MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.047 5.541 ******* 8.667 54.303 54.184 ******* 57.629 71.394 71.395 ******* 73.994 71.139 71.181 -9999.00 73.486 27,271. 27,271. 0. 26,973.
3 8.685 6.328 ******* 1.680 54.901 52.772 ******* 57.648 71.654 70.243 ******* 73.812 71.127 69.958 -9999.00 73.794 26,655. 26,655. 0. 26,356.
6 9.530 8.124 7.487 -3.747 59.445 56.483 56.023 62.334 76.418 74.119 73.483 78.574 75.823 73.674 73.105 78.486 26,697. 26,697. 8,297. 26,411.
9 11.358 8.198 6.927 -1.265 64.622 61.906 59.728 66.811 81.008 79.213 77.643 82.882 80.210 78.789 77.338 82.874 25,626. 25,626. 8,016. 25,364.
12 7.778 6.899 7.421 -0.436 70.351 66.921 66.467 71.529 86.745 84.366 84.011 87.404 86.397 84.085 83.684 87.405 26,586. 26,586. 26,586. 26,327.
15 10.901 7.123 5.247 3.418 70.230 67.264 65.351 70.240 86.735 85.113 84.057 86.527 86.049 84.816 83.895 86.461 25,724. 25,724. 25,724. 25,429.
18 12.195 7.396 6.515 10.960 66.031 59.680 55.861 66.882 82.640 77.190 73.839 83.288 81.737 76.836 73.552 82.565 24,928. 24,928. 24,928. 24,641.
21 13.951 9.026 8.838 12.849 60.142 53.601 50.805 62.539 76.780 70.577 68.339 78.529 75.503 69.999 67.766 77.473 24,449. 24,449. 24,449. 24,160.
24 12.037 8.997 7.970 8.836 56.320 49.995 48.537 59.035 73.437 67.195 66.327 75.514 72.445 66.592 65.848 74.996 26,731. 26,731. 26,731. 26,448.
27 6.991 4.356 3.242 2.160 55.478 51.870 50.699 58.535 72.261 69.798 69.220 74.954 71.923 69.664 69.145 74.924 26,165. 26,165. 26,165. 25,875.
30 4.955 4.658 4.272 -2.473 61.195 58.703 57.158 62.610 78.363 76.320 75.384 78.775 78.208 76.179 75.265 78.738 26,335. 26,335. 26,335. 26,051.
33 8.383 7.715 5.770 -1.925 66.407 63.696 62.165 67.292 82.942 81.088 80.167 83.278 82.519 80.722 79.960 83.258 25,349. 25,349. 25,349. 25,073.
36 7.142 6.128 5.124 -1.112 70.658 67.940 66.368 71.420 87.114 85.342 84.163 87.387 86.822 85.123 84.009 87.381 26,347. 26,347. 26,347. 26,059.
39 9.336 6.577 ******* 2.390 71.111 68.876 ******* 71.580 87.684 86.605 ******* 87.719 87.187 86.357 -9999.00 87.688 25,688. 25,688. 0. 25,401.
42 11.631 6.349 ******* 10.126 66.548 60.918 ******* 68.483 83.284 78.439 ******* 84.741 82.469 78.183 -9999.00 84.136 24,873. 24,873. 0. 24,598.
45 11.165 7.670 ******* 10.557 61.913 56.054 ******* 64.430 78.396 73.285 ******* 80.418 77.599 72.884 -9999.00 79.724 24,684. 24,684. 0. 24,183.
48 11.881 7.477 ******* 8.687 58.985 53.480 ******* 61.486 75.924 70.815 ******* 77.978 74.989 70.420 -9999.00 77.494 27,005. 27,005. 0. 26,703.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.239 -1.615 ******* -0.410 69.121 69.480 ******* 72.213 86.128 86.469 ******* 88.657 86.121 86.456 -9999.00 88.658 26,776. 26,776. 0. 26,059.
3 8.956 6.968 ******* 0.703 69.269 66.952 ******* 70.745 85.687 84.465 ******* 87.118 85.219 84.179 -9999.00 87.117 25,933. 25,933. 0. 25,208.
6 12.849 6.793 7.602 9.022 65.591 58.091 57.421 65.356 82.186 75.415 74.697 81.883 81.177 75.110 74.314 81.386 25,152. 25,152. 8,194. 24,532.
9 12.751 8.786 7.251 11.151 58.990 51.930 48.281 60.992 75.584 68.818 65.443 77.209 74.502 68.256 65.044 76.401 25,155. 25,155. 8,282. 24,437.
12 12.030 8.463 8.437 9.069 54.973 48.437 48.030 57.895 71.794 65.337 65.304 74.513 70.780 64.788 64.757 73.960 27,225. 27,225. 27,225. 26,580.
15 6.833 4.718 3.667 2.216 54.858 50.767 50.422 58.431 71.637 68.439 68.889 74.912 71.311 68.277 68.793 74.880 26,361. 26,361. 26,361. 25,783.
18 5.212 4.829 4.253 -5.215 60.486 57.784 56.659 62.450 77.718 75.466 75.079 78.511 77.544 75.312 74.960 78.339 26,764. 26,764. 26,764. 26,175.
21 7.767 6.072 3.746 -3.841 66.462 63.405 61.994 66.599 83.064 80.864 80.063 82.722 82.701 80.637 79.977 82.635 25,753. 25,753. 25,753. 25,183.
24 5.792 5.088 4.603 -2.307 71.076 67.649 66.224 71.194 87.618 85.186 84.030 87.125 87.428 85.036 83.905 87.096 26,757. 26,757. 26,757. 26,179.
27 8.149 5.409 3.438 0.788 70.550 67.336 65.384 70.247 87.486 85.470 84.037 86.540 87.107 85.300 83.968 86.538 25,712. 25,712. 25,712. 25,074.
30 10.544 4.786 5.442 8.631 65.659 59.276 55.481 66.431 82.381 76.976 73.583 83.019 81.705 76.829 73.383 82.571 24,942. 24,942. 24,942. 24,256.
33 10.779 6.748 7.216 8.980 59.804 53.610 51.371 62.254 76.422 70.664 68.975 78.454 75.660 70.343 68.597 77.940 24,841. 24,841. 24,841. 24,219.
36 11.071 6.088 7.009 7.763 57.443 51.299 49.912 59.425 74.539 68.614 67.992 76.037 73.714 68.345 67.631 75.641 27,292. 27,292. 27,292. 26,658.
39 5.687 2.654 ******* 1.948 57.899 53.886 ******* 59.467 74.883 71.924 ******* 75.915 74.668 71.876 -9999.00 75.892 26,776. 26,776. 0. 26,039.
42 3.473 3.270 ******* -3.648 63.241 59.968 ******* 63.888 80.473 77.647 ******* 80.057 80.400 77.580 -9999.00 79.976 26,940. 26,940. 0. 26,212.
45 8.180 6.190 ******* -3.963 67.904 64.867 ******* 68.163 84.291 82.150 ******* 84.152 83.895 81.918 -9999.00 84.060 25,892. 25,892. 0. 25,183.
48 6.545 5.664 ******* -1.765 72.965 69.318 ******* 72.720 89.218 86.673 ******* 88.539 88.979 86.489 -9999.00 88.523 26,930. 26,930. 0. 26,217.