MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2003060900 to 2003060900 obs within 4km domain of type: AM,AV,AW,BF,BR,CC,CL,CM,CU,DT,EC,EM,GS,HN,PS,PW,RW,SA,SN,UW

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  GFS  1° grid  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  GFS  1° grid 
0 -1.510 -1.605 ******* 0.947 -1.183 2.660 2.668 ******* 3.085 2.779 3.765 3.781 ******* 4.183 3.822 3.452 3.426 -9999.00 4.078 3.637 645. 645. 0. 645. 645.
3 -1.446 -1.420 ******* -2.170 -2.344 2.628 2.413 ******* 3.524 3.369 3.542 3.366 ******* 4.551 4.316 3.236 3.054 -9999.00 4.004 3.627 626. 626. 0. 626. 626.
6 -0.819 -0.916 -0.835 -2.934 -2.847 2.163 2.090 2.030 3.517 3.522 3.103 3.044 2.936 4.506 4.529 2.996 2.905 2.817 3.423 3.525 633. 633. 633. 633. 633.
9 -0.513 -0.284 -0.015 -2.671 -2.550 1.978 1.918 1.853 3.230 3.136 2.924 2.872 2.794 4.091 4.017 2.881 2.861 2.796 3.101 3.107 624. 624. 624. 624. 624.
12 -0.268 0.073 0.392 -2.846 -2.702 2.135 2.094 2.053 3.457 3.238 3.105 3.117 3.099 4.368 4.236 3.095 3.119 3.076 3.316 3.265 631. 631. 631. 631. 631.
15 -0.684 -0.004 0.386 3.039 -0.847 2.080 2.077 1.982 3.526 2.264 3.003 2.949 2.819 4.395 3.176 2.926 2.951 2.795 3.177 3.063 642. 642. 642. 642. 642.
18 0.797 1.166 1.455 6.613 2.270 2.815 2.743 2.802 6.841 3.385 3.612 3.587 3.602 7.521 4.230 3.525 3.395 3.298 3.585 3.572 635. 635. 635. 635. 635.
21 1.531 1.759 1.959 7.025 3.330 3.562 3.448 3.430 7.268 4.214 4.544 4.532 4.519 8.211 5.272 4.282 4.180 4.076 4.256 4.091 645. 645. 645. 645. 645.
24 0.933 0.978 1.321 4.585 2.266 3.666 3.389 3.362 5.191 3.758 4.605 4.422 4.388 6.520 4.932 4.513 4.315 4.188 4.639 4.384 655. 655. 655. 655. 655.
27 0.728 0.202 0.590 0.909 0.124 3.127 2.635 2.469 3.096 3.181 4.055 3.582 3.384 4.392 4.301 3.992 3.579 3.335 4.300 4.302 642. 642. 642. 642. 642.
30 0.350 -0.020 0.241 -0.845 -1.045 1.826 1.713 1.597 2.684 2.366 2.568 2.483 2.346 3.405 3.187 2.546 2.485 2.336 3.302 3.014 618. 618. 618. 618. 618.
33 0.308 0.013 0.289 -1.341 -1.673 1.983 1.937 1.856 2.929 2.717 3.141 3.053 2.980 3.935 3.841 3.129 3.055 2.968 3.703 3.460 641. 641. 641. 641. 641.
36 0.257 0.033 0.311 -2.040 -2.161 2.140 2.044 2.015 3.210 2.797 3.247 3.166 3.147 4.259 3.962 3.240 3.168 3.134 3.742 3.324 649. 649. 649. 649. 649.
39 -0.818 -0.239 0.256 3.406 -0.763 2.300 2.105 1.978 3.697 2.193 3.183 2.943 2.795 4.620 2.978 3.079 2.936 2.785 3.125 2.881 650. 650. 650. 650. 650.
42 -0.535 0.093 0.497 7.109 1.830 2.848 2.764 2.584 7.265 3.331 3.735 3.779 3.522 8.080 4.198 3.700 3.780 3.489 3.845 3.781 658. 658. 658. 658. 658.
45 0.035 0.084 0.622 7.835 3.263 3.130 2.813 2.720 8.041 4.363 3.961 3.784 3.634 9.037 5.435 3.963 3.786 3.583 4.507 4.350 658. 658. 658. 658. 658.
48 0.084 -0.237 0.227 5.614 2.752 3.414 2.828 2.743 6.100 4.071 4.486 3.998 3.928 7.398 5.397 4.489 3.994 3.924 4.821 4.647 658. 658. 658. 658. 658.
51 0.452 -0.331 ******* 2.046 1.147 2.804 2.262 ******* 3.622 3.058 3.895 3.451 ******* 4.923 4.145 3.871 3.438 -9999.00 4.481 3.986 656. 656. 0. 656. 656.
54 0.299 -0.218 ******* -0.274 -0.783 2.079 1.805 ******* 2.785 2.344 3.160 2.943 ******* 3.723 3.405 3.149 2.937 -9999.00 3.716 3.316 660. 660. 0. 660. 660.
57 0.781 0.360 ******* -0.525 -0.969 2.054 1.853 ******* 2.757 2.275 3.223 3.042 ******* 3.711 3.481 3.129 3.023 -9999.00 3.676 3.347 651. 651. 0. 651. 651.
60 1.222 0.831 ******* -0.941 -0.965 2.340 2.154 ******* 2.923 2.192 3.541 3.433 ******* 3.985 3.531 3.326 3.333 -9999.00 3.875 3.399 662. 662. 0. 662. 662.
63 -1.143 -0.736 ******* 4.378 -0.718 2.317 2.074 ******* 4.718 2.074 3.543 3.341 ******* 5.626 3.219 3.356 3.262 -9999.00 3.535 3.140 670. 670. 0. 670. 670.
66 -2.305 -1.458 ******* 7.498 0.310 2.991 2.378 ******* 7.618 2.502 4.050 3.494 ******* 8.320 3.521 3.332 3.178 -9999.00 3.610 3.510 668. 668. 0. 668. 668.
69 -2.370 -1.530 ******* 7.095 1.218 3.255 2.605 ******* 7.272 2.716 4.311 3.861 ******* 8.173 3.920 3.604 3.547 -9999.00 4.059 3.729 660. 660. 0. 660. 660.
72 -3.435 -2.579 ******* 3.744 -1.032 4.132 3.342 ******* 4.338 2.890 5.194 4.589 ******* 5.657 4.195 3.899 3.799 -9999.00 4.243 4.069 670. 670. 0. 670. 670.