MM5 Statistics

00Z Initialization Stats of Adjusted Temperature (Kelvin)
for the Period 19971115 to 19980228 (Winter 1997/1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29km
0 -0.048 0.228 -99.990 -99.990 1.880 1.751 -99.990 -99.990 2.389 2.260 -99.990 -99.990 3565 3530 0 0
3 0.419 0.597 -99.990 -1.052 2.113 1.839 -99.990 2.341 2.695 2.437 -99.990 3.086 3358 3357 0 1895
6 0.776 0.991 -99.990 -0.794 2.153 1.971 -99.990 2.278 2.806 2.628 -99.990 2.992 2936 2932 0 1676
9 0.834 1.065 -99.990 -0.512 2.187 2.012 -99.990 2.181 2.858 2.676 -99.990 2.929 2891 2890 0 1654
12 0.832 1.079 1.165 -0.280 2.179 2.024 2.006 2.160 2.843 2.683 2.658 2.901 2917 2917 2916 1670
15 0.972 1.188 1.245 -0.031 2.281 2.077 2.052 2.191 2.979 2.763 2.726 2.958 3340 3340 3340 1900
18 0.184 0.489 0.500 0.054 1.882 1.676 1.683 1.939 2.473 2.245 2.253 2.590 3445 3445 3445 1958
21 -0.608 -0.139 -0.095 0.145 1.872 1.625 1.639 1.782 2.463 2.153 2.165 2.307 3365 3365 3365 1893
24 -0.609 -0.305 -0.266 -0.170 2.032 1.708 1.694 1.747 2.613 2.232 2.215 2.280 3349 3345 3345 1853
27 0.348 0.561 0.584 0.196 2.170 1.852 1.803 1.852 2.806 2.462 2.397 2.434 3160 3160 3160 1766
30 0.681 0.867 0.908 0.415 2.223 2.036 1.952 1.931 2.907 2.684 2.579 2.551 2761 2761 2761 1527
33 0.789 1.004 0.973 0.426 2.314 2.147 2.050 1.975 3.003 2.800 2.687 2.618 2715 2715 2715 1543
36 0.865 1.075 1.073 0.481 2.308 2.180 2.100 2.055 2.987 2.812 2.701 2.755 2704 2704 2703 1594
39 1.022 1.214 -99.990 -99.990 2.398 2.233 -99.990 -99.990 3.096 2.878 -99.990 -99.990 3140 3180 0 0
42 0.148 0.413 -99.990 -99.990 1.938 1.762 -99.990 -99.990 2.544 2.306 -99.990 -99.990 3292 3334 0 0
45 -0.683 -0.270 -99.990 -99.990 1.950 1.695 -99.990 -99.990 2.582 2.264 -99.990 -99.990 3249 3287 0 0
48 -0.558 -0.328 -99.990 -99.990 2.235 1.761 -99.990 -99.990 2.930 2.345 -99.990 -99.990 878 1711 0 0

12Z Initialization Stats of Adjusted Temperature (Kelvin)
for the Period 19971115 to 19980228 (Winter 1997/1998)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29km
0 1.616 1.922 -99.990 -99.990 2.301 2.384 -99.990 -99.990 3.144 3.264 -99.990 -99.990 2917 2845 0 0
3 1.137 1.307 -99.990 -0.270 2.310 2.065 -99.990 2.175 3.054 2.815 -99.990 2.823 3395 3317 0 1803
6 0.342 0.685 -99.990 -0.373 1.850 1.661 -99.990 1.899 2.427 2.250 -99.990 2.476 3544 3438 0 1894
9 -0.424 0.027 -99.990 -0.173 1.757 1.543 -99.990 1.734 2.299 2.066 -99.990 2.235 3499 3420 0 1858
12 -0.550 -0.203 -0.117 -0.388 1.947 1.594 1.591 1.691 2.501 2.112 2.091 2.206 3478 3509 3509 1825
15 0.337 0.555 0.692 0.082 2.075 1.757 1.741 1.829 2.676 2.365 2.338 2.378 3364 3362 3362 1727
18 0.597 0.793 0.953 0.391 2.121 1.911 1.877 1.906 2.775 2.544 2.512 2.502 2918 2945 2945 1490
21 0.676 0.878 0.989 0.277 2.209 2.005 1.937 1.957 2.888 2.645 2.566 2.571 2856 2889 2889 1478
24 0.771 0.980 1.097 0.284 2.222 2.077 2.024 2.042 2.906 2.712 2.635 2.724 2815 2811 2810 1425
27 0.949 1.117 1.237 0.344 2.401 2.151 2.145 2.202 3.096 2.801 2.771 2.932 3126 3166 3166 1570
30 -0.005 0.260 0.375 0.231 1.936 1.712 1.715 1.877 2.553 2.282 2.273 2.477 3267 3309 3309 1648
33 -0.733 -0.334 -0.232 0.254 1.925 1.682 1.652 1.749 2.551 2.241 2.202 2.286 3221 3244 3244 1662
36 -0.749 -0.426 -0.347 -0.212 2.109 1.744 1.723 1.874 2.742 2.328 2.284 2.548 3221 3251 3251 1614
39 0.167 0.423 -99.990 -99.990 2.165 1.836 -99.990 -99.990 2.797 2.447 -99.990 -99.990 3082 3082 0 0
42 0.514 0.725 -99.990 -99.990 2.227 2.023 -99.990 -99.990 2.899 2.664 -99.990 -99.990 2673 2672 0 0
45 0.570 0.780 -99.990 -99.990 2.297 2.102 -99.990 -99.990 2.980 2.745 -99.990 -99.990 2627 2646 0 0
48 0.719 1.264 -99.990 -99.990 2.407 2.257 -99.990 -99.990 3.024 2.874 -99.990 -99.990 569 1313 0 0