MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.541 7.515 ******* 6.936 7.541 7.515 ******* 6.936 8.961 8.928 ******* 8.365 4.840 4.820 -9999.00 4.676 11,729. 11,729. 0. 11,686.
3 6.185 5.831 ******* 6.119 6.185 5.831 ******* 6.119 7.559 7.169 ******* 7.561 4.346 4.170 -9999.00 4.441 11,641. 11,641. 0. 11,602.
6 6.261 5.973 ******* 5.935 6.261 5.973 ******* 5.935 7.595 7.335 ******* 7.413 4.300 4.257 -9999.00 4.442 10,844. 10,844. 0. 10,808.
9 6.181 5.834 ******* 5.706 6.181 5.834 ******* 5.706 7.537 7.163 ******* 7.111 4.313 4.156 -9999.00 4.244 9,760. 9,760. 0. 9,720.
12 6.266 5.967 6.474 5.796 6.266 5.967 6.474 5.796 7.657 7.346 7.912 7.256 4.400 4.285 4.548 4.366 10,365. 10,365. 10,365. 10,329.
15 6.509 6.082 6.126 5.874 6.509 6.082 6.126 5.874 8.025 7.629 7.732 7.463 4.694 4.605 4.718 4.604 11,625. 11,625. 11,625. 11,600.
18 6.771 6.289 6.272 6.423 6.771 6.289 6.272 6.423 8.206 7.752 7.773 7.910 4.635 4.532 4.591 4.618 11,346. 11,346. 11,346. 11,316.
21 6.884 6.463 6.509 6.866 6.884 6.463 6.509 6.866 8.262 7.851 7.972 8.270 4.567 4.457 4.602 4.610 11,582. 11,582. 11,582. 11,554.
24 6.847 6.522 6.586 6.973 6.847 6.522 6.586 6.973 8.166 7.862 7.968 8.355 4.450 4.390 4.485 4.603 11,594. 11,594. 11,594. 11,558.
27 6.608 6.395 6.512 6.404 6.608 6.395 6.512 6.404 8.071 7.898 7.998 7.877 4.634 4.635 4.643 4.587 11,520. 11,520. 11,520. 11,487.
30 6.633 6.488 6.605 6.165 6.633 6.488 6.605 6.165 8.146 8.017 8.167 7.706 4.728 4.709 4.804 4.623 10,688. 10,688. 10,688. 10,654.
33 6.504 6.234 6.422 5.917 6.504 6.234 6.422 5.917 7.967 7.700 7.946 7.414 4.601 4.520 4.680 4.468 9,606. 9,606. 9,606. 9,573.
36 6.621 6.383 6.561 5.926 6.621 6.383 6.561 5.926 8.159 7.981 8.221 7.512 4.769 4.791 4.954 4.618 10,321. 10,321. 10,321. 10,288.
39 6.807 6.440 ******* 6.016 6.807 6.440 ******* 6.016 8.540 8.259 ******* 7.760 5.158 5.172 -9999.00 4.902 11,680. 11,680. 0. 11,656.
42 7.110 6.776 ******* 6.647 7.110 6.776 ******* 6.647 8.784 8.558 ******* 8.274 5.159 5.227 -9999.00 4.928 11,418. 11,418. 0. 11,393.
45 7.373 7.082 ******* 7.157 7.373 7.082 ******* 7.157 8.897 8.685 ******* 8.609 4.980 5.027 -9999.00 4.784 11,457. 11,457. 0. 11,439.
48 7.189 6.958 ******* 7.198 7.189 6.958 ******* 7.198 8.653 8.515 ******* 8.622 4.815 4.909 -9999.00 4.746 10,816. 10,816. 0. 10,793.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.703 6.594 ******* 5.601 6.703 6.594 ******* 5.601 8.083 7.958 ******* 7.121 4.517 4.456 -9999.00 4.397 10,393. 10,393. 0. 10,260.
3 5.965 5.483 ******* 5.628 5.965 5.483 ******* 5.628 7.344 6.851 ******* 7.215 4.284 4.108 -9999.00 4.516 11,644. 11,644. 0. 11,487.
6 6.398 5.792 ******* 6.236 6.398 5.792 ******* 6.236 7.720 7.116 ******* 7.714 4.322 4.134 -9999.00 4.541 11,404. 11,404. 0. 11,218.
9 6.607 6.108 ******* 6.740 6.607 6.108 ******* 6.740 7.881 7.395 ******* 8.124 4.297 4.169 -9999.00 4.536 11,525. 11,525. 0. 11,312.
12 6.673 6.278 6.414 6.886 6.673 6.278 6.414 6.886 7.936 7.561 7.696 8.251 4.295 4.214 4.253 4.546 11,357. 11,357. 11,357. 11,214.
15 6.392 6.156 6.382 6.297 6.392 6.156 6.382 6.297 7.829 7.605 7.852 7.734 4.521 4.464 4.574 4.491 11,289. 11,289. 11,289. 11,147.
18 6.518 6.308 6.580 6.098 6.518 6.308 6.580 6.098 7.954 7.796 8.111 7.605 4.560 4.583 4.743 4.545 10,470. 10,470. 10,470. 10,344.
21 6.384 6.093 6.424 5.826 6.384 6.093 6.424 5.826 7.811 7.508 7.889 7.286 4.500 4.387 4.580 4.376 9,388. 9,388. 9,388. 9,207.
24 6.442 6.149 6.517 5.856 6.442 6.149 6.517 5.856 7.928 7.644 8.092 7.380 4.621 4.541 4.798 4.491 10,106. 10,106. 10,106. 9,907.
27 6.596 6.241 6.483 5.946 6.596 6.241 6.483 5.946 8.256 7.984 8.350 7.653 4.965 4.979 5.262 4.818 11,325. 11,325. 11,325. 11,128.
30 6.865 6.535 6.672 6.569 6.865 6.535 6.672 6.569 8.473 8.214 8.434 8.182 4.966 4.977 5.160 4.878 11,091. 11,091. 11,091. 10,872.
33 7.144 6.756 6.899 7.071 7.144 6.756 6.899 7.071 8.607 8.234 8.455 8.513 4.800 4.707 4.887 4.741 11,037. 11,037. 11,037. 10,824.
36 6.998 6.674 6.847 7.126 6.998 6.674 6.847 7.126 8.385 8.119 8.372 8.540 4.619 4.624 4.818 4.708 11,021. 11,021. 11,021. 10,811.
39 6.710 6.537 ******* 6.525 6.710 6.537 ******* 6.525 8.258 8.108 ******* 8.038 4.814 4.796 -9999.00 4.694 11,221. 11,221. 0. 10,906.
42 6.644 6.539 ******* 6.240 6.644 6.539 ******* 6.240 8.156 8.078 ******* 7.722 4.731 4.744 -9999.00 4.549 10,313. 10,313. 0. 10,124.
45 6.676 6.440 ******* 6.134 6.676 6.440 ******* 6.134 8.242 8.061 ******* 7.723 4.833 4.848 -9999.00 4.693 8,951. 8,951. 0. 8,758.
48 6.797 6.542 ******* 6.090 6.797 6.542 ******* 6.090 8.449 8.262 ******* 7.773 5.017 5.046 -9999.00 4.830 9,680. 9,680. 0. 9,477.