MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 5.257 5.290 5.197 5.722 6.146 5.257 5.290 5.197 5.722 6.146 6.396 6.428 6.350 6.870 7.439 3.644 3.652 3.649 3.802 4.192 115,545. 115,545. 75,292. 115,545. 115,545.
3 6.172 5.879 5.577 6.219 5.645 6.172 5.879 5.577 6.219 5.645 7.234 6.972 6.764 7.342 6.803 3.773 3.747 3.826 3.902 3.797 116,794. 116,794. 75,923. 116,794. 116,794.
6 6.483 6.243 5.888 6.355 5.621 6.483 6.243 5.888 6.355 5.621 7.587 7.376 7.107 7.476 6.820 3.941 3.928 3.980 3.938 3.861 112,311. 112,311. 112,311. 112,311. 112,311.
9 6.492 6.240 5.739 6.348 5.545 6.492 6.240 5.739 6.348 5.545 7.541 7.364 6.985 7.432 6.755 3.836 3.910 3.982 3.866 3.858 108,657. 108,657. 108,657. 108,657. 108,657.
12 6.641 6.325 5.794 6.476 5.585 6.641 6.325 5.794 6.476 5.585 7.723 7.491 7.081 7.586 6.824 3.941 4.013 4.072 3.950 3.921 112,018. 112,018. 112,018. 112,018. 112,018.
15 6.819 6.447 5.872 6.627 5.582 6.819 6.447 5.872 6.627 5.582 7.933 7.647 7.204 7.762 6.853 4.053 4.112 4.173 4.042 3.977 114,937. 114,937. 114,937. 114,937. 114,937.
18 6.894 6.466 5.985 6.762 6.104 6.894 6.466 5.985 6.762 6.104 8.230 7.878 7.494 7.991 7.426 4.495 4.500 4.510 4.258 4.230 115,434. 115,434. 115,434. 115,434. 115,434.
21 6.781 6.495 6.203 6.845 6.613 6.781 6.495 6.203 6.845 6.613 8.147 7.936 7.718 8.079 7.954 4.515 4.560 4.593 4.293 4.419 116,844. 116,844. 116,844. 116,844. 116,844.
24 6.546 6.349 6.116 6.668 6.451 6.546 6.349 6.116 6.668 6.451 7.787 7.667 7.510 7.885 7.798 4.218 4.297 4.358 4.209 4.382 115,596. 115,596. 115,596. 115,596. 115,596.
27 6.638 6.467 6.134 6.553 5.968 6.638 6.467 6.134 6.553 5.968 7.778 7.664 7.416 7.709 7.210 4.053 4.114 4.167 4.061 4.045 116,416. 116,416. 116,416. 116,416. 116,416.
30 6.831 6.588 6.135 6.727 5.921 6.831 6.588 6.135 6.727 5.921 7.967 7.804 7.460 7.897 7.190 4.102 4.184 4.245 4.138 4.080 113,628. 113,628. 113,628. 113,628. 113,628.
33 6.839 6.591 6.075 6.795 5.830 6.839 6.591 6.075 6.795 5.830 7.915 7.773 7.382 7.918 7.116 3.985 4.120 4.194 4.066 4.081 109,071. 109,071. 109,071. 109,071. 109,071.
36 6.966 6.695 6.151 6.940 5.822 6.966 6.695 6.151 6.940 5.822 8.099 7.926 7.521 8.099 7.127 4.132 4.242 4.327 4.175 4.111 112,394. 112,394. 112,394. 112,394. 112,394.
39 7.114 6.769 6.204 7.076 5.839 7.114 6.769 6.204 7.076 5.839 8.290 8.044 7.620 8.264 7.171 4.256 4.345 4.425 4.269 4.163 114,442. 114,442. 114,442. 114,442. 114,442.
42 7.240 6.838 6.379 7.213 6.434 7.240 6.838 6.379 7.213 6.434 8.634 8.347 7.990 8.498 7.854 4.704 4.788 4.812 4.492 4.504 114,728. 114,728. 114,728. 114,728. 114,728.
45 7.156 6.903 6.649 7.286 6.978 7.156 6.903 6.649 7.286 6.978 8.586 8.442 8.275 8.586 8.395 4.745 4.859 4.926 4.542 4.668 116,078. 116,078. 116,078. 116,078. 116,078.
48 6.885 6.739 6.540 7.063 6.806 6.885 6.739 6.540 7.063 6.806 8.185 8.128 8.013 8.339 8.216 4.426 4.544 4.631 4.434 4.603 114,609. 114,609. 114,609. 114,609. 114,609.
51 6.921 6.775 ******* 6.920 6.219 6.921 6.775 ******* 6.920 6.219 8.122 8.062 ******* 8.155 7.550 4.250 4.371 -9999.00 4.314 4.281 116,265. 116,265. 0. 116,265. 116,265.
54 7.069 6.864 ******* 7.075 6.117 7.069 6.864 ******* 7.075 6.117 8.253 8.139 ******* 8.332 7.460 4.259 4.374 -9999.00 4.400 4.270 113,314. 113,314. 0. 113,314. 113,314.
57 7.065 6.849 ******* 7.125 5.977 7.065 6.849 ******* 7.125 5.977 8.213 8.125 ******* 8.318 7.306 4.189 4.371 -9999.00 4.292 4.202 108,819. 108,819. 0. 108,819. 108,819.
60 7.179 6.913 ******* 7.269 5.966 7.179 6.913 ******* 7.269 5.966 8.367 8.212 ******* 8.483 7.289 4.297 4.432 -9999.00 4.373 4.188 111,783. 111,783. 0. 111,783. 111,783.
63 7.276 6.952 ******* 7.334 5.922 7.276 6.952 ******* 7.334 5.922 8.475 8.278 ******* 8.548 7.253 4.345 4.493 -9999.00 4.392 4.188 114,746. 114,746. 0. 114,746. 114,746.
66 7.455 7.058 ******* 7.511 6.505 7.455 7.058 ******* 7.511 6.505 8.853 8.583 ******* 8.798 7.907 4.776 4.885 -9999.00 4.582 4.496 114,854. 114,854. 0. 114,854. 114,854.
69 7.363 7.145 ******* 7.585 7.061 7.363 7.145 ******* 7.585 7.061 8.792 8.707 ******* 8.917 8.473 4.804 4.975 -9999.00 4.687 4.683 114,995. 114,995. 0. 114,995. 114,995.
72 7.075 7.019 ******* 7.378 6.945 7.075 7.019 ******* 7.378 6.945 8.413 8.460 ******* 8.713 8.359 4.553 4.722 -9999.00 4.636 4.653 113,297. 113,297. 0. 113,297. 113,297.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 2002090912 to 2003042112

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  ETA  32 km 
0 5.236 5.289 5.241 5.851 5.380 5.236 5.289 5.241 5.851 5.380 6.349 6.401 6.371 6.988 6.586 3.592 3.606 3.623 3.820 3.798 110,689. 110,689. 71,942. 110,689. 110,689.
3 6.618 6.148 5.546 6.463 5.449 6.618 6.148 5.546 6.463 5.449 7.668 7.252 6.781 7.581 6.730 3.873 3.846 3.902 3.963 3.950 113,323. 113,323. 73,638. 113,323. 113,323.
6 6.673 6.181 5.785 6.596 5.987 6.673 6.181 5.785 6.596 5.987 8.018 7.587 7.261 7.818 7.331 4.446 4.399 4.388 4.196 4.231 111,691. 111,691. 111,691. 111,691. 111,691.
9 6.453 6.107 5.805 6.669 6.444 6.453 6.107 5.805 6.669 6.444 7.817 7.546 7.301 7.895 7.779 4.412 4.432 4.428 4.226 4.358 114,598. 114,598. 114,598. 114,598. 114,598.
12 6.213 6.004 5.777 6.495 6.296 6.213 6.004 5.777 6.495 6.296 7.439 7.306 7.158 7.693 7.629 4.092 4.163 4.226 4.124 4.308 113,415. 113,415. 113,415. 113,415. 113,415.
15 6.456 6.223 5.870 6.390 5.833 6.456 6.223 5.870 6.390 5.833 7.566 7.397 7.126 7.517 7.060 3.944 3.998 4.040 3.958 3.977 114,115. 114,115. 114,115. 114,115. 114,115.
18 6.688 6.393 5.901 6.557 5.791 6.688 6.393 5.901 6.557 5.791 7.782 7.565 7.192 7.695 7.055 3.978 4.045 4.111 4.027 4.030 111,368. 111,368. 111,368. 111,368. 111,368.
21 6.775 6.435 5.866 6.661 5.709 6.775 6.435 5.866 6.661 5.709 7.825 7.607 7.171 7.764 6.989 3.916 4.057 4.123 3.988 4.031 106,196. 106,196. 106,196. 106,196. 106,196.
24 6.907 6.552 5.970 6.777 5.695 6.907 6.552 5.970 6.777 5.695 8.006 7.759 7.316 7.909 6.990 4.049 4.155 4.229 4.076 4.054 109,430. 109,430. 109,430. 109,430. 109,430.
27 6.999 6.635 6.034 6.856 5.683 6.999 6.635 6.034 6.856 5.683 8.133 7.874 7.420 8.009 6.999 4.142 4.239 4.319 4.141 4.085 111,876. 111,876. 111,876. 111,876. 111,876.
30 7.035 6.598 6.117 6.982 6.212 7.035 6.598 6.117 6.982 6.212 8.390 8.055 7.673 8.228 7.586 4.572 4.621 4.631 4.354 4.354 111,637. 111,637. 111,637. 111,637. 111,637.
33 6.902 6.621 6.359 7.052 6.753 6.902 6.621 6.359 7.052 6.753 8.295 8.105 7.923 8.317 8.137 4.601 4.675 4.726 4.408 4.540 112,999. 112,999. 112,999. 112,999. 112,999.
36 6.659 6.508 6.290 6.870 6.559 6.659 6.508 6.290 6.870 6.559 7.933 7.866 7.737 8.118 7.932 4.312 4.419 4.504 4.325 4.460 111,471. 111,471. 111,471. 111,471. 111,471.
39 6.822 6.635 6.300 6.805 6.049 6.822 6.635 6.300 6.805 6.049 8.003 7.898 7.651 7.999 7.343 4.185 4.284 4.341 4.204 4.163 112,707. 112,707. 112,707. 112,707. 112,707.
42 6.957 6.725 6.290 6.921 5.983 6.957 6.725 6.290 6.921 5.983 8.120 7.979 7.665 8.122 7.298 4.187 4.294 4.380 4.250 4.179 109,986. 109,986. 109,986. 109,986. 109,986.
45 6.959 6.707 6.195 6.982 5.882 6.959 6.707 6.195 6.982 5.882 8.057 7.936 7.561 8.133 7.197 4.060 4.243 4.335 4.171 4.147 105,582. 105,582. 105,582. 105,582. 105,582.
48 7.075 6.766 6.250 7.115 5.888 7.075 6.766 6.250 7.115 5.888 8.222 8.040 7.667 8.312 7.216 4.189 4.343 4.441 4.297 4.172 108,537. 108,537. 108,537. 108,537. 108,537.
51 7.188 6.848 ******* 7.232 5.926 7.188 6.848 ******* 7.232 5.926 8.375 8.150 ******* 8.452 7.286 4.298 4.418 -9999.00 4.374 4.240 111,851. 111,851. 0. 111,851. 111,851.
54 7.312 6.919 ******* 7.390 6.487 7.312 6.919 ******* 7.390 6.487 8.730 8.458 ******* 8.712 7.916 4.769 4.864 -9999.00 4.614 4.537 112,286. 112,286. 0. 112,286. 112,286.
57 7.258 7.011 ******* 7.439 6.990 7.258 7.011 ******* 7.439 6.990 8.725 8.581 ******* 8.793 8.412 4.842 4.948 -9999.00 4.688 4.680 113,459. 113,459. 0. 113,459. 113,459.
60 6.985 6.895 ******* 7.208 6.795 6.985 6.895 ******* 7.208 6.795 8.335 8.358 ******* 8.557 8.230 4.547 4.724 -9999.00 4.612 4.643 112,306. 112,306. 0. 112,306. 112,306.
63 7.071 6.912 ******* 7.049 6.236 7.071 6.912 ******* 7.049 6.236 8.333 8.259 ******* 8.350 7.613 4.409 4.522 -9999.00 4.476 4.367 113,232. 113,232. 0. 113,232. 113,232.
66 7.178 6.990 ******* 7.186 6.170 7.178 6.990 ******* 7.186 6.170 8.396 8.305 ******* 8.445 7.573 4.355 4.485 -9999.00 4.435 4.391 110,327. 110,327. 0. 110,327. 110,327.
69 7.128 6.918 ******* 7.218 6.012 7.128 6.918 ******* 7.218 6.012 8.286 8.197 ******* 8.424 7.372 4.225 4.397 -9999.00 4.344 4.266 105,955. 105,955. 0. 105,955. 105,955.
72 7.245 6.995 ******* 7.326 5.995 7.245 6.995 ******* 7.326 5.995 8.454 8.306 ******* 8.549 7.365 4.357 4.478 -9999.00 4.406 4.279 108,888. 108,888. 0. 108,888. 108,888.