MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 0.298 0.261 0.126 0.087 -0.120 -1.445 0.244 2.009 2.031 1.937 1.980 1.967 2.549 2.420 2.968 2.987 2.898 2.940 2.757 3.532 3.390 2.953 2.976 2.895 2.939 2.754 3.222 3.381 122,534. 122,534. 122,534. 122,534. 78,660. 122,534. 122,534.
3 1.181 0.903 1.253 0.959 1.491 -1.048 0.071 2.192 2.087 2.141 2.011 2.254 2.447 2.366 3.246 3.129 3.201 3.054 3.199 3.527 3.314 3.023 2.996 2.946 2.899 2.830 3.368 3.313 123,157. 123,157. 123,157. 123,157. 79,000. 123,157. 123,157.
6 1.301 0.952 1.475 1.117 1.634 -0.536 0.343 2.421 2.299 2.400 2.252 2.412 2.399 2.520 3.567 3.426 3.566 3.396 3.592 3.447 3.538 3.322 3.291 3.247 3.207 3.199 3.405 3.522 121,016. 121,016. 121,016. 121,016. 121,016. 121,016. 121,016.
9 1.374 1.041 1.625 1.257 1.878 -0.432 0.447 2.604 2.510 2.601 2.471 2.637 2.532 2.660 3.810 3.689 3.843 3.685 3.902 3.637 3.740 3.554 3.539 3.483 3.464 3.420 3.611 3.713 117,532. 117,532. 117,532. 117,532. 117,532. 117,532. 117,532.
12 1.388 1.085 1.696 1.342 1.988 -0.300 0.370 2.709 2.637 2.721 2.605 2.772 2.601 2.735 3.920 3.821 3.980 3.837 4.064 3.713 3.814 3.666 3.664 3.601 3.595 3.544 3.701 3.796 119,984. 119,984. 119,984. 119,984. 119,984. 119,984. 119,984.
15 1.016 0.784 1.331 1.033 1.623 -0.217 0.515 2.621 2.588 2.604 2.527 2.616 2.609 2.766 3.803 3.744 3.827 3.721 3.869 3.743 3.872 3.665 3.661 3.588 3.575 3.512 3.736 3.838 120,385. 120,385. 120,385. 120,385. 120,385. 120,385. 120,385.
18 -0.732 -0.883 -0.411 -0.638 -0.226 -0.694 0.416 2.469 2.491 2.262 2.286 2.157 2.636 2.554 3.530 3.554 3.309 3.326 3.183 3.708 3.589 3.454 3.442 3.283 3.264 3.175 3.642 3.565 122,321. 122,321. 122,321. 122,321. 122,321. 122,321. 122,321.
21 -1.224 -1.312 -0.918 -1.068 -0.770 -0.895 0.149 2.705 2.738 2.483 2.530 2.384 2.740 2.629 3.715 3.745 3.496 3.534 3.397 3.795 3.631 3.507 3.507 3.374 3.369 3.309 3.688 3.628 122,119. 122,119. 122,119. 122,119. 122,119. 122,119. 122,119.
24 -0.732 -0.837 -0.502 -0.664 -0.372 -1.156 0.116 2.393 2.417 2.217 2.245 2.149 2.520 2.509 3.379 3.400 3.220 3.238 3.154 3.523 3.486 3.299 3.296 3.181 3.169 3.132 3.328 3.484 121,180. 121,180. 121,180. 121,180. 121,180. 121,180. 121,180.
27 0.619 0.464 0.745 0.559 0.931 -1.008 0.293 2.178 2.159 2.093 2.054 2.086 2.509 2.433 3.208 3.181 3.128 3.075 3.128 3.590 3.400 3.148 3.146 3.038 3.024 2.986 3.446 3.387 121,337. 121,337. 121,337. 121,337. 121,337. 121,337. 121,337.
30 0.866 0.670 1.065 0.845 1.333 -0.444 0.564 2.381 2.358 2.337 2.286 2.358 2.456 2.589 3.475 3.434 3.449 3.378 3.494 3.518 3.628 3.365 3.368 3.281 3.271 3.230 3.490 3.584 121,067. 121,067. 121,067. 121,067. 121,067. 121,067. 121,067.
33 1.017 0.839 1.264 1.050 1.556 -0.328 0.592 2.574 2.551 2.540 2.492 2.566 2.606 2.710 3.724 3.677 3.718 3.644 3.775 3.712 3.806 3.582 3.580 3.496 3.489 3.439 3.698 3.760 116,810. 116,810. 116,810. 116,810. 116,810. 116,810. 116,810.
36 1.080 0.936 1.379 1.176 1.687 -0.235 0.488 2.705 2.697 2.676 2.641 2.703 2.706 2.781 3.868 3.831 3.870 3.806 3.934 3.822 3.873 3.714 3.715 3.617 3.620 3.554 3.814 3.842 119,193. 119,193. 119,193. 119,193. 119,193. 119,193. 119,193.
39 0.773 0.638 1.079 0.867 1.386 -0.199 0.578 2.695 2.678 2.626 2.595 2.624 2.730 2.822 3.854 3.818 3.816 3.757 3.841 3.869 3.930 3.776 3.764 3.660 3.655 3.583 3.864 3.887 119,195. 119,195. 119,195. 119,195. 119,195. 119,195. 119,195.
42 -0.965 -1.049 -0.622 -0.780 -0.415 -0.715 0.578 2.660 2.645 2.430 2.450 2.323 2.748 2.657 3.746 3.741 3.498 3.522 3.374 3.844 3.711 3.619 3.591 3.442 3.435 3.348 3.777 3.666 120,895. 120,895. 120,895. 120,895. 120,895. 120,895. 120,895.
45 -1.448 -1.448 -1.090 -1.165 -0.917 -0.957 0.319 2.954 2.921 2.717 2.725 2.623 2.873 2.741 3.990 3.964 3.758 3.766 3.660 3.945 3.768 3.718 3.690 3.596 3.581 3.543 3.827 3.755 121,281. 121,281. 121,281. 121,281. 121,281. 121,281. 121,281.
48 -0.935 -0.948 -0.673 -0.749 -0.515 -1.242 0.250 2.624 2.607 2.431 2.440 2.366 2.674 2.614 3.627 3.615 3.452 3.459 3.388 3.693 3.610 3.504 3.488 3.386 3.377 3.349 3.478 3.602 119,407. 119,407. 119,407. 119,407. 119,407. 119,407. 119,407.
51 0.416 0.328 0.569 0.440 ******* -1.016 0.356 2.271 2.270 2.176 2.168 ******* 2.635 2.497 3.289 3.283 3.202 3.182 ******* 3.725 3.472 3.263 3.266 3.151 3.151 -9999.00 3.584 3.453 120,844. 120,844. 120,844. 120,844. 0. 120,844. 120,844.
54 0.657 0.557 0.879 0.748 ******* -0.531 0.595 2.460 2.461 2.395 2.390 ******* 2.618 2.649 3.527 3.518 3.478 3.456 ******* 3.678 3.681 3.465 3.474 3.365 3.374 -9999.00 3.639 3.633 120,455. 120,455. 120,455. 120,455. 0. 120,455. 120,455.
57 0.799 0.717 1.075 0.940 ******* -0.447 0.626 2.665 2.661 2.603 2.590 ******* 2.794 2.777 3.783 3.771 3.746 3.719 ******* 3.903 3.863 3.698 3.702 3.589 3.598 -9999.00 3.877 3.812 116,324. 116,324. 116,324. 116,324. 0. 116,324. 116,324.
60 0.868 0.834 1.198 1.092 ******* -0.384 0.496 2.803 2.809 2.747 2.740 ******* 2.894 2.848 3.937 3.930 3.910 3.883 ******* 4.013 3.930 3.840 3.840 3.722 3.726 -9999.00 3.994 3.899 118,352. 118,352. 118,352. 118,352. 0. 118,352. 118,352.
63 0.585 0.567 0.924 0.811 ******* -0.329 0.603 2.800 2.804 2.714 2.714 ******* 2.889 2.888 3.947 3.938 3.883 3.862 ******* 4.030 3.992 3.904 3.897 3.772 3.775 -9999.00 4.016 3.946 119,460. 119,460. 119,460. 119,460. 0. 119,460. 119,460.
66 -1.085 -1.029 -0.709 -0.747 ******* -0.878 0.670 2.778 2.750 2.537 2.566 ******* 2.879 2.745 3.873 3.843 3.611 3.635 ******* 3.979 3.807 3.718 3.703 3.540 3.557 -9999.00 3.881 3.748 120,863. 120,863. 120,863. 120,863. 0. 120,863. 120,863.
69 -1.504 -1.416 -1.124 -1.119 ******* -1.057 0.385 3.042 3.007 2.799 2.825 ******* 3.010 2.831 4.101 4.072 3.858 3.883 ******* 4.079 3.877 3.816 3.818 3.691 3.719 -9999.00 3.939 3.858 119,200. 119,200. 119,200. 119,200. 0. 119,200. 119,200.
72 -0.956 -0.874 -0.658 -0.651 ******* -1.263 0.343 2.725 2.698 2.514 2.543 ******* 2.795 2.715 3.752 3.736 3.556 3.587 ******* 3.815 3.738 3.628 3.632 3.494 3.527 -9999.00 3.600 3.722 117,516. 117,516. 117,516. 117,516. 0. 117,516. 117,516.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.678 -0.712 -0.826 -0.861 -1.099 0.042 -0.325 2.453 2.485 2.416 2.482 2.587 2.550 2.653 3.534 3.558 3.470 3.523 3.495 3.657 3.690 3.469 3.486 3.370 3.416 3.318 3.657 3.675 119,279. 119,279. 119,279. 119,279. 76,527. 119,279. 119,279.
3 -0.146 -0.440 0.139 -0.241 0.530 0.279 0.030 2.454 2.454 2.355 2.331 2.393 2.576 2.655 3.566 3.560 3.473 3.427 3.370 3.734 3.716 3.563 3.533 3.470 3.418 3.328 3.724 3.716 120,056. 120,056. 120,056. 120,056. 76,887. 120,056. 120,056.
6 -1.399 -1.578 -1.219 -1.462 -1.146 -0.143 0.028 2.587 2.668 2.433 2.539 2.347 2.459 2.534 3.676 3.775 3.485 3.613 3.368 3.546 3.569 3.399 3.429 3.265 3.304 3.167 3.544 3.569 119,351. 119,351. 119,351. 119,351. 119,351. 119,351. 119,351.
9 -1.601 -1.810 -1.492 -1.711 -1.430 -0.414 -0.159 2.785 2.923 2.649 2.787 2.585 2.548 2.647 3.785 3.931 3.644 3.800 3.573 3.579 3.629 3.430 3.490 3.325 3.393 3.275 3.555 3.626 121,197. 121,197. 121,197. 121,197. 121,197. 121,197. 121,197.
12 -1.052 -1.270 -0.991 -1.204 -0.922 -0.733 -0.150 2.393 2.507 2.284 2.383 2.238 2.317 2.524 3.357 3.470 3.262 3.370 3.217 3.298 3.472 3.188 3.229 3.108 3.147 3.082 3.216 3.469 120,353. 120,353. 120,353. 120,353. 120,353. 120,353. 120,353.
15 0.241 -0.012 0.267 0.016 0.436 -0.699 0.077 2.051 2.046 1.944 1.933 1.905 2.364 2.364 3.042 3.025 2.937 2.912 2.899 3.413 3.317 3.033 3.025 2.925 2.912 2.866 3.341 3.316 120,578. 120,578. 120,578. 120,578. 120,578. 120,578. 120,578.
18 0.445 0.177 0.604 0.321 0.874 -0.179 0.343 2.245 2.231 2.164 2.137 2.137 2.377 2.511 3.282 3.253 3.216 3.164 3.209 3.430 3.516 3.251 3.248 3.159 3.148 3.088 3.425 3.499 120,244. 120,244. 120,244. 120,244. 120,244. 120,244. 120,244.
21 0.596 0.354 0.823 0.553 1.118 -0.052 0.416 2.419 2.407 2.352 2.323 2.329 2.526 2.638 3.513 3.480 3.471 3.412 3.475 3.634 3.701 3.463 3.462 3.372 3.367 3.290 3.634 3.677 115,251. 115,251. 115,251. 115,251. 115,251. 115,251. 115,251.
24 0.695 0.482 0.977 0.721 1.294 0.007 0.343 2.552 2.541 2.489 2.458 2.473 2.625 2.714 3.652 3.620 3.623 3.561 3.643 3.733 3.774 3.585 3.588 3.489 3.487 3.405 3.733 3.758 117,009. 117,009. 117,009. 117,009. 117,009. 117,009. 117,009.
27 0.417 0.233 0.715 0.470 1.021 0.051 0.433 2.572 2.571 2.483 2.469 2.442 2.653 2.755 3.691 3.680 3.627 3.590 3.605 3.781 3.836 3.668 3.673 3.556 3.559 3.457 3.781 3.811 117,527. 117,527. 117,527. 117,527. 117,527. 117,527. 117,527.
30 -1.236 -1.384 -0.948 -1.146 -0.757 -0.504 0.388 2.691 2.742 2.469 2.554 2.344 2.669 2.604 3.786 3.852 3.540 3.633 3.390 3.750 3.643 3.579 3.594 3.411 3.447 3.305 3.716 3.622 119,223. 119,223. 119,223. 119,223. 119,223. 119,223. 119,223.
33 -1.654 -1.740 -1.366 -1.493 -1.213 -0.738 0.102 2.967 3.016 2.746 2.831 2.650 2.761 2.706 4.000 4.061 3.784 3.875 3.685 3.816 3.712 3.642 3.669 3.529 3.576 3.479 3.744 3.711 119,522. 119,522. 119,522. 119,522. 119,522. 119,522. 119,522.
36 -1.113 -1.203 -0.896 -1.016 -0.760 -1.025 0.086 2.585 2.640 2.416 2.490 2.347 2.522 2.589 3.569 3.635 3.419 3.496 3.356 3.511 3.563 3.391 3.430 3.299 3.345 3.269 3.357 3.562 118,172. 118,172. 118,172. 118,172. 118,172. 118,172. 118,172.
39 0.282 0.129 0.402 0.220 0.611 -0.857 0.246 2.178 2.188 2.078 2.082 2.066 2.526 2.447 3.175 3.175 3.080 3.067 3.074 3.598 3.409 3.162 3.172 3.053 3.059 3.013 3.494 3.400 119,132. 119,132. 119,132. 119,132. 119,132. 119,132. 119,132.
42 0.519 0.370 0.731 0.553 1.020 -0.341 0.530 2.381 2.381 2.302 2.289 2.307 2.531 2.604 3.423 3.407 3.359 3.322 3.387 3.585 3.624 3.384 3.387 3.279 3.275 3.230 3.569 3.585 118,179. 118,179. 118,179. 118,179. 118,179. 118,179. 118,179.
45 0.659 0.547 0.934 0.772 1.243 -0.249 0.579 2.574 2.584 2.499 2.488 2.506 2.708 2.728 3.664 3.655 3.614 3.576 3.649 3.807 3.803 3.605 3.614 3.491 3.492 3.431 3.799 3.758 113,753. 113,753. 113,753. 113,753. 113,753. 113,753. 113,753.
48 0.746 0.664 1.064 0.924 1.394 -0.205 0.473 2.723 2.733 2.649 2.641 2.659 2.819 2.800 3.837 3.827 3.794 3.758 3.837 3.941 3.880 3.764 3.769 3.642 3.642 3.575 3.936 3.851 116,114. 116,114. 116,114. 116,114. 116,114. 116,114. 116,114.
51 0.460 0.390 0.798 0.649 ******* -0.177 0.556 2.745 2.741 2.633 2.629 ******* 2.831 2.823 3.874 3.860 3.788 3.758 ******* 3.973 3.924 3.846 3.840 3.703 3.702 -9999.00 3.969 3.884 117,372. 117,372. 117,372. 117,372. 0. 117,372. 117,372.
54 -1.188 -1.226 -0.847 -0.946 ******* -0.698 0.579 2.799 2.788 2.562 2.596 ******* 2.832 2.711 3.904 3.910 3.645 3.687 ******* 3.936 3.767 3.718 3.713 3.546 3.564 -9999.00 3.873 3.722 119,142. 119,142. 119,142. 119,142. 0. 119,142. 119,142.
57 -1.599 -1.594 -1.262 -1.306 ******* -0.846 0.359 3.083 3.068 2.857 2.884 ******* 2.918 2.811 4.145 4.151 3.922 3.964 ******* 3.992 3.840 3.824 3.832 3.713 3.743 -9999.00 3.902 3.823 119,345. 119,345. 119,345. 119,345. 0. 119,345. 119,345.
60 -1.060 -1.066 -0.806 -0.847 ******* -1.117 0.293 2.755 2.733 2.566 2.574 ******* 2.701 2.683 3.770 3.771 3.599 3.621 ******* 3.711 3.686 3.618 3.617 3.507 3.520 -9999.00 3.539 3.674 118,446. 118,446. 118,446. 118,446. 0. 118,446. 118,446.
63 0.350 0.278 0.496 0.395 ******* -0.909 0.435 2.325 2.335 2.227 2.230 ******* 2.680 2.536 3.329 3.348 3.239 3.242 ******* 3.762 3.511 3.311 3.337 3.201 3.218 -9999.00 3.651 3.484 118,321. 118,321. 118,321. 118,321. 0. 118,321. 118,321.
66 0.607 0.513 0.837 0.710 ******* -0.415 0.710 2.512 2.520 2.442 2.442 ******* 2.699 2.701 3.560 3.567 3.506 3.495 ******* 3.769 3.729 3.508 3.530 3.405 3.422 -9999.00 3.746 3.661 118,039. 118,039. 118,039. 118,039. 0. 118,039. 118,039.
69 0.779 0.697 1.062 0.924 ******* -0.298 0.730 2.724 2.718 2.667 2.644 ******* 2.866 2.829 3.825 3.811 3.789 3.754 ******* 3.982 3.911 3.745 3.747 3.637 3.638 -9999.00 3.971 3.842 113,583. 113,583. 113,583. 113,583. 0. 113,583. 113,583.
72 0.846 0.790 1.179 1.041 ******* -0.242 0.598 2.874 2.843 2.817 2.775 ******* 2.960 2.900 3.989 3.952 3.952 3.903 ******* 4.084 3.980 3.898 3.872 3.772 3.762 -9999.00 4.077 3.935 115,409. 115,409. 115,409. 115,409. 0. 115,409. 115,409.