MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.906 11.612 ******* 7.127 11.906 11.612 ******* 7.127 14.030 13.700 ******* 9.077 7.423 7.270 -9999.00 5.621 10,789. 10,789. 0. 10,307.
3 9.071 8.473 ******* 6.980 9.071 8.473 ******* 6.980 10.869 10.270 ******* 8.919 5.987 5.804 -9999.00 5.551 10,406. 10,406. 0. 9,949.
6 9.579 8.955 ******* 7.061 9.579 8.955 ******* 7.061 11.378 10.723 ******* 8.991 6.141 5.899 -9999.00 5.566 9,832. 9,832. 0. 9,432.
9 9.652 9.087 ******* 6.965 9.652 9.087 ******* 6.965 11.480 10.918 ******* 8.893 6.215 6.052 -9999.00 5.530 8,896. 8,896. 0. 8,485.
12 10.258 9.718 10.841 7.304 10.258 9.718 10.841 7.304 12.180 11.661 12.980 9.296 6.567 6.445 7.138 5.750 9,222. 9,222. 9,222. 8,811.
15 10.777 10.221 10.286 7.568 10.777 10.221 10.286 7.568 12.731 12.213 12.422 9.547 6.779 6.685 6.965 5.821 10,098. 10,098. 10,098. 9,691.
18 10.897 10.106 10.086 7.535 10.897 10.106 10.086 7.535 12.779 12.095 12.230 9.492 6.674 6.644 6.916 5.773 10,474. 10,474. 10,474. 10,079.
21 10.585 9.987 10.018 7.760 10.585 9.987 10.018 7.760 12.573 12.042 12.178 9.711 6.786 6.728 6.924 5.839 10,365. 10,365. 10,365. 9,834.
24 10.209 9.932 10.092 7.603 10.209 9.932 10.092 7.603 12.254 12.020 12.307 9.534 6.778 6.770 7.044 5.753 10,400. 10,400. 10,400. 10,011.
27 11.089 10.727 10.784 7.686 11.089 10.727 10.784 7.686 13.188 12.879 13.049 9.624 7.139 7.129 7.348 5.792 10,146. 10,146. 10,146. 9,681.
30 11.146 10.775 10.853 7.734 11.146 10.775 10.853 7.734 13.207 12.877 13.087 9.661 7.084 7.051 7.313 5.789 9,543. 9,543. 9,543. 9,211.
33 10.817 10.445 10.534 7.562 10.817 10.445 10.534 7.562 12.814 12.508 12.745 9.484 6.870 6.882 7.175 5.724 8,415. 8,415. 8,415. 8,059.
36 11.224 10.761 10.761 7.738 11.224 10.761 10.761 7.738 13.284 12.925 13.078 9.715 7.105 7.160 7.432 5.874 8,865. 8,865. 8,865. 8,489.
39 11.607 11.201 ******* 8.023 11.607 11.201 ******* 8.023 13.690 13.396 ******* 10.017 7.259 7.348 -9999.00 5.998 9,914. 9,914. 0. 9,442.
42 11.571 11.067 ******* 7.984 11.571 11.067 ******* 7.984 13.643 13.375 ******* 9.997 7.228 7.511 -9999.00 6.017 10,110. 10,110. 0. 9,761.
45 11.043 10.713 ******* 8.095 11.043 10.713 ******* 8.095 13.231 13.065 ******* 10.076 7.289 7.478 -9999.00 6.000 9,718. 9,718. 0. 9,263.
48 10.485 10.295 ******* 7.769 10.485 10.295 ******* 7.769 12.649 12.547 ******* 9.676 7.076 7.173 -9999.00 5.769 9,775. 9,775. 0. 9,438.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.331 11.965 ******* 7.017 12.331 11.965 ******* 7.017 14.326 13.920 ******* 9.053 7.294 7.113 -9999.00 5.720 9,455. 9,455. 0. 9,044.
3 9.313 8.652 ******* 7.103 9.313 8.652 ******* 7.103 11.183 10.429 ******* 9.115 6.191 5.823 -9999.00 5.712 10,234. 10,234. 0. 9,826.
6 10.126 9.157 ******* 7.200 10.126 9.157 ******* 7.200 12.005 11.066 ******* 9.176 6.449 6.214 -9999.00 5.688 10,573. 10,573. 0. 10,176.
9 9.882 9.169 ******* 7.441 9.882 9.169 ******* 7.441 11.751 11.144 ******* 9.387 6.360 6.335 -9999.00 5.722 10,653. 10,653. 0. 10,141.
12 9.695 9.190 10.041 7.341 9.695 9.190 10.041 7.341 11.645 11.174 12.178 9.288 6.451 6.357 6.892 5.689 10,685. 10,685. 10,685. 10,204.
15 10.427 9.905 10.099 7.440 10.427 9.905 10.099 7.440 12.382 11.919 12.226 9.387 6.677 6.630 6.891 5.723 10,297. 10,297. 10,297. 9,844.
18 10.685 10.163 10.336 7.517 10.685 10.163 10.336 7.517 12.491 12.047 12.363 9.407 6.470 6.470 6.783 5.655 9,729. 9,729. 9,729. 9,325.
21 10.603 10.054 10.208 7.374 10.603 10.054 10.208 7.374 12.469 11.974 12.267 9.247 6.562 6.503 6.803 5.581 8,795. 8,795. 8,795. 8,387.
24 10.900 10.339 10.479 7.515 10.900 10.339 10.479 7.515 12.877 12.331 12.596 9.460 6.856 6.720 6.990 5.747 9,314. 9,314. 9,314. 8,895.
27 11.289 10.801 10.944 7.761 11.289 10.801 10.944 7.761 13.295 12.868 13.191 9.741 7.022 6.995 7.365 5.886 10,110. 10,110. 10,110. 9,701.
30 11.259 10.683 10.741 7.746 11.259 10.683 10.741 7.746 13.214 12.756 13.003 9.726 6.916 6.971 7.329 5.883 10,473. 10,473. 10,473. 10,078.
33 11.002 10.573 10.578 7.903 11.002 10.573 10.578 7.903 13.088 12.761 12.912 9.869 7.090 7.146 7.404 5.911 10,454. 10,454. 10,454. 10,027.
36 10.538 10.239 10.370 7.692 10.538 10.239 10.370 7.692 12.619 12.419 12.660 9.623 6.943 7.029 7.263 5.783 10,568. 10,568. 10,568. 10,081.
39 10.943 10.677 ******* 7.773 10.943 10.677 ******* 7.773 13.161 13.010 ******* 9.736 7.313 7.434 -9999.00 5.864 10,226. 10,226. 0. 9,763.
42 11.031 10.692 ******* 7.843 11.031 10.692 ******* 7.843 13.107 12.870 ******* 9.818 7.078 7.163 -9999.00 5.908 9,652. 9,652. 0. 9,251.
45 10.942 10.483 ******* 7.717 10.942 10.483 ******* 7.717 13.050 12.705 ******* 9.730 7.112 7.179 -9999.00 5.927 8,487. 8,487. 0. 8,109.
48 11.340 10.872 ******* 7.993 11.340 10.872 ******* 7.993 13.563 13.170 ******* 10.059 7.440 7.432 -9999.00 6.108 9,028. 9,028. 0. 8,493.