MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.884 10.662 ******* 9.307 10.884 10.662 ******* 9.307 12.847 12.530 ******* 11.236 6.826 6.582 -9999.00 6.295 5,737. 5,737. 0. 5,597.
3 9.254 8.592 ******* 9.258 9.254 8.592 ******* 9.258 11.352 10.726 ******* 11.242 6.575 6.422 -9999.00 6.378 5,292. 5,292. 0. 5,186.
6 10.000 9.149 ******* 9.431 10.000 9.149 ******* 9.431 12.046 11.192 ******* 11.425 6.717 6.447 -9999.00 6.450 4,883. 4,883. 0. 4,788.
9 10.196 9.207 ******* 9.314 10.196 9.207 ******* 9.314 12.369 11.387 ******* 11.411 7.003 6.700 -9999.00 6.594 4,213. 4,213. 0. 4,103.
12 10.934 10.025 10.252 9.731 10.934 10.025 10.252 9.731 13.130 12.249 12.521 11.845 7.269 7.039 7.189 6.756 4,510. 4,510. 4,510. 4,412.
15 11.344 10.428 10.369 9.914 11.344 10.428 10.369 9.914 13.520 12.665 12.761 11.971 7.357 7.189 7.439 6.710 5,093. 5,093. 5,093. 4,992.
18 11.074 10.152 10.126 9.716 11.074 10.152 10.126 9.716 13.214 12.373 12.485 11.761 7.210 7.074 7.304 6.629 5,469. 5,469. 5,469. 5,371.
21 10.757 9.955 9.913 9.657 10.757 9.955 9.913 9.657 12.901 12.157 12.171 11.666 7.122 6.979 7.061 6.545 5,923. 5,923. 5,923. 5,727.
24 10.452 9.955 9.991 9.711 10.452 9.955 9.991 9.711 12.738 12.269 12.412 11.694 7.281 7.173 7.364 6.516 5,588. 5,588. 5,588. 5,488.
27 11.340 10.738 10.702 9.930 11.340 10.738 10.702 9.930 13.768 13.250 13.282 11.974 7.809 7.764 7.866 6.693 5,183. 5,183. 5,183. 5,036.
30 11.550 10.860 10.865 10.061 11.550 10.860 10.865 10.061 13.950 13.303 13.440 12.114 7.824 7.683 7.912 6.749 4,737. 4,737. 4,737. 4,670.
33 11.252 10.456 10.559 9.840 11.252 10.456 10.559 9.840 13.649 12.978 13.242 11.959 7.726 7.688 7.992 6.797 4,044. 4,044. 4,044. 3,955.
36 11.877 11.025 10.959 10.090 11.877 11.025 10.959 10.090 14.263 13.546 13.657 12.231 7.899 7.872 8.150 6.915 4,349. 4,349. 4,349. 4,261.
39 12.137 11.331 ******* 10.415 12.137 11.331 ******* 10.415 14.428 13.734 ******* 12.471 7.801 7.761 -9999.00 6.859 5,005. 5,005. 0. 4,876.
42 11.823 11.099 ******* 10.259 11.823 11.099 ******* 10.259 14.140 13.587 ******* 12.345 7.757 7.838 -9999.00 6.867 5,317. 5,317. 0. 5,236.
45 11.412 10.791 ******* 10.151 11.412 10.791 ******* 10.151 13.782 13.255 ******* 12.152 7.729 7.700 -9999.00 6.682 5,513. 5,513. 0. 5,362.
48 10.838 10.377 ******* 9.945 10.838 10.377 ******* 9.945 13.242 12.840 ******* 11.883 7.610 7.562 -9999.00 6.505 5,197. 5,197. 0. 5,111.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.502 11.167 ******* 9.514 11.502 11.167 ******* 9.514 13.550 13.121 ******* 11.598 7.165 6.890 -9999.00 6.634 4,573. 4,573. 0. 4,475.
3 9.643 8.796 ******* 9.534 9.643 8.796 ******* 9.534 11.720 10.818 ******* 11.581 6.662 6.299 -9999.00 6.575 5,122. 5,122. 0. 5,019.
6 10.259 9.295 ******* 9.458 10.259 9.295 ******* 9.458 12.363 11.413 ******* 11.485 6.900 6.623 -9999.00 6.515 5,494. 5,494. 0. 5,397.
9 10.119 9.296 ******* 9.366 10.119 9.296 ******* 9.366 12.151 11.383 ******* 11.351 6.727 6.570 -9999.00 6.412 6,037. 6,037. 0. 5,875.
12 10.046 9.323 9.453 9.476 10.046 9.323 9.453 9.476 12.212 11.532 11.692 11.465 6.943 6.787 6.881 6.455 5,705. 5,705. 5,705. 5,563.
15 10.671 9.943 9.989 9.684 10.671 9.943 9.989 9.684 12.931 12.280 12.439 11.720 7.304 7.208 7.413 6.601 5,252. 5,252. 5,252. 5,144.
18 10.966 10.191 10.263 9.830 10.966 10.191 10.263 9.830 13.074 12.385 12.577 11.837 7.119 7.039 7.271 6.595 4,822. 4,822. 4,822. 4,726.
21 10.936 9.952 10.102 9.659 10.936 9.952 10.102 9.659 13.198 12.233 12.492 11.742 7.389 7.114 7.350 6.677 4,163. 4,163. 4,163. 4,053.
24 11.447 10.482 10.475 9.910 11.447 10.482 10.475 9.910 13.750 12.780 12.909 12.015 7.619 7.312 7.545 6.793 4,501. 4,501. 4,501. 4,402.
27 11.810 10.944 11.010 10.162 11.810 10.944 11.010 10.162 14.040 13.260 13.498 12.221 7.592 7.487 7.810 6.790 5,058. 5,058. 5,058. 4,956.
30 11.474 10.654 10.732 9.998 11.474 10.654 10.732 9.998 13.673 12.969 13.169 12.061 7.437 7.397 7.632 6.745 5,444. 5,444. 5,444. 5,349.
33 11.249 10.584 10.574 9.909 11.249 10.584 10.574 9.909 13.495 12.921 12.996 11.900 7.457 7.412 7.556 6.590 5,928. 5,928. 5,928. 5,815.
36 10.903 10.375 10.403 9.879 10.903 10.375 10.403 9.879 13.190 12.753 12.875 11.833 7.424 7.417 7.587 6.515 5,650. 5,650. 5,650. 5,493.
39 11.337 10.908 ******* 10.123 11.337 10.908 ******* 10.123 13.917 13.558 ******* 12.188 8.074 8.053 -9999.00 6.789 5,144. 5,144. 0. 5,006.
42 11.475 10.898 ******* 10.315 11.475 10.898 ******* 10.315 13.927 13.434 ******* 12.421 7.893 7.857 -9999.00 6.920 4,712. 4,712. 0. 4,604.
45 11.532 10.761 ******* 10.182 11.532 10.761 ******* 10.182 14.041 13.373 ******* 12.392 8.011 7.942 -9999.00 7.064 4,034. 4,034. 0. 3,919.
48 12.262 11.446 ******* 10.529 12.262 11.446 ******* 10.529 14.753 14.052 ******* 12.704 8.205 8.153 -9999.00 7.109 4,420. 4,420. 0. 4,229.