MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.872 0.799 ******* -2.778 4.932 4.903 ******* 4.576 6.584 6.553 ******* 6.296 6.526 6.504 -9999.00 5.650 12,236. 12,236. 0. 12,193.
3 1.032 1.171 ******* -2.324 4.254 4.212 ******* 4.137 5.612 5.494 ******* 5.833 5.517 5.368 -9999.00 5.350 12,062. 12,062. 0. 12,023.
6 2.388 2.674 ******* -1.660 4.774 4.879 ******* 3.983 6.108 6.211 ******* 5.707 5.622 5.607 -9999.00 5.461 11,252. 11,252. 0. 11,216.
9 2.301 2.537 ******* -1.409 4.725 4.729 ******* 3.767 6.126 6.089 ******* 5.464 5.678 5.536 -9999.00 5.279 10,154. 10,154. 0. 10,114.
12 2.302 2.546 3.821 -1.452 4.797 4.826 5.572 3.866 6.166 6.136 7.187 5.591 5.721 5.584 6.087 5.400 10,751. 10,751. 10,751. 10,715.
15 2.239 2.291 2.802 -1.732 4.852 4.723 4.843 3.996 6.437 6.312 6.494 5.968 6.035 5.882 5.858 5.712 12,071. 12,071. 12,071. 12,046.
18 0.610 0.898 1.473 -2.478 4.572 4.413 4.477 4.177 6.080 5.963 6.061 6.023 6.049 5.895 5.879 5.489 11,960. 11,960. 11,960. 11,930.
21 0.243 0.754 1.508 -3.011 4.483 4.474 4.597 4.384 5.949 5.936 6.133 6.130 5.944 5.888 5.945 5.340 12,168. 12,168. 12,168. 12,140.
24 0.636 1.213 2.000 -2.933 4.404 4.486 4.717 4.465 5.754 5.845 6.157 6.143 5.719 5.718 5.824 5.398 12,106. 12,106. 12,106. 12,070.
27 1.449 2.046 2.933 -2.223 4.674 4.853 5.139 4.231 6.088 6.311 6.640 5.944 5.913 5.970 5.958 5.513 11,935. 11,935. 11,935. 11,902.
30 2.337 2.771 3.507 -1.710 5.000 5.219 5.464 4.100 6.443 6.643 6.927 5.862 6.005 6.037 5.974 5.607 11,094. 11,094. 11,094. 11,060.
33 2.284 2.481 3.198 -1.534 4.919 4.979 5.261 3.897 6.402 6.440 6.785 5.647 5.981 5.943 5.984 5.435 9,994. 9,994. 9,994. 9,961.
36 2.224 2.389 3.033 -1.615 4.951 4.986 5.206 3.944 6.391 6.428 6.718 5.732 5.992 5.968 5.994 5.500 10,701. 10,701. 10,701. 10,668.
39 1.991 2.067 ******* -1.872 4.979 4.870 ******* 4.086 6.645 6.546 ******* 6.126 6.340 6.212 -9999.00 5.833 12,115. 12,115. 0. 12,091.
42 0.393 0.622 ******* -2.649 4.773 4.652 ******* 4.328 6.422 6.279 ******* 6.275 6.411 6.249 -9999.00 5.689 12,018. 12,018. 0. 11,993.
45 -0.013 0.375 ******* -3.231 4.669 4.675 ******* 4.573 6.229 6.231 ******* 6.389 6.229 6.220 -9999.00 5.512 12,017. 12,017. 0. 11,999.
48 0.259 0.711 ******* -3.136 4.434 4.524 ******* 4.558 5.856 6.001 ******* 6.282 5.851 5.959 -9999.00 5.443 11,265. 11,265. 0. 11,242.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.613 2.446 ******* -1.768 5.331 5.190 ******* 3.919 6.979 6.812 ******* 5.703 6.472 6.358 -9999.00 5.422 10,776. 10,776. 0. 10,638.
3 1.836 1.602 ******* -1.875 4.495 4.285 ******* 3.890 6.001 5.767 ******* 5.863 5.714 5.540 -9999.00 5.555 12,093. 12,093. 0. 11,930.
6 0.513 0.748 ******* -2.580 4.236 4.032 ******* 4.114 5.634 5.424 ******* 5.944 5.611 5.372 -9999.00 5.354 12,005. 12,005. 0. 11,814.
9 0.144 0.578 ******* -3.061 4.226 4.167 ******* 4.356 5.592 5.531 ******* 6.083 5.590 5.501 -9999.00 5.256 12,102. 12,102. 0. 11,884.
12 0.546 1.084 1.694 -2.969 4.284 4.326 4.617 4.436 5.583 5.620 6.016 6.119 5.557 5.515 5.772 5.350 11,857. 11,857. 11,857. 11,712.
15 1.457 2.018 3.154 -2.199 4.525 4.668 5.092 4.177 5.878 6.042 6.551 5.859 5.695 5.696 5.742 5.431 11,697. 11,697. 11,697. 11,553.
18 2.437 2.791 3.758 -1.633 4.950 5.093 5.456 4.064 6.348 6.481 6.909 5.805 5.862 5.850 5.798 5.571 10,869. 10,869. 10,869. 10,741.
21 2.228 2.433 3.373 -1.481 4.831 4.831 5.230 3.851 6.250 6.216 6.692 5.587 5.840 5.720 5.780 5.387 9,769. 9,769. 9,769. 9,580.
24 2.091 2.296 3.180 -1.562 4.815 4.817 5.191 3.923 6.194 6.167 6.652 5.687 5.830 5.724 5.843 5.468 10,481. 10,481. 10,481. 10,272.
27 1.917 1.950 2.624 -1.854 4.842 4.731 4.928 4.052 6.490 6.379 6.676 6.077 6.201 6.074 6.138 5.788 11,760. 11,760. 11,760. 11,554.
30 0.261 0.510 1.280 -2.642 4.574 4.524 4.684 4.301 6.144 6.111 6.345 6.232 6.139 6.090 6.215 5.644 11,683. 11,683. 11,683. 11,453.
33 -0.166 0.216 1.129 -3.280 4.544 4.485 4.690 4.578 6.000 5.932 6.213 6.334 5.998 5.929 6.110 5.419 11,590. 11,590. 11,590. 11,366.
36 0.277 0.772 1.780 -3.103 4.401 4.434 4.766 4.550 5.791 5.849 6.268 6.266 5.784 5.798 6.010 5.444 11,511. 11,511. 11,511. 11,291.
39 1.152 1.722 ******* -2.271 4.597 4.753 ******* 4.234 6.039 6.185 ******* 5.979 5.929 5.941 -9999.00 5.531 11,619. 11,619. 0. 11,292.
42 2.045 2.526 ******* -1.707 4.915 5.141 ******* 4.094 6.349 6.561 ******* 5.838 6.011 6.055 -9999.00 5.583 10,700. 10,700. 0. 10,503.
45 2.114 2.363 ******* -1.639 4.940 5.028 ******* 3.987 6.456 6.487 ******* 5.762 6.101 6.041 -9999.00 5.524 9,306. 9,306. 0. 9,106.
48 2.196 2.407 ******* -1.720 5.071 5.075 ******* 4.032 6.597 6.526 ******* 5.859 6.221 6.066 -9999.00 5.601 10,022. 10,022. 0. 9,811.