MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 13.145 13.125 9.752 12.111 -0.197 16.908 16.910 14.338 16.387 11.712 22.496 22.517 19.604 21.893 15.293 18.256 18.296 17.006 18.238 15.292 98,946. 98,946. 64,647. 98,946. 98,946.
3 4.973 4.039 1.599 10.036 -2.197 13.188 12.723 12.218 15.141 11.517 17.590 17.025 16.325 20.475 15.161 16.872 16.539 16.246 17.847 15.001 99,737. 99,737. 65,077. 99,737. 99,737.
6 4.537 2.225 0.415 7.509 -3.765 13.111 12.508 12.260 13.830 11.970 17.707 16.880 16.525 19.132 15.777 17.116 16.733 16.520 17.596 15.321 95,767. 95,767. 95,767. 95,767. 95,767.
9 3.974 0.824 -1.815 6.440 -4.426 12.982 12.496 12.388 13.477 12.355 17.737 17.012 16.815 18.975 16.346 17.286 16.993 16.717 17.848 15.736 94,303. 94,303. 94,303. 94,303. 94,303.
12 3.490 -0.007 -2.860 5.469 -4.442 12.896 12.535 12.584 13.248 12.614 17.812 17.218 17.250 18.901 16.832 17.467 17.218 17.012 18.093 16.235 95,229. 95,229. 95,229. 95,229. 95,229.
15 3.543 0.074 -2.732 5.001 -4.376 12.773 12.419 12.463 13.023 12.615 17.703 17.097 17.140 18.535 16.796 17.345 17.097 16.921 17.848 16.216 97,274. 97,274. 97,274. 97,274. 97,274.
18 3.679 0.785 -1.117 6.178 -3.804 13.661 12.907 12.683 14.733 12.652 17.993 17.088 16.801 19.778 16.356 17.613 17.070 16.764 18.789 15.907 98,639. 98,639. 98,639. 98,639. 98,639.
21 4.326 1.819 0.163 8.452 -1.820 13.915 13.154 12.916 16.049 12.430 18.083 17.202 16.936 21.305 16.158 17.558 17.106 16.935 19.557 16.055 100,321. 100,321. 100,321. 100,321. 100,321.
24 6.160 4.002 2.288 10.884 -0.901 14.123 13.253 12.955 16.368 12.394 18.413 17.343 16.945 21.749 16.091 17.353 16.875 16.790 18.829 16.066 98,895. 98,895. 98,895. 98,895. 98,895.
27 5.252 3.381 0.832 9.614 -3.524 13.765 13.056 12.773 15.668 12.734 18.293 17.389 16.956 21.102 16.603 17.523 17.057 16.936 18.785 16.225 99,376. 99,376. 99,376. 99,376. 99,376.
30 4.965 2.163 -0.999 7.022 -5.254 13.557 12.989 12.856 14.326 13.212 18.331 17.539 17.250 19.703 17.243 17.646 17.405 17.221 18.409 16.424 96,955. 96,955. 96,955. 96,955. 96,955.
33 4.457 1.081 -2.162 5.775 -5.863 13.346 12.959 12.989 13.948 13.577 18.271 17.661 17.602 19.502 17.826 17.719 17.628 17.469 18.627 16.835 94,664. 94,664. 94,664. 94,664. 94,664.
36 3.956 0.317 -2.882 4.784 -5.861 13.185 12.948 13.091 13.680 13.742 18.278 17.817 17.919 19.346 18.250 17.845 17.814 17.686 18.745 17.284 95,538. 95,538. 95,538. 95,538. 95,538.
39 3.719 0.119 -2.919 4.237 -5.683 13.144 12.957 13.087 13.446 13.577 18.227 17.848 17.932 18.934 18.017 17.844 17.848 17.693 18.454 17.097 96,785. 96,785. 96,785. 96,785. 96,785.
42 3.808 0.810 -1.288 5.177 -5.150 14.615 13.934 13.771 15.235 13.708 19.101 18.298 18.080 20.315 17.706 18.718 18.280 18.034 19.644 16.941 98,014. 98,014. 98,014. 98,014. 98,014.
45 4.532 1.785 -0.044 7.848 -2.913 15.102 14.420 14.201 16.501 13.332 19.536 18.747 18.418 21.799 17.340 19.003 18.662 18.418 20.338 17.093 99,649. 99,649. 99,649. 99,649. 99,649.
48 6.378 4.111 2.182 10.768 -1.944 15.161 14.317 14.015 16.814 13.199 19.766 18.734 18.265 22.274 17.147 18.709 18.277 18.135 19.498 17.037 98,077. 98,077. 98,077. 98,077. 98,077.
51 5.198 3.236 ******* 9.079 -4.648 14.359 13.802 ******* 15.976 13.591 19.066 18.331 ******* 21.403 17.652 18.344 18.043 -9999.00 19.382 17.029 99,361. 99,361. 0. 99,361. 99,361.
54 4.795 1.982 ******* 6.573 -6.379 13.958 13.501 ******* 14.709 14.054 18.896 18.216 ******* 20.172 18.249 18.278 18.107 -9999.00 19.071 17.098 96,787. 96,787. 0. 96,787. 96,787.
57 4.339 0.975 ******* 5.433 -6.927 13.718 13.392 ******* 14.289 14.434 18.836 18.250 ******* 19.945 18.820 18.330 18.224 -9999.00 19.191 17.499 94,547. 94,547. 0. 94,547. 94,547.
60 3.788 0.197 ******* 4.527 -6.782 13.528 13.381 ******* 14.002 14.557 18.773 18.396 ******* 19.742 19.187 18.387 18.395 -9999.00 19.216 17.948 95,128. 95,128. 0. 95,128. 95,128.
63 3.441 -0.023 ******* 3.919 -6.684 13.440 13.340 ******* 13.778 14.429 18.633 18.350 ******* 19.334 19.068 18.312 18.351 -9999.00 18.933 17.859 97,233. 97,233. 0. 97,233. 97,233.
66 3.537 0.619 ******* 5.069 -5.992 15.180 14.604 ******* 15.667 14.523 19.851 19.125 ******* 20.817 18.795 19.533 19.115 -9999.00 20.190 17.815 98,197. 98,197. 0. 98,197. 98,197.
69 4.389 1.718 ******* 7.845 -3.295 15.932 15.190 ******* 17.054 14.062 20.567 19.727 ******* 22.343 18.266 20.093 19.652 -9999.00 20.920 17.966 98,708. 98,708. 0. 98,708. 98,708.
72 6.381 3.965 ******* 10.749 -2.365 16.010 15.014 ******* 17.343 13.902 20.807 19.618 ******* 22.778 18.041 19.805 19.213 -9999.00 20.082 17.886 96,942. 96,942. 0. 96,942. 96,942.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 6.249 6.246 5.262 5.498 -1.367 12.661 12.676 13.119 12.525 11.461 18.173 18.203 18.847 17.939 15.549 17.065 17.097 18.098 17.076 15.489 94,125. 94,125. 61,385. 94,125. 94,125.
3 4.081 1.914 -0.501 4.497 -2.329 12.493 12.259 12.436 12.473 11.508 17.305 16.819 17.057 17.743 15.412 16.817 16.710 17.050 17.163 15.235 95,920. 95,920. 62,469. 95,920. 95,920.
6 3.849 2.163 1.485 5.469 -2.514 13.258 12.654 12.419 14.051 12.096 17.320 16.607 16.310 18.866 15.628 16.887 16.466 16.243 18.056 15.425 95,300. 95,300. 95,300. 95,300. 95,300.
9 4.365 2.715 1.690 7.692 -0.859 13.512 12.919 12.810 15.238 12.119 17.419 16.741 16.578 20.282 15.736 16.864 16.520 16.492 18.767 15.713 98,317. 98,317. 98,317. 98,317. 98,317.
12 6.590 4.989 3.667 10.362 0.002 13.900 13.097 12.848 15.770 12.158 18.045 17.101 16.730 21.040 15.747 16.798 16.357 16.323 18.312 15.747 97,048. 97,048. 97,048. 97,048. 97,048.
15 5.815 4.276 1.962 9.421 -2.426 13.717 12.915 12.528 15.142 12.098 18.213 17.219 16.609 20.434 15.788 17.260 16.680 16.493 18.133 15.601 97,386. 97,386. 97,386. 97,386. 97,386.
18 5.670 2.945 -0.048 6.919 -3.924 13.553 12.804 12.449 13.973 12.437 18.310 17.264 16.676 19.202 16.228 17.410 17.011 16.676 17.913 15.746 94,917. 94,917. 94,917. 94,917. 94,917.
21 5.092 1.794 -1.248 5.695 -4.491 13.321 12.707 12.513 13.681 12.759 18.240 17.320 16.958 19.118 16.717 17.515 17.227 16.912 18.250 16.102 92,088. 92,088. 92,088. 92,088. 92,088.
24 4.461 0.991 -2.014 4.847 -4.564 13.191 12.725 12.633 13.481 12.957 18.264 17.517 17.306 19.090 17.153 17.711 17.489 17.189 18.465 16.535 92,945. 92,945. 92,945. 92,945. 92,945.
27 4.389 0.961 -1.874 4.320 -4.441 13.166 12.710 12.648 13.280 12.856 18.270 17.551 17.406 18.745 17.039 17.735 17.525 17.305 18.241 16.450 94,564. 94,564. 94,564. 94,564. 94,564.
30 4.524 1.772 -0.168 5.267 -4.180 14.423 13.608 13.293 14.788 13.108 18.905 17.935 17.536 19.763 16.930 18.356 17.847 17.535 19.048 16.406 95,360. 95,360. 95,360. 95,360. 95,360.
33 5.097 2.592 0.930 7.653 -2.080 14.784 13.940 13.664 15.881 12.921 19.055 18.073 17.707 21.058 16.797 18.360 17.886 17.683 19.619 16.667 96,941. 96,941. 96,941. 96,941. 96,941.
36 6.766 4.606 2.854 10.394 -1.232 14.821 13.890 13.568 16.262 12.885 19.212 18.114 17.669 21.613 16.705 17.981 17.519 17.437 18.950 16.659 95,314. 95,314. 95,314. 95,314. 95,314.
39 5.352 3.544 0.988 8.880 -3.911 14.131 13.520 13.301 15.633 13.132 18.756 17.977 17.581 21.048 17.042 17.977 17.624 17.553 19.083 16.588 96,206. 96,206. 96,206. 96,206. 96,206.
42 5.132 2.359 -0.851 6.211 -5.613 13.895 13.385 13.304 14.406 13.598 18.820 18.057 17.827 19.796 17.665 18.107 17.902 17.806 18.797 16.749 93,799. 93,799. 93,799. 93,799. 93,799.
45 4.750 1.342 -1.926 5.063 -6.218 13.660 13.307 13.358 14.111 13.980 18.768 18.123 18.054 19.700 18.249 18.157 18.073 17.951 19.038 17.157 91,608. 91,608. 91,608. 91,608. 91,608.
48 4.134 0.567 -2.675 4.125 -6.205 13.484 13.286 13.449 13.870 14.114 18.709 18.240 18.316 19.574 18.591 18.246 18.232 18.120 19.135 17.525 92,235. 92,235. 92,235. 92,235. 92,235.
51 3.910 0.327 ******* 3.571 -6.166 13.461 13.268 ******* 13.635 14.019 18.651 18.196 ******* 19.150 18.459 18.237 18.193 -9999.00 18.815 17.399 94,711. 94,711. 0. 94,711. 94,711.
54 3.742 0.900 ******* 4.454 -5.842 14.940 14.355 ******* 15.234 14.278 19.506 18.787 ******* 20.260 18.366 19.144 18.765 -9999.00 19.764 17.412 96,001. 96,001. 0. 96,001. 96,001.
57 4.439 1.901 ******* 7.032 -3.584 15.439 14.785 ******* 16.295 13.788 19.956 19.189 ******* 21.454 17.931 19.456 19.094 -9999.00 20.269 17.570 97,481. 97,481. 0. 97,481. 97,481.
60 6.507 4.210 ******* 10.113 -2.560 15.508 14.618 ******* 16.657 13.627 20.186 19.072 ******* 21.991 17.684 19.109 18.602 -9999.00 19.527 17.498 96,225. 96,225. 0. 96,225. 96,225.
63 4.996 3.077 ******* 8.563 -5.496 14.642 14.091 ******* 15.865 14.059 19.420 18.683 ******* 21.299 18.175 18.766 18.428 -9999.00 19.502 17.324 96,744. 96,744. 0. 96,744. 96,744.
66 4.528 1.680 ******* 5.936 -7.283 14.249 13.862 ******* 14.674 14.563 19.257 18.650 ******* 20.169 18.795 18.717 18.574 -9999.00 19.276 17.327 94,179. 94,179. 0. 94,179. 94,179.
69 4.109 0.780 ******* 4.896 -7.666 13.972 13.763 ******* 14.311 14.885 19.169 18.698 ******* 19.993 19.288 18.723 18.682 -9999.00 19.385 17.700 92,007. 92,007. 0. 92,007. 92,007.
72 3.592 0.020 ******* 3.842 -7.585 13.796 13.728 ******* 14.064 15.017 19.097 18.779 ******* 19.844 19.644 18.757 18.779 -9999.00 19.469 18.121 92,599. 92,599. 0. 92,599. 92,599.