MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.309 -0.211 ******* -0.148 0.996 0.907 ******* 0.876 1.609 1.517 ******* 1.451 1.579 1.502 -9999.00 1.444 20,949. 20,949. 0. 20,777.
3 0.920 0.869 ******* 0.641 1.353 1.321 ******* 1.341 1.862 1.827 ******* 1.850 1.619 1.607 -9999.00 1.735 19,909. 19,909. 0. 19,742.
6 0.618 0.536 0.566 1.096 1.210 1.143 1.161 1.455 1.586 1.501 1.522 1.864 1.461 1.402 1.413 1.508 18,778. 18,778. 18,775. 18,623.
9 0.661 0.541 0.526 0.761 1.400 1.294 1.291 1.327 1.802 1.670 1.664 1.732 1.676 1.581 1.579 1.557 18,008. 18,008. 17,962. 17,859.
12 1.194 1.026 1.001 1.011 1.782 1.633 1.621 1.557 2.223 2.047 2.031 1.997 1.875 1.771 1.767 1.722 18,241. 18,241. 18,241. 18,097.
15 0.922 0.782 0.792 1.100 1.861 1.719 1.729 1.742 2.421 2.271 2.276 2.313 2.238 2.132 2.134 2.035 20,653. 20,653. 20,653. 20,479.
18 0.007 -0.076 -0.019 0.406 1.790 1.693 1.679 1.628 2.436 2.336 2.317 2.268 2.436 2.335 2.317 2.231 20,874. 20,874. 20,874. 20,687.
21 -0.499 -0.566 -0.513 0.656 1.945 1.872 1.845 1.841 2.547 2.470 2.441 2.445 2.497 2.405 2.386 2.356 20,472. 20,472. 20,472. 20,283.
24 -0.310 -0.424 -0.385 0.626 2.047 2.001 1.985 1.959 2.738 2.693 2.678 2.609 2.720 2.659 2.650 2.533 20,619. 20,619. 20,619. 20,526.
27 -0.045 -0.168 -0.141 0.389 2.068 2.022 2.018 1.903 2.763 2.717 2.715 2.545 2.762 2.712 2.711 2.515 19,765. 19,765. 19,765. 19,676.
30 -0.185 -0.337 -0.347 0.545 2.129 2.085 2.078 1.943 2.786 2.742 2.738 2.502 2.780 2.721 2.716 2.442 18,768. 18,768. 18,768. 18,683.
33 0.006 -0.150 -0.197 0.804 2.253 2.197 2.186 2.081 2.952 2.894 2.889 2.705 2.952 2.890 2.882 2.583 17,988. 17,988. 17,988. 17,905.
36 0.478 0.302 0.233 0.673 2.453 2.369 2.352 2.172 3.221 3.129 3.113 2.889 3.186 3.114 3.105 2.810 18,284. 18,284. 18,284. 18,203.
39 0.545 0.389 ******* 0.536 2.582 2.480 ******* 2.280 3.444 3.335 ******* 3.113 3.400 3.312 -9999.00 3.067 20,766. 20,766. 0. 20,673.
42 -0.054 -0.161 ******* 0.625 2.628 2.547 ******* 2.452 3.614 3.527 ******* 3.383 3.614 3.523 -9999.00 3.325 20,942. 20,942. 0. 20,859.
45 -0.429 -0.524 ******* 0.723 2.693 2.636 ******* 2.620 3.674 3.618 ******* 3.544 3.649 3.580 -9999.00 3.469 20,593. 20,593. 0. 20,505.
48 -0.311 -0.452 ******* 0.395 2.739 2.707 ******* 2.638 3.735 3.711 ******* 3.567 3.722 3.683 -9999.00 3.545 20,802. 20,802. 0. 20,707.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.128 0.037 ******* 0.234 0.786 0.723 ******* 0.687 1.161 1.060 ******* 0.955 1.154 1.059 -9999.00 0.926 18,271. 18,271. 0. 17,960.
3 1.452 1.463 ******* 1.074 1.672 1.677 ******* 1.481 2.156 2.152 ******* 1.984 1.593 1.578 -9999.00 1.668 20,665. 20,665. 0. 20,229.
6 -0.193 -0.129 -0.076 0.432 1.234 1.165 1.148 1.255 1.770 1.703 1.617 1.773 1.760 1.699 1.615 1.719 20,972. 20,972. 20,655. 20,596.
9 -0.751 -0.713 -0.779 -0.073 1.489 1.407 1.425 1.360 1.991 1.912 1.934 1.815 1.844 1.774 1.770 1.813 20,525. 20,525. 20,290. 20,171.
12 -0.390 -0.456 -0.544 0.187 1.505 1.456 1.470 1.472 2.107 2.066 2.088 2.060 2.070 2.015 2.016 2.051 20,571. 20,571. 20,571. 20,295.
15 -0.326 -0.403 -0.499 0.329 1.527 1.489 1.495 1.531 2.134 2.097 2.109 2.180 2.109 2.058 2.050 2.155 19,736. 19,736. 19,736. 19,386.
18 -0.250 -0.366 -0.515 0.181 1.600 1.565 1.568 1.511 2.136 2.092 2.101 1.967 2.122 2.060 2.037 1.959 18,692. 18,692. 18,692. 18,443.
21 -0.185 -0.313 -0.480 0.641 1.772 1.712 1.699 1.654 2.352 2.284 2.278 2.138 2.345 2.263 2.227 2.040 17,847. 17,847. 17,847. 17,604.
24 0.218 0.052 -0.143 0.497 2.002 1.916 1.878 1.730 2.616 2.520 2.489 2.280 2.607 2.520 2.485 2.226 18,007. 18,007. 18,007. 17,765.
27 0.190 0.042 -0.129 0.193 2.158 2.065 2.041 1.854 2.835 2.731 2.710 2.502 2.829 2.731 2.707 2.495 20,534. 20,534. 20,534. 20,256.
30 -0.679 -0.773 -0.896 0.079 2.300 2.230 2.243 1.983 3.064 2.986 2.999 2.706 2.987 2.884 2.862 2.705 20,581. 20,581. 20,581. 20,309.
33 -0.864 -0.949 -1.035 0.359 2.430 2.375 2.387 2.214 3.198 3.146 3.159 2.933 3.080 3.000 2.985 2.911 20,369. 20,369. 20,369. 20,099.
36 -0.477 -0.615 -0.690 0.453 2.401 2.368 2.381 2.313 3.256 3.226 3.245 3.091 3.221 3.167 3.171 3.058 20,378. 20,378. 20,378. 20,114.
39 -0.102 -0.254 ******* 0.187 2.432 2.390 ******* 2.324 3.304 3.255 ******* 3.113 3.302 3.245 -9999.00 3.107 19,851. 19,851. 0. 19,585.
42 -0.117 -0.296 ******* 0.424 2.582 2.538 ******* 2.372 3.431 3.388 ******* 3.152 3.430 3.375 -9999.00 3.123 18,623. 18,623. 0. 18,372.
45 -0.064 -0.248 ******* 0.646 2.796 2.738 ******* 2.542 3.701 3.663 ******* 3.404 3.701 3.655 -9999.00 3.342 17,973. 17,973. 0. 17,664.
48 0.270 0.071 ******* 0.237 3.014 2.932 ******* 2.659 4.012 3.946 ******* 3.606 4.003 3.945 -9999.00 3.598 18,045. 18,045. 0. 17,804.