MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.119 -1.323 ******* -3.787 4.394 4.367 ******* 4.852 5.923 5.826 ******* 6.414 5.818 5.675 -9999.00 5.177 2,291. 2,291. 0. 2,126.
3 -1.343 -0.866 ******* -5.027 3.962 3.893 ******* 5.608 5.267 5.123 ******* 6.950 5.094 5.051 -9999.00 4.801 1,723. 1,723. 0. 1,621.
6 -0.511 0.243 ******* -4.824 4.337 4.299 ******* 5.570 5.796 5.690 ******* 7.142 5.775 5.687 -9999.00 5.269 1,497. 1,497. 0. 1,399.
9 -0.633 0.124 ******* -4.985 4.297 4.369 ******* 5.538 5.759 5.751 ******* 7.082 5.726 5.752 -9999.00 5.032 1,345. 1,345. 0. 1,252.
12 -1.009 -0.131 1.087 -5.300 4.603 4.598 5.045 5.928 6.173 6.019 6.582 7.536 6.092 6.019 6.494 5.359 1,547. 1,547. 1,547. 1,456.
15 -0.988 -0.129 0.440 -5.540 4.719 4.542 4.631 6.112 6.047 5.824 5.954 7.665 5.967 5.824 5.940 5.298 1,763. 1,763. 1,763. 1,672.
18 -1.724 -1.034 -0.440 -5.500 4.728 4.353 4.386 6.096 6.262 5.763 5.828 7.753 6.022 5.671 5.812 5.466 2,137. 2,137. 2,137. 1,977.
21 -2.081 -1.178 -0.374 -4.953 4.406 4.320 4.399 5.533 5.853 5.695 5.811 6.976 5.472 5.573 5.801 4.913 2,522. 2,522. 2,522. 2,308.
24 -1.862 -0.842 -0.341 -4.912 4.325 4.255 4.317 5.638 5.859 5.636 5.724 7.271 5.557 5.574 5.715 5.363 2,316. 2,316. 2,316. 1,656.
27 -0.745 -0.082 0.481 -4.881 4.635 4.671 4.815 5.547 6.223 6.394 6.499 6.985 6.180 6.396 6.483 4.998 1,764. 1,764. 1,764. 1,655.
30 -0.614 -0.209 0.458 -4.890 4.975 5.043 5.013 5.696 6.713 6.735 6.763 7.362 6.687 6.734 6.750 5.505 1,547. 1,547. 1,547. 1,449.
33 -0.949 -0.375 0.269 -4.953 4.739 4.849 5.045 5.647 6.445 6.386 6.719 7.299 6.377 6.377 6.716 5.362 1,368. 1,368. 1,368. 1,271.
36 -1.280 -0.411 0.144 -5.488 5.190 5.197 5.327 6.152 6.901 6.795 6.924 7.955 6.784 6.785 6.925 5.761 1,569. 1,569. 1,569. 1,476.
39 -1.428 -0.708 ******* -5.604 5.080 4.920 ******* 6.295 6.536 6.403 ******* 7.901 6.380 6.366 -9999.00 5.571 1,788. 1,788. 0. 1,694.
42 -1.780 -1.119 ******* -5.383 5.018 4.750 ******* 6.131 6.638 6.306 ******* 7.804 6.396 6.208 -9999.00 5.651 2,150. 2,150. 0. 1,992.
45 -2.087 -1.329 ******* -4.824 4.501 4.531 ******* 5.519 5.982 5.932 ******* 6.958 5.607 5.782 -9999.00 5.016 2,558. 2,558. 0. 2,339.
48 -1.685 -0.642 ******* -4.689 4.455 4.498 ******* 5.360 6.121 6.089 ******* 6.981 5.885 6.056 -9999.00 5.173 2,350. 2,350. 0. 1,651.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.470 -0.641 ******* -3.468 5.088 4.936 ******* 5.123 6.539 6.363 ******* 6.702 6.524 6.333 -9999.00 5.737 1,613. 1,613. 0. 1,515.
3 -1.541 -1.002 ******* -5.744 4.518 4.403 ******* 6.246 5.792 5.589 ******* 7.726 5.584 5.500 -9999.00 5.169 1,862. 1,862. 0. 1,765.
6 -1.639 -0.998 ******* -5.688 4.632 4.378 ******* 6.248 6.060 5.697 ******* 7.825 5.836 5.610 -9999.00 5.375 2,258. 2,258. 0. 2,090.
9 -2.219 -1.144 ******* -5.096 4.485 4.209 ******* 5.659 5.844 5.535 ******* 7.049 5.407 5.416 -9999.00 4.871 2,689. 2,689. 0. 2,460.
12 -1.872 -0.728 -0.096 -4.968 4.165 4.084 4.260 5.649 5.700 5.506 5.752 7.310 5.385 5.458 5.752 5.364 2,459. 2,459. 2,459. 1,787.
15 -0.642 0.228 0.928 -4.793 4.447 4.516 4.693 5.507 5.949 6.071 6.262 6.923 5.916 6.068 6.194 4.997 1,855. 1,855. 1,855. 1,740.
18 -0.289 0.496 1.168 -4.735 4.663 4.750 5.013 5.567 6.229 6.299 6.560 7.190 6.224 6.281 6.457 5.413 1,616. 1,616. 1,616. 1,509.
21 -0.499 0.169 0.925 -4.899 4.516 4.705 4.884 5.579 6.033 6.168 6.412 7.179 6.014 6.168 6.347 5.250 1,441. 1,441. 1,441. 1,335.
24 -1.050 -0.202 0.483 -5.473 4.840 4.911 5.011 6.133 6.451 6.417 6.572 7.886 6.367 6.416 6.556 5.679 1,652. 1,652. 1,652. 1,550.
27 -1.147 -0.333 0.267 -5.663 4.904 4.685 4.822 6.259 6.294 6.037 6.190 7.857 6.190 6.029 6.186 5.448 1,897. 1,897. 1,897. 1,796.
30 -1.851 -1.221 -0.491 -5.583 4.955 4.705 4.710 6.209 6.536 6.196 6.224 7.856 6.270 6.076 6.206 5.528 2,291. 2,291. 2,291. 2,124.
33 -2.130 -1.421 -0.639 -5.033 4.613 4.588 4.576 5.616 6.060 6.020 6.093 7.053 5.674 5.851 6.060 4.942 2,720. 2,720. 2,720. 2,488.
36 -1.662 -0.816 -0.265 -4.928 4.526 4.480 4.567 5.487 6.123 6.162 6.285 7.097 5.894 6.109 6.281 5.109 2,492. 2,492. 2,492. 1,783.
39 -0.697 -0.242 ******* -4.996 4.835 4.924 ******* 5.635 6.437 6.616 ******* 7.146 6.401 6.613 -9999.00 5.110 1,914. 1,914. 0. 1,799.
42 -0.801 -0.397 ******* -5.095 5.288 5.335 ******* 5.913 7.234 7.263 ******* 7.688 7.192 7.254 -9999.00 5.759 1,692. 1,692. 0. 1,582.
45 -0.928 -0.271 ******* -5.238 4.960 5.090 ******* 5.878 6.806 6.883 ******* 7.609 6.745 6.880 -9999.00 5.520 1,502. 1,502. 0. 1,375.
48 -1.380 -0.620 ******* -5.707 5.232 5.068 ******* 6.353 7.087 6.846 ******* 8.126 6.953 6.819 -9999.00 5.787 1,698. 1,698. 0. 1,577.