MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.581 6.560 ******* 7.397 6.581 6.560 ******* 7.397 8.020 7.987 ******* 8.886 4.585 4.556 -9999.00 4.923 9,009. 9,009. 0. 9,009.
3 7.390 6.870 ******* 7.457 7.390 6.870 ******* 7.457 9.031 8.551 ******* 8.991 5.192 5.091 -9999.00 5.023 6,866. 6,866. 0. 6,866.
6 7.833 7.093 ******* 7.454 7.833 7.093 ******* 7.454 9.539 8.848 ******* 9.053 5.445 5.291 -9999.00 5.138 6,398. 6,398. 0. 6,398.
9 7.970 7.332 ******* 7.514 7.970 7.332 ******* 7.514 9.685 9.073 ******* 9.137 5.503 5.344 -9999.00 5.200 5,612. 5,612. 0. 5,612.
12 8.228 7.485 8.044 7.752 8.228 7.485 8.044 7.752 10.073 9.402 10.120 9.486 5.810 5.691 6.141 5.467 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,971.
15 8.401 7.720 7.556 7.841 8.401 7.720 7.556 7.841 10.178 9.587 9.470 9.512 5.746 5.686 5.709 5.385 6,137. 6,137. 6,137. 6,137.
18 7.926 7.250 6.992 7.639 7.926 7.250 6.992 7.639 9.645 9.017 8.849 9.339 5.496 5.361 5.425 5.374 7,464. 7,464. 7,464. 7,464.
21 7.579 7.090 6.897 7.734 7.579 7.090 6.897 7.734 9.155 8.696 8.557 9.295 5.136 5.036 5.065 5.155 9,008. 9,008. 9,008. 9,008.
24 7.274 6.819 6.646 7.884 7.274 6.819 6.646 7.884 8.932 8.514 8.416 9.445 5.184 5.098 5.163 5.200 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,909.
27 8.015 7.546 7.279 7.907 8.015 7.546 7.279 7.907 9.821 9.417 9.227 9.465 5.677 5.634 5.671 5.203 6,817. 6,817. 6,817. 6,817.
30 8.400 7.764 7.453 7.860 8.400 7.764 7.453 7.860 10.258 9.685 9.452 9.500 5.888 5.791 5.814 5.337 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,321.
33 8.488 7.880 7.532 7.787 8.488 7.880 7.532 7.787 10.263 9.738 9.498 9.409 5.768 5.723 5.787 5.282 5,548. 5,548. 5,548. 5,548.
36 8.681 8.024 7.827 7.975 8.681 8.024 7.827 7.975 10.554 9.939 9.806 9.666 6.003 5.866 5.908 5.462 5,821. 5,821. 5,821. 5,821.
39 8.906 8.302 ******* 8.142 8.906 8.302 ******* 8.142 10.815 10.279 ******* 9.847 6.136 6.062 -9999.00 5.539 6,102. 6,102. 0. 6,102.
42 8.537 7.957 ******* 8.058 8.537 7.957 ******* 8.058 10.329 9.784 ******* 9.718 5.816 5.693 -9999.00 5.432 7,378. 7,378. 0. 7,378.
45 8.094 7.676 ******* 8.142 8.094 7.676 ******* 8.142 9.741 9.344 ******* 9.699 5.420 5.328 -9999.00 5.271 8,875. 8,875. 0. 8,875.
48 7.894 7.461 ******* 8.271 7.894 7.461 ******* 8.271 9.591 9.200 ******* 9.820 5.449 5.383 -9999.00 5.294 8,653. 8,653. 0. 8,653.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.290 7.232 ******* 7.623 7.290 7.232 ******* 7.623 8.973 8.916 ******* 9.331 5.233 5.215 -9999.00 5.382 5,971. 5,971. 0. 5,933.
3 7.866 7.327 ******* 7.713 7.866 7.327 ******* 7.713 9.611 9.134 ******* 9.383 5.524 5.454 -9999.00 5.345 6,137. 6,137. 0. 6,098.
6 7.848 7.169 ******* 7.508 7.848 7.169 ******* 7.508 9.540 8.927 ******* 9.156 5.423 5.320 -9999.00 5.241 7,464. 7,464. 0. 7,424.
9 7.349 6.804 ******* 7.586 7.349 6.804 ******* 7.586 8.862 8.364 ******* 9.115 4.953 4.864 -9999.00 5.053 9,008. 9,008. 0. 8,924.
12 6.961 6.550 6.760 7.662 6.961 6.550 6.760 7.662 8.562 8.191 8.513 9.159 4.985 4.918 5.174 5.017 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,839.
15 7.703 7.183 7.055 7.738 7.703 7.183 7.055 7.738 9.442 8.983 8.911 9.270 5.461 5.395 5.444 5.106 6,817. 6,817. 6,817. 6,770.
18 8.189 7.560 7.336 7.821 8.189 7.560 7.336 7.821 10.020 9.452 9.325 9.435 5.774 5.675 5.756 5.277 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,269.
21 8.349 7.696 7.427 7.721 8.349 7.696 7.427 7.721 10.071 9.471 9.287 9.289 5.633 5.520 5.577 5.165 5,314. 5,314. 5,314. 5,264.
24 8.635 7.862 7.668 8.013 8.635 7.862 7.668 8.013 10.559 9.839 9.724 9.701 6.078 5.915 5.980 5.469 5,672. 5,672. 5,672. 5,621.
27 8.731 8.124 7.900 8.103 8.731 8.124 7.900 8.103 10.576 9.978 9.827 9.751 5.969 5.793 5.845 5.424 5,870. 5,870. 5,870. 5,811.
30 8.342 7.789 7.570 7.954 8.342 7.789 7.570 7.954 10.035 9.540 9.360 9.565 5.579 5.507 5.506 5.313 6,716. 6,716. 6,716. 6,639.
33 7.968 7.537 7.307 8.004 7.968 7.537 7.307 8.004 9.511 9.107 8.969 9.492 5.194 5.112 5.203 5.103 8,110. 8,110. 8,110. 7,994.
36 7.606 7.201 7.064 8.021 7.606 7.201 7.064 8.021 9.266 8.934 8.849 9.511 5.293 5.288 5.329 5.111 8,009. 8,009. 8,009. 7,871.
39 8.291 7.810 ******* 8.103 8.291 7.810 ******* 8.103 10.098 9.742 ******* 9.700 5.765 5.823 -9999.00 5.333 6,419. 6,419. 0. 6,320.
42 8.742 8.096 ******* 8.230 8.742 8.096 ******* 8.230 10.771 10.215 ******* 9.979 6.293 6.230 -9999.00 5.645 6,001. 6,001. 0. 5,924.
45 8.896 8.232 ******* 8.234 8.896 8.232 ******* 8.234 10.871 10.352 ******* 9.998 6.248 6.277 -9999.00 5.671 5,278. 5,278. 0. 5,219.
48 9.149 8.422 ******* 8.445 9.149 8.422 ******* 8.445 11.162 10.512 ******* 10.301 6.395 6.291 -9999.00 5.899 5,633. 5,633. 0. 5,582.