MM5 Statistics
0Z Stats 12Z Stats
00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots )
From 2002090912 to 2003042112
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
5.670 |
5.696 |
5.643 |
5.722 |
6.146 |
5.670 |
5.696 |
5.643 |
5.722 |
6.146 |
6.813 |
6.842 |
6.805 |
6.870 |
7.439 |
3.778 |
3.790 |
3.804 |
3.802 |
4.192 |
115,545. |
115,545. |
75,292. |
115,545. |
115,545. |
3 |
6.954 |
6.612 |
6.287 |
6.219 |
5.645 |
6.954 |
6.612 |
6.287 |
6.219 |
5.645 |
8.074 |
7.781 |
7.568 |
7.342 |
6.803 |
4.102 |
4.101 |
4.212 |
3.902 |
3.797 |
116,794. |
116,794. |
75,923. |
116,794. |
116,794. |
6 |
7.328 |
7.056 |
6.650 |
6.355 |
5.621 |
7.328 |
7.056 |
6.650 |
6.355 |
5.621 |
8.490 |
8.272 |
7.968 |
7.476 |
6.820 |
4.287 |
4.318 |
4.390 |
3.938 |
3.861 |
112,311. |
112,311. |
112,311. |
112,311. |
112,311. |
9 |
7.348 |
7.059 |
6.483 |
6.348 |
5.545 |
7.348 |
7.059 |
6.483 |
6.348 |
5.545 |
8.453 |
8.270 |
7.835 |
7.432 |
6.755 |
4.179 |
4.309 |
4.400 |
3.866 |
3.858 |
108,657. |
108,657. |
108,657. |
108,657. |
108,657. |
12 |
7.519 |
7.149 |
6.536 |
6.476 |
5.585 |
7.519 |
7.149 |
6.536 |
6.476 |
5.585 |
8.650 |
8.399 |
7.929 |
7.586 |
6.824 |
4.276 |
4.407 |
4.489 |
3.950 |
3.921 |
112,018. |
112,018. |
112,018. |
112,018. |
112,018. |
15 |
7.738 |
7.294 |
6.627 |
6.627 |
5.582 |
7.738 |
7.294 |
6.627 |
6.627 |
5.582 |
8.904 |
8.580 |
8.068 |
7.762 |
6.853 |
4.405 |
4.519 |
4.602 |
4.042 |
3.977 |
114,937. |
114,937. |
114,937. |
114,937. |
114,937. |
18 |
7.766 |
7.263 |
6.710 |
6.762 |
6.104 |
7.766 |
7.263 |
6.710 |
6.762 |
6.104 |
9.212 |
8.819 |
8.383 |
7.991 |
7.426 |
4.955 |
5.003 |
5.024 |
4.258 |
4.230 |
115,434. |
115,434. |
115,434. |
115,434. |
115,434. |
21 |
7.570 |
7.251 |
6.926 |
6.845 |
6.613 |
7.570 |
7.251 |
6.926 |
6.845 |
6.613 |
9.058 |
8.844 |
8.608 |
8.079 |
7.954 |
4.974 |
5.064 |
5.112 |
4.293 |
4.419 |
116,844. |
116,844. |
116,844. |
116,844. |
116,844. |
24 |
7.321 |
7.106 |
6.848 |
6.668 |
6.451 |
7.321 |
7.106 |
6.848 |
6.668 |
6.451 |
8.648 |
8.536 |
8.364 |
7.885 |
7.798 |
4.604 |
4.729 |
4.803 |
4.209 |
4.382 |
115,596. |
115,596. |
115,596. |
115,596. |
115,596. |
27 |
7.498 |
7.294 |
6.912 |
6.553 |
5.968 |
7.498 |
7.294 |
6.912 |
6.553 |
5.968 |
8.701 |
8.578 |
8.294 |
7.709 |
7.210 |
4.415 |
4.514 |
4.583 |
4.061 |
4.045 |
116,416. |
116,416. |
116,416. |
116,416. |
116,416. |
30 |
7.735 |
7.440 |
6.915 |
6.727 |
5.921 |
7.735 |
7.440 |
6.915 |
6.727 |
5.921 |
8.932 |
8.746 |
8.347 |
7.897 |
7.190 |
4.465 |
4.597 |
4.675 |
4.138 |
4.080 |
113,628. |
113,628. |
113,628. |
113,628. |
113,628. |
33 |
7.761 |
7.459 |
6.858 |
6.795 |
5.830 |
7.761 |
7.459 |
6.858 |
6.795 |
5.830 |
8.896 |
8.733 |
8.278 |
7.918 |
7.116 |
4.349 |
4.542 |
4.635 |
4.066 |
4.081 |
109,071. |
109,071. |
109,071. |
109,071. |
109,071. |
36 |
7.896 |
7.567 |
6.933 |
6.940 |
5.822 |
7.896 |
7.567 |
6.933 |
6.940 |
5.822 |
9.082 |
8.884 |
8.410 |
8.099 |
7.127 |
4.488 |
4.655 |
4.760 |
4.175 |
4.111 |
112,394. |
112,394. |
112,394. |
112,394. |
112,394. |
39 |
8.073 |
7.651 |
6.992 |
7.076 |
5.839 |
8.073 |
7.651 |
6.992 |
7.076 |
5.839 |
9.304 |
9.015 |
8.520 |
8.264 |
7.171 |
4.626 |
4.769 |
4.868 |
4.269 |
4.163 |
114,442. |
114,442. |
114,442. |
114,442. |
114,442. |
42 |
8.161 |
7.677 |
7.146 |
7.213 |
6.434 |
8.161 |
7.677 |
7.146 |
7.213 |
6.434 |
9.669 |
9.340 |
8.928 |
8.498 |
7.854 |
5.185 |
5.319 |
5.352 |
4.492 |
4.504 |
114,728. |
114,728. |
114,728. |
114,728. |
114,728. |
45 |
8.000 |
7.706 |
7.421 |
7.286 |
6.978 |
8.000 |
7.706 |
7.421 |
7.286 |
6.978 |
9.559 |
9.410 |
9.226 |
8.586 |
8.395 |
5.232 |
5.401 |
5.482 |
4.542 |
4.668 |
116,078. |
116,078. |
116,078. |
116,078. |
116,078. |
48 |
7.704 |
7.536 |
7.310 |
7.063 |
6.806 |
7.704 |
7.536 |
7.310 |
7.063 |
6.806 |
9.092 |
9.040 |
8.908 |
8.339 |
8.216 |
4.827 |
4.994 |
5.091 |
4.434 |
4.603 |
114,609. |
114,609. |
114,609. |
114,609. |
114,609. |
51 |
7.809 |
7.624 |
******* |
6.920 |
6.219 |
7.809 |
7.624 |
******* |
6.920 |
6.219 |
9.075 |
9.005 |
******* |
8.155 |
7.550 |
4.623 |
4.792 |
-9999.00 |
4.314 |
4.281 |
116,265. |
116,265. |
0. |
116,265. |
116,265. |
54 |
7.993 |
7.738 |
******* |
7.075 |
6.117 |
7.993 |
7.738 |
******* |
7.075 |
6.117 |
9.239 |
9.105 |
******* |
8.332 |
7.460 |
4.635 |
4.797 |
-9999.00 |
4.400 |
4.270 |
113,314. |
113,314. |
0. |
113,314. |
113,314. |
57 |
8.007 |
7.739 |
******* |
7.125 |
5.977 |
8.007 |
7.739 |
******* |
7.125 |
5.977 |
9.221 |
9.115 |
******* |
8.318 |
7.306 |
4.574 |
4.816 |
-9999.00 |
4.292 |
4.202 |
108,819. |
108,819. |
0. |
108,819. |
108,819. |
60 |
8.131 |
7.802 |
******* |
7.269 |
5.966 |
8.131 |
7.802 |
******* |
7.269 |
5.966 |
9.376 |
9.192 |
******* |
8.483 |
7.289 |
4.668 |
4.861 |
-9999.00 |
4.373 |
4.188 |
111,783. |
111,783. |
0. |
111,783. |
111,783. |
63 |
8.251 |
7.850 |
******* |
7.334 |
5.922 |
8.251 |
7.850 |
******* |
7.334 |
5.922 |
9.502 |
9.266 |
******* |
8.548 |
7.253 |
4.713 |
4.923 |
-9999.00 |
4.392 |
4.188 |
114,746. |
114,746. |
0. |
114,746. |
114,746. |
66 |
8.403 |
7.914 |
******* |
7.511 |
6.505 |
8.403 |
7.914 |
******* |
7.511 |
6.505 |
9.908 |
9.587 |
******* |
8.798 |
7.907 |
5.250 |
5.411 |
-9999.00 |
4.582 |
4.496 |
114,854. |
114,854. |
0. |
114,854. |
114,854. |
69 |
8.229 |
7.969 |
******* |
7.585 |
7.061 |
8.229 |
7.969 |
******* |
7.585 |
7.061 |
9.776 |
9.687 |
******* |
8.917 |
8.473 |
5.278 |
5.507 |
-9999.00 |
4.687 |
4.683 |
114,995. |
114,995. |
0. |
114,995. |
114,995. |
72 |
7.908 |
7.840 |
******* |
7.378 |
6.945 |
7.908 |
7.840 |
******* |
7.378 |
6.945 |
9.332 |
9.393 |
******* |
8.713 |
8.359 |
4.954 |
5.173 |
-9999.00 |
4.636 |
4.653 |
113,297. |
113,297. |
0. |
113,297. |
113,297. |
12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots )
From 2002090912 to 2003042112
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
GFS 1° grid |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
5.788 |
5.825 |
5.777 |
5.851 |
5.380 |
5.788 |
5.825 |
5.777 |
5.851 |
5.380 |
6.918 |
6.958 |
6.929 |
6.988 |
6.586 |
3.789 |
3.806 |
3.826 |
3.820 |
3.798 |
110,689. |
110,689. |
71,942. |
110,689. |
110,689. |
3 |
7.516 |
6.963 |
6.266 |
6.463 |
5.449 |
7.516 |
6.963 |
6.266 |
6.463 |
5.449 |
8.618 |
8.149 |
7.615 |
7.581 |
6.730 |
4.217 |
4.234 |
4.328 |
3.963 |
3.950 |
113,323. |
113,323. |
73,638. |
113,323. |
113,323. |
6 |
7.497 |
6.931 |
6.474 |
6.596 |
5.987 |
7.497 |
6.931 |
6.474 |
6.596 |
5.987 |
8.962 |
8.490 |
8.116 |
7.818 |
7.331 |
4.911 |
4.903 |
4.894 |
4.196 |
4.231 |
111,691. |
111,691. |
111,691. |
111,691. |
111,691. |
9 |
7.148 |
6.771 |
6.437 |
6.669 |
6.444 |
7.148 |
6.771 |
6.437 |
6.669 |
6.444 |
8.637 |
8.365 |
8.096 |
7.895 |
7.779 |
4.849 |
4.912 |
4.911 |
4.226 |
4.358 |
114,598. |
114,598. |
114,598. |
114,598. |
114,598. |
12 |
6.900 |
6.686 |
6.437 |
6.495 |
6.296 |
6.900 |
6.686 |
6.437 |
6.495 |
6.296 |
8.204 |
8.093 |
7.932 |
7.693 |
7.629 |
4.439 |
4.560 |
4.634 |
4.124 |
4.308 |
113,415. |
113,415. |
113,415. |
113,415. |
113,415. |
15 |
7.289 |
7.019 |
6.614 |
6.390 |
5.833 |
7.289 |
7.019 |
6.614 |
6.390 |
5.833 |
8.457 |
8.276 |
7.968 |
7.517 |
7.060 |
4.289 |
4.385 |
4.442 |
3.958 |
3.977 |
114,115. |
114,115. |
114,115. |
114,115. |
114,115. |
18 |
7.576 |
7.229 |
6.658 |
6.557 |
5.791 |
7.576 |
7.229 |
6.658 |
6.557 |
5.791 |
8.725 |
8.488 |
8.055 |
7.695 |
7.055 |
4.327 |
4.448 |
4.534 |
4.027 |
4.030 |
111,368. |
111,368. |
111,368. |
111,368. |
111,368. |
21 |
7.692 |
7.289 |
6.630 |
6.661 |
5.709 |
7.692 |
7.289 |
6.630 |
6.661 |
5.709 |
8.798 |
8.553 |
8.048 |
7.764 |
6.989 |
4.270 |
4.476 |
4.563 |
3.988 |
4.031 |
106,196. |
106,196. |
106,196. |
106,196. |
106,196. |
24 |
7.833 |
7.412 |
6.736 |
6.777 |
5.695 |
7.833 |
7.412 |
6.736 |
6.777 |
5.695 |
8.981 |
8.705 |
8.192 |
7.909 |
6.990 |
4.395 |
4.566 |
4.662 |
4.076 |
4.054 |
109,430. |
109,430. |
109,430. |
109,430. |
109,430. |
27 |
7.943 |
7.507 |
6.805 |
6.856 |
5.683 |
7.943 |
7.507 |
6.805 |
6.856 |
5.683 |
9.125 |
8.834 |
8.305 |
8.009 |
6.999 |
4.493 |
4.657 |
4.759 |
4.141 |
4.085 |
111,876. |
111,876. |
111,876. |
111,876. |
111,876. |
30 |
7.922 |
7.407 |
6.849 |
6.982 |
6.212 |
7.922 |
7.407 |
6.849 |
6.982 |
6.212 |
9.388 |
9.015 |
8.573 |
8.228 |
7.586 |
5.037 |
5.138 |
5.156 |
4.354 |
4.354 |
111,637. |
111,637. |
111,637. |
111,637. |
111,637. |
33 |
7.698 |
7.379 |
7.085 |
7.052 |
6.753 |
7.698 |
7.379 |
7.085 |
7.052 |
6.753 |
9.217 |
9.021 |
8.821 |
8.317 |
8.137 |
5.069 |
5.190 |
5.254 |
4.408 |
4.540 |
112,999. |
112,999. |
112,999. |
112,999. |
112,999. |
36 |
7.439 |
7.276 |
7.031 |
6.870 |
6.559 |
7.439 |
7.276 |
7.031 |
6.870 |
6.559 |
8.796 |
8.746 |
8.600 |
8.118 |
7.932 |
4.694 |
4.853 |
4.952 |
4.325 |
4.460 |
111,471. |
111,471. |
111,471. |
111,471. |
111,471. |
39 |
7.702 |
7.473 |
7.086 |
6.805 |
6.049 |
7.702 |
7.473 |
7.086 |
6.805 |
6.049 |
8.943 |
8.823 |
8.538 |
7.999 |
7.343 |
4.547 |
4.689 |
4.764 |
4.204 |
4.163 |
112,707. |
112,707. |
112,707. |
112,707. |
112,707. |
42 |
7.871 |
7.586 |
7.080 |
6.921 |
5.983 |
7.871 |
7.586 |
7.080 |
6.921 |
5.983 |
9.089 |
8.925 |
8.558 |
8.122 |
7.298 |
4.546 |
4.703 |
4.808 |
4.250 |
4.179 |
109,986. |
109,986. |
109,986. |
109,986. |
109,986. |
45 |
7.892 |
7.581 |
6.982 |
6.982 |
5.882 |
7.892 |
7.581 |
6.982 |
6.982 |
5.882 |
9.047 |
8.902 |
8.459 |
8.133 |
7.197 |
4.423 |
4.666 |
4.776 |
4.171 |
4.147 |
105,582. |
105,582. |
105,582. |
105,582. |
105,582. |
48 |
8.019 |
7.638 |
7.037 |
7.115 |
5.888 |
8.019 |
7.638 |
7.037 |
7.115 |
5.888 |
9.222 |
9.005 |
8.566 |
8.312 |
7.216 |
4.554 |
4.769 |
4.886 |
4.297 |
4.172 |
108,537. |
108,537. |
108,537. |
108,537. |
108,537. |
51 |
8.158 |
7.738 |
******* |
7.232 |
5.926 |
8.158 |
7.738 |
******* |
7.232 |
5.926 |
9.400 |
9.130 |
******* |
8.452 |
7.286 |
4.671 |
4.846 |
-9999.00 |
4.374 |
4.240 |
111,851. |
111,851. |
0. |
111,851. |
111,851. |
54 |
8.244 |
7.768 |
******* |
7.390 |
6.487 |
8.244 |
7.768 |
******* |
7.390 |
6.487 |
9.780 |
9.463 |
******* |
8.712 |
7.916 |
5.261 |
5.405 |
-9999.00 |
4.614 |
4.537 |
112,286. |
112,286. |
0. |
112,286. |
112,286. |
57 |
8.111 |
7.822 |
******* |
7.439 |
6.990 |
8.111 |
7.822 |
******* |
7.439 |
6.990 |
9.718 |
9.564 |
******* |
8.793 |
8.412 |
5.353 |
5.505 |
-9999.00 |
4.688 |
4.680 |
113,459. |
113,459. |
0. |
113,459. |
113,459. |
60 |
7.807 |
7.706 |
******* |
7.208 |
6.795 |
7.807 |
7.706 |
******* |
7.208 |
6.795 |
9.254 |
9.293 |
******* |
8.557 |
8.230 |
4.968 |
5.194 |
-9999.00 |
4.612 |
4.643 |
112,306. |
112,306. |
0. |
112,306. |
112,306. |
63 |
7.974 |
7.774 |
******* |
7.049 |
6.236 |
7.974 |
7.774 |
******* |
7.049 |
6.236 |
9.308 |
9.219 |
******* |
8.350 |
7.613 |
4.801 |
4.955 |
-9999.00 |
4.476 |
4.367 |
113,232. |
113,232. |
0. |
113,232. |
113,232. |
66 |
8.113 |
7.876 |
******* |
7.186 |
6.170 |
8.113 |
7.876 |
******* |
7.186 |
6.170 |
9.398 |
9.285 |
******* |
8.445 |
7.573 |
4.744 |
4.918 |
-9999.00 |
4.435 |
4.391 |
110,327. |
110,327. |
0. |
110,327. |
110,327. |
69 |
8.073 |
7.810 |
******* |
7.218 |
6.012 |
8.073 |
7.810 |
******* |
7.218 |
6.012 |
9.296 |
9.188 |
******* |
8.424 |
7.372 |
4.609 |
4.839 |
-9999.00 |
4.344 |
4.266 |
105,955. |
105,955. |
0. |
105,955. |
105,955. |
72 |
8.198 |
7.885 |
******* |
7.326 |
5.995 |
8.198 |
7.885 |
******* |
7.326 |
5.995 |
9.464 |
9.288 |
******* |
8.549 |
7.365 |
4.729 |
4.908 |
-9999.00 |
4.406 |
4.279 |
108,888. |
108,888. |
0. |
108,888. |
108,888. |