MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.753 9.668 ******* 9.271 9.753 9.668 ******* 9.271 11.433 11.296 ******* 11.014 5.967 5.841 -9999.00 5.946 32,817. 32,817. 0. 30,774.
3 8.385 7.754 ******* 8.710 8.385 7.754 ******* 8.710 10.052 9.399 ******* 10.209 5.544 5.311 -9999.00 5.325 27,179. 27,179. 0. 23,477.
6 8.840 8.024 ******* 9.046 8.840 8.024 ******* 9.046 10.598 9.782 ******* 10.600 5.845 5.595 -9999.00 5.525 22,310. 22,310. 0. 21,052.
9 8.968 8.083 ******* 8.798 8.968 8.083 ******* 8.798 10.731 9.830 ******* 10.311 5.893 5.595 -9999.00 5.377 19,140. 19,140. 0. 16,126.
12 9.368 8.445 8.624 9.195 9.368 8.445 8.624 9.195 11.148 10.268 10.498 10.724 6.044 5.841 5.987 5.519 20,095. 20,095. 20,095. 18,919.
15 9.554 8.607 8.472 9.112 9.554 8.607 8.472 9.112 11.394 10.517 10.535 10.631 6.208 6.044 6.263 5.477 23,312. 23,312. 23,312. 19,709.
18 9.364 8.444 8.265 9.022 9.364 8.444 8.265 9.022 11.066 10.208 10.148 10.512 5.897 5.735 5.889 5.397 27,484. 27,484. 27,484. 25,798.
21 8.934 8.204 8.069 8.889 8.934 8.204 8.069 8.889 10.575 9.871 9.872 10.303 5.657 5.490 5.688 5.210 32,744. 32,744. 32,744. 27,982.
24 8.721 8.117 8.009 8.991 8.721 8.117 8.009 8.991 10.443 9.844 9.855 10.469 5.745 5.570 5.743 5.363 31,959. 31,959. 31,959. 29,609.
27 9.221 8.613 8.476 9.032 9.221 8.613 8.476 9.032 11.167 10.605 10.557 10.577 6.299 6.188 6.293 5.505 26,564. 26,564. 26,564. 22,932.
30 9.613 8.959 8.891 9.411 9.613 8.959 8.891 9.411 11.598 11.003 11.055 11.011 6.489 6.386 6.570 5.718 21,701. 21,701. 21,701. 20,498.
33 9.634 8.871 8.853 9.135 9.634 8.871 8.853 9.135 11.560 10.861 10.993 10.693 6.390 6.267 6.517 5.558 18,556. 18,556. 18,556. 15,727.
36 10.069 9.282 9.226 9.539 10.069 9.282 9.226 9.539 12.014 11.369 11.457 11.147 6.554 6.567 6.793 5.768 19,562. 19,562. 19,562. 18,443.
39 10.224 9.416 ******* 9.499 10.224 9.416 ******* 9.499 12.206 11.508 ******* 11.089 6.668 6.616 -9999.00 5.723 22,878. 22,878. 0. 19,549.
42 9.979 9.227 ******* 9.414 9.979 9.227 ******* 9.414 11.814 11.191 ******* 10.968 6.325 6.333 -9999.00 5.627 26,701. 26,701. 0. 25,116.
45 9.441 8.829 ******* 9.215 9.441 8.829 ******* 9.215 11.189 10.649 ******* 10.649 6.005 5.954 -9999.00 5.338 31,725. 31,725. 0. 27,159.
48 8.972 8.521 ******* 9.135 8.972 8.521 ******* 9.135 10.698 10.307 ******* 10.585 5.826 5.800 -9999.00 5.347 28,334. 28,334. 0. 26,308.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.345 10.232 ******* 9.845 10.345 10.232 ******* 9.845 12.091 11.924 ******* 11.604 6.259 6.123 -9999.00 6.143 20,613. 20,613. 0. 19,675.
3 8.721 7.956 ******* 8.966 8.721 7.956 ******* 8.966 10.349 9.525 ******* 10.450 5.572 5.238 -9999.00 5.368 23,995. 23,995. 0. 20,735.
6 8.857 7.858 ******* 8.834 8.857 7.858 ******* 8.834 10.430 9.436 ******* 10.274 5.508 5.224 -9999.00 5.245 28,136. 28,136. 0. 26,738.
9 8.516 7.721 ******* 8.752 8.516 7.721 ******* 8.752 10.027 9.264 ******* 10.130 5.294 5.120 -9999.00 5.103 33,923. 33,923. 0. 29,370.
12 8.349 7.656 7.673 8.817 8.349 7.656 7.673 8.817 9.938 9.250 9.313 10.239 5.392 5.191 5.279 5.205 33,176. 33,176. 33,176. 30,975.
15 8.824 8.130 8.064 8.916 8.824 8.130 8.064 8.916 10.625 9.959 9.993 10.422 5.918 5.753 5.902 5.396 27,295. 27,295. 27,295. 23,799.
18 9.261 8.524 8.561 9.248 9.261 8.524 8.561 9.248 11.096 10.403 10.568 10.809 6.112 5.965 6.196 5.595 22,386. 22,386. 22,386. 21,286.
21 9.363 8.519 8.566 9.016 9.363 8.519 8.566 9.016 11.199 10.370 10.543 10.534 6.144 5.913 6.147 5.449 19,358. 19,358. 19,358. 16,368.
24 9.759 8.859 8.910 9.383 9.759 8.859 8.910 9.383 11.658 10.800 10.988 10.943 6.378 6.178 6.431 5.632 20,335. 20,335. 20,335. 19,321.
27 9.873 9.026 9.095 9.323 9.873 9.026 9.095 9.323 11.847 11.069 11.300 10.875 6.547 6.408 6.706 5.599 23,535. 23,535. 23,535. 20,242.
30 9.620 8.783 8.749 9.204 9.620 8.783 8.749 9.204 11.395 10.620 10.739 10.732 6.108 5.970 6.227 5.520 27,783. 27,783. 27,783. 26,324.
33 9.254 8.579 8.522 9.071 9.254 8.579 8.522 9.071 10.974 10.328 10.425 10.495 5.900 5.749 6.004 5.278 33,113. 33,113. 33,113. 28,546.
36 9.016 8.403 8.388 9.109 9.016 8.403 8.388 9.109 10.787 10.203 10.313 10.581 5.922 5.787 6.000 5.384 32,373. 32,373. 32,373. 29,949.
39 9.375 8.800 ******* 9.184 9.375 8.800 ******* 9.184 11.384 10.870 ******* 10.760 6.457 6.380 -9999.00 5.607 27,165. 27,165. 0. 23,602.
42 9.716 9.130 ******* 9.537 9.716 9.130 ******* 9.537 11.719 11.208 ******* 11.144 6.553 6.500 -9999.00 5.765 22,099. 22,099. 0. 20,922.
45 9.781 9.114 ******* 9.313 9.781 9.114 ******* 9.313 11.762 11.182 ******* 10.931 6.533 6.478 -9999.00 5.724 18,940. 18,940. 0. 16,085.
48 9.990 9.350 ******* 9.660 9.990 9.350 ******* 9.660 11.963 11.458 ******* 11.291 6.583 6.623 -9999.00 5.846 18,217. 18,217. 0. 17,306.