MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 0.070 0.777 0.156 0.870 0.503 1.004 1.464 3.268 3.536 3.282 3.593 3.234 3.570 3.902 4.500 4.789 4.508 4.863 4.461 4.784 5.256 4.500 4.726 4.505 4.785 4.433 4.678 5.048 114,826. 114,826. 114,826. 114,826. 74,286. 114,826. 114,826.
3 2.464 2.618 2.455 2.545 2.394 2.432 1.559 4.103 4.178 4.036 4.084 3.890 4.170 3.788 5.181 5.263 5.144 5.189 5.051 5.380 5.035 4.558 4.566 4.520 4.522 4.448 4.799 4.787 115,647. 115,647. 115,647. 115,647. 74,638. 115,647. 115,647.
6 2.851 3.035 2.970 2.930 2.694 2.631 1.606 4.315 4.442 4.326 4.339 4.103 4.276 3.798 5.402 5.536 5.472 5.489 5.291 5.456 5.069 4.589 4.631 4.596 4.642 4.554 4.780 4.808 111,224. 111,224. 111,224. 111,224. 111,224. 111,224. 111,224.
9 2.951 3.112 3.025 2.984 2.602 2.744 1.647 4.358 4.460 4.341 4.329 4.014 4.308 3.765 5.417 5.523 5.483 5.471 5.206 5.465 5.050 4.543 4.562 4.573 4.585 4.510 4.727 4.774 107,654. 107,654. 107,654. 107,654. 107,654. 107,654. 107,654.
12 3.050 3.193 3.061 3.019 2.623 2.826 1.603 4.456 4.556 4.399 4.400 4.052 4.399 3.786 5.523 5.642 5.561 5.570 5.272 5.561 5.090 4.605 4.652 4.643 4.681 4.573 4.789 4.831 110,720. 110,720. 110,720. 110,720. 110,720. 110,720. 110,720.
15 3.280 3.434 3.195 3.166 2.708 3.044 1.613 4.610 4.733 4.503 4.517 4.109 4.534 3.809 5.692 5.836 5.679 5.704 5.359 5.703 5.119 4.651 4.719 4.695 4.744 4.624 4.822 4.858 112,948. 112,948. 112,948. 112,948. 112,948. 112,948. 112,948.
18 2.563 2.654 2.448 2.380 2.084 2.487 1.588 4.428 4.520 4.291 4.295 4.003 4.339 3.982 5.694 5.812 5.644 5.661 5.387 5.601 5.346 5.084 5.171 5.085 5.136 4.968 5.018 5.105 114,268. 114,268. 114,268. 114,268. 114,268. 114,268. 114,268.
21 1.746 1.844 1.838 1.813 1.698 1.939 1.630 4.195 4.263 4.172 4.180 4.015 4.127 4.113 5.503 5.590 5.564 5.590 5.427 5.417 5.548 5.218 5.277 5.252 5.287 5.154 5.058 5.303 115,661. 115,661. 115,661. 115,661. 115,661. 115,661. 115,661.
24 1.927 2.072 2.109 2.113 1.994 2.072 1.791 4.078 4.171 4.104 4.135 3.960 4.156 4.132 5.316 5.427 5.413 5.454 5.285 5.435 5.565 4.955 5.016 4.985 5.029 4.894 5.025 5.268 113,787. 113,787. 113,787. 113,787. 113,787. 113,787. 113,787.
27 2.791 3.011 2.914 2.934 2.665 2.637 1.870 4.404 4.573 4.439 4.492 4.217 4.381 4.041 5.546 5.723 5.654 5.728 5.467 5.620 5.388 4.793 4.867 4.845 4.920 4.774 4.964 5.054 114,056. 114,056. 114,056. 114,056. 114,056. 114,056. 114,056.
30 3.112 3.307 3.146 3.138 2.760 2.927 1.883 4.571 4.739 4.575 4.620 4.278 4.551 4.027 5.676 5.882 5.796 5.857 5.543 5.767 5.374 4.747 4.864 4.868 4.946 4.807 4.969 5.033 111,318. 111,318. 111,318. 111,318. 111,318. 111,318. 111,318.
33 3.261 3.432 3.279 3.245 2.804 3.187 1.870 4.617 4.771 4.599 4.619 4.251 4.652 3.963 5.694 5.894 5.797 5.855 5.503 5.840 5.320 4.668 4.791 4.780 4.873 4.734 4.894 4.980 106,937. 106,937. 106,937. 106,937. 106,937. 106,937. 106,937.
36 3.297 3.480 3.297 3.288 2.822 3.256 1.759 4.698 4.844 4.673 4.694 4.301 4.754 3.944 5.794 5.985 5.888 5.945 5.582 5.949 5.296 4.765 4.870 4.878 4.954 4.816 4.979 4.996 109,939. 109,939. 109,939. 109,939. 109,939. 109,939. 109,939.
39 3.445 3.610 3.354 3.349 2.856 3.426 1.800 4.811 4.959 4.734 4.764 4.338 4.857 3.972 5.926 6.119 5.970 6.026 5.642 6.057 5.319 4.821 4.940 4.939 5.010 4.866 4.995 5.005 111,834. 111,834. 111,834. 111,834. 111,834. 111,834. 111,834.
42 2.753 2.791 2.619 2.515 2.258 2.850 1.794 4.677 4.736 4.577 4.546 4.298 4.643 4.182 5.994 6.068 6.018 5.981 5.780 5.937 5.620 5.324 5.388 5.418 5.426 5.321 5.208 5.326 112,965. 112,965. 112,965. 112,965. 112,965. 112,965. 112,965.
45 1.908 1.906 2.000 1.905 1.880 2.289 1.835 4.440 4.470 4.455 4.433 4.315 4.396 4.313 5.815 5.844 5.941 5.899 5.829 5.740 5.822 5.493 5.525 5.594 5.583 5.517 5.264 5.525 114,777. 114,777. 114,777. 114,777. 114,777. 114,777. 114,777.
48 2.046 2.132 2.234 2.172 2.110 2.357 2.005 4.284 4.338 4.347 4.327 4.221 4.398 4.337 5.571 5.641 5.729 5.710 5.627 5.729 5.830 5.182 5.223 5.276 5.281 5.216 5.221 5.475 112,036. 112,036. 112,036. 112,036. 112,036. 112,036. 112,036.
51 2.870 3.037 2.997 2.971 ******* 2.870 1.948 4.567 4.693 4.623 4.639 ******* 4.615 4.181 5.752 5.886 5.898 5.926 ******* 5.901 5.605 4.985 5.041 5.080 5.127 -9999.00 5.156 5.256 113,311. 113,311. 113,311. 113,311. 0. 113,311. 113,311.
54 3.156 3.275 3.219 3.151 ******* 3.149 1.912 4.720 4.821 4.749 4.734 ******* 4.783 4.139 5.880 5.999 6.013 6.018 ******* 6.048 5.560 4.961 5.026 5.079 5.128 -9999.00 5.163 5.221 110,408. 110,408. 110,408. 110,408. 0. 110,408. 110,408.
57 3.317 3.334 3.354 3.186 ******* 3.376 1.851 4.757 4.792 4.759 4.687 ******* 4.859 4.038 5.890 5.942 6.022 5.946 ******* 6.084 5.431 4.868 4.919 5.002 5.020 -9999.00 5.062 5.106 106,159. 106,159. 106,159. 106,159. 0. 106,159. 106,159.
60 3.362 3.333 3.342 3.170 ******* 3.468 1.729 4.830 4.835 4.792 4.719 ******* 4.955 4.003 5.973 5.997 6.061 5.982 ******* 6.173 5.363 4.937 4.985 5.056 5.073 -9999.00 5.107 5.077 108,786. 108,786. 108,786. 108,786. 0. 108,786. 108,786.
63 3.488 3.454 3.399 3.197 ******* 3.578 1.708 4.907 4.923 4.850 4.742 ******* 5.031 3.986 6.054 6.093 6.138 6.020 ******* 6.261 5.336 4.948 5.019 5.112 5.101 -9999.00 5.138 5.055 111,663. 111,663. 111,663. 111,663. 0. 111,663. 111,663.
66 2.841 2.683 2.653 2.391 ******* 3.056 1.645 4.801 4.780 4.702 4.602 ******* 4.856 4.211 6.126 6.142 6.155 6.055 ******* 6.154 5.635 5.428 5.525 5.554 5.563 -9999.00 5.341 5.389 112,525. 112,525. 112,525. 112,525. 0. 112,525. 112,525.
69 1.981 1.720 2.049 1.736 ******* 2.456 1.659 4.526 4.516 4.577 4.491 ******* 4.567 4.345 5.887 5.901 6.067 5.970 ******* 5.923 5.829 5.544 5.645 5.710 5.712 -9999.00 5.389 5.588 113,133. 113,133. 113,133. 113,133. 0. 113,133. 113,133.
72 2.074 1.951 2.302 2.045 ******* 2.502 1.909 4.352 4.357 4.479 4.417 ******* 4.580 4.392 5.646 5.666 5.882 5.816 ******* 5.952 5.874 5.251 5.320 5.413 5.445 -9999.00 5.401 5.555 110,623. 110,623. 110,623. 110,623. 0. 110,623. 110,623.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 1.272 0.668 1.363 0.744 1.398 2.208 1.303 3.485 3.284 3.526 3.334 3.505 3.994 3.638 4.635 4.503 4.672 4.570 4.670 5.168 4.913 4.457 4.454 4.469 4.509 4.456 4.672 4.737 109,899. 109,899. 109,899. 109,899. 71,126. 109,899. 109,899.
3 3.218 3.313 3.032 2.928 2.554 2.936 1.462 4.537 4.608 4.335 4.291 3.949 4.399 3.714 5.600 5.681 5.456 5.422 5.125 5.563 5.026 4.583 4.615 4.536 4.563 4.444 4.726 4.809 112,406. 112,406. 112,406. 112,406. 72,758. 112,406. 112,406.
6 2.364 2.600 2.249 2.225 1.922 2.323 1.483 4.297 4.440 4.135 4.154 3.886 4.206 3.909 5.577 5.742 5.479 5.505 5.251 5.457 5.288 5.051 5.119 4.996 5.035 4.886 4.938 5.075 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507.
9 1.302 1.395 1.394 1.403 1.248 1.731 1.483 3.991 4.037 3.932 3.949 3.757 3.994 3.998 5.281 5.342 5.305 5.321 5.131 5.259 5.418 5.118 5.156 5.119 5.133 4.977 4.965 5.211 114,927. 114,927. 114,927. 114,927. 114,927. 114,927. 114,927.
12 1.542 1.659 1.769 1.813 1.648 1.906 1.665 3.868 3.903 3.878 3.904 3.741 4.029 4.021 5.073 5.120 5.148 5.186 5.026 5.274 5.417 4.832 4.844 4.834 4.858 4.748 4.917 5.155 113,077. 113,077. 113,077. 113,077. 113,077. 113,077. 113,077.
15 2.694 2.843 2.781 2.775 2.511 2.516 1.727 4.308 4.397 4.301 4.324 4.067 4.269 3.945 5.409 5.520 5.481 5.525 5.279 5.462 5.254 4.690 4.731 4.723 4.777 4.644 4.848 4.962 113,382. 113,382. 113,382. 113,382. 113,382. 113,382. 113,382.
18 3.061 3.219 3.084 3.043 2.654 2.815 1.753 4.496 4.616 4.465 4.473 4.138 4.431 3.942 5.574 5.720 5.641 5.666 5.372 5.614 5.269 4.658 4.728 4.724 4.779 4.671 4.857 4.969 110,666. 110,666. 110,666. 110,666. 110,666. 110,666. 110,666.
21 3.263 3.370 3.213 3.168 2.707 3.092 1.768 4.588 4.680 4.516 4.506 4.135 4.541 3.891 5.650 5.763 5.701 5.680 5.376 5.708 5.222 4.612 4.675 4.710 4.715 4.645 4.798 4.914 105,624. 105,624. 105,624. 105,624. 105,624. 105,624. 105,624.
24 3.308 3.418 3.259 3.206 2.749 3.139 1.660 4.672 4.778 4.598 4.599 4.199 4.628 3.875 5.744 5.883 5.799 5.814 5.469 5.798 5.208 4.695 4.788 4.797 4.850 4.728 4.875 4.936 108,058. 108,058. 108,058. 108,058. 108,058. 108,058. 108,058.
27 3.420 3.521 3.331 3.247 2.791 3.255 1.672 4.755 4.869 4.666 4.669 4.241 4.709 3.884 5.847 6.000 5.887 5.910 5.538 5.884 5.219 4.742 4.858 4.853 4.938 4.783 4.901 4.944 110,375. 110,375. 110,375. 110,375. 110,375. 110,375. 110,375.
30 2.654 2.683 2.518 2.411 2.124 2.704 1.637 4.553 4.626 4.440 4.446 4.143 4.509 4.072 5.840 5.942 5.840 5.861 5.572 5.777 5.475 5.202 5.302 5.269 5.342 5.151 5.106 5.225 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507. 111,507.
33 1.753 1.741 1.833 1.728 1.691 2.149 1.674 4.296 4.350 4.287 4.305 4.150 4.271 4.202 5.636 5.700 5.725 5.745 5.613 5.586 5.683 5.356 5.428 5.424 5.479 5.352 5.156 5.431 113,307. 113,307. 113,307. 113,307. 113,307. 113,307. 113,307.
36 1.927 1.939 2.144 2.026 2.007 2.282 1.796 4.159 4.200 4.226 4.219 4.088 4.306 4.186 5.417 5.484 5.572 5.574 5.462 5.606 5.634 5.062 5.130 5.143 5.193 5.080 5.120 5.340 110,962. 110,962. 110,962. 110,962. 110,962. 110,962. 110,962.
39 2.883 2.957 2.975 2.882 2.710 2.879 1.862 4.526 4.616 4.564 4.539 4.343 4.554 4.081 5.688 5.781 5.824 5.803 5.645 5.805 5.463 4.903 4.967 5.007 5.036 4.952 5.041 5.136 111,969. 111,969. 111,969. 111,969. 111,969. 111,969. 111,969.
42 3.156 3.229 3.192 3.103 2.802 3.118 1.853 4.656 4.741 4.669 4.635 4.380 4.690 4.043 5.781 5.896 5.903 5.888 5.670 5.913 5.416 4.843 4.933 4.965 5.004 4.929 5.024 5.089 108,672. 108,672. 108,672. 108,672. 108,672. 108,672. 108,672.
45 3.303 3.344 3.286 3.163 2.803 3.345 1.838 4.693 4.750 4.672 4.619 4.320 4.773 3.971 5.789 5.881 5.893 5.864 5.606 5.978 5.337 4.755 4.838 4.891 4.938 4.855 4.955 5.011 104,291. 104,291. 104,291. 104,291. 104,291. 104,291. 104,291.
48 3.352 3.368 3.281 3.169 2.818 3.429 1.775 4.763 4.811 4.705 4.663 4.354 4.867 3.968 5.885 5.955 5.952 5.916 5.676 6.081 5.338 4.837 4.911 4.966 4.996 4.927 5.022 5.034 107,157. 107,157. 107,157. 107,157. 107,157. 107,157. 107,157.
51 3.489 3.512 3.374 3.242 ******* 3.569 1.819 4.861 4.921 4.786 4.733 ******* 4.968 4.017 5.995 6.088 6.049 6.004 ******* 6.190 5.391 4.875 4.972 5.020 5.054 -9999.00 5.058 5.075 109,808. 109,808. 109,808. 109,808. 0. 109,808. 109,808.
54 2.794 2.723 2.639 2.417 ******* 3.028 1.773 4.715 4.741 4.628 4.563 ******* 4.768 4.213 6.043 6.094 6.080 6.019 ******* 6.102 5.654 5.359 5.451 5.477 5.512 -9999.00 5.298 5.369 111,028. 111,028. 111,028. 111,028. 0. 111,028. 111,028.
57 1.943 1.755 2.001 1.730 ******* 2.385 1.695 4.507 4.474 4.519 4.428 ******* 4.499 4.301 5.906 5.880 6.024 5.938 ******* 5.900 5.815 5.577 5.613 5.682 5.680 -9999.00 5.396 5.562 112,680. 112,680. 112,680. 112,680. 0. 112,680. 112,680.
60 2.050 1.977 2.280 2.063 ******* 2.397 1.819 4.332 4.306 4.429 4.331 ******* 4.462 4.301 5.651 5.632 5.863 5.747 ******* 5.845 5.815 5.266 5.274 5.401 5.364 -9999.00 5.331 5.523 110,926. 110,926. 110,926. 110,926. 0. 110,926. 110,926.
63 2.956 3.013 3.085 2.941 ******* 2.906 1.858 4.653 4.720 4.707 4.671 ******* 4.676 4.168 5.861 5.954 6.028 6.013 ******* 6.015 5.653 5.061 5.135 5.178 5.245 -9999.00 5.266 5.339 111,042. 111,042. 111,042. 111,042. 0. 111,042. 111,042.
66 3.237 3.265 3.311 3.153 ******* 3.218 1.855 4.790 4.854 4.826 4.776 ******* 4.852 4.166 5.981 6.080 6.125 6.106 ******* 6.143 5.649 5.029 5.128 5.153 5.229 -9999.00 5.233 5.336 108,179. 108,179. 108,179. 108,179. 0. 108,179. 108,179.
69 3.360 3.344 3.390 3.205 ******* 3.437 1.825 4.800 4.836 4.805 4.741 ******* 4.931 4.056 5.949 6.027 6.086 6.050 ******* 6.181 5.484 4.910 5.015 5.055 5.131 -9999.00 5.137 5.171 103,661. 103,661. 103,661. 103,661. 0. 103,661. 103,661.
72 3.384 3.325 3.389 3.186 ******* 3.493 1.710 4.880 4.868 4.872 4.770 ******* 5.010 4.042 6.035 6.042 6.156 6.065 ******* 6.254 5.455 4.998 5.045 5.140 5.160 -9999.00 5.188 5.180 106,046. 106,046. 106,046. 106,046. 0. 106,046. 106,046.