MM5 Statistics

00Z Initialization Stats of Pressure (Millibars)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 -0.073 -0.047 -99.990 0.036 0.859 0.851 -99.990 0.838 1.458 1.452 -99.990 1.777 3013 3013 0 941
3 0.133 0.104 -99.990 0.174 0.890 0.894 -99.990 1.153 1.327 1.331 -99.990 1.550 2950 2950 0 919
6 -0.133 -0.216 -99.990 0.285 0.913 0.910 -99.990 1.043 1.262 1.260 -99.990 1.381 2707 2707 0 854
9 -0.049 -0.163 -99.990 0.450 1.119 1.115 -99.990 0.987 1.492 1.488 -99.990 1.358 2642 2642 0 803
12 0.336 0.185 0.086 0.407 1.305 1.254 1.270 1.023 1.742 1.686 1.704 1.375 2647 2647 2590 798
15 0.054 -0.081 -0.173 -0.101 1.598 1.569 1.594 1.191 2.205 2.188 2.215 1.691 2982 2982 2926 946
18 -0.418 -0.501 -0.552 -0.516 1.750 1.713 1.742 1.340 2.495 2.478 2.510 1.821 3058 3058 3001 975
21 -0.421 -0.528 -0.562 -0.117 1.757 1.714 1.733 1.396 2.492 2.479 2.508 1.860 3039 3039 2982 969
24 -0.372 -0.505 -0.566 -2.631 1.865 1.830 1.849 2.712 2.757 2.761 2.788 2.977 3003 3003 2945 140
27 -0.164 -0.292 -0.392 -0.830 1.993 1.973 2.002 1.892 2.976 2.949 2.990 2.504 2951 2951 2896 911
30 -0.400 -0.567 -0.665 -0.321 2.056 2.076 2.112 1.868 2.955 2.934 2.976 2.470 2706 2706 2649 848
33 -0.309 -0.483 -0.580 0.087 2.220 2.239 2.268 2.089 3.033 3.046 3.082 2.713 2638 2638 2583 799
36 -0.048 -0.215 -0.305 -0.196 2.346 2.359 2.368 2.421 3.191 3.226 3.247 3.200 2642 2642 2585 795
39 -0.097 -0.254 -99.990 -0.471 2.502 2.510 -99.990 2.521 3.432 3.437 -99.990 3.361 2979 2979 0 943
42 -0.544 -0.663 -99.990 -0.338 2.550 2.560 -99.990 2.473 3.495 3.514 -99.990 3.272 3052 3052 0 968
45 -0.544 -0.690 -99.990 -0.405 2.525 2.538 -99.990 2.365 3.347 3.398 -99.990 3.115 3038 3038 0 964
48 -0.267 -0.440 -99.990 -0.088 2.546 2.558 -99.990 4.666 3.373 3.429 -99.990 5.039 3007 3007 0 142

12Z Initialization Stats of Pressure (Millibars)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 -0.099 -0.071 -99.990 0.307 0.805 0.799 -99.990 0.684 1.169 1.153 -99.990 0.988 2789 2789 0 844
3 0.130 0.095 -99.990 0.224 1.026 1.023 -99.990 0.991 1.530 1.517 -99.990 1.563 3197 3197 0 1000
6 -0.440 -0.432 -99.990 -0.083 1.240 1.191 -99.990 1.225 1.789 1.741 -99.990 1.629 3269 3269 0 1026
9 -0.427 -0.467 -99.990 -0.399 1.317 1.261 -99.990 1.170 1.870 1.830 -99.990 1.641 3250 3250 0 1023
12 -0.265 -0.338 -0.421 -2.047 1.426 1.361 1.387 2.181 2.143 2.105 2.147 2.449 3213 3213 3151 140
15 -0.243 -0.323 -0.422 -1.113 1.572 1.532 1.554 1.871 2.298 2.276 2.321 2.585 3129 3129 3071 967
18 -0.523 -0.640 -0.748 -0.815 1.688 1.683 1.713 1.813 2.303 2.303 2.348 2.448 2848 2848 2788 896
21 -0.357 -0.497 -0.597 -0.254 1.732 1.726 1.746 1.794 2.301 2.306 2.331 2.337 2780 2780 2722 845
24 -0.166 -0.304 -0.407 -0.449 1.834 1.838 1.854 2.001 2.436 2.442 2.458 2.525 2788 2788 2728 841
27 -0.181 -0.310 -0.400 -0.696 2.117 2.118 2.140 2.192 2.849 2.843 2.862 2.754 3193 3193 3133 992
30 -0.658 -0.762 -0.839 -0.795 2.269 2.276 2.324 2.240 3.054 3.057 3.103 2.757 3269 3269 3208 1023
33 -0.627 -0.749 -0.825 -0.454 2.202 2.202 2.235 2.172 2.929 2.949 2.992 2.674 3251 3251 3190 1016
36 -0.300 -0.428 -0.519 0.525 2.221 2.227 2.244 3.637 3.038 3.062 3.094 4.209 3218 3218 3156 142
39 -0.001 -0.120 -99.990 -0.791 2.354 2.353 -99.990 2.680 3.244 3.260 -99.990 3.547 3133 3133 0 963
42 -0.210 -0.335 -99.990 -0.574 2.430 2.427 -99.990 2.551 3.339 3.340 -99.990 3.494 2847 2847 0 893
45 -0.246 -0.372 -99.990 -0.447 2.623 2.618 -99.990 2.832 3.587 3.581 -99.990 3.853 2778 2778 0 843
48 0.007 -0.111 -99.990 -0.792 2.824 2.790 -99.990 3.287 3.890 3.836 -99.990 4.419 2794 2794 0 842