 91,428. 91,428. 91,428. 91,428. 91,428. 91,428. 91,428.
45 4.621 4.587 1.256 1.207 -1.988 5.131 -6.143 13.565 13.607 13.221 13.287 13.309 13.976 13.892 18.659 18.754 18.018 18.172 17.993 19.554 18.137 18.077 18.185 17.974 18.132 17.883 18.868 17.065 89,308. 89,308. 89,308. 89,308. 89,308. 89,308. 89,308.
48 4.007 3.826 0.490 0.297 -2.730 4.194 -6.130 13.404 13.466 13.201 13.260 13.402 13.737 14.022 18.615 18.728 18.139 18.277 18.256 19.427 18.483 18.179 18.333 18.132 18.274 18.051 18.969 17.437 89,916. 89,916. 89,916. 89,916. 89,916. 89,916. 89,916.
51 3.802 3.533 0.277 0.027 ******* 3.713 -6.044 13.312 13.381 13.136 13.244 ******* 13.434 13.860 18.478 18.609 18.041 18.212 ******* 18.907 18.258 18.083 18.270 18.039 18.212 -9999.00 18.539 17.228 91,851. 91,851. 91,851. 91,851. 0. 91,851. 91,851.
54 3.546 3.612 0.744 0.443 ******* 4.732 -5.754 14.780 14.824 14.240 14.452 ******* 15.092 14.199 19.320 19.423 18.653 18.926 ******* 20.076 18.241 18.992 19.085 18.639 18.921 -9999.00 19.511 17.310 93,084. 93,084. 93,084. 93,084. 0. 93,084. 93,084.
57 4.257 4.104 1.741 1.153 ******* 7.290 -3.527 15.331 15.467 14.703 14.896 ******* 16.269 13.790 19.838 19.948 19.112 19.315 ******* 21.404 17.907 19.376 19.521 19.033 19.280 -9999.00 20.125 17.556 94,600. 94,600. 94,600. 94,600. 0. 94,600. 94,600.
60 6.391 5.979 4.104 3.393 ******* 10.295 -2.447 15.383 15.420 14.512 14.602 ******* 16.608 13.598 20.053 20.039 18.968 19.017 ******* 21.941 17.633 19.007 19.126 18.518 18.712 -9999.00 19.376 17.462 93,536. 93,536. 93,536. 93,536. 0. 93,536. 93,536.
63 4.882 4.738 2.930 2.483 ******* 8.564 -5.388 14.522 14.552 13.972 13.991 ******* 15.684 13.981 19.303 19.309 18.568 18.570 ******* 21.104 18.077 18.676 18.718 18.335 18.404 -9999.00 19.289 17.256 93,547. 93,547. 93,547. 93,547. 0. 93,547. 93,547.
66 4.409 4.231 1.536 1.168 ******* 6.022 -7.173 14.132 14.062 13.755 13.756 ******* 14.495 14.477 19.146 19.050 18.547 18.576 ******* 19.984 18.691 18.632 18.574 18.483 18.540 -9999.00 19.056 17.260 91,046. 91,046. 91,046. 91,046. 0. 91,046. 91,046.
69 4.020 3.633 0.676 0.197 ******* 4.993 -7.553 13.875 13.849 13.682 13.769 ******* 14.136 14.799 19.092 19.041 18.630 18.769 ******* 19.831 19.197 18.664 18.691 18.618 18.768 -9999.00 19.192 17.649 88,831. 88,831. 88,831. 88,831. 0. 88,831. 88,831.
72 3.580 3.109 0.009 -0.407 ******* 3.981 -7.391 13.675 13.733 13.605 13.783 ******* 13.836 14.857 18.996 19.048 18.663 18.912 ******* 19.615 19.475 18.655 18.793 18.663 18.907 -9999.00 19.207 18.018 89,046. 89,046. 89,046. 89,046. 0. 89,046. 89,046.