MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.623 8.652 ******* 8.906 8.623 8.652 ******* 8.906 10.365 10.424 ******* 10.694 5.752 5.815 -9999.00 5.920 8,431. 8,431. 0. 8,233.
3 9.260 8.434 ******* 8.776 9.260 8.434 ******* 8.776 11.003 10.221 ******* 10.482 5.944 5.774 -9999.00 5.732 7,377. 7,377. 0. 7,270.
6 9.600 8.327 9.255 8.572 9.600 8.327 9.255 8.572 11.489 10.202 11.429 10.278 6.312 5.895 6.706 5.670 6,957. 6,957. 5,819. 6,843.
9 9.509 8.217 8.225 8.485 9.509 8.217 8.225 8.485 11.339 10.029 10.010 10.185 6.178 5.751 5.706 5.634 6,297. 6,297. 5,276. 6,187.
12 10.001 8.795 8.885 8.733 10.001 8.795 8.885 8.733 11.885 10.672 10.792 10.393 6.421 6.046 6.127 5.634 6,613. 6,613. 6,613. 6,475.
15 10.071 8.992 9.080 8.825 10.071 8.992 9.080 8.825 11.953 10.908 11.015 10.497 6.439 6.175 6.235 5.684 6,834. 6,834. 6,834. 6,636.
18 10.164 8.839 8.907 8.882 10.164 8.839 8.907 8.882 12.011 10.715 10.836 10.532 6.400 6.058 6.171 5.662 7,511. 7,511. 7,511. 7,360.
21 9.498 8.685 8.852 8.911 9.498 8.685 8.852 8.911 11.239 10.532 10.821 10.556 6.009 5.958 6.224 5.660 8,783. 8,783. 8,783. 8,635.
24 9.401 8.752 9.110 9.007 9.401 8.752 9.110 9.007 11.257 10.709 11.165 10.673 6.191 6.171 6.454 5.727 8,204. 8,204. 8,204. 8,143.
27 10.393 9.530 9.761 9.113 10.393 9.530 9.761 9.113 12.338 11.617 11.893 10.890 6.650 6.644 6.795 5.963 7,278. 7,278. 7,278. 7,221.
30 10.365 9.287 9.696 9.043 10.365 9.287 9.696 9.043 12.292 11.288 11.766 10.727 6.607 6.417 6.665 5.769 6,860. 6,860. 6,860. 6,801.
33 10.331 9.173 9.570 8.992 10.331 9.173 9.570 8.992 12.206 11.087 11.506 10.658 6.501 6.227 6.389 5.723 6,231. 6,231. 6,231. 6,193.
36 10.640 9.503 9.691 9.246 10.640 9.503 9.691 9.246 12.599 11.498 11.723 10.854 6.748 6.474 6.598 5.685 6,575. 6,575. 6,575. 6,522.
39 10.752 9.718 ******* 9.638 10.752 9.718 ******* 9.638 12.674 11.751 ******* 11.325 6.710 6.607 -9999.00 5.948 7,013. 7,013. 0. 6,944.
42 10.655 9.561 ******* 9.660 10.655 9.561 ******* 9.660 12.469 11.463 ******* 11.278 6.477 6.324 -9999.00 5.822 7,603. 7,603. 0. 7,526.
45 10.020 9.316 ******* 9.650 10.020 9.316 ******* 9.650 11.866 11.266 ******* 11.305 6.357 6.335 -9999.00 5.890 8,884. 8,884. 0. 8,820.
48 10.080 9.575 ******* 9.578 10.080 9.575 ******* 9.578 12.066 11.736 ******* 11.278 6.631 6.787 -9999.00 5.956 8,225. 8,225. 0. 8,179.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.710 8.643 ******* 8.884 8.710 8.643 ******* 8.884 10.580 10.552 ******* 10.788 6.007 6.053 -9999.00 6.121 6,745. 6,745. 0. 6,486.
3 9.466 8.425 ******* 8.911 9.466 8.425 ******* 8.911 11.283 10.132 ******* 10.623 6.142 5.629 -9999.00 5.784 7,031. 7,031. 0. 6,718.
6 10.052 8.559 9.187 8.890 10.052 8.559 9.187 8.890 11.890 10.371 11.211 10.569 6.351 5.858 6.426 5.716 7,737. 7,737. 6,319. 7,454.
9 9.180 8.194 8.126 8.705 9.180 8.194 8.126 8.705 10.977 10.018 9.886 10.372 6.019 5.764 5.630 5.641 9,004. 9,004. 7,422. 8,677.
12 9.004 8.241 8.495 8.776 9.004 8.241 8.495 8.776 10.745 10.075 10.404 10.393 5.864 5.797 6.006 5.568 8,144. 8,144. 8,144. 7,880.
15 9.940 8.901 9.086 9.020 9.940 8.901 9.086 9.020 11.803 10.853 11.058 10.738 6.366 6.210 6.303 5.827 7,194. 7,194. 7,194. 6,859.
18 10.025 8.723 9.010 8.778 10.025 8.723 9.010 8.778 11.890 10.631 10.919 10.450 6.393 6.077 6.169 5.672 6,849. 6,849. 6,849. 6,617.
21 10.012 8.667 8.837 8.700 10.012 8.667 8.837 8.700 11.848 10.541 10.708 10.357 6.335 6.000 6.048 5.620 6,254. 6,254. 6,254. 6,062.
24 10.309 9.079 9.303 8.942 10.309 9.079 9.303 8.942 12.221 11.048 11.284 10.576 6.564 6.295 6.387 5.648 6,536. 6,536. 6,536. 6,354.
27 10.423 9.301 9.514 9.199 10.423 9.301 9.514 9.199 12.363 11.295 11.549 10.881 6.650 6.409 6.548 5.811 6,976. 6,976. 6,976. 6,781.
30 10.522 9.212 9.399 9.367 10.522 9.212 9.399 9.367 12.388 11.144 11.384 11.012 6.539 6.271 6.425 5.789 7,576. 7,576. 7,576. 7,359.
33 9.981 9.160 9.362 9.292 9.981 9.160 9.362 9.292 11.872 11.118 11.392 10.968 6.429 6.302 6.492 5.827 8,847. 8,847. 8,847. 8,600.
36 10.052 9.320 9.665 9.368 10.052 9.320 9.665 9.368 12.026 11.464 11.874 11.035 6.603 6.676 6.898 5.833 8,212. 8,212. 8,212. 8,004.
39 10.891 9.924 ******* 9.409 10.891 9.924 ******* 9.409 12.995 12.110 ******* 11.155 7.090 6.941 -9999.00 5.993 7,444. 7,444. 0. 7,233.
42 10.789 9.711 ******* 9.268 10.789 9.711 ******* 9.268 12.711 11.704 ******* 10.930 6.722 6.533 -9999.00 5.793 6,975. 6,975. 0. 6,766.
45 10.464 9.497 ******* 9.216 10.464 9.497 ******* 9.216 12.300 11.395 ******* 10.903 6.467 6.297 -9999.00 5.828 6,122. 6,122. 0. 5,824.
48 10.939 9.970 ******* 9.626 10.939 9.970 ******* 9.626 12.981 12.097 ******* 11.258 6.989 6.850 -9999.00 5.838 6,587. 6,587. 0. 6,398.