MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.680 2.321 ******* -1.389 5.415 5.312 ******* 3.825 7.201 6.951 ******* 5.291 6.684 6.552 -9999.00 5.106 6,823. 6,823. 0. 5,734.
3 1.561 2.020 ******* -2.426 4.055 4.052 ******* 4.104 5.169 5.131 ******* 5.915 4.928 4.717 -9999.00 5.395 6,766. 6,766. 0. 5,663.
6 2.586 3.514 ******* -1.496 4.604 4.977 ******* 3.999 5.619 6.043 ******* 5.740 4.989 4.917 -9999.00 5.542 6,252. 6,252. 0. 5,165.
9 2.139 3.119 ******* -1.379 4.217 4.597 ******* 3.725 5.209 5.656 ******* 5.323 4.750 4.719 -9999.00 5.142 5,650. 5,650. 0. 4,560.
12 1.850 2.794 3.712 -1.335 3.989 4.307 4.963 3.647 5.021 5.334 6.154 5.169 4.668 4.545 4.909 4.994 5,991. 5,991. 5,991. 4,842.
15 1.200 1.974 2.314 -1.536 3.682 3.770 3.864 3.500 4.756 4.796 4.978 4.911 4.603 4.371 4.408 4.665 6,834. 6,834. 6,834. 5,735.
18 -0.806 0.027 0.743 -2.505 3.208 3.201 3.251 3.652 4.533 4.339 4.416 5.206 4.461 4.339 4.353 4.564 6,747. 6,747. 6,747. 5,645.
21 -0.789 -0.160 0.566 -3.016 3.535 3.402 3.382 4.002 4.737 4.451 4.456 5.455 4.671 4.448 4.420 4.546 6,730. 6,730. 6,730. 5,663.
24 0.207 0.763 1.392 -2.521 3.851 3.738 3.759 4.029 5.067 4.826 4.855 5.546 5.063 4.766 4.652 4.940 6,682. 6,682. 6,682. 5,611.
27 1.344 2.265 2.703 -1.866 4.285 4.353 4.412 4.026 5.519 5.509 5.628 5.737 5.354 5.022 4.937 5.426 6,657. 6,657. 6,657. 5,538.
30 2.247 3.230 3.466 -1.116 4.638 4.920 4.926 3.988 5.708 6.009 6.150 5.613 5.247 5.068 5.081 5.501 6,136. 6,136. 6,136. 4,955.
33 1.926 2.966 3.072 -1.045 4.232 4.557 4.524 3.725 5.301 5.630 5.691 5.234 4.939 4.786 4.791 5.129 5,438. 5,438. 5,438. 4,367.
36 1.718 2.705 2.859 -1.091 4.076 4.304 4.331 3.644 5.193 5.379 5.482 5.103 4.902 4.651 4.678 4.985 5,780. 5,780. 5,780. 4,711.
39 1.352 2.006 ******* -1.303 3.829 3.827 ******* 3.432 4.895 4.857 ******* 4.797 4.705 4.423 -9999.00 4.617 6,625. 6,625. 0. 5,667.
42 -0.709 -0.107 ******* -2.383 3.279 3.210 ******* 3.570 4.641 4.378 ******* 5.143 4.587 4.377 -9999.00 4.558 6,568. 6,568. 0. 5,580.
45 -0.949 -0.297 ******* -2.806 3.534 3.455 ******* 3.915 4.871 4.656 ******* 5.424 4.778 4.647 -9999.00 4.643 6,628. 6,628. 0. 5,562.
48 -0.008 0.589 ******* -2.285 3.777 3.731 ******* 3.957 5.070 4.874 ******* 5.464 5.071 4.839 -9999.00 4.963 6,428. 6,428. 0. 5,416.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.582 3.320 ******* 0.472 5.452 5.260 ******* 4.019 6.847 6.589 ******* 5.171 5.836 5.692 -9999.00 5.150 6,461. 6,461. 0. 5,211.
3 1.429 1.428 ******* -1.644 3.655 3.610 ******* 3.483 4.607 4.599 ******* 4.889 4.380 4.372 -9999.00 4.604 7,334. 7,334. 0. 6,176.
6 -0.669 -0.026 ******* -2.557 3.141 3.103 ******* 3.647 4.392 4.177 ******* 5.204 4.341 4.178 -9999.00 4.533 7,241. 7,241. 0. 6,060.
9 -0.827 -0.261 ******* -3.177 3.426 3.196 ******* 4.088 4.690 4.241 ******* 5.593 4.616 4.233 -9999.00 4.603 7,333. 7,333. 0. 6,076.
12 0.021 0.626 1.043 -2.644 3.724 3.462 3.643 4.097 4.966 4.471 4.666 5.673 4.966 4.427 4.548 5.019 7,202. 7,202. 7,202. 5,950.
15 1.160 2.185 2.849 -2.042 4.149 4.194 4.445 4.105 5.377 5.306 5.653 5.852 5.250 4.836 4.883 5.485 7,143. 7,143. 7,143. 5,859.
18 2.115 3.067 3.547 -1.215 4.514 4.776 5.012 4.031 5.603 5.871 6.238 5.707 5.189 5.007 5.131 5.577 6,586. 6,586. 6,586. 5,325.
21 1.869 2.811 3.240 -1.113 4.143 4.393 4.622 3.763 5.193 5.435 5.774 5.287 4.845 4.652 4.779 5.169 5,953. 5,953. 5,953. 4,728.
24 1.628 2.590 3.148 -1.144 3.965 4.189 4.537 3.659 5.044 5.230 5.707 5.139 4.774 4.544 4.761 5.011 6,323. 6,323. 6,323. 5,096.
27 1.151 1.883 2.437 -1.401 3.702 3.754 3.974 3.495 4.763 4.780 5.130 4.875 4.622 4.394 4.515 4.670 7,179. 7,179. 7,179. 6,016.
30 -0.820 -0.089 0.734 -2.414 3.241 3.184 3.285 3.639 4.572 4.351 4.458 5.196 4.498 4.350 4.398 4.601 6,996. 6,996. 6,996. 5,829.
33 -0.940 -0.282 0.555 -2.882 3.519 3.457 3.448 3.989 4.849 4.625 4.623 5.517 4.757 4.616 4.590 4.705 7,077. 7,077. 7,077. 5,852.
36 -0.042 0.555 1.366 -2.443 3.824 3.738 3.835 4.050 5.147 4.857 4.989 5.592 5.147 4.826 4.799 5.031 6,903. 6,903. 6,903. 5,682.
39 1.173 2.210 ******* -1.726 4.295 4.358 ******* 4.014 5.576 5.511 ******* 5.716 5.452 5.048 -9999.00 5.449 6,920. 6,920. 0. 5,684.
42 2.076 3.047 ******* -1.017 4.612 4.830 ******* 3.976 5.730 5.918 ******* 5.585 5.341 5.074 -9999.00 5.492 6,383. 6,383. 0. 5,172.
45 1.785 2.787 ******* -1.004 4.156 4.517 ******* 3.685 5.223 5.557 ******* 5.179 4.909 4.808 -9999.00 5.082 5,774. 5,774. 0. 4,580.
48 1.611 2.499 ******* -1.066 3.993 4.232 ******* 3.608 5.097 5.307 ******* 5.069 4.836 4.682 -9999.00 4.956 6,212. 6,212. 0. 4,992.