MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 10.261 10.312 13.118 10.315 65.879 65.856 67.910 65.880 83.646 83.634 85.677 83.664 83.015 82.997 84.668 83.027 47,731. 47,731. 35,128. 47,731.
3 17.908 12.682 11.638 17.381 71.332 66.805 64.989 71.072 88.441 84.683 83.427 88.032 86.610 83.729 82.613 86.300 48,255. 48,255. 35,054. 48,255.
6 17.966 13.465 11.367 18.323 73.736 68.637 65.736 73.103 90.894 86.601 83.912 90.204 89.102 85.549 83.139 88.325 47,240. 47,240. 47,240. 47,240.
9 17.526 13.191 10.854 17.627 74.538 69.427 66.295 74.134 91.419 87.047 84.325 91.035 89.724 86.042 83.625 89.313 45,112. 45,112. 45,112. 45,112.
12 16.451 12.794 9.978 17.522 74.497 69.633 66.365 73.880 91.336 87.175 84.343 90.768 89.843 86.232 83.752 89.062 46,116. 46,116. 46,116. 46,116.
15 15.862 11.987 10.224 17.167 74.583 70.057 66.928 73.602 91.369 87.510 84.967 90.503 89.982 86.686 84.351 88.861 47,327. 47,327. 47,327. 47,327.
18 15.977 11.684 8.642 16.443 73.414 69.169 65.968 71.973 90.403 87.003 84.285 89.286 88.981 86.215 83.841 87.760 47,976. 47,976. 47,976. 47,976.
21 12.566 9.239 7.102 12.443 70.603 66.125 63.377 69.512 88.240 84.439 82.065 87.202 87.341 83.933 81.758 86.311 48,258. 48,258. 48,258. 48,258.
24 11.691 8.211 6.297 12.618 71.483 67.049 64.878 71.086 88.862 85.286 83.452 88.494 88.090 84.891 83.215 87.590 47,643. 47,643. 47,643. 47,643.
27 14.651 10.823 9.858 15.185 74.041 69.463 66.960 72.999 90.890 87.006 84.822 89.828 89.703 86.331 84.248 88.536 48,076. 48,076. 48,076. 48,076.
30 15.092 11.567 9.650 15.819 75.179 70.637 67.932 74.441 91.889 88.186 85.795 91.124 90.642 87.425 85.252 89.741 47,356. 47,356. 47,356. 47,356.
33 14.631 11.649 9.934 15.738 76.055 71.787 68.613 74.740 92.533 89.084 86.368 91.391 91.369 88.320 85.796 90.027 45,136. 45,136. 45,136. 45,136.
36 14.232 10.534 9.298 15.608 75.835 71.834 68.890 74.495 92.331 89.113 86.579 91.122 91.228 88.489 86.079 89.776 46,158. 46,158. 46,158. 46,158.
39 15.171 11.360 9.313 16.653 75.837 72.046 69.527 74.800 92.206 89.130 87.150 91.322 90.951 88.404 86.652 89.791 47,254. 47,254. 47,254. 47,254.
42 15.002 11.270 9.399 16.478 75.075 71.522 68.733 73.922 91.695 88.993 86.727 90.799 90.460 88.278 86.217 89.293 47,889. 47,889. 47,889. 47,889.
45 10.774 8.238 7.163 11.725 73.614 69.030 66.844 71.783 90.714 86.962 85.194 88.954 90.072 86.572 84.893 88.179 48,173. 48,173. 48,173. 48,173.
48 10.882 8.266 7.355 11.646 73.874 69.940 68.274 72.392 90.899 87.690 86.439 89.389 90.246 87.301 86.126 88.628 47,482. 47,482. 47,482. 47,482.
51 13.443 9.948 ******* 15.059 75.864 72.195 ******* 74.391 92.373 89.501 ******* 91.056 91.391 88.947 -9999.00 89.803 48,197. 48,197. 0. 48,197.
54 14.180 10.895 ******* 15.466 76.793 72.823 ******* 76.080 93.103 89.989 ******* 92.435 92.018 89.328 -9999.00 91.133 47,345. 47,345. 0. 47,345.
57 13.926 10.282 ******* 14.800 77.369 73.210 ******* 76.808 93.621 90.200 ******* 93.072 92.581 89.613 -9999.00 91.888 45,222. 45,222. 0. 45,222.
60 12.846 10.337 ******* 14.161 77.539 73.731 ******* 76.433 93.791 90.723 ******* 92.833 92.908 90.133 -9999.00 91.747 46,232. 46,232. 0. 46,232.
63 13.176 10.294 ******* 14.224 77.475 73.917 ******* 76.164 93.728 90.895 ******* 92.638 92.798 90.311 -9999.00 91.541 47,400. 47,400. 0. 47,400.
66 12.422 9.332 ******* 13.900 76.059 72.797 ******* 74.915 92.656 90.083 ******* 91.780 91.820 89.599 -9999.00 90.722 48,073. 48,073. 0. 48,073.
69 8.492 6.193 ******* 8.992 73.685 70.048 ******* 73.296 90.716 87.795 ******* 90.337 90.319 87.577 -9999.00 89.890 47,825. 47,825. 0. 47,825.
72 7.448 6.224 ******* 9.350 74.580 71.441 ******* 74.248 91.572 89.099 ******* 91.013 91.269 88.883 -9999.00 90.532 46,880. 46,880. 0. 46,880.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2002120100 to 2003022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 13.987 13.947 15.233 14.073 70.840 70.854 71.704 70.881 87.962 87.993 88.971 88.014 86.844 86.881 87.659 86.882 46,886. 46,886. 33,254. 46,886.
3 18.882 13.339 10.446 17.453 72.348 68.159 65.282 72.829 89.536 85.933 83.650 89.764 87.523 84.892 82.997 88.051 48,071. 48,071. 34,008. 48,071.
6 17.585 12.950 9.889 17.006 72.306 67.578 64.798 71.338 89.653 85.756 83.228 88.673 87.913 84.774 82.639 87.028 48,546. 48,546. 48,546. 48,546.
9 13.493 9.477 6.760 13.735 69.876 64.478 61.527 69.472 87.638 83.029 80.390 87.174 86.594 82.487 80.106 86.086 48,837. 48,837. 48,837. 48,837.
12 12.905 9.598 6.596 13.819 70.485 65.527 63.002 70.617 88.099 84.051 81.837 88.021 87.149 83.502 81.572 86.930 48,063. 48,063. 48,063. 48,063.
15 15.147 11.793 9.567 14.989 72.702 67.996 65.014 72.508 89.843 85.858 83.229 89.394 88.558 85.045 82.678 88.129 48,667. 48,667. 48,667. 48,667.
18 15.979 12.452 10.373 16.875 73.913 69.081 66.042 73.658 90.934 86.820 84.118 90.534 89.520 85.923 83.477 88.948 47,817. 47,817. 47,817. 47,817.
21 15.651 12.608 10.543 16.217 74.793 70.026 66.694 74.178 91.561 87.517 84.610 90.900 90.215 86.605 83.952 89.443 45,630. 45,630. 45,630. 45,630.
24 15.104 11.739 9.990 16.197 75.110 70.805 67.529 74.118 91.757 88.274 85.350 90.818 90.506 87.491 84.764 89.363 46,662. 46,662. 46,662. 46,662.
27 14.983 11.233 9.729 16.357 75.226 71.230 68.365 74.157 91.817 88.547 86.191 90.821 90.588 87.833 85.641 89.336 47,864. 47,864. 47,864. 47,864.
30 14.834 10.708 8.447 16.112 73.910 69.900 67.073 72.898 90.720 87.618 85.274 89.933 89.500 86.962 84.856 88.479 48,499. 48,499. 48,499. 48,499.
33 12.005 8.789 6.580 11.941 71.586 67.418 65.051 70.379 88.947 85.529 83.519 87.842 88.134 85.077 83.260 87.028 48,774. 48,774. 48,774. 48,774.
36 11.518 8.368 6.921 11.719 72.241 68.349 66.638 71.137 89.519 86.352 85.051 88.443 88.776 85.947 84.770 87.664 48,006. 48,006. 48,006. 48,006.
39 13.933 10.601 9.222 14.696 75.057 70.774 68.185 73.941 91.706 88.152 85.972 90.613 90.643 87.514 85.477 89.414 48,609. 48,609. 48,609. 48,609.
42 14.270 11.121 9.813 15.671 75.750 71.590 69.196 75.122 92.251 88.890 86.866 91.687 91.142 88.192 86.311 90.339 47,757. 47,757. 47,757. 47,757.
45 13.970 11.268 10.130 14.736 76.346 72.295 69.715 75.907 92.795 89.385 87.258 92.403 91.738 88.673 86.669 91.221 45,574. 45,574. 45,574. 45,574.
48 14.133 11.294 9.824 15.012 76.833 72.704 69.925 75.762 93.213 89.833 87.467 92.278 92.136 89.121 86.915 91.049 46,606. 46,606. 46,606. 46,606.
51 14.625 10.874 ******* 15.576 76.649 73.167 ******* 75.456 93.027 90.310 ******* 91.916 91.871 89.654 -9999.00 90.588 47,967. 47,967. 0. 47,967.
54 14.088 10.367 ******* 15.010 75.716 72.154 ******* 74.683 92.369 89.595 ******* 91.515 91.289 88.994 -9999.00 90.276 48,635. 48,635. 0. 48,635.
57 9.571 7.914 ******* 10.015 73.611 69.607 ******* 72.939 90.698 87.474 ******* 90.064 90.193 87.116 -9999.00 89.506 48,835. 48,835. 0. 48,835.
60 9.589 7.339 ******* 10.702 74.508 71.058 ******* 74.195 91.452 88.779 ******* 91.076 90.949 88.476 -9999.00 90.446 48,034. 48,034. 0. 48,034.
63 12.348 8.988 ******* 13.445 76.632 73.171 ******* 75.892 93.037 90.355 ******* 92.320 92.215 89.908 -9999.00 91.337 48,640. 48,640. 0. 48,640.
66 13.487 10.045 ******* 13.590 77.388 73.690 ******* 76.855 93.670 90.687 ******* 93.165 92.695 90.130 -9999.00 92.170 47,783. 47,783. 0. 47,783.
69 12.138 9.256 ******* 12.963 77.330 73.922 ******* 77.421 93.494 90.799 ******* 93.636 92.704 90.327 -9999.00 92.735 45,626. 45,626. 0. 45,626.
72 12.166 8.852 ******* 13.082 77.466 74.273 ******* 77.442 93.709 91.246 ******* 93.653 92.917 90.816 -9999.00 92.736 46,654. 46,654. 0. 46,654.