MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 7.390 4.965 7.429 4.681 10.091 7.434 7.091 61.454 59.969 61.445 59.500 64.532 61.468 64.100 79.126 78.056 79.129 77.653 82.112 79.157 81.299 78.780 77.898 78.780 77.512 81.490 78.807 80.990 113,041. 113,041. 113,041. 113,041. 73,231. 113,041. 113,041.
3 12.534 10.830 8.919 8.100 8.030 12.442 6.293 66.670 66.353 63.063 62.892 62.645 67.251 66.846 83.875 83.459 80.868 80.619 80.789 84.316 83.722 82.934 82.753 80.375 80.212 80.390 83.393 83.485 114,136. 114,136. 114,136. 114,136. 73,704. 114,136. 114,136.
6 15.445 14.842 12.110 11.378 9.970 15.174 7.332 70.068 70.054 65.663 65.730 63.705 70.398 69.508 87.146 86.895 83.331 83.227 81.583 87.330 86.458 85.767 85.619 82.447 82.446 80.972 86.002 86.147 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785. 109,785.
9 15.718 15.565 12.066 11.646 9.384 15.500 8.604 72.288 71.977 67.866 67.446 65.364 72.634 71.433 89.144 88.673 85.372 84.891 83.241 89.329 88.332 87.748 87.297 84.515 84.089 82.711 87.975 87.913 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310. 106,310.
12 15.282 15.495 11.662 11.194 9.049 15.596 10.005 73.211 73.188 68.586 68.520 65.853 73.146 71.515 90.035 89.879 86.113 85.977 83.808 89.831 88.353 88.729 88.534 85.320 85.246 83.318 88.467 87.785 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402. 109,402.
15 14.874 14.977 11.132 11.504 9.125 15.676 10.108 73.725 73.661 69.299 69.334 66.511 73.129 71.749 90.513 90.299 86.801 86.868 84.493 89.770 88.703 89.283 89.049 86.085 86.103 83.999 88.391 88.126 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614. 111,614.
18 13.107 12.781 10.032 9.755 7.590 13.683 9.071 70.456 70.836 66.603 66.503 63.430 69.587 68.581 87.597 87.899 84.583 84.541 81.790 86.843 86.035 86.611 86.965 83.986 83.977 81.438 85.758 85.556 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101. 112,101.
21 10.395 9.954 7.943 7.312 6.291 9.963 6.824 66.013 66.328 61.914 62.054 59.430 65.819 65.183 83.599 83.793 80.071 80.204 77.969 83.308 82.796 82.950 83.200 79.677 79.870 77.715 82.710 82.514 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109. 113,109.
24 8.442 8.234 6.626 6.634 5.813 8.770 6.258 65.641 65.737 62.130 62.356 60.413 65.870 64.873 83.197 83.235 80.323 80.543 79.005 83.247 82.201 82.768 82.827 80.050 80.270 78.792 82.784 81.962 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011. 112,011.
27 9.740 9.702 7.753 8.115 7.064 10.392 6.096 69.661 69.587 66.290 66.375 64.536 69.312 68.022 86.847 86.659 83.969 83.986 82.500 86.311 85.039 86.299 86.115 83.611 83.594 82.198 85.683 84.821 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551. 112,551.
30 12.464 12.792 10.101 10.474 8.181 13.082 8.202 72.216 72.166 68.296 68.582 66.096 72.126 70.437 89.077 88.889 85.778 85.913 83.945 88.781 87.315 88.201 87.964 85.182 85.273 83.546 87.812 86.929 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864. 109,864.
33 13.064 13.478 10.626 10.365 8.589 13.823 9.274 74.240 74.461 70.211 70.167 67.827 73.879 72.555 90.889 90.939 87.499 87.376 85.617 90.406 89.297 89.946 89.935 86.852 86.760 85.185 89.344 88.815 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592. 105,592.
36 13.238 13.339 10.024 10.402 8.400 14.201 9.958 74.882 75.262 70.953 71.022 68.283 74.386 72.518 91.495 91.706 88.326 88.360 86.058 90.844 89.271 90.533 90.731 87.756 87.746 85.648 89.728 88.714 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616. 108,616.
39 14.005 13.973 10.816 10.350 8.557 15.147 10.054 75.248 75.561 71.394 71.503 69.058 74.733 72.701 91.714 91.845 88.715 88.853 86.854 91.114 89.495 90.639 90.777 88.054 88.249 86.432 89.847 88.929 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512. 110,512.
42 12.167 12.354 8.815 8.432 7.052 13.196 8.954 72.460 72.784 68.975 69.078 66.112 71.692 70.248 89.395 89.620 86.796 86.836 84.367 88.675 87.489 88.563 88.764 86.348 86.427 84.072 87.688 87.030 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836. 110,836.
45 8.576 9.496 6.620 6.411 5.707 8.866 6.697 68.407 68.769 64.446 64.703 62.353 67.759 67.155 85.758 86.022 82.454 82.630 80.733 84.933 84.376 85.329 85.496 82.189 82.381 80.531 84.470 84.111 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250. 112,250.
48 7.383 8.077 5.928 6.333 5.607 8.050 6.130 67.872 68.533 64.807 65.276 63.523 67.441 66.942 85.232 85.849 82.830 83.333 82.004 84.494 83.963 84.912 85.469 82.618 83.092 81.813 84.110 83.740 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291. 110,291.
51 8.616 8.731 6.813 6.738 ******* 9.936 5.635 71.491 71.882 68.390 68.703 ******* 70.827 69.995 88.439 88.783 85.975 86.173 ******* 87.543 86.895 88.018 88.354 85.704 85.909 -9999.00 86.977 86.713 111,809. 111,809. 111,809. 111,809. 0. 111,809. 111,809.
54 11.906 12.237 9.273 9.309 ******* 12.468 7.051 73.761 73.870 70.108 70.107 ******* 73.570 71.813 90.286 90.284 87.341 87.270 ******* 89.981 88.536 89.498 89.452 86.848 86.772 -9999.00 89.114 88.255 108,965. 108,965. 108,965. 108,965. 0. 108,965. 108,965.
57 12.433 12.416 9.344 9.356 ******* 12.359 7.159 75.541 75.881 71.465 71.888 ******* 75.381 73.779 91.981 92.098 88.574 88.890 ******* 91.606 90.234 91.138 91.258 88.080 88.396 -9999.00 90.769 89.950 104,812. 104,812. 104,812. 104,812. 0. 104,812. 104,812.
60 12.328 12.102 9.358 9.143 ******* 12.416 7.839 76.069 76.583 72.124 72.684 ******* 75.815 73.822 92.429 92.828 89.296 89.773 ******* 92.038 90.250 91.604 92.037 88.805 89.306 -9999.00 91.197 89.909 107,464. 107,464. 107,464. 107,464. 0. 107,464. 107,464.
63 13.223 12.729 9.844 9.533 ******* 13.545 7.922 76.214 76.748 72.500 73.240 ******* 75.637 73.940 92.480 92.965 89.684 90.382 ******* 91.836 90.454 91.530 92.090 89.143 89.878 -9999.00 90.832 90.107 110,339. 110,339. 110,339. 110,339. 0. 110,339. 110,339.
66 11.283 10.604 7.837 7.198 ******* 11.929 7.736 73.122 74.057 69.918 70.694 ******* 72.333 71.294 89.951 90.768 87.582 88.294 ******* 89.241 88.364 89.241 90.147 87.231 88.000 -9999.00 88.441 88.025 110,424. 110,424. 110,424. 110,424. 0. 110,424. 110,424.
69 7.655 7.757 5.466 6.000 ******* 7.827 5.722 69.358 70.195 65.763 66.810 ******* 69.036 68.242 86.569 87.259 83.602 84.551 ******* 86.154 85.369 86.231 86.914 83.423 84.338 -9999.00 85.799 85.178 110,660. 110,660. 110,660. 110,660. 0. 110,660. 110,660.
72 6.297 6.378 5.152 4.937 ******* 7.282 4.776 69.607 70.003 66.915 67.844 ******* 69.465 68.389 86.852 87.096 84.793 85.588 ******* 86.437 85.293 86.624 86.863 84.637 85.446 -9999.00 86.130 85.159 108,891. 108,891. 108,891. 108,891. 0. 108,891. 108,891.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 11.202 6.616 11.178 5.850 12.352 11.224 9.875 69.612 68.994 69.617 68.730 70.988 69.629 72.364 86.871 86.593 86.885 86.374 88.048 86.897 89.062 86.146 86.341 86.163 86.176 87.178 86.169 88.513 108,602. 108,602. 108,602. 108,602. 70,317. 108,602. 108,602.
3 17.673 17.188 12.599 12.429 9.288 15.265 9.913 71.952 72.684 67.644 68.467 66.532 71.963 72.349 88.885 89.632 85.402 86.251 84.548 88.661 89.230 87.110 87.969 84.468 85.351 84.037 87.337 88.678 111,102. 111,102. 111,102. 111,102. 71,929. 111,102. 111,102.
6 14.960 14.708 10.546 10.249 7.857 14.426 8.061 69.586 70.411 64.904 65.369 62.404 68.800 68.340 86.919 87.678 83.130 83.543 80.814 86.049 85.845 85.622 86.436 82.459 82.912 80.432 84.831 85.466 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460. 109,460.
9 10.810 10.643 7.691 7.678 5.712 11.279 7.113 65.209 65.140 60.442 60.559 57.828 65.434 64.463 82.954 82.826 78.745 78.879 76.476 82.960 82.093 82.247 82.140 78.369 78.505 76.263 82.190 81.784 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414. 112,414.
12 8.831 8.651 6.745 6.352 5.392 9.593 6.236 64.514 64.562 60.735 60.921 59.096 65.212 64.330 82.297 82.185 79.180 79.243 77.887 82.596 81.706 81.823 81.729 78.892 78.989 77.700 82.038 81.468 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354. 111,354.
15 10.779 10.661 8.655 8.546 6.999 10.702 5.689 68.299 68.462 64.600 64.819 62.636 68.313 67.720 85.645 85.719 82.462 82.565 80.804 85.419 84.672 84.965 85.054 82.006 82.122 80.500 84.746 84.481 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898. 111,898.
18 14.302 14.354 11.534 11.100 9.156 13.992 8.044 71.162 71.300 66.787 67.183 64.253 71.000 69.960 88.178 88.193 84.367 84.667 82.205 87.855 86.914 87.011 87.017 83.575 83.936 81.694 86.734 86.542 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242. 109,242.
21 14.994 15.006 12.173 11.816 9.576 14.556 9.552 73.488 73.652 68.789 69.145 65.928 73.122 72.143 90.294 90.343 86.252 86.545 83.799 89.637 88.976 89.041 89.088 85.389 85.735 83.251 88.448 88.463 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314. 104,314.
24 14.567 14.499 11.340 11.103 9.149 14.949 9.651 74.409 74.521 69.665 69.853 66.723 73.783 72.312 91.049 91.090 87.195 87.333 84.558 90.263 89.146 89.876 89.929 86.454 86.624 84.061 89.017 88.622 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777. 106,777.
27 14.976 15.090 11.558 11.457 9.234 15.602 10.606 74.535 74.745 70.349 70.386 67.831 73.717 72.332 91.180 91.234 87.799 87.827 85.719 90.221 89.184 89.942 89.978 87.036 87.077 85.221 88.862 88.551 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086. 109,086.
30 13.009 12.662 9.125 8.973 6.988 13.622 9.462 71.753 72.142 67.804 68.097 64.939 70.788 69.563 88.776 89.125 85.731 85.959 83.284 87.877 86.928 87.818 88.221 85.244 85.489 82.991 86.815 86.412 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422. 109,422.
33 9.885 9.406 7.204 6.506 5.533 9.840 7.009 67.291 67.950 63.417 63.898 61.159 66.849 66.456 84.766 85.288 81.545 81.951 79.616 84.224 83.841 84.188 84.768 81.226 81.693 79.424 83.647 83.548 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830. 110,830.
36 8.468 7.559 6.456 5.634 5.646 8.661 5.934 67.061 67.689 63.749 64.317 62.340 66.641 66.402 84.595 85.073 81.935 82.422 80.923 83.932 83.586 84.171 84.736 81.681 82.229 80.726 83.484 83.376 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251. 109,251.
39 9.941 9.312 7.866 7.039 6.844 10.628 6.309 71.101 71.640 67.655 68.561 65.913 70.504 69.483 88.100 88.607 85.233 86.078 83.818 87.322 86.466 87.538 88.117 84.869 85.790 83.538 86.673 86.236 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505. 110,505.
42 12.721 13.280 10.180 10.312 8.502 13.212 7.973 73.576 73.923 69.479 70.101 67.323 73.115 71.744 90.164 90.401 86.781 87.336 85.038 89.655 88.524 89.263 89.421 86.182 86.726 84.612 88.676 88.164 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274. 107,274.
45 13.409 13.958 10.761 10.699 8.854 13.667 8.843 75.316 75.710 71.050 71.568 68.686 75.021 73.537 91.764 92.032 88.203 88.675 86.243 91.340 90.078 90.780 90.968 87.544 88.027 85.788 90.312 89.643 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994. 102,994.
48 13.732 13.686 10.502 10.717 8.732 14.067 9.168 76.176 76.539 71.797 72.072 69.301 75.440 73.465 92.563 92.721 89.062 89.230 86.903 91.718 89.967 91.540 91.705 88.442 88.585 86.464 90.633 89.499 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885. 105,885.
51 14.502 14.578 10.669 10.893 ******* 15.104 9.590 76.023 76.450 72.238 72.573 ******* 75.351 73.682 92.418 92.543 89.527 89.689 ******* 91.614 90.115 91.274 91.388 88.889 89.026 -9999.00 90.360 89.604 108,529. 108,529. 108,529. 108,529. 0. 108,529. 108,529.
54 12.034 12.203 8.566 8.435 ******* 12.502 9.051 73.495 74.347 69.824 70.625 ******* 72.853 71.500 90.376 90.934 87.540 88.146 ******* 89.679 88.497 89.572 90.112 87.120 87.742 -9999.00 88.804 88.033 108,963. 108,963. 108,963. 108,963. 0. 108,963. 108,963.
57 7.844 9.244 5.996 6.830 ******* 7.971 7.021 69.498 70.288 65.725 66.706 ******* 69.314 68.560 86.713 87.307 83.672 84.438 ******* 86.476 85.617 86.358 86.817 83.457 84.161 -9999.00 86.108 85.329 110,205. 110,205. 110,205. 110,205. 0. 110,205. 110,205.
60 6.835 7.616 5.299 6.109 ******* 7.604 6.421 69.673 69.971 66.651 67.192 ******* 69.621 68.303 86.848 87.086 84.588 85.060 ******* 86.561 85.151 86.579 86.752 84.422 84.840 -9999.00 86.227 84.909 109,199. 109,199. 109,199. 109,199. 0. 109,199. 109,199.
63 8.788 9.818 6.961 7.611 ******* 9.653 6.291 73.713 73.445 70.512 70.549 ******* 73.159 71.411 90.345 90.100 87.863 87.835 ******* 89.677 87.960 89.917 89.564 87.587 87.505 -9999.00 89.156 87.735 109,589. 109,589. 109,589. 109,589. 0. 109,589. 109,589.
66 11.556 12.534 9.195 9.239 ******* 11.734 8.032 75.785 75.624 72.016 71.752 ******* 75.670 73.785 92.105 91.766 89.032 88.737 ******* 91.934 90.213 91.377 90.906 88.556 88.255 -9999.00 91.183 89.855 106,786. 106,786. 106,786. 106,786. 0. 106,786. 106,786.
69 11.135 12.378 9.164 9.325 ******* 11.746 7.607 76.973 76.934 73.241 72.913 ******* 77.105 75.336 93.182 93.002 90.201 89.829 ******* 93.125 91.513 92.514 92.175 89.734 89.344 -9999.00 92.382 91.197 102,368. 102,368. 102,368. 102,368. 0. 102,368. 102,368.
72 11.322 12.313 8.813 9.513 ******* 12.263 7.776 77.465 77.436 73.499 73.306 ******* 77.355 74.836 93.636 93.574 90.541 90.351 ******* 93.306 91.064 92.950 92.761 90.112 89.849 -9999.00 92.497 90.732 104,780. 104,780. 104,780. 104,780. 0. 104,780. 104,780.