MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.026 7.032 ******* 7.861 7.026 7.032 ******* 7.861 8.379 8.404 ******* 9.231 4.565 4.601 -9999.00 4.840 27,216. 27,216. 0. 26,919.
3 8.278 8.121 ******* 6.383 8.278 8.121 ******* 6.383 9.529 9.448 ******* 7.680 4.719 4.828 -9999.00 4.271 26,602. 26,602. 0. 26,304.
6 9.086 8.928 9.792 6.267 9.086 8.928 9.792 6.267 10.245 10.193 11.315 7.411 4.734 4.918 5.671 3.955 26,642. 26,642. 8,271. 26,357.
9 8.332 8.187 8.288 5.764 8.332 8.187 8.288 5.764 9.403 9.390 9.607 6.845 4.358 4.598 4.858 3.692 25,572. 25,572. 7,987. 25,311.
12 8.106 7.914 8.238 5.581 8.106 7.914 8.238 5.581 9.180 9.099 9.601 6.669 4.308 4.491 4.931 3.651 26,530. 26,530. 26,530. 26,272.
15 7.067 6.791 6.437 5.468 7.067 6.791 6.437 5.468 8.290 8.109 7.862 6.620 4.333 4.432 4.514 3.732 25,665. 25,665. 25,665. 25,371.
18 6.375 5.896 5.636 6.253 6.375 5.896 5.636 6.253 7.779 7.360 7.163 7.464 4.459 4.405 4.421 4.075 24,874. 24,874. 24,874. 24,588.
21 6.968 6.530 6.284 7.332 6.968 6.530 6.284 7.332 8.471 8.095 7.925 8.682 4.817 4.785 4.828 4.650 24,393. 24,393. 24,393. 24,105.
24 7.714 7.293 7.124 8.056 7.714 7.293 7.124 8.056 9.177 8.870 8.796 9.432 4.972 5.050 5.160 4.907 26,676. 26,676. 26,676. 26,394.
27 8.283 8.247 8.075 6.690 8.283 8.247 8.075 6.690 9.558 9.644 9.595 7.951 4.770 5.000 5.184 4.297 26,112. 26,112. 26,112. 25,823.
30 8.888 8.871 8.322 6.427 8.888 8.871 8.322 6.427 10.047 10.155 9.755 7.549 4.684 4.943 5.090 3.960 26,280. 26,280. 26,280. 25,997.
33 8.381 8.166 7.610 5.906 8.381 8.166 7.610 5.906 9.466 9.394 8.993 6.985 4.401 4.643 4.791 3.730 25,295. 25,295. 25,295. 25,020.
36 8.168 7.943 7.352 5.677 8.168 7.943 7.352 5.677 9.263 9.157 8.715 6.768 4.369 4.556 4.680 3.686 26,291. 26,291. 26,291. 26,004.
39 7.172 6.908 ******* 5.518 7.172 6.908 ******* 5.518 8.412 8.247 ******* 6.685 4.396 4.505 -9999.00 3.774 25,629. 25,629. 0. 25,343.
42 6.309 5.961 ******* 6.246 6.309 5.961 ******* 6.246 7.711 7.474 ******* 7.492 4.434 4.508 -9999.00 4.136 24,819. 24,819. 0. 24,546.
45 7.069 6.704 ******* 7.391 7.069 6.704 ******* 7.391 8.510 8.246 ******* 8.676 4.739 4.801 -9999.00 4.544 24,636. 24,636. 0. 24,137.
48 7.801 7.464 ******* 8.177 7.801 7.464 ******* 8.177 9.221 8.987 ******* 9.459 4.916 5.006 -9999.00 4.756 26,959. 26,959. 0. 26,659.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.706 5.721 ******* 5.263 5.706 5.721 ******* 5.263 6.862 6.886 ******* 6.421 3.811 3.832 -9999.00 3.679 26,720. 26,720. 0. 26,006.
3 7.413 6.911 ******* 5.552 7.413 6.911 ******* 5.552 8.601 8.183 ******* 6.726 4.362 4.382 -9999.00 3.796 25,874. 25,874. 0. 25,152.
6 6.187 5.691 5.720 6.414 6.187 5.691 5.720 6.414 7.555 7.100 7.069 7.609 4.336 4.245 4.154 4.094 25,098. 25,098. 8,165. 24,481.
9 7.016 6.497 6.295 7.402 7.016 6.497 6.295 7.402 8.475 8.023 7.878 8.743 4.753 4.708 4.737 4.653 25,099. 25,099. 8,254. 24,384.
12 7.667 7.216 7.488 8.192 7.667 7.216 7.488 8.192 9.129 8.800 9.179 9.572 4.956 5.038 5.310 4.951 27,170. 27,170. 27,170. 26,528.
15 8.298 8.258 8.167 6.723 8.298 8.258 8.167 6.723 9.533 9.631 9.670 7.982 4.693 4.957 5.178 4.303 26,308. 26,308. 26,308. 25,733.
18 8.961 8.826 8.295 6.463 8.961 8.826 8.295 6.463 10.096 10.080 9.676 7.586 4.650 4.868 4.983 3.972 26,709. 26,709. 26,709. 26,123.
21 8.369 8.156 7.612 5.923 8.369 8.156 7.612 5.923 9.447 9.372 8.962 7.002 4.381 4.617 4.731 3.734 25,699. 25,699. 25,699. 25,131.
24 8.196 7.910 7.406 5.696 8.196 7.910 7.406 5.696 9.281 9.129 8.765 6.793 4.354 4.558 4.688 3.701 26,701. 26,701. 26,701. 26,126.
27 7.151 6.830 6.482 5.495 7.151 6.830 6.482 5.495 8.369 8.154 7.982 6.667 4.348 4.455 4.658 3.775 25,653. 25,653. 25,653. 25,018.
30 6.220 5.794 5.718 6.231 6.220 5.794 5.718 6.231 7.645 7.283 7.326 7.485 4.444 4.413 4.580 4.147 24,888. 24,888. 24,888. 24,203.
33 6.908 6.523 6.437 7.284 6.908 6.523 6.437 7.284 8.422 8.103 8.115 8.645 4.817 4.807 4.942 4.656 24,785. 24,785. 24,785. 24,163.
36 7.619 7.251 7.263 7.970 7.619 7.251 7.263 7.970 9.119 8.846 8.952 9.347 5.011 5.068 5.234 4.882 27,237. 27,237. 27,237. 26,603.
39 8.291 8.168 ******* 6.687 8.291 8.168 ******* 6.687 9.563 9.588 ******* 7.951 4.767 5.021 -9999.00 4.302 26,723. 26,723. 0. 25,987.
42 8.825 8.732 ******* 6.413 8.825 8.732 ******* 6.413 9.977 9.999 ******* 7.544 4.654 4.871 -9999.00 3.973 26,885. 26,885. 0. 26,158.
45 8.271 8.117 ******* 5.866 8.271 8.117 ******* 5.866 9.377 9.340 ******* 6.969 4.417 4.623 -9999.00 3.762 25,838. 25,838. 0. 25,130.
48 8.079 7.816 ******* 5.650 8.079 7.816 ******* 5.650 9.205 9.046 ******* 6.772 4.411 4.554 -9999.00 3.734 26,874. 26,874. 0. 26,162.