MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 25.021 24.542 ******* 5.650 45.568 45.452 ******* 37.299 59.277 59.293 ******* 50.567 53.742 53.980 -9999.00 50.255 5,737. 5,737. 0. 5,597.
3 13.637 10.202 ******* 5.475 36.608 33.625 ******* 36.548 50.361 48.064 ******* 50.034 48.484 46.973 -9999.00 49.739 5,292. 5,292. 0. 5,186.
6 20.970 15.485 ******* 9.032 42.102 37.435 ******* 38.099 55.495 51.569 ******* 51.403 51.385 49.194 -9999.00 50.608 4,883. 4,883. 0. 4,788.
9 22.599 14.956 ******* 9.813 43.575 38.448 ******* 38.249 57.302 53.402 ******* 52.042 52.664 51.271 -9999.00 51.115 4,213. 4,213. 0. 4,103.
12 25.509 18.595 20.828 12.001 45.779 40.943 40.662 39.213 60.066 56.378 55.797 52.755 54.386 53.229 51.769 51.378 4,510. 4,510. 4,510. 4,412.
15 25.246 19.655 16.513 12.194 48.239 43.142 42.886 39.841 62.519 58.904 59.373 53.663 57.200 55.534 57.036 52.264 5,093. 5,093. 5,093. 4,992.
18 28.587 21.082 17.911 12.371 46.351 41.528 41.516 38.107 59.926 56.676 57.289 51.074 52.673 52.614 54.422 49.558 5,469. 5,469. 5,469. 5,371.
21 24.073 17.028 13.655 9.018 45.190 40.761 41.206 39.114 58.959 56.163 57.512 52.368 53.826 53.524 55.872 51.590 5,923. 5,923. 5,923. 5,727.
24 16.734 11.861 9.649 7.501 45.912 43.292 43.174 42.392 61.053 60.081 60.322 55.971 58.720 58.904 59.551 55.471 5,588. 5,588. 5,588. 5,488.
27 18.925 13.720 11.498 7.249 49.198 46.427 46.180 43.404 64.552 63.569 64.042 57.843 61.721 62.077 63.007 57.393 5,183. 5,183. 5,183. 5,036.
30 22.726 15.695 13.824 9.853 51.111 48.077 48.177 45.271 65.644 64.741 65.677 59.437 61.591 62.817 64.212 58.621 4,737. 4,737. 4,737. 4,670.
33 20.573 13.220 11.731 9.337 51.528 47.674 48.265 44.322 66.905 65.075 66.790 59.468 63.672 63.726 65.760 58.738 4,044. 4,044. 4,044. 3,955.
36 25.555 19.525 16.881 14.659 52.703 48.810 48.167 44.121 68.328 66.307 66.163 59.217 63.377 63.374 63.981 57.380 4,349. 4,349. 4,349. 4,261.
39 27.368 21.484 ******* 15.013 53.183 48.330 ******* 43.527 68.092 64.997 ******* 57.986 62.356 61.349 -9999.00 56.015 5,005. 5,005. 0. 4,876.
42 28.850 22.024 ******* 14.461 51.366 46.346 ******* 42.781 65.957 62.712 ******* 56.432 59.318 58.723 -9999.00 54.553 5,317. 5,317. 0. 5,236.
45 26.197 18.293 ******* 12.175 51.016 46.410 ******* 44.104 66.041 62.944 ******* 57.280 60.628 60.233 -9999.00 55.977 5,513. 5,513. 0. 5,362.
48 18.822 13.177 ******* 8.540 49.387 46.580 ******* 44.664 65.165 63.688 ******* 58.335 62.393 62.316 -9999.00 57.712 5,197. 5,197. 0. 5,111.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 29.982 29.527 ******* 9.002 47.897 47.425 ******* 36.513 61.765 61.314 ******* 50.040 54.005 53.742 -9999.00 49.229 4,573. 4,573. 0. 4,475.
3 17.407 12.412 ******* 8.613 37.542 34.103 ******* 36.051 51.061 48.202 ******* 49.683 48.007 46.581 -9999.00 48.935 5,122. 5,122. 0. 5,019.
6 26.079 18.410 ******* 11.019 41.175 36.133 ******* 35.867 54.254 50.017 ******* 48.505 47.579 46.509 -9999.00 47.241 5,494. 5,494. 0. 5,397.
9 25.413 16.892 ******* 8.718 42.508 36.855 ******* 36.741 56.122 51.409 ******* 49.587 50.042 48.558 -9999.00 48.819 6,037. 6,037. 0. 5,875.
12 19.205 12.565 14.421 6.595 43.549 38.659 38.574 40.030 58.660 54.415 54.297 53.640 55.432 52.949 52.352 53.238 5,705. 5,705. 5,705. 5,563.
15 20.271 14.483 12.826 8.262 44.963 40.768 41.353 40.979 59.417 56.601 58.056 55.066 55.858 54.722 56.627 54.448 5,252. 5,252. 5,252. 5,144.
18 23.529 16.723 14.915 11.967 47.700 43.582 44.199 42.234 61.369 59.139 60.577 55.787 56.686 56.731 58.718 54.494 4,822. 4,822. 4,822. 4,726.
21 23.045 15.574 13.072 11.645 48.355 43.446 44.021 42.403 63.099 59.964 61.120 56.820 58.747 57.913 59.713 55.621 4,163. 4,163. 4,163. 4,053.
24 24.886 17.068 14.522 13.089 49.584 45.011 44.829 42.363 65.116 61.644 62.185 56.824 60.180 59.240 60.472 55.302 4,501. 4,501. 4,501. 4,402.
27 25.560 19.530 16.970 13.575 51.616 46.942 46.817 42.313 66.370 63.408 64.050 56.540 61.257 60.331 61.767 54.892 5,058. 5,058. 5,058. 4,956.
30 27.817 20.387 18.198 11.953 49.284 44.871 44.512 40.620 63.568 60.827 61.228 53.763 57.164 57.314 58.467 52.422 5,444. 5,444. 5,444. 5,349.
33 24.299 17.879 15.113 9.325 48.469 45.040 44.950 40.817 63.352 61.645 61.888 54.064 58.511 59.000 60.019 53.258 5,928. 5,928. 5,928. 5,815.
36 16.836 11.101 10.335 4.148 49.698 47.394 47.244 43.625 65.730 65.303 65.353 57.703 63.543 64.358 64.537 57.559 5,650. 5,650. 5,650. 5,493.
39 17.624 11.856 ******* 6.745 50.217 47.927 ******* 45.553 66.276 65.844 ******* 60.596 63.896 64.775 -9999.00 60.225 5,144. 5,144. 0. 5,006.
42 19.813 12.889 ******* 9.682 51.934 49.248 ******* 47.539 66.879 66.016 ******* 62.354 63.884 64.753 -9999.00 61.604 4,712. 4,712. 0. 4,604.
45 18.720 12.537 ******* 8.322 53.581 49.336 ******* 47.662 69.420 67.047 ******* 63.112 66.857 65.872 -9999.00 62.569 4,034. 4,034. 0. 3,919.
48 23.638 17.711 ******* 15.094 55.387 51.071 ******* 47.842 71.499 69.019 ******* 63.223 67.486 66.716 -9999.00 61.402 4,420. 4,420. 0. 4,233.