MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 14.584 14.571 11.751 13.608 16.883 16.881 14.297 16.365 22.825 22.832 19.980 22.204 17.558 17.579 16.159 17.545 40,529. 40,529. 29,834. 40,529.
3 5.510 4.459 1.409 8.616 11.871 11.488 10.434 12.711 16.454 15.890 14.449 18.128 15.504 15.252 14.380 15.950 40,756. 40,756. 29,581. 40,756.
6 4.344 1.996 0.458 6.996 11.528 11.100 11.170 11.632 16.116 15.407 15.408 16.868 15.519 15.278 15.401 15.348 39,803. 39,803. 39,803. 39,803.
9 3.898 0.846 -1.505 6.187 11.364 11.070 11.230 11.193 15.996 15.390 15.518 16.332 15.514 15.367 15.446 15.115 38,781. 38,781. 38,781. 38,781.
12 3.651 0.295 -2.253 5.753 11.312 11.131 11.440 10.984 15.993 15.505 15.847 16.131 15.571 15.503 15.686 15.071 38,756. 38,756. 38,756. 38,756.
15 3.431 0.136 -2.465 5.410 11.015 10.922 11.313 10.693 15.693 15.291 15.745 15.767 15.313 15.291 15.551 14.810 39,853. 39,853. 39,853. 39,853.
18 2.799 0.012 -1.974 7.394 12.198 11.765 11.870 13.586 16.531 15.893 15.987 18.808 16.293 15.894 15.865 17.294 40,342. 40,342. 40,342. 40,342.
21 3.155 0.394 -1.376 10.600 13.354 12.827 12.801 16.689 17.650 16.952 16.903 22.032 17.366 16.948 16.847 19.315 40,910. 40,910. 40,910. 40,910.
24 5.028 2.615 0.590 12.445 12.726 12.015 11.995 16.068 17.043 16.063 15.993 21.691 16.285 15.848 15.983 17.766 40,422. 40,422. 40,422. 40,422.
27 3.304 0.973 -1.849 8.273 11.487 11.190 11.545 12.735 15.831 15.310 15.649 18.112 15.482 15.279 15.540 16.113 40,573. 40,573. 40,573. 40,573.
30 3.350 0.210 -2.855 6.315 11.338 11.289 11.850 11.733 15.842 15.578 16.185 16.832 15.484 15.576 15.931 15.603 39,933. 39,933. 39,933. 39,933.
33 3.317 -0.201 -3.168 5.367 11.346 11.443 11.975 11.417 15.952 15.827 16.465 16.437 15.604 15.826 16.158 15.536 38,822. 38,822. 38,822. 38,822.
36 3.350 -0.302 -3.258 4.896 11.386 11.498 12.035 11.255 16.096 15.968 16.640 16.288 15.744 15.965 16.318 15.535 38,812. 38,812. 38,812. 38,812.
39 3.076 -0.492 -3.352 4.399 11.233 11.428 12.007 11.026 15.908 15.911 16.599 15.985 15.608 15.903 16.257 15.369 39,784. 39,784. 39,784. 39,784.
42 2.580 -0.434 -2.642 6.131 12.720 12.457 12.773 13.763 17.235 16.760 17.061 18.819 17.041 16.755 16.855 17.792 40,281. 40,281. 40,281. 40,281.
45 3.492 0.166 -1.790 9.696 14.273 13.934 14.017 16.619 18.798 18.291 18.287 21.819 18.471 18.290 18.199 19.547 40,832. 40,832. 40,832. 40,832.
48 5.289 2.641 0.412 11.978 13.509 13.027 13.088 16.065 18.036 17.311 17.270 21.594 17.243 17.108 17.265 17.968 40,280. 40,280. 40,280. 40,280.
51 3.156 0.629 ******* 7.587 11.892 11.848 ******* 12.851 16.311 16.095 ******* 18.046 16.003 16.082 -9999.00 16.373 40,701. 40,701. 0. 40,701.
54 3.064 -0.070 ******* 5.779 11.561 11.714 ******* 11.938 16.072 16.043 ******* 16.977 15.778 16.043 -9999.00 15.964 39,912. 39,912. 0. 39,912.
57 3.170 -0.325 ******* 4.925 11.568 11.781 ******* 11.683 16.192 16.184 ******* 16.685 15.879 16.181 -9999.00 15.942 38,889. 38,889. 0. 38,889.
60 3.070 -0.537 ******* 4.328 11.654 11.891 ******* 11.577 16.336 16.378 ******* 16.536 16.045 16.369 -9999.00 15.960 38,872. 38,872. 0. 38,872.
63 2.683 -0.870 ******* 3.845 11.429 11.708 ******* 11.326 16.047 16.189 ******* 16.196 15.822 16.166 -9999.00 15.733 39,934. 39,934. 0. 39,934.
66 2.172 -0.824 ******* 5.430 12.927 12.887 ******* 13.737 17.450 17.259 ******* 18.675 17.314 17.239 -9999.00 17.869 40,440. 40,440. 0. 40,440.
69 3.366 0.121 ******* 9.232 14.667 14.336 ******* 16.495 19.273 18.847 ******* 21.633 18.977 18.847 -9999.00 19.564 40,555. 40,555. 0. 40,555.
72 5.356 2.550 ******* 11.490 13.948 13.353 ******* 15.991 18.600 17.770 ******* 21.398 17.813 17.587 -9999.00 18.052 39,771. 39,771. 0. 39,771.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 6.120 6.118 5.401 5.407 10.752 10.763 9.962 10.645 15.891 15.911 14.970 15.656 14.666 14.688 13.962 14.692 39,404. 39,404. 27,943. 39,404.
3 3.019 1.308 -0.232 5.168 10.598 10.479 9.829 10.550 14.976 14.601 13.796 15.534 14.668 14.542 13.794 14.650 40,486. 40,486. 28,638. 40,486.
6 2.148 0.551 -0.222 7.245 11.744 11.385 11.371 13.356 15.866 15.369 15.319 18.516 15.720 15.359 15.317 17.040 40,806. 40,806. 40,806. 40,806.
9 2.631 0.916 -0.190 10.585 12.804 12.474 12.462 16.358 16.966 16.515 16.438 21.656 16.761 16.490 16.437 18.894 41,365. 41,365. 41,365. 41,365.
12 4.941 3.309 1.686 12.591 12.401 11.804 11.699 15.983 16.635 15.873 15.655 21.561 15.884 15.525 15.564 17.503 40,735. 40,735. 40,735. 40,735.
15 3.452 1.606 -0.886 8.493 11.401 10.961 11.116 12.806 15.675 15.075 15.178 18.190 15.290 14.989 15.152 16.086 41,030. 41,030. 41,030. 41,030.
18 3.492 0.716 -2.114 6.472 11.227 11.009 11.336 11.682 15.640 15.233 15.522 16.814 15.245 15.216 15.378 15.518 40,254. 40,254. 40,254. 40,254.
21 3.468 0.343 -2.417 5.578 11.215 11.085 11.435 11.310 15.750 15.390 15.759 16.365 15.364 15.386 15.573 15.385 39,195. 39,195. 39,195. 39,195.
24 3.379 0.050 -2.694 5.153 11.220 11.189 11.572 11.157 15.829 15.556 15.983 16.237 15.464 15.556 15.755 15.398 39,180. 39,180. 39,180. 39,180.
27 3.277 0.060 -2.637 4.740 11.028 10.998 11.475 10.929 15.639 15.398 15.967 15.926 15.293 15.398 15.748 15.204 40,262. 40,262. 40,262. 40,262.
30 2.982 0.230 -1.854 6.551 12.402 12.024 12.124 13.510 16.854 16.255 16.312 18.547 16.588 16.253 16.207 17.352 40,757. 40,757. 40,757. 40,757.
33 3.962 0.873 -0.983 10.003 13.846 13.273 13.156 16.323 18.290 17.458 17.234 21.506 17.856 17.437 17.206 19.038 41,309. 41,309. 41,309. 41,309.
36 5.724 3.142 1.025 12.083 13.279 12.512 12.440 15.932 17.755 16.679 16.477 21.437 16.807 16.381 16.445 17.707 40,678. 40,678. 40,678. 40,678.
39 3.309 1.059 -1.717 7.908 11.791 11.509 11.929 12.844 16.194 15.712 16.072 18.089 15.852 15.677 15.980 16.269 40,981. 40,981. 40,981. 40,981.
42 3.302 0.330 -2.798 5.908 11.478 11.479 12.082 11.867 15.991 15.770 16.395 16.885 15.647 15.767 16.155 15.818 40,194. 40,194. 40,194. 40,194.
45 3.491 -0.002 -3.063 5.044 11.449 11.598 12.198 11.629 16.092 15.973 16.625 16.615 15.709 15.973 16.341 15.831 39,132. 39,132. 39,132. 39,132.
48 3.378 -0.138 -3.126 4.508 11.536 11.719 12.298 11.446 16.241 16.193 16.856 16.433 15.886 16.193 16.563 15.803 39,121. 39,121. 39,121. 39,121.
51 3.055 -0.381 ******* 4.020 11.429 11.590 ******* 11.230 16.079 16.043 ******* 16.124 15.787 16.039 -9999.00 15.616 40,368. 40,368. 0. 40,368.
54 2.155 -0.703 ******* 5.382 12.883 12.734 ******* 13.682 17.273 17.005 ******* 18.603 17.138 16.991 -9999.00 17.807 40,875. 40,875. 0. 40,875.
57 2.885 -0.072 ******* 8.910 14.258 14.024 ******* 16.234 18.751 18.449 ******* 21.327 18.528 18.449 -9999.00 19.376 41,418. 41,418. 0. 41,418.
60 5.075 2.414 ******* 11.396 13.489 12.988 ******* 15.802 17.973 17.266 ******* 21.160 17.242 17.097 -9999.00 17.830 40,754. 40,754. 0. 40,754.
63 2.909 0.409 ******* 7.483 11.942 11.929 ******* 12.743 16.294 16.147 ******* 17.887 16.032 16.142 -9999.00 16.247 41,062. 41,062. 0. 41,062.
66 2.746 -0.466 ******* 5.630 11.612 11.857 ******* 11.848 16.065 16.153 ******* 16.824 15.829 16.147 -9999.00 15.855 40,268. 40,268. 0. 40,268.
69 2.794 -0.687 ******* 4.808 11.591 11.929 ******* 11.661 16.188 16.307 ******* 16.644 15.945 16.293 -9999.00 15.935 39,239. 39,239. 0. 39,239.
72 2.802 -0.776 ******* 4.054 11.657 11.984 ******* 11.615 16.325 16.453 ******* 16.590 16.083 16.435 -9999.00 16.087 39,227. 39,227. 0. 39,227.