MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.976 6.959 ******* 7.397 6.976 6.959 ******* 7.397 8.511 8.483 ******* 8.886 4.877 4.851 -9999.00 4.923 9,009. 9,009. 0. 9,009.
3 8.811 8.273 ******* 7.457 8.811 8.273 ******* 7.457 10.474 10.002 ******* 8.991 5.664 5.621 -9999.00 5.023 6,866. 6,866. 0. 6,866.
6 9.337 8.566 ******* 7.454 9.337 8.566 ******* 7.454 11.055 10.382 ******* 9.053 5.919 5.866 -9999.00 5.138 6,398. 6,398. 0. 6,398.
9 9.451 8.830 ******* 7.514 9.451 8.830 ******* 7.514 11.222 10.661 ******* 9.137 6.052 5.976 -9999.00 5.200 5,612. 5,612. 0. 5,612.
12 9.704 8.956 10.072 7.752 9.704 8.956 10.072 7.752 11.583 10.930 12.477 9.486 6.326 6.265 7.365 5.467 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,971.
15 9.923 9.218 9.153 7.841 9.923 9.218 9.153 7.841 11.749 11.164 11.148 9.512 6.291 6.299 6.365 5.385 6,137. 6,137. 6,137. 6,137.
18 9.024 8.284 8.129 7.639 9.024 8.284 8.129 7.639 10.915 10.257 10.189 9.339 6.141 6.048 6.143 5.374 7,464. 7,464. 7,464. 7,464.
21 8.591 8.117 8.032 7.734 8.591 8.117 8.032 7.734 10.363 9.943 9.930 9.295 5.795 5.744 5.839 5.155 9,008. 9,008. 9,008. 9,008.
24 8.381 7.999 7.900 7.884 8.381 7.999 7.900 7.884 10.177 9.861 9.870 9.445 5.774 5.766 5.917 5.200 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,909.
27 9.619 9.203 8.986 7.907 9.619 9.203 8.986 7.907 11.478 11.132 11.019 9.465 6.263 6.263 6.378 5.203 6,817. 6,817. 6,817. 6,817.
30 10.104 9.434 9.184 7.860 10.104 9.434 9.184 7.860 12.015 11.427 11.249 9.500 6.503 6.448 6.496 5.337 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,321.
33 10.191 9.548 9.242 7.787 10.191 9.548 9.242 7.787 12.049 11.506 11.340 9.409 6.427 6.420 6.572 5.282 5,548. 5,548. 5,548. 5,548.
36 10.264 9.537 9.379 7.975 10.264 9.537 9.379 7.975 12.197 11.530 11.484 9.666 6.591 6.481 6.628 5.462 5,821. 5,821. 5,821. 5,821.
39 10.474 9.806 ******* 8.142 10.474 9.806 ******* 8.142 12.433 11.837 ******* 9.847 6.699 6.630 -9999.00 5.539 6,102. 6,102. 0. 6,102.
42 9.715 9.029 ******* 8.058 9.715 9.029 ******* 8.058 11.633 10.996 ******* 9.718 6.399 6.276 -9999.00 5.432 7,378. 7,378. 0. 7,378.
45 9.122 8.688 ******* 8.142 9.122 8.688 ******* 8.142 10.928 10.530 ******* 9.699 6.018 5.951 -9999.00 5.271 8,875. 8,875. 0. 8,875.
48 8.979 8.575 ******* 8.271 8.979 8.575 ******* 8.271 10.811 10.465 ******* 9.820 6.021 5.998 -9999.00 5.294 8,653. 8,653. 0. 8,653.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.483 7.413 ******* 7.623 7.483 7.413 ******* 7.623 9.248 9.187 ******* 9.331 5.434 5.427 -9999.00 5.382 5,971. 5,971. 0. 5,933.
3 9.287 8.698 ******* 7.713 9.287 8.698 ******* 7.713 11.087 10.616 ******* 9.383 6.057 6.087 -9999.00 5.345 6,137. 6,137. 0. 6,098.
6 8.993 8.205 ******* 7.508 8.993 8.205 ******* 7.508 10.847 10.191 ******* 9.156 6.066 6.045 -9999.00 5.241 7,464. 7,464. 0. 7,424.
9 8.217 7.684 ******* 7.586 8.217 7.684 ******* 7.586 9.919 9.497 ******* 9.115 5.557 5.582 -9999.00 5.053 9,008. 9,008. 0. 8,924.
12 7.867 7.557 8.088 7.662 7.867 7.557 8.088 7.662 9.616 9.381 10.198 9.159 5.530 5.558 6.211 5.017 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,839.
15 9.273 8.791 8.729 7.738 9.273 8.791 8.729 7.738 11.043 10.650 10.668 9.270 5.997 6.013 6.134 5.106 6,817. 6,817. 6,817. 6,770.
18 9.902 9.225 9.067 7.821 9.902 9.225 9.067 7.821 11.787 11.211 11.157 9.435 6.395 6.370 6.502 5.277 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,269.
21 10.026 9.331 9.112 7.721 10.026 9.331 9.112 7.721 11.839 11.220 11.102 9.289 6.297 6.230 6.342 5.165 5,314. 5,314. 5,314. 5,264.
24 10.177 9.358 9.206 8.013 10.177 9.358 9.206 8.013 12.185 11.414 11.374 9.701 6.701 6.536 6.680 5.469 5,672. 5,672. 5,672. 5,621.
27 10.201 9.550 9.345 8.103 10.201 9.550 9.345 8.103 12.107 11.465 11.365 9.751 6.521 6.344 6.469 5.424 5,870. 5,870. 5,870. 5,811.
30 9.408 8.816 8.669 7.954 9.408 8.816 8.669 7.954 11.262 10.731 10.631 9.565 6.191 6.118 6.154 5.313 6,716. 6,716. 6,716. 6,639.
33 8.850 8.419 8.302 8.004 8.850 8.419 8.302 8.004 10.542 10.166 10.157 9.492 5.729 5.698 5.853 5.103 8,110. 8,110. 8,110. 7,994.
36 8.518 8.198 8.189 8.021 8.518 8.198 8.189 8.021 10.311 10.065 10.113 9.511 5.811 5.839 5.935 5.111 8,009. 8,009. 8,009. 7,871.
39 9.796 9.345 ******* 8.103 9.796 9.345 ******* 8.103 11.676 11.357 ******* 9.700 6.355 6.455 -9999.00 5.333 6,419. 6,419. 0. 6,320.
42 10.419 9.697 ******* 8.230 10.419 9.697 ******* 8.230 12.548 11.930 ******* 9.979 6.994 6.951 -9999.00 5.645 6,001. 6,001. 0. 5,924.
45 10.609 9.853 ******* 8.234 10.609 9.853 ******* 8.234 12.689 12.088 ******* 9.998 6.963 7.004 -9999.00 5.671 5,278. 5,278. 0. 5,219.
48 10.764 9.921 ******* 8.445 10.764 9.921 ******* 8.445 12.864 12.089 ******* 10.301 7.044 6.907 -9999.00 5.899 5,633. 5,633. 0. 5,582.