MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 5.692 6.033 5.719 6.049 5.676 5.745 6.174 5.692 6.033 5.719 6.049 5.676 5.745 6.174 6.841 7.360 6.870 7.401 6.846 6.899 7.471 3.794 4.215 3.807 4.264 3.828 3.819 4.207 113,041. 113,041. 113,041. 113,041. 73,231. 113,041. 113,041.
3 6.982 7.090 6.637 6.704 6.323 6.252 5.673 6.982 7.090 6.637 6.704 6.323 6.252 5.673 8.108 8.218 7.812 7.866 7.614 7.379 6.836 4.122 4.154 4.120 4.115 4.241 3.920 3.815 114,136. 114,136. 114,136. 114,136. 73,704. 114,136. 114,136.
6 7.354 7.553 7.079 7.090 6.677 6.384 5.654 7.354 7.553 7.079 7.090 6.677 6.384 5.654 8.522 8.712 8.303 8.306 8.002 7.510 6.858 4.306 4.341 4.339 4.327 4.410 3.956 3.881 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785.
9 7.366 7.539 7.078 7.046 6.507 6.369 5.573 7.366 7.539 7.078 7.046 6.507 6.369 5.573 8.477 8.646 8.297 8.253 7.866 7.459 6.790 4.196 4.234 4.329 4.298 4.419 3.883 3.879 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310.
12 7.537 7.704 7.173 7.162 6.564 6.498 5.615 7.537 7.704 7.173 7.162 6.564 6.498 5.615 8.674 8.875 8.430 8.422 7.965 7.614 6.862 4.294 4.405 4.428 4.431 4.511 3.969 3.946 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402.
15 7.766 7.958 7.323 7.327 6.658 6.653 5.621 7.766 7.958 7.323 7.327 6.658 6.653 5.621 8.937 9.155 8.618 8.628 8.109 7.796 6.902 4.423 4.525 4.543 4.557 4.628 4.063 4.006 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614.
18 7.808 7.947 7.297 7.264 6.746 6.794 6.145 7.808 7.947 7.297 7.264 6.746 6.794 6.145 9.258 9.423 8.859 8.829 8.424 8.029 7.475 4.975 5.064 5.024 5.018 5.045 4.279 4.257 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101.
21 7.622 7.755 7.294 7.312 6.963 6.879 6.650 7.622 7.755 7.294 7.312 6.963 6.879 6.650 9.116 9.267 8.895 8.919 8.654 8.122 8.001 5.001 5.072 5.091 5.108 5.138 4.318 4.448 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109.
24 7.357 7.518 7.131 7.187 6.868 6.699 6.481 7.357 7.518 7.131 7.187 6.868 6.699 6.481 8.691 8.865 8.568 8.626 8.392 7.923 7.838 4.628 4.698 4.748 4.771 4.821 4.231 4.408 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011.
27 7.524 7.790 7.315 7.389 6.933 6.577 6.003 7.524 7.790 7.315 7.389 6.933 6.577 6.003 8.738 9.004 8.607 8.699 8.324 7.744 7.255 4.442 4.516 4.536 4.590 4.607 4.088 4.075 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551.
30 7.759 8.007 7.463 7.528 6.939 6.750 5.957 7.759 8.007 7.463 7.528 6.939 6.750 5.957 8.961 9.223 8.776 8.843 8.380 7.929 7.237 4.484 4.577 4.617 4.641 4.698 4.161 4.109 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864.
33 7.783 8.024 7.484 7.506 6.886 6.812 5.855 7.783 8.024 7.484 7.506 6.886 6.812 5.855 8.921 9.204 8.761 8.829 8.310 7.941 7.151 4.360 4.509 4.555 4.649 4.653 4.082 4.107 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592.
36 7.917 8.165 7.587 7.629 6.960 6.955 5.840 7.917 8.165 7.587 7.629 6.960 6.955 5.840 9.103 9.392 8.907 8.980 8.441 8.117 7.152 4.494 4.642 4.666 4.736 4.776 4.185 4.129 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616.
39 8.088 8.319 7.670 7.716 7.021 7.093 5.862 8.088 8.319 7.670 7.716 7.021 7.093 5.862 9.320 9.584 9.035 9.106 8.550 8.281 7.198 4.631 4.760 4.776 4.837 4.880 4.275 4.177 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512.
42 8.192 8.297 7.707 7.670 7.182 7.237 6.456 8.192 8.297 7.707 7.670 7.182 7.237 6.456 9.693 9.818 9.363 9.311 8.958 8.520 7.877 5.181 5.250 5.316 5.280 5.354 4.496 4.513 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836.
45 8.030 8.094 7.734 7.711 7.447 7.306 6.996 8.030 8.094 7.734 7.711 7.447 7.306 6.996 9.584 9.650 9.432 9.384 9.247 8.608 8.414 5.233 5.255 5.400 5.348 5.482 4.552 4.673 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250.
48 7.731 7.870 7.562 7.575 7.334 7.090 6.847 7.731 7.870 7.562 7.575 7.334 7.090 6.847 9.115 9.258 9.064 9.063 8.929 8.367 8.251 4.829 4.876 4.996 4.976 5.093 4.442 4.604 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291.
51 7.822 8.041 7.639 7.680 ******* 6.934 6.250 7.822 8.041 7.639 7.680 ******* 6.934 6.250 9.086 9.300 9.015 9.050 ******* 8.169 7.579 4.623 4.673 4.788 4.788 -9999.00 4.319 4.287 111,809. 111,809. 111,809. 111,809. 0. 111,809. 111,809.
54 8.002 8.189 7.746 7.747 ******* 7.086 6.141 8.002 8.189 7.746 7.747 ******* 7.086 6.141 9.244 9.440 9.104 9.118 ******* 8.342 7.483 4.628 4.696 4.783 4.809 -9999.00 4.402 4.277 108,965. 108,965. 108,965. 108,965. 0. 108,965. 108,965.
57 8.010 8.115 7.741 7.665 ******* 7.127 5.990 8.010 8.115 7.741 7.665 ******* 7.127 5.990 9.218 9.317 9.104 9.010 ******* 8.315 7.316 4.561 4.578 4.792 4.736 -9999.00 4.284 4.201 104,812. 104,812. 104,812. 104,812. 0. 104,812. 104,812.
60 8.130 8.190 7.801 7.728 ******* 7.261 5.979 8.130 8.190 7.801 7.728 ******* 7.261 5.979 9.368 9.452 9.179 9.102 ******* 8.471 7.301 4.654 4.719 4.837 4.809 -9999.00 4.363 4.190 107,464. 107,464. 107,464. 107,464. 0. 107,464. 107,464.
63 8.244 8.295 7.848 7.748 ******* 7.322 5.932 8.244 8.295 7.848 7.748 ******* 7.322 5.932 9.491 9.552 9.255 9.137 ******* 8.532 7.257 4.701 4.737 4.905 4.843 -9999.00 4.380 4.181 110,339. 110,339. 110,339. 110,339. 0. 110,339. 110,339.
66 8.386 8.380 7.896 7.787 ******* 7.510 6.517 8.386 8.380 7.896 7.787 ******* 7.510 6.517 9.870 9.896 9.536 9.433 ******* 8.786 7.911 5.203 5.264 5.347 5.323 -9999.00 4.561 4.484 110,424. 110,424. 110,424. 110,424. 0. 110,424. 110,424.
69 8.215 8.169 7.958 7.859 ******* 7.584 7.069 8.215 8.169 7.958 7.859 ******* 7.584 7.069 9.732 9.721 9.642 9.530 ******* 8.902 8.469 5.217 5.269 5.445 5.392 -9999.00 4.661 4.664 110,660. 110,660. 110,660. 110,660. 0. 110,660. 110,660.
72 7.908 7.922 7.839 7.754 ******* 7.389 6.956 7.908 7.922 7.839 7.754 ******* 7.389 6.956 9.307 9.317 9.367 9.265 ******* 8.713 8.360 4.907 4.903 5.127 5.071 -9999.00 4.617 4.638 108,890. 108,890. 108,890. 108,890. 0. 108,890. 108,890.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 5.815 5.260 5.852 5.284 5.811 5.878 5.408 5.815 5.260 5.852 5.284 5.811 5.878 5.408 6.949 6.468 6.989 6.528 6.967 7.018 6.618 3.804 3.764 3.821 3.834 3.844 3.835 3.815 108,602. 108,602. 108,602. 108,602. 70,317. 108,602. 108,602.
3 7.534 7.612 6.985 6.903 6.295 6.493 5.481 7.534 7.612 6.985 6.903 6.295 6.493 5.481 8.643 8.738 8.177 8.118 7.651 7.614 6.767 4.235 4.291 4.251 4.273 4.349 3.978 3.968 111,102. 111,102. 111,102. 111,102. 71,929. 111,102. 111,102.
6 7.541 7.786 6.976 6.977 6.519 6.635 6.027 7.541 7.786 6.976 6.977 6.519 6.635 6.027 9.008 9.279 8.538 8.557 8.164 7.858 7.374 4.927 5.048 4.922 4.955 4.915 4.211 4.248 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460.
9 7.195 7.279 6.815 6.828 6.475 6.702 6.481 7.195 7.279 6.815 6.828 6.475 6.702 6.481 8.685 8.795 8.412 8.417 8.140 7.932 7.820 4.865 4.937 4.932 4.922 4.932 4.242 4.377 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414.
12 6.937 7.035 6.720 6.783 6.467 6.527 6.324 6.937 7.035 6.720 6.783 6.467 6.527 6.324 8.244 8.373 8.131 8.204 7.967 7.727 7.660 4.453 4.539 4.578 4.615 4.653 4.136 4.323 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354.
15 7.316 7.490 7.049 7.094 6.641 6.418 5.863 7.316 7.490 7.049 7.094 6.641 6.418 5.863 8.489 8.686 8.310 8.382 8.000 7.549 7.093 4.306 4.399 4.402 4.466 4.460 3.974 3.993 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898.
18 7.603 7.803 7.258 7.281 6.690 6.585 5.827 7.603 7.803 7.258 7.281 6.690 6.585 5.827 8.754 8.980 8.521 8.558 8.091 7.726 7.095 4.339 4.444 4.464 4.496 4.551 4.041 4.047 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242.
21 7.718 7.868 7.316 7.319 6.662 6.688 5.744 7.718 7.868 7.316 7.319 6.662 6.688 5.744 8.825 9.009 8.584 8.580 8.083 7.792 7.025 4.280 4.387 4.490 4.479 4.579 3.997 4.045 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314.
24 7.869 8.026 7.446 7.450 6.774 6.810 5.733 7.869 8.026 7.446 7.450 6.774 6.810 5.733 9.020 9.211 8.743 8.762 8.234 7.943 7.032 4.410 4.520 4.583 4.613 4.681 4.089 4.072 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777.
27 7.986 8.148 7.546 7.529 6.847 6.896 5.726 7.986 8.148 7.546 7.529 6.847 6.896 5.726 9.171 9.376 8.878 8.890 8.351 8.050 7.045 4.510 4.640 4.678 4.727 4.781 4.153 4.104 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086.
30 7.987 8.102 7.467 7.454 6.907 7.030 6.258 7.987 8.102 7.467 7.454 6.907 7.030 6.258 9.446 9.597 9.071 9.073 8.628 8.274 7.633 5.043 5.145 5.150 5.173 5.171 4.363 4.370 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422.
33 7.761 7.848 7.438 7.452 7.141 7.096 6.788 7.761 7.848 7.438 7.452 7.141 7.096 6.788 9.276 9.381 9.080 9.093 8.877 8.362 8.175 5.081 5.140 5.207 5.210 5.273 4.423 4.557 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830.
36 7.488 7.575 7.322 7.317 7.075 6.910 6.592 7.488 7.575 7.322 7.317 7.075 6.910 6.592 8.846 8.934 8.795 8.774 8.647 8.161 7.968 4.711 4.736 4.872 4.841 4.971 4.341 4.476 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251.
39 7.741 7.877 7.513 7.507 7.124 6.838 6.079 7.741 7.877 7.513 7.507 7.124 6.838 6.079 8.986 9.109 8.865 8.851 8.580 8.036 7.378 4.563 4.575 4.706 4.689 4.782 4.222 4.181 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505.
42 7.891 8.035 7.604 7.588 7.095 6.938 5.993 7.891 8.035 7.604 7.588 7.095 6.938 5.993 9.107 9.275 8.938 8.931 8.570 8.137 7.304 4.546 4.633 4.698 4.711 4.807 4.250 4.175 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274.
45 7.902 8.012 7.585 7.528 6.989 6.992 5.887 7.902 8.012 7.585 7.528 6.989 6.992 5.887 9.054 9.202 8.900 8.866 8.460 8.141 7.199 4.419 4.526 4.655 4.685 4.768 4.169 4.144 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994.
48 8.019 8.125 7.636 7.599 7.040 7.117 5.887 8.019 8.125 7.636 7.599 7.040 7.117 5.887 9.218 9.358 8.993 8.970 8.560 8.309 7.211 4.546 4.643 4.750 4.766 4.871 4.288 4.164 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885.
51 8.147 8.270 7.731 7.689 ******* 7.225 5.925 8.147 8.270 7.731 7.689 ******* 7.225 5.925 9.387 9.539 9.115 9.088 ******* 8.440 7.281 4.664 4.755 4.828 4.846 -9999.00 4.362 4.232 108,529. 108,529. 108,529. 108,529. 0. 108,529. 108,529.
54 8.233 8.320 7.754 7.695 ******* 7.386 6.486 8.233 8.320 7.754 7.695 ******* 7.386 6.486 9.751 9.851 9.421 9.373 ******* 8.699 7.902 5.224 5.275 5.351 5.351 -9999.00 4.596 4.514 108,963. 108,963. 108,963. 108,963. 0. 108,963. 108,963.
57 8.107 8.071 7.811 7.716 ******* 7.434 6.981 8.107 8.071 7.811 7.716 ******* 7.434 6.981 9.690 9.651 9.526 9.416 ******* 8.779 8.390 5.308 5.292 5.453 5.396 -9999.00 4.670 4.653 110,205. 110,205. 110,205. 110,205. 0. 110,205. 110,205.
60 7.809 7.790 7.703 7.592 ******* 7.207 6.784 7.809 7.790 7.703 7.592 ******* 7.207 6.784 9.235 9.204 9.269 9.117 ******* 8.548 8.206 4.930 4.903 5.156 5.049 -9999.00 4.596 4.617 109,199. 109,199. 109,199. 109,199. 0. 109,199. 109,199.
63 7.984 8.079 7.790 7.736 ******* 7.051 6.236 7.984 8.079 7.790 7.736 ******* 7.051 6.236 9.313 9.397 9.225 9.163 ******* 8.351 7.614 4.794 4.799 4.941 4.911 -9999.00 4.474 4.368 109,589. 109,589. 109,589. 109,589. 0. 109,589. 109,589.
66 8.126 8.236 7.891 7.820 ******* 7.195 6.183 8.126 8.236 7.891 7.820 ******* 7.195 6.183 9.410 9.554 9.295 9.258 ******* 8.452 7.588 4.746 4.842 4.912 4.956 -9999.00 4.435 4.400 106,786. 106,786. 106,786. 106,786. 0. 106,786. 106,786.
69 8.085 8.145 7.821 7.724 ******* 7.226 6.026 8.085 8.145 7.821 7.724 ******* 7.226 6.026 9.309 9.408 9.198 9.128 ******* 8.434 7.388 4.615 4.709 4.842 4.865 -9999.00 4.350 4.275 102,368. 102,368. 102,368. 102,368. 0. 102,368. 102,368.
72 8.219 8.222 7.905 7.774 ******* 7.348 6.011 8.219 8.222 7.905 7.774 ******* 7.348 6.011 9.490 9.506 9.307 9.197 ******* 8.573 7.378 4.745 4.771 4.913 4.915 -9999.00 4.417 4.278 104,780. 104,780. 104,780. 104,780. 0. 104,780. 104,780.