MM5 Statistics
0Z Stats 12Z Stats
00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 2002090912 to 2003042112
| Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
| MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
| 0 |
0.310 |
0.138 |
-0.099 |
-1.439 |
0.255 |
2.009 |
1.936 |
1.970 |
2.546 |
2.417 |
2.963 |
2.893 |
2.755 |
3.524 |
3.383 |
2.947 |
2.890 |
2.753 |
3.217 |
3.373 |
125,287. |
125,287. |
80,900. |
125,287. |
125,287. |
| 3 |
1.201 |
1.271 |
1.518 |
-1.067 |
0.080 |
2.201 |
2.149 |
2.268 |
2.456 |
2.364 |
3.251 |
3.206 |
3.209 |
3.532 |
3.308 |
3.021 |
2.944 |
2.827 |
3.367 |
3.307 |
126,106. |
126,106. |
81,442. |
126,106. |
126,106. |
| 6 |
1.318 |
1.492 |
1.650 |
-0.540 |
0.350 |
2.428 |
2.408 |
2.422 |
2.406 |
2.522 |
3.573 |
3.574 |
3.601 |
3.448 |
3.537 |
3.321 |
3.248 |
3.201 |
3.406 |
3.519 |
123,878. |
123,878. |
123,878. |
123,878. |
123,878. |
| 9 |
1.389 |
1.638 |
1.891 |
-0.436 |
0.451 |
2.611 |
2.609 |
2.648 |
2.538 |
2.664 |
3.816 |
3.851 |
3.912 |
3.637 |
3.741 |
3.555 |
3.485 |
3.425 |
3.611 |
3.714 |
120,191. |
120,191. |
120,191. |
120,191. |
120,191. |
| 12 |
1.400 |
1.709 |
2.002 |
-0.310 |
0.371 |
2.716 |
2.731 |
2.785 |
2.610 |
2.741 |
3.926 |
3.989 |
4.075 |
3.715 |
3.816 |
3.668 |
3.604 |
3.550 |
3.702 |
3.798 |
122,921. |
122,921. |
122,921. |
122,921. |
122,921. |
| 15 |
1.021 |
1.340 |
1.634 |
-0.240 |
0.501 |
2.627 |
2.611 |
2.626 |
2.618 |
2.771 |
3.807 |
3.834 |
3.880 |
3.745 |
3.874 |
3.668 |
3.592 |
3.519 |
3.738 |
3.841 |
124,012. |
124,012. |
124,012. |
124,012. |
124,012. |
| 18 |
-0.763 |
-0.435 |
-0.250 |
-0.708 |
0.412 |
2.481 |
2.271 |
2.165 |
2.647 |
2.551 |
3.539 |
3.313 |
3.185 |
3.713 |
3.578 |
3.456 |
3.284 |
3.175 |
3.645 |
3.555 |
125,988. |
125,988. |
125,988. |
125,988. |
125,988. |
| 21 |
-1.262 |
-0.955 |
-0.805 |
-0.906 |
0.140 |
2.723 |
2.500 |
2.399 |
2.753 |
2.620 |
3.728 |
3.508 |
3.406 |
3.802 |
3.616 |
3.508 |
3.375 |
3.309 |
3.692 |
3.613 |
126,216. |
126,216. |
126,216. |
126,216. |
126,216. |
| 24 |
-0.753 |
-0.526 |
-0.395 |
-1.166 |
0.120 |
2.401 |
2.225 |
2.155 |
2.534 |
2.506 |
3.383 |
3.222 |
3.154 |
3.533 |
3.479 |
3.298 |
3.178 |
3.129 |
3.335 |
3.477 |
125,115. |
125,115. |
125,115. |
125,115. |
125,115. |
| 27 |
0.617 |
0.743 |
0.931 |
-1.052 |
0.299 |
2.184 |
2.098 |
2.091 |
2.530 |
2.431 |
3.209 |
3.126 |
3.127 |
3.610 |
3.393 |
3.149 |
3.036 |
2.985 |
3.453 |
3.380 |
125,594. |
125,594. |
125,594. |
125,594. |
125,594. |
| 30 |
0.861 |
1.064 |
1.335 |
-0.492 |
0.576 |
2.389 |
2.345 |
2.368 |
2.476 |
2.594 |
3.479 |
3.453 |
3.500 |
3.537 |
3.630 |
3.371 |
3.285 |
3.236 |
3.503 |
3.584 |
125,283. |
125,283. |
125,283. |
125,283. |
125,283. |
| 33 |
1.009 |
1.264 |
1.560 |
-0.379 |
0.605 |
2.582 |
2.549 |
2.577 |
2.627 |
2.717 |
3.729 |
3.724 |
3.784 |
3.735 |
3.811 |
3.589 |
3.503 |
3.448 |
3.715 |
3.763 |
120,728. |
120,728. |
120,728. |
120,728. |
120,728. |
| 36 |
1.060 |
1.371 |
1.684 |
-0.303 |
0.497 |
2.719 |
2.689 |
2.718 |
2.736 |
2.790 |
3.879 |
3.881 |
3.947 |
3.859 |
3.881 |
3.731 |
3.631 |
3.570 |
3.847 |
3.849 |
123,397. |
123,397. |
123,397. |
123,397. |
123,397. |
| 39 |
0.750 |
1.073 |
1.384 |
-0.277 |
0.574 |
2.715 |
2.646 |
2.645 |
2.767 |
2.833 |
3.872 |
3.834 |
3.862 |
3.914 |
3.940 |
3.799 |
3.681 |
3.605 |
3.905 |
3.898 |
123,467. |
123,467. |
123,467. |
123,467. |
123,467. |
| 42 |
-1.024 |
-0.668 |
-0.457 |
-0.758 |
0.572 |
2.690 |
2.450 |
2.340 |
2.781 |
2.655 |
3.780 |
3.520 |
3.390 |
3.880 |
3.702 |
3.639 |
3.456 |
3.359 |
3.806 |
3.657 |
125,206. |
125,206. |
125,206. |
125,206. |
125,206. |
| 45 |
-1.506 |
-1.142 |
-0.966 |
-0.983 |
0.306 |
2.988 |
2.742 |
2.645 |
2.894 |
2.733 |
4.026 |
3.785 |
3.682 |
3.966 |
3.753 |
3.734 |
3.609 |
3.553 |
3.842 |
3.741 |
125,396. |
125,396. |
125,396. |
125,396. |
125,396. |
| 48 |
-0.976 |
-0.710 |
-0.551 |
-1.274 |
0.242 |
2.641 |
2.442 |
2.375 |
2.693 |
2.609 |
3.643 |
3.460 |
3.393 |
3.712 |
3.600 |
3.509 |
3.387 |
3.348 |
3.486 |
3.591 |
124,125. |
124,125. |
124,125. |
124,125. |
124,125. |
| 51 |
0.410 |
0.566 |
******* |
-1.074 |
0.366 |
2.281 |
2.183 |
******* |
2.663 |
2.493 |
3.292 |
3.202 |
******* |
3.757 |
3.462 |
3.266 |
3.151 |
-9999.00 |
3.600 |
3.443 |
125,730. |
125,730. |
0. |
125,730. |
125,730. |
| 54 |
0.654 |
0.882 |
******* |
-0.579 |
0.607 |
2.471 |
2.405 |
******* |
2.635 |
2.655 |
3.532 |
3.482 |
******* |
3.694 |
3.684 |
3.470 |
3.368 |
-9999.00 |
3.649 |
3.633 |
125,286. |
125,286. |
0. |
125,286. |
125,286. |
| 57 |
0.801 |
1.083 |
******* |
-0.489 |
0.636 |
2.669 |
2.611 |
******* |
2.801 |
2.785 |
3.784 |
3.749 |
******* |
3.910 |
3.868 |
3.698 |
3.589 |
-9999.00 |
3.879 |
3.815 |
120,828. |
120,828. |
0. |
120,828. |
120,828. |
| 60 |
0.863 |
1.199 |
******* |
-0.437 |
0.501 |
2.805 |
2.751 |
******* |
2.901 |
2.856 |
3.937 |
3.910 |
******* |
4.022 |
3.935 |
3.841 |
3.721 |
-9999.00 |
3.998 |
3.903 |
123,154. |
123,154. |
0. |
123,154. |
123,154. |
| 63 |
0.583 |
0.926 |
******* |
-0.389 |
0.596 |
2.803 |
2.719 |
******* |
2.900 |
2.895 |
3.948 |
3.885 |
******* |
4.043 |
3.995 |
3.904 |
3.773 |
-9999.00 |
4.024 |
3.951 |
124,282. |
124,282. |
0. |
124,282. |
124,282. |
| 66 |
-1.114 |
-0.732 |
******* |
-0.902 |
0.664 |
2.784 |
2.540 |
******* |
2.890 |
2.743 |
3.881 |
3.615 |
******* |
3.991 |
3.797 |
3.717 |
3.540 |
-9999.00 |
3.888 |
3.738 |
125,752. |
125,752. |
0. |
125,752. |
125,752. |
| 69 |
-1.534 |
-1.153 |
******* |
-1.066 |
0.374 |
3.054 |
2.809 |
******* |
3.016 |
2.819 |
4.110 |
3.865 |
******* |
4.082 |
3.857 |
3.813 |
3.689 |
-9999.00 |
3.941 |
3.839 |
123,932. |
123,932. |
0. |
123,932. |
123,932. |
| 72 |
-0.976 |
-0.679 |
******* |
-1.283 |
0.338 |
2.731 |
2.518 |
******* |
2.807 |
2.706 |
3.754 |
3.554 |
******* |
3.824 |
3.724 |
3.624 |
3.489 |
-9999.00 |
3.602 |
3.709 |
122,317. |
122,317. |
0. |
122,317. |
122,317. |
12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 2002090912 to 2003042112
| Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
| MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
| 0 |
-0.685 |
-0.833 |
-1.106 |
0.035 |
-0.331 |
2.462 |
2.425 |
2.597 |
2.558 |
2.658 |
3.538 |
3.474 |
3.499 |
3.663 |
3.690 |
3.471 |
3.372 |
3.320 |
3.662 |
3.675 |
121,622. |
121,622. |
78,328. |
121,622. |
121,622. |
| 3 |
-0.147 |
0.142 |
0.544 |
0.271 |
0.026 |
2.462 |
2.364 |
2.407 |
2.585 |
2.661 |
3.569 |
3.479 |
3.381 |
3.738 |
3.719 |
3.566 |
3.476 |
3.337 |
3.728 |
3.719 |
122,472. |
122,472. |
78,727. |
122,472. |
122,472. |
| 6 |
-1.422 |
-1.242 |
-1.169 |
-0.130 |
0.031 |
2.601 |
2.447 |
2.360 |
2.469 |
2.533 |
3.687 |
3.496 |
3.377 |
3.552 |
3.564 |
3.402 |
3.268 |
3.168 |
3.550 |
3.564 |
121,802. |
121,802. |
121,802. |
121,802. |
121,802. |
| 9 |
-1.621 |
-1.517 |
-1.456 |
-0.395 |
-0.158 |
2.801 |
2.666 |
2.603 |
2.554 |
2.642 |
3.797 |
3.658 |
3.588 |
3.583 |
3.621 |
3.434 |
3.328 |
3.279 |
3.562 |
3.618 |
123,593. |
123,593. |
123,593. |
123,593. |
123,593. |
| 12 |
-1.059 |
-1.005 |
-0.938 |
-0.723 |
-0.142 |
2.400 |
2.293 |
2.247 |
2.322 |
2.522 |
3.362 |
3.268 |
3.223 |
3.301 |
3.469 |
3.191 |
3.110 |
3.084 |
3.221 |
3.466 |
122,601. |
122,601. |
122,601. |
122,601. |
122,601. |
| 15 |
0.252 |
0.274 |
0.442 |
-0.715 |
0.093 |
2.057 |
1.948 |
1.909 |
2.375 |
2.365 |
3.044 |
2.936 |
2.898 |
3.422 |
3.315 |
3.034 |
2.923 |
2.864 |
3.346 |
3.314 |
123,009. |
123,009. |
123,009. |
123,009. |
123,009. |
| 18 |
0.454 |
0.614 |
0.886 |
-0.190 |
0.361 |
2.252 |
2.172 |
2.146 |
2.389 |
2.517 |
3.286 |
3.220 |
3.215 |
3.440 |
3.520 |
3.254 |
3.161 |
3.090 |
3.434 |
3.502 |
122,630. |
122,630. |
122,630. |
122,630. |
122,630. |
| 21 |
0.601 |
0.831 |
1.129 |
-0.067 |
0.432 |
2.428 |
2.361 |
2.339 |
2.540 |
2.645 |
3.518 |
3.477 |
3.483 |
3.646 |
3.707 |
3.467 |
3.377 |
3.295 |
3.645 |
3.682 |
117,375. |
117,375. |
117,375. |
117,375. |
117,375. |
| 24 |
0.687 |
0.974 |
1.293 |
-0.022 |
0.356 |
2.558 |
2.494 |
2.480 |
2.638 |
2.719 |
3.656 |
3.628 |
3.648 |
3.746 |
3.779 |
3.591 |
3.494 |
3.412 |
3.746 |
3.762 |
119,966. |
119,966. |
119,966. |
119,966. |
119,966. |
| 27 |
0.405 |
0.711 |
1.020 |
0.017 |
0.441 |
2.580 |
2.490 |
2.449 |
2.666 |
2.759 |
3.696 |
3.632 |
3.612 |
3.794 |
3.841 |
3.674 |
3.562 |
3.465 |
3.794 |
3.815 |
120,566. |
120,566. |
120,566. |
120,566. |
120,566. |
| 30 |
-1.266 |
-0.977 |
-0.785 |
-0.502 |
0.395 |
2.710 |
2.486 |
2.359 |
2.687 |
2.609 |
3.803 |
3.552 |
3.399 |
3.765 |
3.642 |
3.586 |
3.415 |
3.307 |
3.732 |
3.620 |
121,675. |
121,675. |
121,675. |
121,675. |
121,675. |
| 33 |
-1.682 |
-1.399 |
-1.245 |
-0.728 |
0.103 |
2.986 |
2.767 |
2.669 |
2.772 |
2.703 |
4.015 |
3.799 |
3.698 |
3.824 |
3.705 |
3.645 |
3.532 |
3.482 |
3.754 |
3.703 |
121,910. |
121,910. |
121,910. |
121,910. |
121,910. |
| 36 |
-1.129 |
-0.916 |
-0.780 |
-1.026 |
0.092 |
2.596 |
2.428 |
2.358 |
2.533 |
2.588 |
3.574 |
3.424 |
3.359 |
3.517 |
3.557 |
3.391 |
3.299 |
3.267 |
3.364 |
3.555 |
120,596. |
120,596. |
120,596. |
120,596. |
120,596. |
| 39 |
0.288 |
0.406 |
0.616 |
-0.896 |
0.261 |
2.184 |
2.082 |
2.070 |
2.546 |
2.448 |
3.175 |
3.078 |
3.073 |
3.622 |
3.407 |
3.161 |
3.051 |
3.011 |
3.509 |
3.396 |
121,554. |
121,554. |
121,554. |
121,554. |
121,554. |
| 42 |
0.517 |
0.730 |
1.020 |
-0.373 |
0.539 |
2.386 |
2.306 |
2.311 |
2.538 |
2.608 |
3.423 |
3.359 |
3.387 |
3.591 |
3.627 |
3.384 |
3.279 |
3.230 |
3.572 |
3.587 |
121,172. |
121,172. |
121,172. |
121,172. |
121,172. |
| 45 |
0.659 |
0.936 |
1.246 |
-0.278 |
0.586 |
2.576 |
2.502 |
2.510 |
2.710 |
2.733 |
3.663 |
3.614 |
3.651 |
3.809 |
3.806 |
3.603 |
3.491 |
3.432 |
3.799 |
3.761 |
116,646. |
116,646. |
116,646. |
116,646. |
116,646. |
| 48 |
0.746 |
1.067 |
1.397 |
-0.235 |
0.476 |
2.722 |
2.649 |
2.660 |
2.818 |
2.805 |
3.834 |
3.792 |
3.837 |
3.940 |
3.883 |
3.761 |
3.639 |
3.574 |
3.933 |
3.854 |
119,065. |
119,065. |
119,065. |
119,065. |
119,065. |
| 51 |
0.467 |
0.809 |
******* |
-0.202 |
0.552 |
2.754 |
2.644 |
******* |
2.842 |
2.837 |
3.883 |
3.799 |
******* |
3.987 |
3.936 |
3.855 |
3.712 |
-9999.00 |
3.982 |
3.897 |
120,956. |
120,956. |
0. |
120,956. |
120,956. |
| 54 |
-1.209 |
-0.866 |
******* |
-0.691 |
0.578 |
2.803 |
2.566 |
******* |
2.842 |
2.717 |
3.906 |
3.646 |
******* |
3.939 |
3.766 |
3.714 |
3.542 |
-9999.00 |
3.878 |
3.722 |
122,790. |
122,790. |
0. |
122,790. |
122,790. |
| 57 |
-1.622 |
-1.288 |
******* |
-0.835 |
0.356 |
3.091 |
2.865 |
******* |
2.925 |
2.809 |
4.147 |
3.924 |
******* |
3.994 |
3.832 |
3.817 |
3.706 |
-9999.00 |
3.906 |
3.815 |
122,872. |
122,872. |
0. |
122,872. |
122,872. |
| 60 |
-1.067 |
-0.816 |
******* |
-1.119 |
0.304 |
2.756 |
2.565 |
******* |
2.710 |
2.684 |
3.766 |
3.593 |
******* |
3.717 |
3.682 |
3.612 |
3.499 |
-9999.00 |
3.545 |
3.670 |
121,853. |
121,853. |
0. |
121,853. |
121,853. |
| 63 |
0.361 |
0.502 |
******* |
-0.955 |
0.444 |
2.333 |
2.232 |
******* |
2.705 |
2.539 |
3.334 |
3.241 |
******* |
3.792 |
3.512 |
3.314 |
3.202 |
-9999.00 |
3.670 |
3.484 |
122,311. |
122,311. |
0. |
122,311. |
122,311. |
| 66 |
0.621 |
0.846 |
******* |
-0.434 |
0.723 |
2.530 |
2.459 |
******* |
2.717 |
2.713 |
3.578 |
3.523 |
******* |
3.787 |
3.743 |
3.524 |
3.420 |
-9999.00 |
3.762 |
3.672 |
121,899. |
121,899. |
0. |
121,899. |
121,899. |
| 69 |
0.798 |
1.079 |
******* |
-0.316 |
0.746 |
2.743 |
2.688 |
******* |
2.886 |
2.845 |
3.848 |
3.813 |
******* |
4.004 |
3.931 |
3.765 |
3.657 |
-9999.00 |
3.991 |
3.859 |
117,547. |
117,547. |
0. |
117,547. |
117,547. |
| 72 |
0.880 |
1.211 |
******* |
-0.253 |
0.629 |
2.901 |
2.846 |
******* |
2.987 |
2.922 |
4.022 |
3.989 |
******* |
4.116 |
4.010 |
3.925 |
3.801 |
-9999.00 |
4.108 |
3.960 |
119,915. |
119,915. |
0. |
119,915. |
119,915. |