MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 5.232 5.275 5.456 5.742 5.232 5.275 5.456 5.742 6.463 6.506 6.755 6.992 3.793 3.807 3.982 3.991 47,731. 47,731. 35,128. 47,731.
3 6.671 6.210 5.967 6.831 6.671 6.210 5.967 6.831 7.866 7.458 7.365 8.071 4.169 4.129 4.318 4.299 48,255. 48,255. 35,054. 48,255.
6 6.988 6.521 6.079 6.899 6.988 6.521 6.079 6.899 8.217 7.817 7.462 8.122 4.323 4.311 4.327 4.287 47,240. 47,240. 47,240. 47,240.
9 6.959 6.495 5.927 6.859 6.959 6.495 5.927 6.859 8.081 7.733 7.302 8.006 4.109 4.197 4.266 4.131 45,112. 45,112. 45,112. 45,112.
12 7.088 6.592 5.999 6.972 7.088 6.592 5.999 6.972 8.255 7.859 7.405 8.148 4.232 4.278 4.341 4.217 46,116. 46,116. 46,116. 46,116.
15 7.228 6.725 6.129 7.074 7.228 6.725 6.129 7.074 8.427 8.029 7.574 8.290 4.333 4.386 4.450 4.323 47,327. 47,327. 47,327. 47,327.
18 7.300 6.706 6.134 7.123 7.300 6.706 6.134 7.123 8.645 8.146 7.706 8.411 4.632 4.626 4.664 4.473 47,976. 47,976. 47,976. 47,976.
21 7.057 6.607 6.210 6.969 7.057 6.607 6.210 6.969 8.503 8.148 7.838 8.324 4.744 4.769 4.782 4.551 48,258. 48,258. 48,258. 48,258.
24 6.801 6.410 6.067 6.752 6.801 6.410 6.067 6.752 8.138 7.822 7.560 8.108 4.470 4.482 4.511 4.490 47,643. 47,643. 47,643. 47,643.
27 7.150 6.808 6.334 7.003 7.150 6.808 6.334 7.003 8.415 8.148 7.781 8.293 4.437 4.476 4.518 4.442 48,076. 48,076. 48,076. 48,076.
30 7.330 6.928 6.408 7.217 7.330 6.928 6.408 7.217 8.596 8.311 7.917 8.498 4.491 4.591 4.649 4.487 47,356. 47,356. 47,356. 47,356.
33 7.281 6.898 6.320 7.235 7.281 6.898 6.320 7.235 8.424 8.180 7.752 8.415 4.237 4.396 4.490 4.298 45,136. 45,136. 45,136. 45,136.
36 7.367 6.961 6.393 7.340 7.367 6.961 6.393 7.340 8.586 8.286 7.882 8.573 4.410 4.495 4.611 4.429 46,158. 46,158. 46,158. 46,158.
39 7.490 7.050 6.475 7.473 7.490 7.050 6.475 7.473 8.756 8.418 7.994 8.731 4.535 4.600 4.688 4.514 47,254. 47,254. 47,254. 47,254.
42 7.595 7.052 6.511 7.539 7.595 7.052 6.511 7.539 8.992 8.580 8.164 8.881 4.814 4.887 4.925 4.694 47,889. 47,889. 47,889. 47,889.
45 7.480 7.039 6.707 7.459 7.480 7.039 6.707 7.459 8.963 8.666 8.444 8.875 4.939 5.055 5.130 4.809 48,173. 48,173. 48,173. 48,173.
48 7.131 6.801 6.510 7.189 7.131 6.801 6.510 7.189 8.529 8.290 8.093 8.610 4.679 4.741 4.809 4.738 47,482. 47,482. 47,482. 47,482.
51 7.391 7.116 ******* 7.416 7.391 7.116 ******* 7.416 8.715 8.532 ******* 8.786 4.617 4.706 -9999.00 4.712 48,197. 48,197. 0. 48,197.
54 7.572 7.233 ******* 7.639 7.572 7.233 ******* 7.639 8.844 8.634 ******* 9.002 4.569 4.714 -9999.00 4.763 47,345. 47,345. 0. 47,345.
57 7.531 7.190 ******* 7.639 7.531 7.190 ******* 7.639 8.739 8.575 ******* 8.879 4.434 4.673 -9999.00 4.524 45,222. 45,222. 0. 45,222.
60 7.615 7.231 ******* 7.724 7.615 7.231 ******* 7.724 8.889 8.638 ******* 8.994 4.585 4.725 -9999.00 4.606 46,232. 46,232. 0. 46,232.
63 7.668 7.276 ******* 7.744 7.668 7.276 ******* 7.744 8.953 8.711 ******* 9.030 4.623 4.790 -9999.00 4.645 47,400. 47,400. 0. 47,400.
66 7.816 7.308 ******* 7.881 7.816 7.308 ******* 7.881 9.226 8.870 ******* 9.234 4.902 5.027 -9999.00 4.813 48,073. 48,073. 0. 48,073.
69 7.648 7.276 ******* 7.866 7.648 7.276 ******* 7.866 9.127 8.915 ******* 9.305 4.981 5.150 -9999.00 4.971 47,825. 47,825. 0. 47,825.
72 7.284 7.071 ******* 7.549 7.284 7.071 ******* 7.549 8.693 8.589 ******* 8.979 4.745 4.876 -9999.00 4.862 46,880. 46,880. 0. 46,880.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 5.519 5.577 5.887 6.170 5.519 5.577 5.887 6.170 6.725 6.783 7.166 7.404 3.843 3.861 4.086 4.093 46,886. 46,886. 33,254. 46,886.
3 7.013 6.423 6.083 6.922 7.013 6.423 6.083 6.922 8.180 7.653 7.487 8.153 4.212 4.160 4.366 4.308 48,071. 48,071. 34,008. 48,071.
6 7.089 6.452 5.969 6.918 7.089 6.452 5.969 6.918 8.473 7.921 7.518 8.228 4.641 4.595 4.570 4.455 48,546. 48,546. 48,546. 48,546.
9 6.775 6.264 5.847 6.789 6.775 6.264 5.847 6.789 8.234 7.833 7.485 8.129 4.680 4.703 4.672 4.471 48,837. 48,837. 48,837. 48,837.
12 6.536 6.146 5.785 6.573 6.536 6.146 5.785 6.573 7.859 7.567 7.289 7.906 4.364 4.415 4.435 4.393 48,063. 48,063. 48,063. 48,063.
15 6.921 6.546 6.063 6.807 6.921 6.546 6.063 6.807 8.150 7.850 7.464 8.060 4.304 4.333 4.354 4.317 48,667. 48,667. 48,667. 48,667.
18 7.110 6.686 6.135 6.973 7.110 6.686 6.135 6.973 8.307 8.005 7.579 8.209 4.296 4.401 4.450 4.332 47,817. 47,817. 47,817. 47,817.
21 7.154 6.704 6.095 7.036 7.154 6.704 6.095 7.036 8.267 7.972 7.524 8.196 4.143 4.315 4.411 4.203 45,630. 45,630. 45,630. 45,630.
24 7.303 6.836 6.221 7.168 7.303 6.836 6.221 7.168 8.493 8.137 7.677 8.373 4.335 4.413 4.498 4.328 46,662. 46,662. 46,662. 46,662.
27 7.363 6.903 6.276 7.194 7.363 6.903 6.276 7.194 8.599 8.250 7.781 8.425 4.442 4.517 4.598 4.385 47,864. 47,864. 47,864. 47,864.
30 7.405 6.833 6.267 7.287 7.405 6.833 6.267 7.287 8.762 8.314 7.874 8.580 4.684 4.737 4.767 4.531 48,499. 48,499. 48,499. 48,499.
33 7.184 6.734 6.383 7.207 7.184 6.734 6.383 7.207 8.641 8.298 8.043 8.578 4.800 4.849 4.894 4.652 48,774. 48,774. 48,774. 48,774.
36 6.910 6.579 6.264 6.963 6.910 6.579 6.264 6.963 8.296 8.049 7.822 8.349 4.589 4.637 4.684 4.607 48,006. 48,006. 48,006. 48,006.
39 7.281 6.943 6.471 7.238 7.281 6.943 6.471 7.238 8.592 8.355 7.987 8.564 4.563 4.648 4.681 4.578 48,609. 48,609. 48,609. 48,609.
42 7.401 7.038 6.543 7.399 7.401 7.038 6.543 7.399 8.692 8.445 8.082 8.707 4.558 4.668 4.745 4.590 47,757. 47,757. 47,757. 47,757.
45 7.347 6.956 6.424 7.414 7.347 6.956 6.424 7.414 8.504 8.267 7.895 8.610 4.283 4.468 4.589 4.377 45,574. 45,574. 45,574. 45,574.
48 7.457 7.034 6.510 7.534 7.457 7.034 6.510 7.534 8.690 8.415 8.052 8.805 4.462 4.619 4.739 4.556 46,606. 46,606. 46,606. 46,606.
51 7.573 7.146 ******* 7.650 7.573 7.146 ******* 7.650 8.858 8.558 ******* 8.941 4.596 4.709 -9999.00 4.629 47,967. 47,967. 0. 47,967.
54 7.721 7.206 ******* 7.828 7.721 7.206 ******* 7.828 9.168 8.788 ******* 9.233 4.945 5.030 -9999.00 4.897 48,635. 48,635. 0. 48,635.
57 7.661 7.239 ******* 7.772 7.661 7.239 ******* 7.772 9.201 8.925 ******* 9.277 5.096 5.221 -9999.00 5.066 48,835. 48,835. 0. 48,835.
60 7.361 7.087 ******* 7.447 7.361 7.087 ******* 7.447 8.820 8.676 ******* 8.967 4.858 5.004 -9999.00 4.995 48,034. 48,034. 0. 48,034.
63 7.547 7.271 ******* 7.527 7.547 7.271 ******* 7.527 8.921 8.742 ******* 8.968 4.757 4.854 -9999.00 4.875 48,640. 48,640. 0. 48,640.
66 7.629 7.347 ******* 7.642 7.629 7.347 ******* 7.642 8.929 8.765 ******* 8.973 4.638 4.781 -9999.00 4.704 47,783. 47,783. 0. 47,783.
69 7.518 7.222 ******* 7.649 7.518 7.222 ******* 7.649 8.717 8.575 ******* 8.904 4.412 4.622 -9999.00 4.557 45,626. 45,626. 0. 45,626.
72 7.607 7.297 ******* 7.719 7.607 7.297 ******* 7.719 8.879 8.699 ******* 9.010 4.579 4.735 -9999.00 4.648 46,654. 46,654. 0. 46,654.