MM5 Statistics

00Z Initialization Stats of Wind Speed (Knots)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 2.538 2.416 -99.990 -0.626 4.795 4.752 -99.990 3.897 6.344 6.258 -99.990 5.378 7539 7539 0 2080
3 2.509 2.406 -99.990 -0.421 4.208 4.027 -99.990 3.478 5.277 5.117 -99.990 4.846 7438 7438 0 2039
6 3.401 3.463 -99.990 -0.135 4.846 4.772 -99.990 3.533 6.132 6.066 -99.990 5.180 6931 6931 0 1954
9 3.614 3.646 -99.990 0.130 4.955 4.893 -99.990 3.447 6.183 6.110 -99.990 4.758 6599 6599 0 1785
12 3.457 3.574 4.788 -0.159 5.103 4.994 5.972 3.612 6.319 6.186 7.555 5.011 7003 7003 6946 1906
15 3.489 3.490 3.633 -0.246 5.227 4.977 5.020 3.862 6.424 6.211 6.376 5.282 7631 7631 7575 2116
18 2.291 2.144 2.318 -0.480 4.782 4.297 4.313 3.915 6.099 5.638 5.756 5.424 7693 7693 7636 2099
21 1.449 1.690 2.098 -0.628 4.332 4.231 4.359 3.854 5.620 5.628 5.868 5.272 7623 7623 7566 2099
24 1.768 2.121 2.398 -0.742 4.234 4.216 4.374 6.255 5.527 5.574 5.847 8.481 7532 7532 7474 322
27 3.447 3.438 3.725 -0.027 5.141 5.022 5.194 3.609 6.394 6.414 6.622 4.974 7433 7433 7378 2043
30 3.617 3.662 3.894 -0.176 5.279 5.283 5.340 3.699 6.639 6.697 6.861 5.477 6924 6924 6867 1942
33 3.591 3.660 3.774 0.092 5.172 5.150 5.204 3.681 6.495 6.471 6.678 5.209 6583 6583 6528 1774
36 3.509 3.656 3.751 -0.329 5.405 5.352 5.360 3.927 6.737 6.727 6.894 5.659 6971 6971 6914 1895
39 3.461 3.515 -99.990 -0.367 5.455 5.304 -99.990 4.175 6.753 6.679 -99.990 5.726 7607 7607 0 2097
42 2.464 2.422 -99.990 -0.286 5.023 4.697 -99.990 4.193 6.413 6.107 -99.990 5.727 7683 7683 0 2103
45 1.493 1.657 -99.990 -0.351 4.449 4.376 -99.990 4.057 5.753 5.781 -99.990 5.490 7610 7610 0 2108
48 1.883 2.290 -99.990 -0.453 4.374 4.481 -99.990 5.344 5.709 5.923 -99.990 6.987 7508 7508 0 338

12Z Initialization Stats of Wind Speed (Knots)
for the Period 19980915 to 19981114 (Fall 1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 32km
0 4.434 4.250 -99.990 0.551 5.974 5.796 -99.990 4.054 7.485 7.331 -99.990 5.539 7463 7463 0 2021
3 2.533 2.431 -99.990 -0.612 4.367 4.138 -99.990 3.781 5.526 5.291 -99.990 5.242 8212 8212 0 2236
6 1.975 1.818 -99.990 -0.772 4.334 3.923 -99.990 3.854 5.626 5.170 -99.990 5.382 8268 8268 0 2223
9 0.932 1.282 -99.990 -0.945 3.962 3.801 -99.990 3.862 5.188 5.063 -99.990 5.358 8174 8174 0 2203
12 1.402 1.797 2.489 -1.111 3.870 3.849 4.336 6.102 5.116 5.122 5.836 8.395 8066 8066 8004 322
15 3.356 3.418 3.847 -0.104 4.952 4.844 5.119 3.704 6.152 6.177 6.514 5.122 7922 7922 7864 2149
18 3.764 3.814 4.172 -0.062 5.232 5.159 5.430 3.742 6.514 6.562 6.935 5.465 7385 7385 7325 2056
21 3.861 3.816 4.113 0.260 5.245 5.132 5.308 3.704 6.489 6.443 6.752 5.141 7032 7032 6974 1881
24 3.648 3.689 3.973 -0.280 5.367 5.247 5.375 3.882 6.641 6.552 6.837 5.523 7440 7440 7380 2008
27 3.575 3.599 3.819 -0.304 5.444 5.230 5.331 4.097 6.696 6.528 6.761 5.604 8186 8186 8126 2220
30 2.367 2.289 2.537 -0.368 4.973 4.617 4.659 4.194 6.342 6.024 6.178 5.704 8251 8251 8190 2211
33 1.408 1.603 2.021 -0.539 4.450 4.343 4.470 4.062 5.755 5.733 6.008 5.492 8159 8159 8098 2210
36 1.847 2.144 2.528 -0.839 4.340 4.355 4.561 5.300 5.640 5.759 6.081 7.043 8077 8077 8015 338
39 3.533 3.468 -99.990 -0.296 5.300 5.216 -99.990 3.917 6.586 6.641 -99.990 5.399 7913 7913 0 2161
42 3.659 3.566 -99.990 -0.584 5.507 5.395 -99.990 4.023 6.959 6.924 -99.990 5.950 7383 7383 0 2057
45 3.670 3.638 -99.990 -0.491 5.350 5.231 -99.990 3.841 6.717 6.633 -99.990 5.520 7024 7024 0 1882
48 3.546 3.454 -99.990 -0.809 5.487 5.179 -99.990 4.001 6.900 6.622 -99.990 5.776 7433 7433 0 2011