MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.237 1.153 ******* 0.599 3.611 3.598 ******* 3.470 4.935 4.941 ******* 4.745 4.777 4.804 -9999.00 4.707 38,769. 38,769. 0. 38,769.
3 5.116 4.621 ******* 1.177 6.062 5.627 ******* 3.604 7.490 7.134 ******* 4.873 5.470 5.435 -9999.00 4.729 39,101. 39,101. 0. 39,101.
6 5.716 5.102 ******* 1.305 6.532 6.006 ******* 3.683 8.003 7.595 ******* 5.055 5.602 5.626 -9999.00 4.884 38,078. 38,078. 0. 38,078.
9 5.939 5.276 ******* 1.438 6.732 6.166 ******* 3.721 8.103 7.709 ******* 5.061 5.512 5.620 -9999.00 4.853 37,515. 37,515. 0. 37,515.
12 6.117 5.466 6.408 1.425 6.909 6.331 7.155 3.811 8.271 7.872 9.144 5.170 5.566 5.665 6.523 4.970 38,322. 38,322. 38,322. 38,322.
15 6.286 5.621 5.059 1.455 7.079 6.522 6.032 3.903 8.463 8.081 7.698 5.284 5.666 5.806 5.803 5.079 38,943. 38,943. 38,943. 38,943.
18 5.386 4.741 4.223 1.363 6.465 5.925 5.444 3.957 8.020 7.606 7.206 5.270 5.943 5.948 5.839 5.091 37,873. 37,873. 37,873. 37,873.
21 3.898 3.550 3.260 0.968 5.647 5.297 4.982 3.901 7.356 7.120 6.858 5.292 6.239 6.172 6.034 5.202 37,877. 37,877. 37,877. 37,877.
24 4.457 4.207 3.828 1.005 5.767 5.493 5.183 3.715 7.370 7.231 6.953 5.087 5.870 5.882 5.804 4.987 38,733. 38,733. 38,733. 38,733.
27 5.831 5.365 4.781 1.514 6.721 6.317 5.835 3.857 8.219 7.950 7.576 5.216 5.792 5.867 5.877 4.992 39,041. 39,041. 39,041. 39,041.
30 6.036 5.465 4.761 1.633 6.908 6.432 5.828 3.955 8.398 8.101 7.635 5.418 5.839 5.980 5.968 5.166 37,949. 37,949. 37,949. 37,949.
33 6.239 5.588 4.783 1.722 7.065 6.536 5.894 3.965 8.460 8.146 7.694 5.386 5.714 5.928 6.027 5.103 37,487. 37,487. 37,487. 37,487.
36 6.251 5.602 4.775 1.666 7.123 6.593 5.944 4.041 8.509 8.210 7.750 5.467 5.773 6.002 6.105 5.207 38,284. 38,284. 38,284. 38,284.
39 6.375 5.690 ******* 1.671 7.254 6.709 ******* 4.097 8.690 8.359 ******* 5.529 5.906 6.124 -9999.00 5.271 38,809. 38,809. 0. 38,809.
42 5.732 5.019 ******* 1.703 6.872 6.331 ******* 4.241 8.484 8.107 ******* 5.630 6.255 6.367 -9999.00 5.366 37,807. 37,807. 0. 37,807.
45 4.354 3.925 ******* 1.372 6.139 5.815 ******* 4.182 7.911 7.734 ******* 5.639 6.605 6.664 -9999.00 5.470 37,628. 37,628. 0. 37,626.
48 4.788 4.445 ******* 1.279 6.206 5.948 ******* 3.990 7.857 7.732 ******* 5.424 6.229 6.326 -9999.00 5.272 38,408. 38,408. 0. 38,406.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.005 1.911 ******* 1.117 4.048 4.004 ******* 3.684 5.424 5.394 ******* 5.023 5.039 5.044 -9999.00 4.897 38,322. 38,322. 0. 38,322.
3 5.706 4.944 ******* 1.294 6.611 5.979 ******* 3.813 8.098 7.574 ******* 5.159 5.747 5.737 -9999.00 4.994 38,943. 38,943. 0. 38,943.
6 4.993 4.301 ******* 1.098 6.159 5.562 ******* 3.813 7.779 7.238 ******* 5.091 5.965 5.822 -9999.00 4.972 37,873. 37,873. 0. 37,873.
9 3.568 3.231 ******* 0.745 5.318 4.931 ******* 3.735 6.939 6.648 ******* 5.103 5.951 5.810 -9999.00 5.048 37,877. 37,877. 0. 37,877.
12 4.320 4.056 4.860 0.837 5.546 5.250 5.929 3.581 7.038 6.839 7.970 4.910 5.556 5.507 6.316 4.838 38,733. 38,733. 38,733. 38,733.
15 5.812 5.342 4.947 1.374 6.641 6.190 5.834 3.726 8.048 7.727 7.425 5.042 5.567 5.583 5.537 4.851 39,041. 39,041. 39,041. 39,041.
18 6.076 5.501 4.869 1.561 6.882 6.369 5.829 3.861 8.345 8.002 7.573 5.297 5.721 5.811 5.799 5.062 37,949. 37,949. 37,949. 37,949.
21 6.267 5.636 4.915 1.661 7.036 6.490 5.884 3.884 8.457 8.103 7.654 5.312 5.678 5.821 5.867 5.046 37,104. 37,104. 37,104. 37,104.
24 6.394 5.750 4.986 1.663 7.204 6.654 6.021 3.981 8.607 8.274 7.800 5.415 5.761 5.950 5.998 5.153 38,284. 38,284. 38,284. 38,284.
27 6.478 5.803 5.067 1.637 7.288 6.733 6.104 4.044 8.713 8.361 7.883 5.464 5.827 6.020 6.039 5.213 38,846. 38,846. 38,846. 38,846.
30 5.702 4.972 4.337 1.580 6.755 6.195 5.666 4.132 8.343 7.937 7.522 5.469 6.090 6.187 6.146 5.236 37,857. 37,857. 37,857. 37,857.
33 4.320 3.892 3.493 1.203 5.973 5.600 5.278 4.052 7.684 7.446 7.180 5.453 6.354 6.347 6.273 5.319 37,810. 37,810. 37,810. 37,810.
36 4.844 4.509 4.107 1.186 6.145 5.854 5.524 3.877 7.722 7.592 7.341 5.271 6.014 6.108 6.085 5.136 38,701. 38,701. 38,701. 38,701.
39 6.085 5.602 ******* 1.622 7.042 6.636 ******* 4.014 8.528 8.321 ******* 5.408 5.974 6.153 -9999.00 5.159 39,002. 39,002. 0. 39,002.
42 6.297 5.686 ******* 1.755 7.239 6.741 ******* 4.121 8.733 8.463 ******* 5.618 6.051 6.268 -9999.00 5.337 37,916. 37,916. 0. 37,916.
45 6.425 5.763 ******* 1.861 7.305 6.792 ******* 4.143 8.740 8.479 ******* 5.587 5.925 6.219 -9999.00 5.268 37,446. 37,446. 0. 37,053.
48 6.348 5.707 ******* 1.717 7.305 6.806 ******* 4.172 8.761 8.508 ******* 5.630 6.038 6.310 -9999.00 5.361 38,173. 38,173. 0. 38,173.