MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.463 1.455 ******* 2.281 4.065 4.098 ******* 4.462 5.405 5.456 ******* 5.811 5.204 5.258 -9999.00 5.345 27,867. 27,867. 0. 27,566.
3 4.293 4.507 ******* 1.071 5.546 5.650 ******* 3.826 6.781 6.929 ******* 5.151 5.248 5.264 -9999.00 5.039 26,891. 26,891. 0. 26,591.
6 5.641 5.879 6.598 1.564 6.512 6.694 7.434 3.996 7.733 7.989 9.002 5.269 5.289 5.409 6.125 5.032 26,937. 26,937. 8,386. 26,649.
9 4.995 5.260 5.353 1.507 5.930 6.078 6.194 3.643 7.106 7.336 7.560 4.863 5.055 5.114 5.339 4.624 25,804. 25,804. 8,078. 25,539.
12 4.798 4.953 5.372 1.422 5.735 5.777 6.127 3.504 6.872 6.994 7.520 4.717 4.920 4.938 5.262 4.498 26,764. 26,764. 26,764. 26,504.
15 3.397 3.498 3.342 1.213 4.745 4.694 4.497 3.435 6.022 6.016 5.872 4.680 4.973 4.895 4.828 4.520 26,003. 26,003. 26,003. 25,706.
18 1.040 1.024 1.103 0.999 3.682 3.596 3.502 3.387 5.014 4.913 4.855 4.667 4.905 4.805 4.729 4.558 25,857. 25,857. 25,857. 25,556.
21 0.912 1.019 1.090 1.402 3.922 3.909 3.838 3.906 5.309 5.304 5.273 5.253 5.230 5.205 5.159 5.063 25,311. 25,311. 25,311. 25,012.
24 2.207 2.367 2.445 2.442 4.551 4.557 4.474 4.541 5.909 5.938 5.933 5.899 5.482 5.445 5.405 5.369 27,322. 27,322. 27,322. 27,028.
27 4.088 4.684 4.695 1.455 5.565 5.866 5.764 4.038 6.846 7.178 7.185 5.350 5.492 5.439 5.439 5.149 26,396. 26,396. 26,396. 26,105.
30 5.346 5.649 5.252 1.756 6.304 6.540 6.203 4.098 7.536 7.848 7.637 5.354 5.311 5.448 5.544 5.058 26,573. 26,573. 26,573. 26,288.
33 4.981 5.090 4.673 1.653 5.910 5.953 5.610 3.720 7.093 7.211 6.979 4.937 5.050 5.108 5.183 4.652 25,528. 25,528. 25,528. 25,251.
36 4.785 4.850 4.358 1.505 5.742 5.741 5.344 3.538 6.917 6.986 6.702 4.753 4.995 5.028 5.092 4.509 26,524. 26,524. 26,524. 26,231.
39 3.386 3.409 ******* 1.103 4.769 4.706 ******* 3.413 6.080 6.041 ******* 4.685 5.050 4.987 -9999.00 4.554 25,968. 25,968. 0. 25,677.
42 0.676 0.713 ******* 0.669 3.692 3.662 ******* 3.377 5.045 5.029 ******* 4.686 4.999 4.978 -9999.00 4.638 25,803. 25,803. 0. 25,516.
45 0.709 0.771 ******* 1.195 3.974 4.030 ******* 3.891 5.352 5.416 ******* 5.172 5.305 5.361 -9999.00 5.033 25,541. 25,541. 0. 25,048.
48 1.892 2.006 ******* 2.310 4.522 4.598 ******* 4.532 5.868 5.994 ******* 5.808 5.555 5.648 -9999.00 5.329 27,603. 27,603. 0. 27,299.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.876 1.877 ******* 0.884 3.803 3.820 ******* 3.347 5.031 5.049 ******* 4.638 4.668 4.687 -9999.00 4.553 26,956. 26,956. 0. 26,235.
3 3.982 3.701 ******* 1.347 5.076 4.848 ******* 3.531 6.302 6.132 ******* 4.781 4.885 4.889 -9999.00 4.587 26,215. 26,215. 0. 25,486.
6 0.846 0.999 0.844 1.274 3.533 3.461 3.470 3.584 4.799 4.747 4.771 4.850 4.723 4.641 4.696 4.680 26,084. 26,084. 8,521. 25,443.
9 1.180 1.272 1.115 1.629 3.962 3.922 3.876 4.017 5.293 5.261 5.249 5.345 5.160 5.105 5.129 5.090 26,015. 26,015. 8,579. 25,273.
12 2.321 2.511 2.986 2.734 4.509 4.495 4.766 4.710 5.842 5.879 6.239 6.063 5.362 5.316 5.479 5.411 27,825. 27,825. 27,825. 27,164.
15 4.260 4.854 4.922 1.580 5.572 5.915 5.877 4.067 6.805 7.197 7.261 5.361 5.307 5.314 5.338 5.123 26,591. 26,591. 26,591. 26,011.
18 5.542 5.734 5.342 1.868 6.411 6.587 6.233 4.147 7.604 7.867 7.623 5.402 5.207 5.386 5.438 5.069 27,005. 27,005. 27,005. 26,413.
21 5.019 5.179 4.753 1.738 5.951 6.019 5.648 3.785 7.128 7.273 6.997 4.986 5.062 5.106 5.136 4.674 25,936. 25,936. 25,936. 25,363.
24 4.868 4.904 4.498 1.564 5.846 5.784 5.450 3.587 7.011 7.038 6.812 4.799 5.045 5.048 5.116 4.537 26,939. 26,939. 26,939. 26,359.
27 3.527 3.524 3.329 1.198 4.834 4.747 4.539 3.422 6.105 6.081 5.943 4.692 4.983 4.956 4.923 4.536 25,994. 25,994. 25,994. 25,355.
30 0.737 0.778 1.157 0.880 3.675 3.589 3.583 3.416 5.021 4.946 4.987 4.730 4.967 4.885 4.851 4.648 25,873. 25,873. 25,873. 25,163.
33 0.697 0.840 1.183 1.295 3.953 3.959 3.946 3.905 5.365 5.363 5.408 5.242 5.319 5.297 5.277 5.080 25,715. 25,715. 25,715. 25,067.
36 1.865 2.036 2.409 2.243 4.473 4.500 4.553 4.481 5.869 5.921 6.034 5.832 5.565 5.560 5.533 5.384 27,892. 27,892. 27,892. 27,243.
39 3.872 4.344 ******* 1.338 5.486 5.683 ******* 4.045 6.754 7.000 ******* 5.371 5.534 5.489 -9999.00 5.202 27,004. 27,004. 0. 26,259.
42 5.063 5.353 ******* 1.619 6.157 6.365 ******* 4.057 7.388 7.677 ******* 5.341 5.381 5.503 -9999.00 5.089 27,179. 27,179. 0. 26,450.
45 4.733 4.909 ******* 1.527 5.796 5.882 ******* 3.676 7.009 7.161 ******* 4.924 5.171 5.213 -9999.00 4.682 26,076. 26,076. 0. 25,362.
48 4.510 4.585 ******* 1.359 5.623 5.617 ******* 3.515 6.843 6.897 ******* 4.772 5.147 5.153 -9999.00 4.575 27,110. 27,110. 0. 26,391.