MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.106 0.067 0.022 0.189 0.017 -0.017 0.169 1.291 1.288 1.206 1.164 1.202 1.091 0.993 2.636 2.654 2.561 2.561 2.237 2.410 2.332 2.634 2.653 2.561 2.554 2.237 2.410 2.326 25,444. 25,444. 25,444. 25,444. 16,295. 25,444. 25,444.
3 0.159 1.375 -0.007 1.207 -0.152 0.053 0.460 1.173 1.892 1.186 1.807 1.172 1.311 1.517 2.426 2.999 2.434 2.933 1.992 2.524 2.637 2.421 2.665 2.434 2.673 1.986 2.524 2.597 24,699. 24,699. 24,699. 24,699. 15,752. 24,699. 24,699.
6 -0.046 0.939 -0.179 0.877 -0.224 0.369 0.893 1.245 1.522 1.163 1.466 1.165 1.397 1.540 2.522 2.775 2.463 2.731 2.471 2.667 2.753 2.522 2.611 2.456 2.587 2.461 2.641 2.604 23,307. 23,307. 23,307. 23,307. 23,307. 23,307. 23,307.
9 0.337 1.312 0.047 1.119 -0.082 0.342 1.626 1.383 1.783 1.325 1.659 1.302 1.459 1.907 2.591 2.952 2.538 2.848 2.518 2.667 3.030 2.569 2.644 2.537 2.619 2.516 2.645 2.557 22,800. 22,800. 22,800. 22,800. 22,800. 22,800. 22,800.
12 0.720 1.695 0.391 1.507 0.242 0.347 1.212 1.488 2.039 1.318 1.867 1.259 1.530 1.640 2.573 3.051 2.426 2.898 2.372 2.584 2.681 2.470 2.537 2.395 2.476 2.359 2.561 2.391 23,249. 23,249. 23,249. 23,249. 23,249. 23,249. 23,249.
15 0.382 1.787 0.043 1.589 -0.115 0.219 1.296 1.480 2.172 1.365 1.992 1.335 1.539 1.719 2.628 3.251 2.517 3.083 2.487 2.654 2.824 2.601 2.715 2.516 2.642 2.484 2.645 2.509 24,666. 24,666. 24,666. 24,666. 24,666. 24,666. 24,666.
18 -0.621 0.189 -0.872 0.088 -0.966 -0.508 0.442 1.646 1.704 1.641 1.594 1.644 1.615 1.398 2.716 2.782 2.699 2.678 2.699 2.697 2.519 2.645 2.775 2.554 2.676 2.521 2.649 2.480 25,494. 25,494. 25,494. 25,494. 25,494. 25,494. 25,494.
21 -0.753 0.089 -0.957 0.006 -1.025 -0.585 0.483 1.799 1.813 1.805 1.722 1.797 1.729 1.455 2.995 3.018 2.992 2.936 2.980 2.949 2.746 2.899 3.017 2.835 2.936 2.799 2.891 2.703 25,113. 25,113. 25,113. 25,113. 25,113. 25,113. 25,113.
24 -0.268 0.594 -0.481 0.473 -0.582 -0.570 0.029 1.754 1.953 1.726 1.853 1.720 1.798 1.506 2.923 3.121 2.898 3.024 2.889 2.946 2.704 2.910 3.064 2.858 2.987 2.830 2.891 2.704 24,783. 24,783. 24,783. 24,783. 24,783. 24,783. 24,783.
27 -0.156 0.950 -0.417 0.793 -0.545 -0.311 0.305 1.854 2.138 1.817 2.016 1.806 1.855 1.561 2.958 3.244 2.923 3.125 2.913 2.962 2.720 2.954 3.102 2.893 3.022 2.862 2.946 2.703 23,944. 23,944. 23,944. 23,944. 23,944. 23,944. 23,944.
30 -0.170 0.743 -0.454 0.563 -0.611 -0.026 0.860 1.986 2.240 1.924 2.108 1.902 1.971 1.751 3.165 3.426 3.115 3.304 3.101 3.142 2.984 3.160 3.344 3.082 3.256 3.040 3.142 2.858 23,210. 23,210. 23,210. 23,210. 23,210. 23,210. 23,210.
33 0.207 1.226 -0.133 1.032 -0.306 -0.108 1.275 2.137 2.552 2.024 2.395 1.975 2.105 2.028 3.332 3.775 3.233 3.630 3.190 3.281 3.272 3.326 3.570 3.230 3.480 3.175 3.279 3.014 22,673. 22,673. 22,673. 22,673. 22,673. 22,673. 22,673.
36 0.231 1.602 -0.126 1.415 -0.304 -0.414 0.755 2.316 2.865 2.197 2.690 2.144 2.275 1.940 3.413 4.033 3.311 3.872 3.258 3.352 3.096 3.405 3.701 3.309 3.604 3.243 3.327 3.002 23,116. 23,116. 23,116. 23,116. 23,116. 23,116. 23,116.
39 0.265 1.185 -0.068 1.024 -0.237 -0.268 0.314 2.403 2.821 2.285 2.671 2.228 2.312 1.941 3.560 4.047 3.454 3.906 3.403 3.438 3.151 3.551 3.870 3.453 3.770 3.395 3.428 3.136 24,545. 24,545. 24,545. 24,545. 24,545. 24,545. 24,545.
42 -0.643 0.207 -0.925 0.113 -1.031 -0.664 0.365 2.472 2.668 2.440 2.572 2.415 2.350 2.068 3.562 3.835 3.551 3.740 3.533 3.432 3.198 3.503 3.829 3.428 3.739 3.379 3.367 3.177 25,250. 25,250. 25,250. 25,250. 25,250. 25,250. 25,250.
45 -0.687 0.733 -0.916 0.637 -1.001 -0.804 0.960 2.521 2.759 2.500 2.681 2.481 2.396 2.307 3.764 4.060 3.764 3.972 3.749 3.645 3.550 3.701 3.993 3.650 3.920 3.613 3.555 3.418 25,005. 25,005. 25,005. 25,005. 25,005. 25,005. 25,005.
48 -0.145 1.266 -0.381 1.135 -0.495 -0.881 0.255 2.492 2.917 2.466 2.842 2.447 2.456 2.203 3.706 4.165 3.687 4.080 3.668 3.663 3.387 3.703 3.968 3.667 3.919 3.635 3.556 3.378 24,529. 24,529. 24,529. 24,529. 24,529. 24,529. 24,529.
51 -0.044 1.222 -0.304 1.052 ******* -0.226 0.324 2.544 2.983 2.484 2.886 ******* 2.470 2.240 3.693 4.179 3.646 4.081 ******* 3.613 3.364 3.693 3.997 3.633 3.943 -9999.00 3.606 3.349 24,118. 24,118. 24,118. 24,118. 0. 24,118. 24,118.
54 -0.030 1.222 -0.312 1.044 ******* -0.137 0.923 2.665 3.139 2.576 3.018 ******* 2.597 2.412 3.900 4.421 3.823 4.304 ******* 3.811 3.639 3.900 4.249 3.810 4.175 -9999.00 3.809 3.520 23,358. 23,358. 23,358. 23,358. 0. 23,358. 23,358.
57 0.461 1.791 0.108 1.584 ******* 0.006 1.610 2.793 3.439 2.671 3.284 ******* 2.689 2.696 4.032 4.735 3.901 4.576 ******* 3.922 3.957 4.006 4.383 3.900 4.294 -9999.00 3.922 3.615 22,779. 22,779. 22,779. 22,779. 0. 22,779. 22,779.
60 0.638 2.273 0.273 2.086 ******* -0.270 0.952 2.923 3.774 2.787 3.622 ******* 2.757 2.581 4.076 5.026 3.932 4.867 ******* 3.902 3.768 4.026 4.482 3.923 4.397 -9999.00 3.892 3.646 23,202. 23,202. 23,202. 23,202. 0. 23,202. 23,202.
63 0.591 1.994 0.243 1.829 ******* -0.025 0.781 2.986 3.708 2.869 3.575 ******* 2.807 2.645 4.164 4.994 4.037 4.854 ******* 3.964 3.903 4.122 4.578 4.030 4.496 -9999.00 3.964 3.824 24,727. 24,727. 24,727. 24,727. 0. 24,727. 24,727.
66 -0.437 0.930 -0.727 0.827 ******* -0.614 1.040 2.952 3.404 2.923 3.326 ******* 2.817 2.784 4.086 4.626 4.064 4.535 ******* 3.959 3.967 4.063 4.532 3.999 4.459 -9999.00 3.911 3.828 25,413. 25,413. 25,413. 25,413. 0. 25,413. 25,413.
69 -0.319 1.257 -0.555 1.157 ******* -0.724 1.172 2.962 3.494 2.947 3.426 ******* 2.863 2.864 4.232 4.781 4.208 4.707 ******* 4.165 4.153 4.220 4.613 4.172 4.563 -9999.00 4.102 3.984 25,157. 25,157. 25,157. 25,157. 0. 25,157. 25,157.
72 0.288 1.767 0.037 1.633 ******* -0.612 0.540 3.036 3.678 3.013 3.612 ******* 2.975 2.824 4.324 4.927 4.274 4.850 ******* 4.317 4.074 4.314 4.600 4.274 4.567 -9999.00 4.274 4.038 24,690. 24,690. 24,690. 24,690. 0. 24,690. 24,690.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5-ETA  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5-ETA  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 1.495 1.924 1.271 1.695 0.969 0.199 0.733 1.740 2.032 1.622 1.822 1.470 1.133 1.086 3.046 3.293 2.942 3.132 2.475 2.277 2.234 2.654 2.672 2.654 2.634 2.278 2.268 2.110 23,316. 23,316. 23,316. 23,316. 14,876. 23,316. 23,316.
3 1.127 2.132 0.980 1.966 0.718 -0.037 0.874 1.502 2.323 1.443 2.213 1.287 1.390 1.640 2.667 3.363 2.627 3.285 2.125 2.550 2.769 2.418 2.601 2.437 2.632 2.000 2.550 2.627 24,836. 24,836. 24,836. 24,836. 15,967. 24,836. 24,836.
6 -0.054 0.522 -0.031 0.600 -0.034 -0.283 0.545 1.261 1.418 1.198 1.401 1.178 1.406 1.468 2.348 2.484 2.306 2.472 2.291 2.466 2.489 2.347 2.429 2.306 2.398 2.291 2.450 2.429 24,798. 24,798. 24,798. 24,798. 24,798. 24,798. 24,798.
9 -0.404 0.231 -0.454 0.200 -0.471 -0.823 0.776 1.446 1.480 1.412 1.423 1.387 1.618 1.490 2.692 2.728 2.666 2.685 2.644 2.817 2.717 2.662 2.718 2.627 2.678 2.602 2.694 2.604 24,891. 24,891. 24,891. 24,891. 24,891. 24,891. 24,891.
12 0.241 1.032 0.207 0.986 0.153 -0.763 -0.027 1.462 1.740 1.432 1.695 1.397 1.620 1.351 2.642 2.889 2.615 2.843 2.586 2.756 2.536 2.631 2.699 2.607 2.666 2.581 2.648 2.536 24,555. 24,555. 24,555. 24,555. 24,555. 24,555. 24,555.
15 0.397 1.250 0.244 1.109 0.141 -0.098 0.612 1.548 1.949 1.486 1.832 1.444 1.546 1.473 2.696 3.042 2.638 2.942 2.604 2.687 2.619 2.666 2.773 2.626 2.725 2.600 2.685 2.546 23,800. 23,800. 23,800. 23,800. 23,800. 23,800. 23,800.
18 0.519 0.917 0.316 0.749 0.168 0.023 0.647 1.716 1.973 1.621 1.852 1.560 1.678 1.505 2.898 3.117 2.815 3.016 2.766 2.854 2.713 2.852 2.979 2.798 2.921 2.761 2.854 2.635 23,107. 23,107. 23,107. 23,107. 23,107. 23,107. 23,107.
21 0.761 1.236 0.502 1.071 0.334 0.063 1.109 1.961 2.260 1.834 2.127 1.752 1.816 1.785 3.123 3.389 3.015 3.268 2.942 2.970 2.964 3.029 3.156 2.973 3.087 2.923 2.969 2.749 22,355. 22,355. 22,355. 22,355. 22,355. 22,355. 22,355.
24 0.937 1.665 0.641 1.478 0.467 -0.133 0.716 2.158 2.601 2.007 2.428 1.912 1.919 1.691 3.184 3.616 3.042 3.459 2.953 2.928 2.737 3.043 3.210 2.973 3.128 2.916 2.925 2.642 22,676. 22,676. 22,676. 22,676. 22,676. 22,676. 22,676.
27 0.674 1.546 0.377 1.391 0.209 -0.206 0.503 2.138 2.553 2.020 2.402 1.941 1.964 1.648 3.242 3.667 3.130 3.525 3.055 3.044 2.807 3.171 3.325 3.107 3.239 3.048 3.037 2.762 24,191. 24,191. 24,191. 24,191. 24,191. 24,191. 24,191.
30 -0.316 0.465 -0.544 0.364 -0.644 -0.684 0.621 2.080 2.185 2.057 2.098 2.030 2.015 1.682 3.079 3.224 3.054 3.135 3.031 3.018 2.734 3.062 3.191 3.006 3.113 2.962 2.940 2.662 24,902. 24,902. 24,902. 24,902. 24,902. 24,902. 24,902.
33 -0.398 0.907 -0.594 0.837 -0.668 -0.959 1.050 2.131 2.303 2.120 2.224 2.099 2.133 1.897 3.291 3.501 3.281 3.416 3.258 3.301 3.107 3.267 3.381 3.227 3.312 3.189 3.159 2.924 24,647. 24,647. 24,647. 24,647. 24,647. 24,647. 24,647.
36 0.150 1.562 -0.055 1.439 -0.155 -0.769 0.645 2.157 2.585 2.133 2.487 2.108 2.145 1.823 3.304 3.751 3.274 3.651 3.248 3.295 2.992 3.301 3.410 3.273 3.356 3.244 3.204 2.922 24,309. 24,309. 24,309. 24,309. 24,309. 24,309. 24,309.
39 0.574 1.474 0.341 1.304 0.201 -0.059 0.546 2.312 2.636 2.221 2.517 2.171 2.167 1.821 3.402 3.738 3.318 3.616 3.274 3.277 2.935 3.353 3.435 3.300 3.373 3.267 3.277 2.884 23,484. 23,484. 23,484. 23,484. 23,484. 23,484. 23,484.
42 0.608 1.385 0.334 1.207 0.165 0.099 1.113 2.465 2.794 2.345 2.659 2.278 2.368 2.121 3.597 3.922 3.480 3.788 3.420 3.500 3.277 3.546 3.670 3.464 3.591 3.417 3.498 3.082 22,667. 22,667. 22,667. 22,667. 22,667. 22,667. 22,667.
45 0.870 2.006 0.550 1.797 0.369 0.085 1.737 2.663 3.185 2.509 3.020 2.424 2.502 2.511 3.816 4.354 3.657 4.183 3.580 3.645 3.689 3.716 3.864 3.615 3.777 3.561 3.644 3.255 22,057. 22,057. 22,057. 22,057. 22,057. 22,057. 22,057.
48 0.873 2.511 0.539 2.332 0.352 -0.305 1.233 2.809 3.559 2.642 3.401 2.554 2.647 2.397 3.883 4.680 3.710 4.511 3.630 3.697 3.488 3.784 3.949 3.671 3.862 3.612 3.684 3.263 22,377. 22,377. 22,377. 22,377. 22,377. 22,377. 22,377.
51 0.670 2.221 0.348 2.041 ******* -0.275 1.068 2.848 3.505 2.701 3.345 ******* 2.701 2.423 4.006 4.686 3.854 4.519 ******* 3.858 3.586 3.949 4.126 3.839 4.032 -9999.00 3.848 3.424 24,302. 24,302. 24,302. 24,302. 0. 24,302. 24,302.
54 -0.337 1.088 -0.586 0.987 ******* -0.781 1.092 2.760 3.130 2.699 3.031 ******* 2.747 2.466 3.906 4.231 3.859 4.126 ******* 3.888 3.516 3.892 4.089 3.815 4.007 -9999.00 3.809 3.342 25,060. 25,060. 25,060. 25,060. 0. 25,060. 25,060.
57 -0.220 1.443 -0.439 1.348 ******* -0.719 1.451 2.810 3.312 2.760 3.237 ******* 2.817 2.668 4.104 4.546 4.070 4.464 ******* 4.161 3.864 4.098 4.311 4.046 4.255 -9999.00 4.099 3.581 24,807. 24,807. 24,807. 24,807. 0. 24,807. 24,807.
60 0.278 2.031 0.058 1.905 ******* -0.859 0.789 2.900 3.605 2.851 3.525 ******* 2.918 2.550 4.197 4.831 4.148 4.742 ******* 4.270 3.716 4.188 4.383 4.147 4.343 -9999.00 4.183 3.631 24,485. 24,485. 24,485. 24,485. 0. 24,485. 24,485.
63 0.281 1.997 0.042 1.828 ******* -0.345 0.842 3.005 3.706 2.931 3.594 ******* 2.952 2.639 4.261 4.904 4.200 4.790 ******* 4.204 3.806 4.252 4.480 4.200 4.427 -9999.00 4.190 3.712 23,632. 23,632. 23,632. 23,632. 0. 23,632. 23,632.
66 0.180 2.021 -0.092 1.830 ******* -0.209 1.762 3.157 3.842 3.065 3.706 ******* 3.103 3.038 4.455 5.099 4.371 4.959 ******* 4.375 4.279 4.451 4.682 4.370 4.609 -9999.00 4.370 3.899 22,959. 22,959. 22,959. 22,959. 0. 22,959. 22,959.
69 0.734 2.601 0.408 2.407 ******* -0.143 2.098 3.331 4.179 3.213 4.028 ******* 3.139 3.279 4.613 5.474 4.489 5.310 ******* 4.402 4.534 4.554 4.817 4.471 4.734 -9999.00 4.400 4.020 22,335. 22,335. 22,335. 22,335. 0. 22,335. 22,335.
72 0.996 3.171 0.650 2.978 ******* -0.218 1.758 3.465 4.587 3.339 4.432 ******* 3.192 3.190 4.734 5.901 4.595 5.730 ******* 4.398 4.415 4.628 4.977 4.549 4.895 -9999.00 4.392 4.050 22,549. 22,549. 22,549. 22,549. 0. 22,549. 22,549.