MM5 Statistics

00Z Initialization Stats of Adjusted Temperature (Kelvin)
for the Period 19971222 to 19980928 (matching times only)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29km
0 -2.100 -1.734 -99.990 -99.990 3.090 2.892 -99.990 -99.990 4.321 4.197 -99.990 -99.990 19510 19326 0 0
3 -0.248 0.145 -99.990 -0.885 2.308 2.180 -99.990 2.557 3.338 3.327 -99.990 3.583 19006 18926 0 9802
6 0.270 0.548 -99.990 -0.737 2.282 2.262 -99.990 2.445 3.336 3.382 -99.990 3.499 17523 17444 0 8908
9 0.327 0.652 -99.990 -0.855 2.392 2.388 -99.990 2.490 3.487 3.527 -99.990 3.585 16867 16798 0 8551
12 0.501 0.821 0.916 -0.838 2.458 2.470 2.466 2.526 3.547 3.596 3.595 3.616 17112 17143 16140 8671
15 0.135 0.583 0.604 0.391 2.483 2.392 2.364 2.372 3.601 3.507 3.472 3.296 18598 18641 18418 10070
18 -0.607 -0.093 -0.199 1.418 2.946 2.650 2.585 3.208 4.169 3.987 3.889 4.332 18527 18572 18346 10291
21 -1.364 -0.810 -0.960 1.577 3.304 2.958 2.866 3.435 4.731 4.573 4.450 4.581 18240 18355 18179 10176
24 -1.826 -1.299 -1.440 0.940 3.339 2.996 2.892 3.068 4.784 4.564 4.424 4.164 17737 18131 17912 9999
27 -0.895 -0.649 -0.786 0.127 2.643 2.379 2.305 2.421 3.849 3.760 3.634 3.344 17445 17445 17270 9751
30 -0.183 0.027 0.025 0.249 2.435 2.336 2.247 2.358 3.671 3.739 3.608 3.242 15985 16088 15705 8701
33 -0.101 0.186 0.277 -0.113 2.513 2.457 2.391 2.393 3.796 3.871 3.766 3.380 15416 15508 15234 8410
36 0.112 0.407 0.520 -0.244 2.579 2.557 2.516 2.448 3.855 3.929 3.860 3.462 15485 15658 15296 8603
39 -0.327 -0.019 -99.990 -99.990 2.652 2.536 -99.990 -99.990 4.038 4.005 -99.990 -99.990 17364 17442 0 0
42 -1.275 -0.811 -99.990 -99.990 3.306 2.937 -99.990 -99.990 4.799 4.466 -99.990 -99.990 17368 17443 0 0
45 -1.948 -1.385 -99.990 -99.990 3.763 3.371 -99.990 -99.990 5.327 5.051 -99.990 -99.990 17296 17379 0 0
48 -2.518 -1.887 -99.990 -99.990 4.067 3.672 -99.990 -99.990 5.639 5.353 -99.990 -99.990 14864 14950 0 0

12Z Initialization Stats of Adjusted Temperature (Kelvin)
for the Period 19971222 to 19980928 (matching times only)
over the 4km Domain for all Stations

Forecast HourMean ErrorMean Absolute ErrorRoot Mean Square ErrorNumber of Obs
MM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29kmMM5 36kmMM5 12kmMM5 4kmETA 29km
0 2.271 2.478 -99.990 -99.990 2.999 3.087 -99.990 -99.990 4.132 4.207 -99.990 -99.990 18681 18681 0 0
3 0.664 0.933 -99.990 -0.447 2.399 2.380 -99.990 2.374 3.451 3.463 -99.990 3.416 21274 21198 0 7005
6 -0.285 0.186 -99.990 -0.115 2.847 2.652 -99.990 2.812 4.070 3.998 -99.990 4.133 20978 21240 0 7239
9 -1.144 -0.642 -99.990 0.323 3.183 2.918 -99.990 2.950 4.632 4.568 -99.990 4.166 21024 21201 0 7127
12 -1.683 -1.266 -1.072 -0.141 3.228 2.931 2.889 2.656 4.746 4.609 4.576 3.778 21053 21223 20710 7065
15 -0.820 -0.662 -0.416 -0.471 2.598 2.375 2.353 2.360 3.949 3.950 3.873 3.425 19974 20237 19902 6809
18 -0.175 -0.089 0.375 -0.065 2.419 2.346 2.472 2.345 3.776 3.932 3.950 3.387 18435 18660 18344 6099
21 -0.166 0.027 0.578 -0.347 2.497 2.453 2.654 2.390 3.902 4.047 4.145 3.544 17837 18056 17741 5988
24 -0.017 0.189 0.810 -0.394 2.555 2.545 2.812 2.452 3.953 4.100 4.270 3.679 17938 18214 17812 5961
27 -0.458 -0.101 0.459 0.555 2.636 2.488 2.763 2.345 4.130 4.043 4.263 3.298 20209 20084 19961 6950
30 -1.206 -0.729 -0.348 0.818 3.271 2.892 2.947 2.725 4.828 4.435 4.494 3.760 20073 20069 19825 7126
33 -1.795 -1.297 -1.028 0.712 3.683 3.292 3.254 3.012 5.295 4.993 5.004 4.139 19845 19844 19589 6981
36 -2.252 -1.721 -1.461 0.179 3.774 3.378 3.277 2.924 5.383 5.054 4.989 4.071 19227 19359 19290 6994
39 -1.294 -1.068 -99.990 -99.990 2.946 2.686 -99.990 -99.990 4.356 4.273 -99.990 -99.990 19025 18969 0 0
42 -0.546 -0.424 -99.990 -99.990 2.607 2.513 -99.990 -99.990 4.020 4.158 -99.990 -99.990 17431 17316 0 0
45 -0.425 -0.197 -99.990 -99.990 2.645 2.548 -99.990 -99.990 4.078 4.144 -99.990 -99.990 16713 16707 0 0
48 -0.178 0.009 -99.990 -99.990 2.708 2.691 -99.990 -99.990 4.107 4.303 -99.990 -99.990 15087 15223 0 0