MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.569 9.288 ******* 7.127 9.569 9.288 ******* 7.127 11.447 11.090 ******* 9.077 6.282 6.060 -9999.00 5.621 10,789. 10,789. 0. 10,307.
3 7.646 7.008 ******* 6.980 7.646 7.008 ******* 6.980 9.503 8.869 ******* 8.919 5.644 5.437 -9999.00 5.551 10,406. 10,406. 0. 9,949.
6 8.054 7.398 ******* 7.061 8.054 7.398 ******* 7.061 9.927 9.224 ******* 8.991 5.804 5.509 -9999.00 5.566 9,832. 9,832. 0. 9,432.
9 8.087 7.410 ******* 6.965 8.087 7.410 ******* 6.965 10.032 9.285 ******* 8.893 5.937 5.595 -9999.00 5.530 8,896. 8,896. 0. 8,485.
12 8.631 7.998 8.599 7.304 8.631 7.998 8.599 7.304 10.655 9.991 10.582 9.296 6.248 5.987 6.167 5.750 9,222. 9,222. 9,222. 8,811.
15 9.103 8.462 8.477 7.568 9.103 8.462 8.477 7.568 11.167 10.516 10.642 9.547 6.468 6.244 6.433 5.821 10,098. 10,098. 10,098. 9,691.
18 9.125 8.332 8.313 7.535 9.125 8.332 8.313 7.535 11.108 10.351 10.459 9.492 6.335 6.141 6.347 5.773 10,474. 10,474. 10,474. 10,079.
21 9.016 8.359 8.359 7.760 9.016 8.359 8.359 7.760 11.052 10.409 10.488 9.711 6.393 6.204 6.334 5.839 10,365. 10,365. 10,365. 9,834.
24 8.647 8.255 8.359 7.603 8.647 8.255 8.359 7.603 10.731 10.347 10.549 9.534 6.356 6.238 6.434 5.753 10,400. 10,400. 10,400. 10,011.
27 9.314 8.840 8.879 7.686 9.314 8.840 8.879 7.686 11.481 11.037 11.158 9.624 6.713 6.609 6.758 5.792 10,146. 10,146. 10,146. 9,681.
30 9.380 8.891 8.925 7.734 9.380 8.891 8.925 7.734 11.522 11.026 11.192 9.661 6.693 6.520 6.752 5.789 9,543. 9,543. 9,543. 9,211.
33 9.062 8.505 8.584 7.562 9.062 8.505 8.584 7.562 11.176 10.618 10.861 9.484 6.541 6.356 6.655 5.724 8,415. 8,415. 8,415. 8,059.
36 9.489 8.909 8.882 7.738 9.489 8.909 8.882 7.738 11.660 11.117 11.241 9.715 6.776 6.651 6.890 5.874 8,865. 8,865. 8,865. 8,489.
39 9.803 9.274 ******* 8.023 9.803 9.274 ******* 8.023 11.961 11.479 ******* 10.017 6.854 6.765 -9999.00 5.998 9,914. 9,914. 0. 9,442.
42 9.730 9.148 ******* 7.984 9.730 9.148 ******* 7.984 11.862 11.418 ******* 9.997 6.785 6.833 -9999.00 6.017 10,110. 10,110. 0. 9,761.
45 9.452 8.991 ******* 8.095 9.452 8.991 ******* 8.095 11.675 11.293 ******* 10.076 6.853 6.834 -9999.00 6.000 9,718. 9,718. 0. 9,263.
48 8.932 8.594 ******* 7.769 8.932 8.594 ******* 7.769 11.111 10.821 ******* 9.676 6.610 6.575 -9999.00 5.769 9,775. 9,775. 0. 9,438.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.833 9.465 ******* 7.017 9.833 9.465 ******* 7.017 11.723 11.247 ******* 9.053 6.383 6.075 -9999.00 5.720 9,455. 9,455. 0. 9,044.
3 7.851 7.156 ******* 7.103 7.851 7.156 ******* 7.103 9.767 8.977 ******* 9.115 5.810 5.421 -9999.00 5.712 10,234. 10,234. 0. 9,826.
6 8.455 7.522 ******* 7.200 8.455 7.522 ******* 7.200 10.393 9.453 ******* 9.176 6.045 5.725 -9999.00 5.688 10,573. 10,573. 0. 10,176.
9 8.448 7.711 ******* 7.441 8.448 7.711 ******* 7.441 10.360 9.673 ******* 9.387 5.997 5.841 -9999.00 5.722 10,653. 10,653. 0. 10,141.
12 8.252 7.666 8.088 7.341 8.252 7.666 8.088 7.341 10.240 9.666 10.084 9.288 6.063 5.888 6.023 5.689 10,685. 10,685. 10,685. 10,204.
15 8.778 8.191 8.295 7.440 8.778 8.191 8.295 7.440 10.805 10.241 10.444 9.387 6.301 6.147 6.347 5.723 10,297. 10,297. 10,297. 9,844.
18 8.954 8.377 8.471 7.517 8.954 8.377 8.471 7.517 10.857 10.317 10.527 9.407 6.139 6.023 6.250 5.655 9,729. 9,729. 9,729. 9,325.
21 8.840 8.157 8.285 7.374 8.840 8.157 8.285 7.374 10.821 10.106 10.372 9.247 6.242 5.966 6.239 5.581 8,795. 8,795. 8,795. 8,387.
24 9.158 8.495 8.567 7.515 9.158 8.495 8.567 7.515 11.229 10.526 10.707 9.460 6.499 6.215 6.423 5.747 9,314. 9,314. 9,314. 8,895.
27 9.513 8.934 9.013 7.761 9.513 8.934 9.013 7.761 11.613 11.041 11.279 9.741 6.660 6.487 6.782 5.886 10,110. 10,110. 10,110. 9,701.
30 9.449 8.797 8.854 7.746 9.449 8.797 8.854 7.746 11.487 10.891 11.100 9.726 6.532 6.422 6.695 5.883 10,473. 10,473. 10,473. 10,078.
33 9.405 8.860 8.852 7.903 9.405 8.860 8.852 7.903 11.522 11.033 11.129 9.869 6.655 6.575 6.746 5.911 10,454. 10,454. 10,454. 10,027.
36 8.974 8.560 8.648 7.692 8.974 8.560 8.648 7.692 11.086 10.726 10.906 9.623 6.508 6.465 6.644 5.783 10,568. 10,568. 10,568. 10,081.
39 9.260 8.870 ******* 7.773 9.260 8.870 ******* 7.773 11.527 11.186 ******* 9.736 6.865 6.816 -9999.00 5.864 10,226. 10,226. 0. 9,763.
42 9.284 8.844 ******* 7.843 9.284 8.844 ******* 7.843 11.427 11.041 ******* 9.818 6.662 6.611 -9999.00 5.908 9,652. 9,652. 0. 9,251.
45 9.162 8.593 ******* 7.717 9.162 8.593 ******* 7.717 11.373 10.829 ******* 9.730 6.738 6.590 -9999.00 5.927 8,487. 8,487. 0. 8,109.
48 9.630 9.047 ******* 7.993 9.630 9.047 ******* 7.993 11.946 11.380 ******* 10.059 7.069 6.904 -9999.00 6.108 9,028. 9,028. 0. 8,493.