MM5 Statistics

00Z Initialization Stats of Wind Direction (Degrees)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations
Skipping Wind Speeds less than 5 knots

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 26.293 26.493 -99.990 18.077 59.082 60.128 -99.990 44.414 74.806 75.886 -99.990 58.175 3604 3604 0 996
3 16.500 11.251 -99.990 21.558 46.723 42.901 -99.990 47.612 62.804 59.427 -99.990 63.287 2803 2803 0 862
6 21.295 14.348 -99.990 24.272 48.316 42.805 -99.990 48.457 64.023 59.037 -99.990 64.274 2399 2399 0 787
9 22.028 15.565 -99.990 21.405 50.364 44.600 -99.990 43.980 65.724 61.329 -99.990 59.369 2148 2148 0 667
12 19.903 13.077 15.078 19.578 52.513 44.505 44.357 43.624 68.351 60.484 60.592 60.088 2408 2408 2403 753
15 25.242 15.933 11.547 19.585 52.146 45.250 45.225 41.682 67.587 61.626 62.052 56.186 2764 2764 2759 908
18 22.313 14.973 12.565 16.855 55.847 46.811 47.043 45.506 72.257 63.861 65.144 60.211 3268 3268 3257 1005
21 16.374 12.677 11.908 13.961 53.857 48.004 47.886 46.813 70.615 66.196 66.812 61.068 3853 3853 3841 1058
24 14.801 9.204 8.307 21.372 52.841 47.608 48.502 44.409 69.552 65.867 67.668 61.016 3621 3621 3610 208
27 18.687 13.165 11.808 29.124 55.414 50.758 50.768 51.643 71.929 68.556 69.515 66.157 2866 2866 2854 860
30 23.105 16.106 13.208 31.118 55.193 52.348 51.239 50.795 71.817 69.485 69.200 65.392 2470 2470 2461 809
33 26.168 19.760 16.196 27.203 58.178 54.136 54.785 48.339 74.566 72.329 73.396 61.941 2192 2192 2189 680
36 23.776 15.612 9.258 25.717 58.283 52.693 52.972 48.833 74.319 70.370 71.800 63.082 2445 2445 2439 785
39 25.490 16.913 -99.990 24.456 57.348 53.342 -99.990 46.832 72.679 71.208 -99.990 60.904 2795 2795 0 933
42 23.892 14.163 -99.990 17.830 60.630 55.039 -99.990 49.684 77.054 73.654 -99.990 64.954 3292 3292 0 1040
45 20.418 11.798 -99.990 20.910 57.761 52.914 -99.990 50.789 74.479 71.729 -99.990 67.360 3874 3874 0 1094
48 19.117 11.704 -99.990 25.712 55.208 50.501 -99.990 45.959 72.559 70.096 -99.990 61.544 3647 3647 0 214

12Z Initialization Stats of Wind Direction (Degrees)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations
Skipping Wind Speeds less than 5 knots

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 28.842 28.797 -99.990 18.496 58.579 58.738 -99.990 44.427 74.815 75.075 -99.990 60.729 2527 2527 0 776
3 13.227 8.734 -99.990 17.212 45.077 41.166 -99.990 41.425 60.507 57.058 -99.990 55.775 2930 2930 0 948
6 18.733 14.956 -99.990 14.330 49.734 41.961 -99.990 44.725 65.367 57.852 -99.990 59.580 3469 3469 0 1072
9 15.483 11.989 -99.990 9.807 51.130 43.345 -99.990 46.487 67.300 59.752 -99.990 61.072 4106 4106 0 1129
12 15.291 11.141 11.832 20.039 48.707 43.122 42.985 44.298 64.744 60.161 60.050 60.547 3865 3865 3852 208
15 18.660 14.360 14.402 28.305 50.955 46.554 46.229 51.409 66.928 63.508 63.526 66.494 3017 3017 3005 925
18 21.802 14.970 13.431 27.622 52.866 47.877 48.977 51.027 68.492 64.567 66.482 65.938 2590 2590 2579 868
21 24.550 20.454 16.202 25.755 55.087 50.810 50.896 47.109 71.718 68.965 69.900 62.086 2301 2301 2298 732
24 25.008 14.278 12.975 23.653 55.802 48.570 50.220 45.622 71.594 65.793 68.580 60.510 2576 2576 2569 832
27 25.665 17.336 13.862 23.699 54.831 48.548 50.336 43.236 70.289 65.454 68.138 57.295 2966 2966 2960 989
30 23.245 11.322 11.766 18.489 57.456 49.813 50.347 47.195 73.699 67.833 68.769 61.415 3517 3517 3504 1096
33 15.565 11.303 10.249 14.924 55.741 51.222 51.827 47.046 72.308 69.496 71.297 61.431 4143 4143 4129 1149
36 13.951 9.138 8.638 29.163 54.498 50.640 52.482 47.248 71.781 69.524 71.859 62.091 3908 3908 3894 214
39 17.160 14.602 -99.990 24.957 55.977 54.253 -99.990 52.966 72.821 73.208 -99.990 68.222 3088 3088 0 957
42 23.921 12.847 -99.990 26.148 57.129 52.326 -99.990 51.923 74.095 70.073 -99.990 67.064 2678 2678 0 909
45 24.622 16.228 -99.990 20.823 57.599 53.318 -99.990 47.083 74.356 71.400 -99.990 61.221 2370 2370 0 769
48 24.840 14.089 -99.990 22.260 58.016 52.201 -99.990 47.664 74.335 69.773 -99.990 62.002 2628 2628 0 869