MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.856 12.519 ******* 9.307 12.856 12.519 ******* 9.307 14.985 14.606 ******* 11.236 7.699 7.525 -9999.00 6.295 5,737. 5,737. 0. 5,597.
3 10.216 9.623 ******* 9.258 10.216 9.623 ******* 9.258 12.323 11.714 ******* 11.242 6.892 6.680 -9999.00 6.378 5,292. 5,292. 0. 5,186.
6 11.040 10.276 ******* 9.431 11.040 10.276 ******* 9.431 13.103 12.289 ******* 11.425 7.058 6.739 -9999.00 6.450 4,883. 4,883. 0. 4,788.
9 11.170 10.374 ******* 9.314 11.170 10.374 ******* 9.314 13.329 12.524 ******* 11.411 7.275 7.017 -9999.00 6.594 4,213. 4,213. 0. 4,103.
12 12.037 11.281 12.125 9.731 12.037 11.281 12.125 9.731 14.247 13.497 14.523 11.845 7.622 7.409 7.995 6.756 4,510. 4,510. 4,510. 4,412.
15 12.525 11.713 11.742 9.914 12.525 11.713 11.742 9.914 14.690 13.923 14.111 11.971 7.677 7.526 7.827 6.710 5,093. 5,093. 5,093. 4,992.
18 12.383 11.472 11.515 9.716 12.383 11.472 11.515 9.716 14.486 13.691 13.882 11.761 7.518 7.473 7.754 6.629 5,469. 5,469. 5,469. 5,371.
21 11.867 11.147 11.200 9.657 11.867 11.147 11.200 9.657 14.043 13.390 13.505 11.666 7.509 7.419 7.548 6.545 5,923. 5,923. 5,923. 5,727.
24 11.539 11.162 11.334 9.711 11.539 11.162 11.334 9.711 13.875 13.522 13.803 11.694 7.705 7.633 7.880 6.516 5,588. 5,588. 5,588. 5,488.
27 12.642 12.130 12.180 9.930 12.642 12.130 12.180 9.930 15.109 14.660 14.788 11.974 8.275 8.234 8.388 6.693 5,183. 5,183. 5,183. 5,036.
30 12.748 12.217 12.338 10.061 12.748 12.217 12.338 10.061 15.194 14.690 14.910 12.114 8.268 8.157 8.373 6.749 4,737. 4,737. 4,737. 4,670.
33 12.336 11.814 12.018 9.840 12.336 11.814 12.018 9.840 14.727 14.304 14.652 11.959 8.045 8.066 8.382 6.797 4,044. 4,044. 4,044. 3,955.
36 12.984 12.270 12.299 10.090 12.984 12.270 12.299 10.090 15.390 14.811 15.004 12.231 8.263 8.296 8.596 6.915 4,349. 4,349. 4,349. 4,261.
39 13.420 12.717 ******* 10.415 13.420 12.717 ******* 10.415 15.744 15.179 ******* 12.471 8.233 8.288 -9999.00 6.859 5,005. 5,005. 0. 4,876.
42 13.166 12.535 ******* 10.259 13.166 12.535 ******* 10.259 15.513 15.120 ******* 12.345 8.204 8.455 -9999.00 6.867 5,317. 5,317. 0. 5,236.
45 12.513 12.035 ******* 10.151 12.513 12.035 ******* 10.151 14.953 14.617 ******* 12.152 8.186 8.298 -9999.00 6.682 5,513. 5,513. 0. 5,362.
48 11.872 11.576 ******* 9.945 11.872 11.576 ******* 9.945 14.373 14.123 ******* 11.883 8.102 8.091 -9999.00 6.505 5,197. 5,197. 0. 5,111.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 13.642 13.199 ******* 9.514 13.642 13.199 ******* 9.514 15.715 15.229 ******* 11.598 7.802 7.598 -9999.00 6.634 4,573. 4,573. 0. 4,475.
3 10.647 9.878 ******* 9.534 10.647 9.878 ******* 9.534 12.752 11.870 ******* 11.581 7.018 6.583 -9999.00 6.575 5,122. 5,122. 0. 5,019.
6 11.515 10.567 ******* 9.458 11.515 10.567 ******* 9.458 13.619 12.683 ******* 11.485 7.273 7.014 -9999.00 6.515 5,494. 5,494. 0. 5,397.
9 11.102 10.348 ******* 9.366 11.102 10.348 ******* 9.366 13.170 12.491 ******* 11.351 7.086 6.996 -9999.00 6.412 6,037. 6,037. 0. 5,875.
12 11.021 10.394 11.035 9.476 11.021 10.394 11.035 9.476 13.250 12.645 13.406 11.465 7.356 7.202 7.614 6.455 5,705. 5,705. 5,705. 5,563.
15 11.849 11.163 11.396 9.684 11.849 11.163 11.396 9.684 14.127 13.520 13.855 11.720 7.693 7.629 7.881 6.601 5,252. 5,252. 5,252. 5,144.
18 12.164 11.487 11.725 9.830 12.164 11.487 11.725 9.830 14.277 13.658 14.028 11.837 7.475 7.391 7.703 6.595 4,822. 4,822. 4,822. 4,726.
21 12.055 11.302 11.570 9.659 12.055 11.302 11.570 9.659 14.314 13.542 13.927 11.742 7.719 7.460 7.752 6.677 4,163. 4,163. 4,163. 4,053.
24 12.595 11.780 11.899 9.910 12.595 11.780 11.899 9.910 14.928 14.067 14.320 12.015 8.015 7.690 7.968 6.793 4,501. 4,501. 4,501. 4,402.
27 13.083 12.288 12.482 10.162 13.083 12.288 12.482 10.162 15.319 14.617 14.963 12.221 7.970 7.916 8.253 6.790 5,058. 5,058. 5,058. 4,956.
30 12.780 12.054 12.188 9.998 12.780 12.054 12.188 9.998 14.968 14.374 14.652 12.061 7.792 7.831 8.134 6.745 5,444. 5,444. 5,444. 5,349.
33 12.326 11.822 11.887 9.909 12.326 11.822 11.887 9.909 14.641 14.223 14.397 11.900 7.902 7.908 8.124 6.590 5,928. 5,928. 5,928. 5,815.
36 11.947 11.561 11.700 9.879 11.947 11.561 11.700 9.879 14.312 14.016 14.247 11.833 7.883 7.925 8.131 6.515 5,650. 5,650. 5,650. 5,493.
39 12.478 12.174 ******* 10.123 12.478 12.174 ******* 10.123 15.156 14.959 ******* 12.188 8.604 8.694 -9999.00 6.789 5,144. 5,144. 0. 5,006.
42 12.613 12.197 ******* 10.315 12.613 12.197 ******* 10.315 15.134 14.789 ******* 12.421 8.364 8.365 -9999.00 6.920 4,712. 4,712. 0. 4,604.
45 12.654 12.041 ******* 10.182 12.654 12.041 ******* 10.182 15.179 14.701 ******* 12.392 8.384 8.435 -9999.00 7.064 4,034. 4,034. 0. 3,919.
48 13.384 12.693 ******* 10.529 13.384 12.693 ******* 10.529 15.930 15.357 ******* 12.704 8.639 8.645 -9999.00 7.109 4,420. 4,420. 0. 4,229.